Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#271
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#277
Pace70.9#105
Improvement+2.6#79

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#288
First Shot-4.7#304
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#153
Layup/Dunks-3.8#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#247
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement+4.1#27

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#219
First Shot-1.4#222
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#207
Layups/Dunks+1.3#121
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#345
Freethrows+2.4#37
Improvement-1.5#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 19.2% 15.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 7.6% 10.6% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 6.8% 9.1% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four17.4% 18.3% 15.1%
First Round10.0% 10.7% 8.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 71.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 40 - 10
Quad 30 - 40 - 14
Quad 414 - 514 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 3   @ Houston L 40-97 1%     0 - 1 -32.0 -19.3 -14.7
  Nov 09, 2024 96   @ High Point L 71-80 11%     0 - 2 -1.4 -3.5 +2.2
  Nov 12, 2024 42   @ Xavier L 57-94 4%     0 - 3 -22.5 -10.5 -10.6
  Nov 16, 2024 53   @ Vanderbilt L 81-94 5%     0 - 4 +0.2 +9.5 -8.8
  Nov 20, 2024 135   @ Western Kentucky L 62-79 18%     0 - 5 -13.1 -9.8 -2.6
  Nov 22, 2024 17   @ Kentucky L 59-108 2%     0 - 6 -29.5 -16.9 -5.6
  Nov 24, 2024 101   @ Lipscomb L 53-77 12%     0 - 7 -17.0 -15.7 -1.6
  Dec 02, 2024 109   @ Saint Louis L 66-74 14%     0 - 8 -2.1 +0.2 -2.8
  Dec 05, 2024 97   @ Arkansas St. L 64-66 11%     0 - 9 +5.5 -6.9 +12.5
  Dec 08, 2024 9   @ Iowa St. L 58-100 1%     0 - 10 -20.8 -6.9 -11.3
  Dec 20, 2024 139   @ UTEP L 61-67 19%     0 - 11 -2.3 -7.5 +5.1
  Dec 21, 2024 102   Akron L 50-68 17%     0 - 12 -13.7 -22.3 +9.0
  Dec 28, 2024 158   @ California Baptist L 73-79 21%     0 - 13 -3.2 -5.5 +2.9
  Jan 04, 2025 307   @ Alcorn St. W 72-69 51%     1 - 13 1 - 0 -2.9 +2.9 -5.5
  Jan 11, 2025 311   Alabama St. W 77-70 70%     2 - 13 2 - 0 -4.3 -1.6 -2.7
  Jan 13, 2025 359   Alabama A&M W 103-93 3OT 86%     3 - 13 3 - 0 -7.2 -8.4 -1.8
  Jan 18, 2025 356   @ Prairie View W 79-70 70%     4 - 13 4 - 0 -2.2 -0.7 -1.7
  Jan 20, 2025 296   @ Texas Southern L 73-81 47%     4 - 14 4 - 1 -13.0 +0.3 -13.1
  Jan 25, 2025 293   Bethune-Cookman W 86-81 66%     5 - 14 5 - 1 -4.9 +7.6 -12.6
  Jan 27, 2025 321   Florida A&M L 62-72 73%     5 - 15 5 - 2 -22.0 -18.9 -2.8
  Feb 01, 2025 327   @ Grambling St. W 65-50 57%     6 - 15 6 - 2 +7.4 -0.9 +10.1
  Feb 03, 2025 224   @ Southern L 89-91 OT 32%     6 - 16 6 - 3 -2.8 +7.1 -9.6
  Feb 08, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 92-44 98%     7 - 16 7 - 3 +17.1 +16.9 +6.3
  Feb 10, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94-78 93%     8 - 16 8 - 3 -6.3 +9.4 -15.7
  Feb 15, 2025 321   @ Florida A&M L 71-76 54%     8 - 17 8 - 4 -11.9 -2.5 -9.6
  Feb 17, 2025 293   @ Bethune-Cookman W 84-71 46%     9 - 17 9 - 4 +8.2 +9.8 -1.7
  Feb 22, 2025 307   Alcorn St. W 72-67 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 296   Texas Southern W 73-69 67%    
  Mar 03, 2025 356   Prairie View W 82-71 85%    
  Mar 06, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-73 85%    
  Mar 08, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 78-58 97%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1.1 5.7 6.8 1st
2nd 0.1 9.0 37.8 29.2 76.1 2nd
3rd 0.8 9.2 1.0 10.9 3rd
4th 1.9 2.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 0.1 1.7 5th
6th 0.2 0.4 0.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.4 4.6 20.3 39.9 34.9 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 16.4% 5.7    0.8 4.8 0.1
13-5 2.7% 1.1    0.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 6.8% 6.8 0.8 5.3 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 34.9% 21.7% 21.7% 16.0 0.0 7.6 27.3
13-5 39.9% 18.1% 18.1% 16.0 7.2 32.7
12-6 20.3% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 2.7 17.6
11-7 4.6% 12.1% 12.1% 16.0 0.6 4.0
10-8 0.4% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.1% 18.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.1 81.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.6% 100.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.1%