IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Washington
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+5.6	#96
Expected Predictive Rating	+7.7	#83

Pace	71.3	#111
Improvement	-0.1	#197

Offense
Total Offense	+1.4	#133

First Shot	-0.4	#178
After Offensive Rebound	+1.8	#87

Layup/Dunks	+2.3	#101
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.6	#129
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.5	#316
Freethrows	+1.3	#98

Improvement	+2.1	#38

Defense
Total Defense	+4.1	#74

First Shot	+3.7	#74
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.4	#155

Layups/Dunks	+4.0	#54
2 Pt Jumpshots	-4.5	#351
3 Pt Jumpshots	+3.6	#48
Freethrows	+0.6	#150

Improvement	-2.2	#324

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.7%	8.1%	3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	5.6%	7.9%	3.0%
Average Seed	9.5	9.4	9.7

.500 or above	32.3%	44.3%	19.1%
.500 or above in Conference	5.6%	7.2%	3.9%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	32.9%	28.7%	37.5%

First Four	1.7%	2.3%	1.0%
First Round	4.8%	6.8%	2.5%
Second Round	2.0%	2.9%	1.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Home) - 52.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	1 - 5	2 - 11
Quad 2	4 - 4	6 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 1	9 - 17
Quad 4	5 - 0	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	184	UC Davis	W	79-73	82%	1 - 0			+1.8	-4.0	+4.9
Nov 09, 2024	54	@ Nevada	L	53-63	24%	1 - 1			+2.9	-10.5	+12.7
Nov 17, 2024	151	Umass Lowell	W	74-69	78%	2 - 1			+2.4	-2.4	+4.8
Nov 22, 2024	343	Alcorn St.	W	77-60	96%	3 - 1			+2.7	+3.4	+0.8
Nov 28, 2024	108	Colorado St.	W	73-67	56%	4 - 1			+10.1	+4.5	+5.6
Nov 29, 2024	78	Santa Clara	W	76-69	44%	5 - 1			+14.1	+8.5	+5.8
Dec 03, 2024	17	@ UCLA	L	58-69	13%	5 - 2	0 - 1		+7.0	+2.6	+3.5
Dec 07, 2024	80	USC	L	61-85	57%	5 - 3	0 - 2		-20.1	-8.7	-11.8
Dec 10, 2024	251	Eastern Washington	W	87-69	89%	6 - 3			+9.9	+6.4	+3.4
Dec 18, 2024	68	Washington St.	W	75-74	52%
Dec 23, 2024	140	Seattle	W	75-68	75%
Dec 29, 2024	351	NJIT	W	78-57	98%
Jan 02, 2025	19	Maryland	L	71-77	30%
Jan 05, 2025	16	Illinois	L	73-79	27%
Jan 09, 2025	14	@ Michigan St.	L	65-78	12%
Jan 12, 2025	20	@ Michigan	L	67-79	14%
Jan 15, 2025	22	Purdue	L	70-76	30%
Jan 21, 2025	23	@ Oregon	L	67-78	15%
Jan 24, 2025	17	UCLA	L	63-69	28%
Feb 01, 2025	114	@ Minnesota	L	65-66	47%
Feb 05, 2025	52	Nebraska	L	72-74	44%
Feb 08, 2025	59	Northwestern	L	66-67	48%
Feb 12, 2025	39	@ Ohio St.	L	68-77	20%
Feb 15, 2025	31	@ Penn St.	L	71-81	18%
Feb 19, 2025	62	Rutgers	L	74-75	49%
Feb 22, 2025	43	@ Iowa	L	76-84	22%
Feb 25, 2025	35	@ Wisconsin	L	70-80	19%
Mar 01, 2025	46	Indiana	L	75-77	42%
Mar 05, 2025	80	@ USC	L	70-74	35%
Mar 09, 2025	23	Oregon	L	70-75	31%
Projected Record						14 - 16	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd														0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1	2nd
3rd													0.1	0.1	0.0								0.2	3rd
4th												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.3	4th
5th											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0								0.4	5th
6th											0.0	0.4	0.2	0.0									0.6	6th
7th										0.0	0.3	0.6	0.1										1.0	7th
8th										0.1	0.8	0.3	0.0										1.3	8th
9th									0.0	0.5	1.0	0.1											1.6	9th
10th								0.0	0.2	1.4	0.6	0.0											2.3	10th
11th								0.1	1.2	1.7	0.2												3.1	11th
12th							0.0	0.7	2.4	1.0	0.0												4.2	12th
13th						0.0	0.4	2.6	2.6	0.3	0.0												5.9	13th
14th					0.0	0.3	2.2	4.0	1.3	0.0													7.9	14th
15th				0.0	0.3	2.3	5.2	2.9	0.3														10.9	15th
16th			0.0	0.5	3.0	6.4	4.7	1.0	0.0													15.6	16th
17th		0.2	1.7	5.4	8.4	6.0	1.5	0.1	0.0													23.3	17th
18th	1.0	3.5	6.1	6.0	3.8	1.0	0.1	0.0														21.4	18th

Total	1.0	3.7	7.9	11.9	15.5	15.8	14.1	11.4	8.1	5.1	3.0	1.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	100.0%	0.0			0.0
15-5	36.4%	0.0			0.0
14-6	16.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.8%	0.0				0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	0.0%								0.0		0.0
15-5	0.0%									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	0.1%		100.0%	3.7%	96.3%	6.2				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-7	0.3%		99.2%	4.6%	94.7%	7.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.2%
12-8	0.7%		91.2%	2.4%	88.8%	8.1					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0						0.1		90.9%
11-9	1.5%		81.0%	1.6%	79.5%	9.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0					0.3		80.7%
10-10	3.0%		58.0%	0.9%	57.0%	9.7						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.0					1.3		57.6%
9-11	5.1%		23.3%	0.5%	22.8%	10.5							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.1					3.9		22.9%
8-12	8.1%		5.5%	0.1%	5.4%	11.0									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.1					7.6		5.4%
7-13	11.4%		0.7%	0.1%	0.5%	11.1											0.0	0.1	0.0					11.3		0.5%
6-14	14.1%		0.0%	0.0%		11.0												0.0						14.1
5-15	15.8%																							15.8
4-16	15.5%																							15.5
3-17	11.9%																							11.9
2-18	7.9%																							7.9
1-19	3.7%																							3.7
0-20	1.0%																							1.0

Total	100%		5.7%	0.1%	5.6%	9.5			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.7	1.1	1.3	1.7	0.2					94.3		5.6%