Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#52
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#46
Pace70.6#122
Improvement-0.6#209

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#58
First Shot+6.9#31
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#304
Layup/Dunks+2.9#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#141
Freethrows+3.4#27
Improvement+1.8#82

Defense
Total Defense+5.8#43
First Shot+5.5#37
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks+13.5#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#354
Freethrows+1.4#87
Improvement-2.4#303
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 3.7% 4.9% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.1% 47.9% 27.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.7% 47.5% 27.5%
Average Seed 8.9 8.8 9.2
.500 or above 88.4% 93.4% 78.8%
.500 or above in Conference 21.5% 28.0% 8.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.7% 3.3% 10.4%
First Four8.6% 9.2% 7.5%
First Round36.6% 43.2% 23.8%
Second Round16.9% 20.3% 10.4%
Sweet Sixteen3.8% 4.8% 1.9%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.7% 0.5%
Final Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Home) - 66.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 11
Quad 24 - 29 - 13
Quad 33 - 112 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 247   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-67 94%     1 - 0 +12.5 +2.8 +8.0
  Nov 09, 2024 255   Bethune-Cookman W 63-58 95%     2 - 0 -3.1 -12.8 +9.5
  Nov 13, 2024 328   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-60 98%     3 - 0 +12.8 +2.8 +9.3
  Nov 17, 2024 35   St. Mary's L 74-77 42%     3 - 1 +9.6 +13.7 -4.3
  Nov 22, 2024 33   @ Creighton W 74-63 31%     4 - 1 +26.7 +7.3 +19.1
  Nov 27, 2024 268   South Dakota W 96-79 95%     5 - 1 +8.2 +5.9 +1.0
  Dec 01, 2024 245   North Florida W 103-72 94%     6 - 1 +23.6 +11.5 +9.2
  Dec 07, 2024 12   @ Michigan St. L 52-89 19%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -17.1 -11.3 -5.4
  Dec 13, 2024 56   Indiana W 85-68 63%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +24.2 +17.9 +6.6
  Dec 22, 2024 142   Murray St. W 66-49 80%     8 - 2 +18.5 -1.5 +21.1
  Dec 23, 2024 181   @ Hawaii W 69-55 79%     9 - 2 +15.9 +6.1 +11.5
  Dec 25, 2024 70   Oregon St. W 78-66 60%     10 - 2 +19.9 +15.0 +6.0
  Dec 30, 2024 219   Southern W 77-43 93%     11 - 2 +28.0 +8.8 +21.0
  Jan 04, 2025 31   UCLA W 66-58 51%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +18.2 -0.4 +18.5
  Jan 07, 2025 50   @ Iowa L 87-97 OT 39%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +3.4 +4.3 +0.4
  Jan 12, 2025 10   @ Purdue L 68-104 18%     12 - 4 2 - 3 -15.6 +3.4 -18.7
  Jan 16, 2025 66   Rutgers L 82-85 68%     12 - 5 2 - 4 +2.7 +19.7 -17.3
  Jan 19, 2025 25   @ Maryland L 66-69 25%     12 - 6 2 - 5 +14.5 +4.6 +9.8
  Jan 22, 2025 61   USC W 76-72 66%    
  Jan 26, 2025 18   @ Wisconsin L 71-79 22%    
  Jan 30, 2025 9   Illinois L 75-80 31%    
  Feb 02, 2025 28   @ Oregon L 71-77 29%    
  Feb 05, 2025 95   @ Washington W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 08, 2025 36   Ohio St. W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 13, 2025 25   Maryland L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 16, 2025 55   @ Northwestern L 67-69 41%    
  Feb 19, 2025 51   @ Penn St. L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 24, 2025 11   Michigan L 75-79 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 98   Minnesota W 72-64 79%    
  Mar 04, 2025 36   @ Ohio St. L 70-75 32%    
  Mar 09, 2025 50   Iowa W 84-81 61%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 0.9 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 2.4 0.2 4.6 7th
8th 0.9 3.9 1.2 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.2 3.7 3.9 0.2 7.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.0 1.5 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.2 4.6 4.3 0.3 9.4 11th
12th 1.6 6.8 1.6 0.0 10.0 12th
13th 0.4 4.8 5.0 0.3 10.5 13th
14th 0.1 2.1 6.5 1.5 0.0 10.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.9 5.0 3.8 0.1 9.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.7 0.6 0.0 9.3 16th
17th 0.2 1.4 2.8 0.8 0.0 5.3 17th
18th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.0 2.3 18th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.0 7.7 13.1 17.6 19.4 16.8 11.9 6.1 2.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 100.0% 4.7% 95.3% 5.9 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
12-8 2.7% 99.6% 3.4% 96.3% 6.5 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-9 6.1% 98.2% 1.8% 96.4% 7.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.2%
10-10 11.9% 92.3% 1.3% 91.0% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 3.3 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.9 92.2%
9-11 16.8% 74.1% 1.0% 73.2% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.4 4.4 2.5 0.0 4.4 73.9%
8-12 19.4% 34.6% 0.4% 34.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.7 3.9 0.4 12.7 34.4%
7-13 17.6% 7.8% 0.1% 7.7% 11.2 0.1 1.0 0.3 16.2 7.7%
6-14 13.1% 0.2% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 13.1 0.2%
5-15 7.7% 7.7
4-16 3.0% 3.0
3-17 0.8% 0.8
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 41.1% 0.7% 40.4% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 5.1 7.6 8.2 8.0 7.7 0.8 58.9 40.7%