Abilene Christian
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#237
Expected Predictive Rating-13.8#339
Pace70.5#143
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#191
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.9% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 23.9% 35.8% 14.7%
.500 or above in Conference 38.4% 46.6% 32.0%
Conference Champion 3.6% 5.3% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 16.3% 11.6% 20.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round3.4% 4.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas St. (Home) - 43.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 84 - 13
Quad 48 - 511 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 129   Middle Tennessee L 56-79 40%     0 - 1 -23.9 -16.1 -7.4
  Nov 16, 2024 146   Texas St. L 67-69 44%    
  Nov 20, 2024 176   @ Kennesaw St. L 78-84 30%    
  Nov 25, 2024 231   Southern Miss L 73-74 49%    
  Nov 26, 2024 165   @ Montana St. L 70-77 28%    
  Nov 30, 2024 266   @ Nebraska Omaha L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 04, 2024 147   @ New Mexico St. L 65-73 25%    
  Dec 09, 2024 13   @ Baylor L 61-83 3%    
  Dec 18, 2024 353   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-65 72%    
  Dec 21, 2024 257   Texas Southern W 72-68 65%    
  Dec 28, 2024 28   @ Texas A&M L 61-80 5%    
  Dec 31, 2024 171   Stephen F. Austin W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 124   @ Utah Valley L 65-74 21%    
  Jan 11, 2025 152   @ Seattle L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 16, 2025 85   @ Grand Canyon L 66-79 13%    
  Jan 18, 2025 181   California Baptist W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 23, 2025 299   Tarleton St. W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 25, 2025 160   Texas Arlington L 77-78 46%    
  Jan 30, 2025 181   @ California Baptist L 65-71 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 301   @ Utah Tech W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 214   @ Southern Utah L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 152   Seattle L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 20, 2025 214   Southern Utah W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 301   Utah Tech W 77-70 71%    
  Feb 27, 2025 299   @ Tarleton St. W 70-69 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 160   @ Texas Arlington L 74-81 28%    
  Mar 06, 2025 124   Utah Valley L 68-71 39%    
  Mar 08, 2025 85   Grand Canyon L 69-76 27%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.6 1.5 0.5 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 9.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.7 1.3 0.1 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.4 5.1 1.4 0.1 13.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 6.4 5.2 1.3 0.0 15.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.4 4.9 1.1 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.3 5.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.5 1.7 3.2 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.2 9th
Total 0.5 1.8 4.1 6.8 10.0 12.2 13.4 12.7 11.7 9.7 7.0 4.9 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 94.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
13-3 69.8% 1.1    0.7 0.4 0.0
12-4 40.3% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-5 11.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
10-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 45.1% 43.1% 2.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.4%
14-2 0.6% 33.5% 33.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.6% 29.1% 29.1% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-4 2.8% 23.4% 23.4% 13.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1
11-5 4.9% 14.5% 14.5% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 4.2
10-6 7.0% 7.4% 7.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.5
9-7 9.7% 4.0% 4.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.3
8-8 11.7% 2.5% 2.5% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.4
7-9 12.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.5
6-10 13.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.3
5-11 12.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.2
4-12 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-13 6.8% 6.8
2-14 4.1% 4.1
1-15 1.8% 1.8
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.6% 3.5% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.6 96.5 0.0%