IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.5	#278
Expected Predictive Rating	-4.9	#244

Pace	71.6	#97
Improvement	+2.5	#74

Offense
Total Offense	-6.5	#336

First Shot	-6.5	#341
After Offensive Rebound	+0.0	#180

Layup/Dunks	-4.4	#326
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#77
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.7	#264
Freethrows	-1.1	#255

Improvement	+1.0	#115

Defense
Total Defense	+0.0	#174

First Shot	-0.1	#184
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.1	#182

Layups/Dunks	+1.7	#110
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.5	#153
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.8	#339
Freethrows	+2.6	#34

Improvement	+1.5	#106

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.2%	17.9%	13.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	22.9%	35.4%	13.3%
.500 or above in Conference	99.4%	100.0%	99.0%
Conference Champion	28.0%	40.1%	18.7%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	13.2%	14.5%	12.2%
First Round	8.9%	10.9%	7.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 4	0 - 4
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 9
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 14
Quad 4	14 - 4	15 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf	Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	3	@ Houston	L	40-97	1%	0 - 1		-32.7	-18.1	-16.5
Nov 09, 2024	105	@ High Point	L	71-80	12%	0 - 2		-2.6	-4.3	+1.8
Nov 12, 2024	41	@ Xavier	L	57-94	4%	0 - 3		-22.6	-9.9	-11.3
Nov 16, 2024	48	@ Vanderbilt	L	81-94	4%	0 - 4		+0.5	+10.6	-9.5
Nov 20, 2024	135	@ Western Kentucky	L	62-79	15%	0 - 5		-12.5	-8.2	-3.6
Nov 22, 2024	15	@ Kentucky	L	59-108	2%	0 - 6		-29.7	-17.3	-5.4
Nov 24, 2024	91	@ Lipscomb	L	53-77	8%	0 - 7		-15.1	-15.0	-0.4
Dec 02, 2024	102	@ Saint Louis	L	66-74	11%	0 - 8		-1.2	-0.9	-0.8
Dec 05, 2024	100	@ Arkansas St.	L	64-66	10%	0 - 9		+5.5	-8.1	+13.7
Dec 08, 2024	4	@ Iowa St.	L	58-100	1%	0 - 10		-18.8	-6.1	-10.1
Dec 20, 2024	131	@ UTEP	L	61-67	15%	0 - 11		-1.4	-7.2	+5.7
Dec 21, 2024	124	Akron	L	50-68	20%	0 - 12		-15.5	-23.1	+8.0
Dec 28, 2024	172	@ California Baptist	L	73-79	20%	0 - 13		-3.7	-6.3	+3.2
Jan 04, 2025	332	@ Alcorn St.	W	72-69	57%	1 - 13	1 - 0	-5.2	+1.4	-6.4
Jan 11, 2025	299	Alabama St.	W	77-70	65%	2 - 13	2 - 0	-3.5	-2.3	-1.2
Jan 13, 2025	358	Alabama A&M	W	103-93 3OT	84%	3 - 13	3 - 0	-7.3	-7.9	-2.6
Jan 18, 2025	330	@ Prairie View	W	79-70	55%	4 - 13	4 - 0	+1.1	+0.0	+1.0
Jan 20, 2025	300	@ Texas Southern	L	69-71	43%
Jan 25, 2025	255	Bethune-Cookman	W	69-67	56%
Jan 27, 2025	360	Florida A&M	W	75-64	85%
Feb 01, 2025	325	@ Grambling St.	W	67-66	51%
Feb 03, 2025	219	@ Southern	L	65-71	27%
Feb 08, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	77-56	98%
Feb 10, 2025	363	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	86-71	91%
Feb 15, 2025	360	@ Florida A&M	W	72-67	68%
Feb 17, 2025	255	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	66-70	35%
Feb 22, 2025	332	Alcorn St.	W	71-64	76%
Mar 01, 2025	300	Texas Southern	W	72-68	65%
Mar 03, 2025	330	Prairie View	W	79-72	74%
Mar 06, 2025	363	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	83-74	80%
Mar 08, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	74-58	93%
Projected Record						13 - 18	13 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0	Total
1st													0.0	1.2	5.8	9.8	7.9	2.9	0.5	28.0	1st
2nd												0.1	2.5	10.7	12.8	6.3	1.5	0.1		34.1	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.9	7.8	7.6	2.1	0.1				19.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.9	3.6	4.6	0.9	0.0					10.0	4th
5th								0.0		0.3	1.6	2.8	0.5	0.0						5.2	5th
6th									0.1	0.7	1.1	0.2	0.0							2.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.1									0.9	7th
8th								0.0	0.1	0.1										0.2	8th
9th							0.0		0.0	0.0										0.0	9th
10th																					10th
11th																					11th
12th																					12th

Total							0.0	0.1	0.5	1.6	3.7	8.5	15.5	20.5	20.7	16.2	9.3	3.0	0.5		Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5	0.5
17-1	96.6%	2.9	2.6	0.3
16-2	84.3%	7.9	6.1	1.7
15-3	60.5%	9.8	5.2	4.1	0.5	0.0
14-4	27.9%	5.8	1.7	2.8	1.1	0.2	0.0
13-5	5.7%	1.2	0.1	0.5	0.4	0.2
12-6	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	28.0%	28.0	16.2	9.4	2.0	0.4	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%	33.3%	33.3%		14.5													0.0	0.0	0.1		0.3
17-1	3.0%	27.8%	27.8%		15.8															0.1	0.7	2.1
16-2	9.3%	25.6%	25.6%		15.9															0.1	2.3	6.9
15-3	16.2%	20.7%	20.7%		16.0															0.1	3.3	12.9
14-4	20.7%	16.9%	16.9%		16.0																3.5	17.2
13-5	20.5%	12.7%	12.7%		16.0																2.6	17.9
12-6	15.5%	8.9%	8.9%		16.0																1.4	14.1
11-7	8.5%	8.1%	8.1%		16.0																0.7	7.9
10-8	3.7%	7.3%	7.3%		16.0																0.3	3.5
9-9	1.6%	2.5%	2.5%		16.0																0.0	1.6
8-10	0.5%	2.1%	2.1%		16.0																0.0	0.5
7-11	0.1%																					0.1
6-12	0.0%																					0.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18

Total	100%	15.2%	15.2%	0.0%	16.0													0.0	0.0	0.4	14.7	84.8	0.0%