IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

UTEP
Conference USA
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.9	#131
Expected Predictive Rating	+6.9	#81

Pace	69.9	#144
Improvement	+1.9	#100

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#174

First Shot	+2.1	#114
After Offensive Rebound	-2.0	#296

Layup/Dunks	+0.5	#157
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.9	#227
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.2	#176
Freethrows	+2.3	#57

Improvement	+2.9	#42

Defense
Total Defense	+1.7	#123

First Shot	+2.6	#96
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.8	#264

Layups/Dunks	+5.0	#38
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.1	#201
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.1	#143
Freethrows	-3.5	#355

Improvement	-1.1	#239

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.4%	11.6%	8.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.0	12.9	13.2

.500 or above	96.1%	98.5%	91.2%
.500 or above in Conference	85.3%	91.4%	73.0%
Conference Champion	23.7%	29.6%	11.6%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.2%	1.4%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	10.4%	11.6%	8.0%
Second Round	0.9%	1.1%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Home) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	3 - 3	3 - 4
Quad 3	9 - 7	12 - 10
Quad 4	7 - 1	19 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	140	@ Utah Valley	L	60-89	41%	0 - 1			-24.7	-13.7	-8.4
Nov 20, 2024	165	@ UC Santa Barbara	W	79-76	46%	1 - 1			+5.8	+10.0	-4.1
Nov 25, 2024	160	San Jose St.	L	65-71	56%	1 - 2			-5.7	-8.2	+2.4
Nov 26, 2024	293	Long Beach St.	W	70-44	81%	2 - 2			+18.4	-5.2	+24.6
Nov 27, 2024	129	UNC Greensboro	W	64-58	49%	3 - 2			+8.1	+1.7	+7.3
Dec 07, 2024	150	Seattle	W	88-72	64%	4 - 2			+14.2	+16.4	-2.0
Dec 11, 2024	27	@ Louisville	L	74-77	9%	4 - 3			+13.4	+8.7	+4.8
Dec 16, 2024	262	Tarleton St.	W	67-62	83%	5 - 3			-3.4	-0.7	-2.3
Dec 20, 2024	278	Jackson St.	W	67-61	85%	6 - 3			-3.3	-5.6	+2.5
Dec 21, 2024	88	Yale	W	75-74	43%	7 - 3			+4.7	+2.6	+2.1
Jan 02, 2025	120	Louisiana Tech	W	70-60	58%	8 - 3	1 - 0		+9.9	-0.2	+10.6
Jan 04, 2025	170	Sam Houston St.	W	81-72	69%	9 - 3	2 - 0		+5.9	+7.4	-1.3
Jan 11, 2025	128	New Mexico St.	L	57-85	59%	9 - 4	2 - 1		-28.5	-9.3	-22.0
Jan 16, 2025	92	@ Liberty	W	72-70	25%	10 - 4	3 - 1		+10.9	+6.8	+4.1
Jan 18, 2025	241	@ Florida International	W	81-73	63%	11 - 4	4 - 1		+6.4	+12.7	-6.1
Jan 23, 2025	162	Jacksonville St.	W	73-69	67%
Jan 25, 2025	183	Kennesaw St.	W	80-74	71%
Jan 30, 2025	135	@ Western Kentucky	L	74-77	40%
Feb 01, 2025	111	@ Middle Tennessee	L	70-74	34%
Feb 08, 2025	128	@ New Mexico St.	L	68-71	38%
Feb 13, 2025	241	Florida International	W	77-68	80%
Feb 15, 2025	92	Liberty	L	67-69	46%
Feb 20, 2025	183	@ Kennesaw St.	W	78-77	50%
Feb 22, 2025	162	@ Jacksonville St.	L	70-71	46%
Feb 27, 2025	135	Western Kentucky	W	77-74	61%
Mar 01, 2025	111	Middle Tennessee	W	73-72	57%
Mar 06, 2025	170	@ Sam Houston St.	L	74-75	48%
Mar 08, 2025	120	@ Louisiana Tech	L	68-72	36%
Projected Record						18 - 10	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	1.1	5.7	7.8	5.8	2.6	0.6	0.1			23.7	1st
2nd											0.8	6.1	8.0	2.7	0.6	0.0					18.1	2nd
3rd										0.2	4.9	8.3	2.2	0.1							15.7	3rd
4th									0.1	2.6	7.9	2.6	0.1								13.2	4th
5th								0.0	1.0	5.8	3.5	0.1									10.4	5th
6th								0.4	3.5	4.1	0.3										8.3	6th
7th							0.1	1.4	3.2	0.9											5.6	7th
8th						0.0	0.7	1.9	0.9	0.0											3.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.0												1.4	9th
10th					0.0	0.1	0.0														0.2	10th

Total					0.1	0.3	1.5	4.2	8.6	13.5	17.5	18.1	16.0	10.6	6.4	2.7	0.6	0.1				Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	100.0%	0.6		0.6	0.0
15-3	98.9%	2.6		2.5	0.2
14-4	90.7%	5.8		4.7	1.0	0.0
13-5	73.5%	7.8		3.9	3.3	0.5	0.0
12-6	35.6%	5.7		1.2	2.5	1.7	0.3	0.0
11-7	5.9%	1.1		0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1
10-8	0.2%	0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	23.7%	23.7		13.1	7.2	2.7	0.6	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.1%																	0.0	0.0					0.1
16-2	0.6%		27.4%	27.4%		11.9												0.0	0.1	0.0				0.5
15-3	2.7%		21.4%	21.4%		12.3												0.0	0.4	0.2				2.1
14-4	6.4%		22.0%	22.0%		12.4												0.0	0.8	0.5	0.1			5.0
13-5	10.6%		16.8%	16.8%		12.6												0.0	0.8	0.7	0.2			8.8
12-6	16.0%		13.4%	13.4%		13.0												0.0	0.5	1.2	0.4	0.0		13.8
11-7	18.1%		10.7%	10.7%		13.3													0.2	1.1	0.7	0.0		16.1
10-8	17.5%		7.3%	7.3%		13.6													0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1		16.2
9-9	13.5%		5.5%	5.5%		13.7														0.3	0.4	0.1		12.8
8-10	8.6%		3.6%	3.6%		14.4														0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	8.3
7-11	4.2%		1.7%	1.7%		14.9															0.0	0.1		4.1
6-12	1.5%		0.7%	0.7%		15.0																0.0		1.5
5-13	0.3%																							0.3
4-14	0.1%																							0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18

Total	100%		10.4%	10.4%	0.0%	13.0												0.1	2.9	4.5	2.4	0.5	0.0	89.6		0.0%