Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#124
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#57
Pace68.8#195
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#192
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#78
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.2% 21.5% 13.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 13.1
.500 or above 82.9% 88.5% 69.2%
.500 or above in Conference 83.2% 86.3% 75.7%
Conference Champion 23.6% 26.6% 16.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.4% 3.5%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round19.1% 21.4% 13.7%
Second Round3.7% 4.4% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Away) - 70.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 57 - 8
Quad 412 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 194   UTEP W 89-60 77%     1 - 0 +24.1 +7.8 +13.7
  Nov 14, 2024 271   @ North Dakota W 72-66 71%    
  Nov 22, 2024 136   @ Murray St. L 66-68 44%    
  Nov 26, 2024 349   West Georgia W 77-62 92%    
  Nov 27, 2024 141   @ Samford L 76-77 45%    
  Nov 28, 2024 222   North Dakota St. W 74-68 71%    
  Dec 03, 2024 70   @ Stanford L 65-73 23%    
  Dec 07, 2024 126   @ James Madison L 71-74 40%    
  Dec 11, 2024 271   North Dakota W 75-63 84%    
  Dec 14, 2024 210   @ Jacksonville St. W 68-65 59%    
  Dec 18, 2024 265   @ Idaho St. W 66-61 68%    
  Dec 21, 2024 233   @ Weber St. W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 04, 2025 237   Abilene Christian W 74-65 79%    
  Jan 09, 2025 85   Grand Canyon L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 181   California Baptist W 70-63 72%    
  Jan 16, 2025 160   @ Texas Arlington L 75-76 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 301   Utah Tech W 78-65 87%    
  Jan 23, 2025 181   @ California Baptist W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 152   @ Seattle L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 85   @ Grand Canyon L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 06, 2025 160   Texas Arlington W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 299   Tarleton St. W 74-61 86%    
  Feb 15, 2025 214   @ Southern Utah W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 20, 2025 301   @ Utah Tech W 75-68 72%    
  Feb 22, 2025 152   Seattle W 70-65 67%    
  Mar 01, 2025 214   Southern Utah W 76-67 76%    
  Mar 06, 2025 237   @ Abilene Christian W 71-68 61%    
  Mar 08, 2025 299   @ Tarleton St. W 71-64 71%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.4 6.7 6.2 3.5 0.9 23.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.3 7.4 7.4 3.2 0.7 22.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.1 7.5 4.5 1.0 0.1 18.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.8 0.9 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.8 4.6 6.8 9.7 11.8 13.8 13.8 12.9 10.0 6.9 3.5 0.9 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
15-1 100.0% 3.5    3.3 0.2
14-2 90.2% 6.2    5.0 1.2
13-3 67.4% 6.7    4.1 2.5 0.2
12-4 34.3% 4.4    1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0
11-5 11.2% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 23.6% 23.6 15.4 6.6 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.9% 70.4% 62.8% 7.6% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 20.4%
15-1 3.5% 56.4% 53.1% 3.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 7.0%
14-2 6.9% 46.5% 45.6% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 0.7 0.1 3.7 1.6%
13-3 10.0% 36.6% 36.5% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.4 0.4 0.0 6.3 0.2%
12-4 12.9% 28.8% 28.8% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 9.1 0.0%
11-5 13.8% 19.8% 19.8% 13.2 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 11.1
10-6 13.8% 12.0% 12.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 12.1
9-7 11.8% 8.1% 8.1% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 10.8
8-8 9.7% 4.3% 4.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.3
7-9 6.8% 2.9% 2.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 6.6
6-10 4.6% 1.3% 1.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 4.6
5-11 2.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.8
4-12 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.5
3-13 0.7% 0.7
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.2% 19.0% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.7 6.3 6.1 3.1 1.1 0.2 80.8 0.3%