IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Wisconsin
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.1	#38
Expected Predictive Rating	+7.4	#70

Pace	64.2	#323
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+6.4	#33

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+4.7	#56

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
#1 Seed	1.2%	2.1%	0.7%
Top 2 Seed	3.7%	6.4%	2.0%
Top 4 Seed	12.2%	19.1%	8.1%
Top 6 Seed	24.3%	35.4%	17.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	55.4%	69.2%	47.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	53.3%	67.1%	45.3%
Average Seed	6.8	6.4	7.3

.500 or above	79.1%	90.5%	72.3%
.500 or above in Conference	57.0%	65.7%	51.8%
Conference Champion	5.8%	8.2%	4.3%
Last Place in Conference	4.9%	3.0%	6.0%

First Four	4.7%	4.3%	4.9%
First Round	53.0%	67.2%	44.5%
Second Round	32.9%	43.6%	26.5%
Sweet Sixteen	14.1%	20.0%	10.5%
Elite Eight	5.7%	8.8%	3.8%
Final Four	2.2%	3.5%	1.5%
Championship Game	1.0%	1.5%	0.6%
National Champion	0.4%	0.6%	0.2%

Next Game: Arizona (Home) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 5	2 - 5
Quad 1b	3 - 4	5 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 3	10 - 12
Quad 3	3 - 1	13 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 0	19 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	343	Holy Cross	W	85-61	98%	1 - 0			+9.4	+7.4	+3.1
Nov 07, 2024	165	Montana St.	W	79-67	90%	2 - 0			+9.0	+9.2	+0.6
Nov 10, 2024	203	Appalachian St.	W	87-56	93%	3 - 0			+25.6	+14.0	+11.9
Nov 15, 2024	8	Arizona	L	74-77	37%
Nov 18, 2024	269	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	85-65	97%
Nov 22, 2024	66	Central Florida	W	72-69	60%
Nov 30, 2024	342	Chicago St.	W	84-59	99%
Dec 03, 2024	25	Michigan	W	71-70	55%
Dec 07, 2024	29	@ Marquette	L	69-73	34%
Dec 10, 2024	20	@ Illinois	L	70-75	32%
Dec 14, 2024	93	Butler	W	74-68	69%
Dec 22, 2024	341	Detroit Mercy	W	83-58	99%
Jan 03, 2025	45	Iowa	W	80-76	64%
Jan 06, 2025	37	@ Rutgers	L	67-70	39%
Jan 10, 2025	88	Minnesota	W	72-64	76%
Jan 14, 2025	17	Ohio St.	W	69-68	50%
Jan 18, 2025	65	@ USC	L	72-73	48%
Jan 21, 2025	30	@ UCLA	L	63-67	36%
Jan 26, 2025	67	Nebraska	W	72-66	70%
Jan 29, 2025	31	@ Maryland	L	65-69	36%
Feb 01, 2025	50	@ Northwestern	L	66-68	44%
Feb 04, 2025	24	Indiana	W	71-70	54%
Feb 08, 2025	45	@ Iowa	L	77-79	43%
Feb 15, 2025	15	@ Purdue	L	68-74	29%
Feb 18, 2025	20	Illinois	W	73-72	53%
Feb 22, 2025	39	Oregon	W	71-68	61%
Feb 25, 2025	79	Washington	W	75-68	72%
Mar 02, 2025	27	@ Michigan St.	L	67-72	35%
Mar 05, 2025	88	@ Minnesota	W	69-67	57%
Mar 08, 2025	36	Penn St.	W	76-73	59%
Projected Record						18 - 12	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.5	1.4	1.6	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0		5.8	1st
2nd													0.1	0.7	2.1	2.1	1.0	0.2	0.0				6.3	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.5	2.2	2.3	0.9	0.1	0.0					6.1	3rd
4th												0.1	1.8	3.1	1.2	0.1	0.0						6.4	4th
5th											0.0	1.0	3.4	1.9	0.2	0.0							6.5	5th
6th										0.0	0.3	2.7	2.9	0.5	0.0								6.4	6th
7th										0.0	1.4	3.7	1.2	0.0									6.3	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	3.3	2.5	0.2	0.0									6.4	8th
9th									0.0	1.6	3.7	0.8	0.0										6.2	9th
10th								0.0	0.5	3.4	2.1	0.1											6.1	10th
11th								0.1	1.8	3.6	0.6												6.1	11th
12th							0.0	0.8	3.3	1.7	0.1												5.9	12th
13th						0.0	0.3	2.0	2.5	0.4	0.0												5.3	13th
14th					0.0	0.1	1.1	2.6	1.0	0.0													4.9	14th
15th				0.0	0.1	0.7	2.2	1.7	0.2	0.0													4.8	15th
16th				0.1	0.5	1.6	1.9	0.5	0.0													4.5	16th
17th		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.4	0.6	0.0	0.0													3.7	17th
18th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.1															2.5	18th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.3	2.5	4.1	6.0	7.8	9.4	11.3	11.5	10.8	10.0	8.5	6.3	4.6	2.8	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	96.9%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
17-3	84.9%	1.4		1.1	0.3	0.0
16-4	58.9%	1.6		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0
15-5	30.5%	1.4		0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	7.4%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0
13-7	0.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.8%	5.8		3.1	1.8	0.7	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0	0.0
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	20.0%	80.0%	1.4		0.1	0.1	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.6%		100.0%	35.2%	64.8%	1.8		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.6%		100.0%	26.7%	73.3%	2.3		0.4	0.6	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	2.8%		100.0%	19.7%	80.3%	3.1		0.2	0.7	0.9	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0											100.0%
15-5	4.6%		99.9%	18.3%	81.6%	4.0		0.2	0.5	1.1	1.3	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.9%
14-6	6.3%		99.6%	12.9%	86.7%	5.0		0.0	0.2	0.8	1.4	1.4	1.3	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.6%
13-7	8.5%		98.2%	7.7%	90.6%	6.2		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.9	1.6	2.0	1.8	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0						0.2		98.1%
12-8	10.0%		94.7%	4.9%	89.7%	7.3			0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.6	2.0	2.2	1.3	0.7	0.2	0.0					0.5		94.4%
11-9	10.8%		84.1%	2.4%	81.7%	8.4				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.4	2.1	2.0	1.4	0.8	0.1					1.7		83.7%
10-10	11.5%		64.5%	1.3%	63.2%	9.2					0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.2	1.7	1.7	1.5	0.3	0.0				4.1		64.0%
9-11	11.3%		34.1%	0.6%	33.5%	10.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.9	1.5	0.3	0.0				7.4		33.7%
8-12	9.4%		10.7%	0.1%	10.6%	10.8									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.2					8.4		10.6%
7-13	7.8%		1.1%		1.1%	11.2										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				7.7		1.1%
6-14	6.0%		0.1%	0.1%		10.0											0.0							6.0
5-15	4.1%																							4.1
4-16	2.5%																							2.5
3-17	1.3%																							1.3
2-18	0.5%																							0.5
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		55.4%	4.5%	50.9%	6.8		1.2	2.5	3.8	4.8	5.6	6.5	6.9	7.3	6.2	5.0	4.7	0.9	0.0				44.6		53.3%