Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#28
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#156
Pace65.7#290
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#26
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#35
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
#1 Seed 2.2% 3.2% 1.0%
Top 2 Seed 5.9% 8.3% 2.7%
Top 4 Seed 17.7% 23.5% 10.2%
Top 6 Seed 32.3% 40.6% 21.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.9% 71.4% 49.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 60.1% 69.8% 47.7%
Average Seed 6.4 6.1 7.0
.500 or above 74.3% 83.1% 62.7%
.500 or above in Conference 61.7% 67.5% 54.0%
Conference Champion 5.6% 7.1% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 2.8% 5.2%
First Four5.6% 5.5% 5.7%
First Round59.4% 68.8% 47.0%
Second Round40.2% 47.9% 30.1%
Sweet Sixteen19.4% 24.2% 13.1%
Elite Eight8.6% 11.2% 5.2%
Final Four3.9% 5.3% 2.1%
Championship Game1.6% 2.2% 0.8%
National Champion0.6% 0.9% 0.3%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Home) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 46 - 10
Quad 25 - 311 - 13
Quad 32 - 014 - 13
Quad 45 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 66   @ Central Florida L 61-64 55%     0 - 1 +8.4 -2.5 +10.7
  Nov 08, 2024 353   Texas A&M - Commerce W 87-55 99%     1 - 1 +15.9 +11.0 +6.2
  Nov 11, 2024 280   Lamar W 97-71 97%     2 - 1 +16.8 +16.3 -0.2
  Nov 15, 2024 17   Ohio St. W 70-68 57%    
  Nov 20, 2024 273   Southern W 81-59 98%    
  Nov 26, 2024 39   Oregon W 71-69 57%    
  Nov 27, 2024 16   Creighton L 71-72 45%    
  Dec 03, 2024 62   Wake Forest W 76-69 74%    
  Dec 08, 2024 14   Texas Tech L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 14, 2024 15   Purdue L 71-73 43%    
  Dec 20, 2024 358   Houston Christian W 89-59 99.6%   
  Dec 28, 2024 237   Abilene Christian W 80-61 95%    
  Jan 04, 2025 23   Texas W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 08, 2025 52   @ Oklahoma W 70-69 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 7   Alabama L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 14, 2025 12   @ Kentucky L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 18, 2025 48   LSU W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 22, 2025 61   @ Mississippi W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 23   @ Texas L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 28, 2025 52   Oklahoma W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 01, 2025 64   @ South Carolina W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 71   @ Missouri W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 11, 2025 68   Georgia W 77-69 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 19   Arkansas W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 18, 2025 26   @ Mississippi St. L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 9   Tennessee L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 26, 2025 83   Vanderbilt W 78-69 76%    
  Mar 01, 2025 21   @ Florida L 76-79 38%    
  Mar 04, 2025 3   Auburn L 72-76 37%    
  Mar 08, 2025 48   @ LSU L 72-73 50%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 1.5 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 5.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.2 3.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.1 2.4 4.3 1.4 0.1 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.5 2.3 0.2 8.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.5 0.5 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 4.4 1.2 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.4 0.2 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 3.4 1.1 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.7 1.8 0.1 0.0 5.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.2 0.4 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.7 0.0 3.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.1 2.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.9 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.1 7.3 9.2 11.1 12.2 12.3 11.2 9.3 7.3 4.9 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.2% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 87.9% 1.2    0.9 0.3 0.0
15-3 63.6% 1.7    1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 31.6% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.9% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.6% 5.6 2.9 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 41.7% 58.3% 1.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 31.5% 68.5% 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.3% 100.0% 23.8% 76.2% 1.8 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.6% 100.0% 22.7% 77.3% 2.3 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 4.9% 100.0% 14.7% 85.3% 3.2 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 7.3% 99.7% 10.4% 89.3% 4.2 0.2 0.7 1.7 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-6 9.3% 99.5% 7.4% 92.1% 5.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.2 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5%
11-7 11.2% 96.5% 4.7% 91.7% 6.6 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.3 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 96.3%
10-8 12.3% 87.6% 2.6% 85.0% 7.8 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.5 87.2%
9-9 12.2% 69.6% 1.3% 68.3% 8.9 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.6 1.7 0.4 0.0 3.7 69.2%
8-10 11.1% 38.4% 0.8% 37.7% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 6.8 38.0%
7-11 9.2% 14.5% 0.3% 14.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 7.9 14.2%
6-12 7.3% 3.5% 0.2% 3.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.0 3.4%
5-13 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 5.1 0.4%
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 61.9% 4.4% 57.5% 6.4 2.2 3.6 5.7 6.2 7.3 7.3 7.0 6.2 5.1 4.7 5.3 1.3 0.0 38.1 60.1%