IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.3	#343
Expected Predictive Rating	-10.2	#323

Pace	66.6	#245
Improvement	+5.3	#6

Offense
Total Offense	-5.4	#327

First Shot	-5.1	#319
After Offensive Rebound	-0.3	#202

Layup/Dunks	-4.2	#316
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.6	#26
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.8	#299
Freethrows	-0.7	#222

Improvement	+2.1	#36

Defense
Total Defense	-5.9	#344

First Shot	-4.5	#317
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.4	#291

Layups/Dunks	+2.0	#103
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.8	#14
3 Pt Jumpshots	-10.1	#362
Freethrows	+0.9	#124

Improvement	+3.2	#8

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.1%	4.4%	2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	1.3%	5.2%	1.1%
.500 or above in Conference	55.2%	67.3%	54.3%
Conference Champion	2.8%	4.3%	2.7%
Last Place in Conference	2.5%	1.4%	2.5%

First Four	3.0%	4.1%	2.9%
First Round	1.3%	2.1%	1.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 7.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 9	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	66	@ Utah	L	59-100	3%	0 - 1			-29.6	-4.5	-27.6
Nov 06, 2024	47	@ Utah St.	L	46-101	2%	0 - 2			-41.3	-20.5	-20.8
Nov 11, 2024	203	@ Tulane	L	51-84	13%	0 - 3			-32.1	-17.1	-17.8
Nov 19, 2024	86	@ TCU	L	48-71	4%	0 - 4			-13.7	-13.7	-1.6
Nov 22, 2024	96	@ Washington	L	60-77	4%	0 - 5			-8.4	-2.0	-7.9
Nov 24, 2024	177	@ UC Riverside	L	52-69	11%	0 - 6			-14.9	-17.1	+1.4
Nov 29, 2024	201	@ South Alabama	L	65-74 OT	12%	0 - 7			-7.8	-2.3	-6.2
Dec 01, 2024	19	@ Maryland	L	58-96	1%	0 - 8			-20.6	-7.7	-11.5
Dec 04, 2024	100	@ Wichita St.	L	54-78	5%	0 - 9			-16.0	-14.4	-1.5
Dec 07, 2024	37	@ Oklahoma	L	78-94	2%	0 - 10			-1.1	+9.6	-10.1
Dec 16, 2024	197	@ Rice	L	75-77	12%	0 - 11			-0.7	+1.8	-2.5
Dec 22, 2024	137	@ UAB	L	69-85	7%
Jan 04, 2025	311	Jackson St.	L	70-71	49%
Jan 11, 2025	361	Alabama A&M	W	76-70	73%
Jan 13, 2025	275	Alabama St.	L	73-75	41%
Jan 18, 2025	300	@ Texas Southern	L	68-75	26%
Jan 20, 2025	340	@ Prairie View	L	77-80	39%
Jan 25, 2025	355	Florida A&M	W	72-67	67%
Jan 27, 2025	289	Bethune-Cookman	L	69-71	45%
Feb 01, 2025	223	@ Southern	L	63-74	16%
Feb 03, 2025	287	@ Grambling St.	L	65-73	25%
Feb 08, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	84-75	79%
Feb 10, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	72-59	88%
Feb 15, 2025	289	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	66-74	25%
Feb 17, 2025	355	@ Florida A&M	L	69-70	45%
Feb 22, 2025	311	@ Jackson St.	L	67-73	29%
Mar 01, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	80-77	60%
Mar 03, 2025	300	Texas Southern	L	71-72	47%
Mar 06, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	69-62	73%
Mar 08, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-78	60%
Projected Record						9 - 21	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1			2.8	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.8	2.2	1.0	0.2	0.0				5.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.5	3.4	1.3	0.1	0.0					7.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.8	5.0	1.9	0.2	0.0						10.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.4	6.0	2.9	0.3	0.0							11.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	2.0	6.2	4.0	0.5	0.0								12.8	6th
7th							0.1	1.8	6.1	4.9	0.8	0.0									13.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.6	5.3	4.9	1.0	0.0										13.0	8th
9th					0.1	1.2	4.0	4.1	1.1	0.1											10.7	9th
10th				0.1	0.9	2.7	2.6	0.8	0.0												7.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.2	0.3	0.0													3.6	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0														1.1	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.1	2.7	5.3	8.7	12.2	14.4	14.9	13.9	11.2	7.5	4.5	2.2	0.8	0.2	0.1				Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
16-2	95.8%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	76.0%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	46.0%	1.0		0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	16.1%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.1%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.8%	2.8		1.2	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.1%		32.0%	32.0%		15.6																0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.2%		18.3%	18.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.2
15-3	0.8%		15.6%	15.6%		16.0																	0.1	0.7
14-4	2.2%		12.0%	12.0%		16.0																	0.3	1.9
13-5	4.5%		9.3%	9.3%		16.0																	0.4	4.0
12-6	7.5%		6.4%	6.4%		16.0																	0.5	7.0
11-7	11.2%		5.2%	5.2%		16.0																	0.6	10.6
10-8	13.9%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.5	13.4
9-9	14.9%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.4	14.5
8-10	14.4%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.2	14.2
7-11	12.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
6-12	8.7%																							8.7
5-13	5.3%																							5.3
4-14	2.7%																							2.7
3-15	1.1%																							1.1
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.1%	3.1%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	3.0	96.9		0.0%