IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Mississippi
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.7	#61
Expected Predictive Rating	+5.7	#91

Pace	67.2	#249
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.3	#65

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.4	#67

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Top 2 Seed	0.8%	1.1%	0.3%
Top 4 Seed	3.8%	5.1%	1.7%
Top 6 Seed	9.8%	12.7%	5.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	31.5%	38.2%	21.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	30.8%	37.4%	20.6%
Average Seed	7.7	7.6	8.2

.500 or above	60.8%	71.0%	44.7%
.500 or above in Conference	27.7%	32.0%	20.8%
Conference Champion	1.0%	1.3%	0.5%
Last Place in Conference	15.8%	12.9%	20.2%

First Four	4.5%	4.9%	3.7%
First Round	29.2%	35.6%	19.1%
Second Round	16.2%	20.0%	10.2%
Sweet Sixteen	5.8%	7.4%	3.2%
Elite Eight	2.2%	2.9%	1.2%
Final Four	0.8%	1.0%	0.4%
Championship Game	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Neutral) - 61.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 4	4 - 11
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 14
Quad 3	2 - 1	10 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 0	17 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	339	LIU Brooklyn	W	90-60	97%	1 - 0			+16.1	+7.0	+7.6
Nov 08, 2024	241	Grambling St.	W	66-64	92%	2 - 0			-4.8	-8.2	+3.4
Nov 12, 2024	198	South Alabama	W	64-54	90%	3 - 0			+4.7	-6.3	+11.7
Nov 16, 2024	91	Colorado St.	W	70-67	61%
Nov 21, 2024	245	Oral Roberts	W	81-65	93%
Nov 28, 2024	32	BYU	L	72-75	38%
Dec 03, 2024	49	@ Louisville	L	71-75	36%
Dec 07, 2024	351	Lindenwood	W	82-58	99%
Dec 14, 2024	231	Southern Miss	W	79-67	86%
Dec 17, 2024	273	Southern	W	79-61	95%
Dec 21, 2024	297	Queens	W	85-66	95%
Dec 28, 2024	34	@ Memphis	L	73-79	30%
Jan 04, 2025	68	Georgia	W	75-71	62%
Jan 08, 2025	19	@ Arkansas	L	68-76	25%
Jan 11, 2025	48	LSU	W	74-72	57%
Jan 14, 2025	7	@ Alabama	L	72-84	14%
Jan 18, 2025	26	@ Mississippi St.	L	69-76	27%
Jan 22, 2025	28	Texas A&M	L	69-70	47%
Jan 25, 2025	71	@ Missouri	L	70-72	43%
Jan 29, 2025	23	Texas	L	70-71	46%
Feb 01, 2025	3	Auburn	L	70-78	26%
Feb 04, 2025	12	Kentucky	L	75-80	34%
Feb 08, 2025	48	@ LSU	L	71-75	36%
Feb 12, 2025	64	@ South Carolina	L	67-70	40%
Feb 15, 2025	26	Mississippi St.	L	72-73	47%
Feb 22, 2025	83	@ Vanderbilt	L	73-74	45%
Feb 26, 2025	3	@ Auburn	L	67-81	12%
Mar 01, 2025	52	Oklahoma	W	71-69	57%
Mar 05, 2025	9	Tennessee	L	68-73	34%
Mar 08, 2025	21	@ Florida	L	74-81	26%
Projected Record						16 - 14	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.0	1st
2nd												0.1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0				1.5	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	1.1	0.7	0.1						2.3	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	1.3	1.2	0.2							3.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	1.3	1.9	0.4	0.0							3.8	5th
6th									0.1	0.9	2.6	1.1	0.0								4.6	6th
7th								0.0	0.4	2.9	2.0	0.2									5.5	7th
8th								0.1	2.0	3.4	0.6	0.0									6.2	8th
9th							0.0	1.2	3.7	1.8	0.1										6.7	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	3.5	3.5	0.4											7.8	10th
11th					0.0	0.2	2.4	4.6	1.2	0.0											8.4	11th
12th					0.1	1.6	5.0	2.7	0.2												9.6	12th
13th				0.1	1.2	4.2	4.0	0.6	0.0												10.0	13th
14th			0.1	0.9	3.5	4.5	1.3	0.0													10.2	14th
15th		0.1	1.0	3.1	4.0	1.7	0.2														10.0	15th
16th	0.4	1.8	2.9	2.9	1.2	0.2	0.0													9.3	16th

Total	0.4	1.9	3.9	6.9	9.9	12.3	13.3	12.7	11.0	9.6	7.0	4.9	3.0	1.7	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	90.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	71.4%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	39.0%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	9.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%							0.0
17-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	18.6%	81.4%	2.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0															100.0%
15-3	0.4%		100.0%	13.4%	86.6%	2.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0														100.0%
14-4	0.8%		100.0%	12.0%	88.0%	3.2		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
13-5	1.7%		100.0%	8.5%	91.5%	4.3		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
12-6	3.0%		99.2%	5.0%	94.2%	5.5		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.0		99.2%
11-7	4.9%		97.2%	2.5%	94.7%	6.6		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.0	1.1	0.7	0.4	0.2	0.1						0.1		97.1%
10-8	7.0%		89.4%	1.4%	88.1%	7.7			0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.2	1.4	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.0					0.7		89.3%
9-9	9.6%		73.8%	1.3%	72.6%	8.8					0.1	0.2	0.4	0.8	1.5	1.5	1.3	1.2	0.1	0.0				2.5		73.5%
8-10	11.0%		42.6%	0.7%	41.9%	9.8						0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.9	1.1	1.5	0.3					6.3		42.2%
7-11	12.7%		16.3%	0.3%	15.9%	10.6						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.1	0.3					10.6		16.0%
6-12	13.3%		3.5%	0.1%	3.4%	11.1									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.1					12.8		3.4%
5-13	12.3%		0.4%	0.1%	0.4%	11.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				12.3		0.4%
4-14	9.9%																							9.9
3-15	6.9%																							6.9
2-16	3.9%																							3.9
1-17	1.9%																							1.9
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		31.5%	1.0%	30.5%	7.7		0.2	0.6	1.2	1.7	2.8	3.2	3.9	4.5	4.1	3.9	4.5	0.9	0.0				68.5		30.8%