IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.2	#311
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.3	#271

Pace	71.3	#113
Improvement	+1.9	#61

Offense
Total Offense	-6.4	#337

First Shot	-6.4	#338
After Offensive Rebound	+0.0	#182

Layup/Dunks	-3.6	#303
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.5	#94
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.0	#233
Freethrows	-2.3	#306

Improvement	-0.2	#194

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#229

First Shot	-3.0	#276
After Offensive Rebounds	+1.2	#90

Layups/Dunks	+1.9	#107
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.4	#164
3 Pt Jumpshots	-9.6	#360
Freethrows	+4.4	#3

Improvement	+2.2	#34

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.6%	12.0%	8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	9.8%	23.4%	8.0%
.500 or above in Conference	81.2%	88.5%	80.3%
Conference Champion	11.0%	16.4%	10.4%
Last Place in Conference	0.5%	0.2%	0.5%

First Four	7.5%	9.2%	7.3%
First Round	4.7%	7.0%	4.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UTEP (Away) - 11.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 9
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 13
Quad 4	11 - 7	12 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	6	@ Houston	L	40-97	1%	0 - 1			-35.0	-19.5	-17.4
Nov 09, 2024	134	@ High Point	L	71-80	12%	0 - 2			-4.6	-3.8	-0.7
Nov 12, 2024	53	@ Xavier	L	57-94	4%	0 - 3			-24.0	-11.2	-11.4
Nov 16, 2024	57	@ Vanderbilt	L	81-94	4%	0 - 4			-0.6	+9.3	-9.3
Nov 20, 2024	106	@ Western Kentucky	L	62-79	8%	0 - 5			-9.7	-7.1	-1.8
Nov 22, 2024	11	@ Kentucky	L	59-108	1%	0 - 6			-28.6	-15.1	-6.6
Nov 24, 2024	107	@ Lipscomb	L	53-77	8%	0 - 7			-16.8	-15.3	-1.8
Dec 02, 2024	135	@ Saint Louis	L	66-74	12%	0 - 8			-3.6	-4.1	+0.0
Dec 05, 2024	111	@ Arkansas St.	L	64-66	9%	0 - 9			+4.7	-7.0	+11.8
Dec 08, 2024	5	@ Iowa St.	L	58-100	1%	0 - 10			-19.5	-8.5	-8.5
Dec 20, 2024	132	@ UTEP	L	65-78	11%
Dec 28, 2024	175	@ California Baptist	L	66-76	17%
Jan 04, 2025	343	@ Alcorn St.	W	71-70	51%
Jan 11, 2025	275	Alabama St.	W	74-73	53%
Jan 13, 2025	361	Alabama A&M	W	78-68	81%
Jan 18, 2025	340	@ Prairie View	L	79-80	50%
Jan 20, 2025	300	@ Texas Southern	L	70-74	36%
Jan 25, 2025	289	Bethune-Cookman	W	71-69	56%
Jan 27, 2025	355	Florida A&M	W	73-65	76%
Feb 01, 2025	287	@ Grambling St.	L	66-71	34%
Feb 03, 2025	223	@ Southern	L	65-73	24%
Feb 08, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	74-58	93%
Feb 10, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	85-73	86%
Feb 15, 2025	355	@ Florida A&M	W	70-68	56%
Feb 17, 2025	289	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	68-72	35%
Feb 22, 2025	343	Alcorn St.	W	73-67	71%
Mar 01, 2025	300	Texas Southern	W	73-71	58%
Mar 03, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	82-76	70%
Mar 06, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	82-76	71%
Mar 08, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	71-61	81%
Projected Record						11 - 19	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.8	3.3	3.2	1.8	0.6	0.1		11.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	3.3	5.8	3.8	1.1	0.1	0.0			14.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	3.7	6.7	3.5	0.6	0.0					15.0	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.9	6.9	3.5	0.4	0.0						13.9	4th
5th									0.1	2.1	6.2	3.6	0.4	0.0							12.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.3	4.9	3.8	0.6	0.0								10.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.8	3.5	3.5	0.6	0.0									8.5	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	2.3	2.8	0.8	0.0										6.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	1.4	1.9	0.6	0.0											4.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.4	0.0												2.2	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0													0.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.2	12th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.3	3.0	5.4	8.3	11.5	14.0	15.3	14.2	11.5	7.7	4.4	1.9	0.6	0.1			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	98.6%	0.6		0.6	0.0
16-2	92.8%	1.8		1.5	0.3	0.0
15-3	73.3%	3.2		2.1	1.0	0.1
14-4	42.9%	3.3		1.3	1.5	0.5	0.0	0.0
13-5	15.5%	1.8		0.3	0.8	0.5	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.2%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	11.0%	11.0		5.9	3.7	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		30.4%	30.4%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	0.6%		32.8%	32.8%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4
16-2	1.9%		26.1%	26.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	1.4
15-3	4.4%		22.0%	22.0%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.9	3.4
14-4	7.7%		17.8%	17.8%		16.0																0.0	1.3	6.4
13-5	11.5%		13.5%	13.5%		16.0																0.0	1.5	9.9
12-6	14.2%		9.8%	9.8%		16.0																	1.4	12.8
11-7	15.3%		7.8%	7.8%		16.0																	1.2	14.2
10-8	14.0%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																	0.8	13.2
9-9	11.5%		3.8%	3.8%		16.0																	0.4	11.1
8-10	8.3%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	8.2
7-11	5.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
6-12	3.0%																							3.0
5-13	1.3%																							1.3
4-14	0.5%																							0.5
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		8.6%	8.6%	0.0%	16.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	8.3	91.4		0.0%