IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.1	#67
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.7	#140

Pace	71.1	#126
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.4	#108

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.8	#34

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	1.1%	0.2%
Top 4 Seed	3.0%	5.2%	1.6%
Top 6 Seed	7.6%	12.3%	4.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid	28.0%	39.3%	20.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	26.9%	37.9%	19.7%
Average Seed	7.9	7.7	8.3

.500 or above	53.8%	68.6%	44.0%
.500 or above in Conference	30.6%	38.0%	25.7%
Conference Champion	1.5%	2.4%	0.8%
Last Place in Conference	14.7%	10.2%	17.8%

First Four	4.1%	4.9%	3.6%
First Round	25.8%	36.6%	18.7%
Second Round	13.4%	19.6%	9.3%
Sweet Sixteen	4.6%	7.0%	3.0%
Elite Eight	1.8%	2.8%	1.1%
Final Four	0.7%	1.1%	0.4%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Mary's (Neutral) - 39.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 4	4 - 10
Quad 2	4 - 3	7 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 1	10 - 15
Quad 4	5 - 0	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	269	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	87-67	93%	1 - 0			+11.3	+1.4	+8.3
Nov 09, 2024	291	Bethune-Cookman	W	63-58	94%	2 - 0			-4.8	-16.9	+11.8
Nov 13, 2024	348	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	86-60	98%	3 - 0			+10.5	+1.7	+8.0
Nov 17, 2024	40	St. Mary's	L	67-70	40%
Nov 22, 2024	16	@ Creighton	L	68-77	21%
Nov 27, 2024	252	South Dakota	W	83-67	92%
Dec 01, 2024	140	North Florida	W	81-71	82%
Dec 07, 2024	27	@ Michigan St.	L	67-75	25%
Dec 13, 2024	24	Indiana	L	71-73	44%
Dec 22, 2024	136	Murray St.	W	72-65	73%
Dec 30, 2024	273	Southern	W	79-62	94%
Jan 04, 2025	30	UCLA	L	65-66	45%
Jan 07, 2025	45	@ Iowa	L	77-82	33%
Jan 12, 2025	15	@ Purdue	L	68-77	21%
Jan 16, 2025	37	Rutgers	L	69-70	50%
Jan 19, 2025	31	@ Maryland	L	65-72	27%
Jan 22, 2025	65	USC	W	75-72	59%
Jan 26, 2025	38	@ Wisconsin	L	66-72	30%
Jan 30, 2025	20	Illinois	L	73-75	43%
Feb 02, 2025	39	@ Oregon	L	67-73	31%
Feb 05, 2025	79	@ Washington	L	72-74	42%
Feb 08, 2025	17	Ohio St.	L	68-71	40%
Feb 13, 2025	31	Maryland	L	68-69	46%
Feb 16, 2025	50	@ Northwestern	L	65-70	35%
Feb 19, 2025	36	@ Penn St.	L	72-78	30%
Feb 24, 2025	25	Michigan	L	71-73	44%
Mar 01, 2025	88	Minnesota	W	71-66	67%
Mar 04, 2025	17	@ Ohio St.	L	65-74	22%
Mar 09, 2025	45	Iowa	W	80-79	54%
Projected Record						15 - 14	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.3	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0					2.0	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.3	1.1	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0					2.5	3rd
4th												0.1	1.2	1.4	0.3	0.0	0.0						3.1	4th
5th											0.0	0.7	1.9	0.8	0.1	0.0							3.5	5th
6th											0.2	1.9	1.5	0.2	0.0								3.8	6th
7th										0.0	1.2	2.4	0.5	0.0									4.1	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	2.8	1.6	0.1										4.9	8th
9th									0.0	1.6	2.9	0.5	0.0										5.0	9th
10th								0.0	0.6	3.3	1.7	0.1											5.7	10th
11th							0.0	0.2	2.2	3.2	0.4	0.0											6.0	11th
12th							0.0	1.0	3.9	1.7	0.1												6.8	12th
13th						0.0	0.5	3.1	3.3	0.4													7.3	13th
14th					0.0	0.3	1.9	4.2	1.3	0.1													7.8	14th
15th				0.0	0.2	1.6	3.8	2.6	0.3														8.5	15th
16th			0.0	0.2	1.4	3.4	3.2	0.8	0.0													9.1	16th
17th		0.0	0.3	1.7	3.2	3.3	1.0	0.1														9.6	17th
18th	0.2	0.9	2.1	2.7	2.1	0.8	0.1	0.0														9.0	18th

Total	0.2	0.9	2.5	4.6	7.0	9.4	10.6	12.0	11.7	10.5	9.4	7.2	5.4	3.9	2.4	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	83.5%	0.2		0.2	0.1	0.0
16-4	65.1%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.0
15-5	35.1%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
14-6	9.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.0%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	1.5%	1.5		0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%								0.0	0.0
19-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	23.8%	76.2%	2.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	0.3%		100.0%	30.6%	69.4%	2.5		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	0.7%		100.0%	19.0%	81.0%	3.3		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	1.3%		99.7%	12.8%	86.9%	4.3		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.0		99.7%
14-6	2.4%		99.9%	11.6%	88.2%	5.4		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.8%
13-7	3.9%		98.0%	7.4%	90.7%	6.6			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.8	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0						0.1		97.9%
12-8	5.4%		91.9%	3.9%	88.1%	7.7				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.2	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0					0.4		91.6%
11-9	7.2%		77.4%	2.1%	75.3%	8.7				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.2	1.4	1.1	0.7	0.0	0.0				1.6		76.9%
10-10	9.4%		57.1%	1.1%	56.0%	9.6						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.1	1.3	1.5	0.2	0.0				4.0		56.6%
9-11	10.5%		25.5%	0.6%	25.0%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.6	1.3	0.3	0.0				7.9		25.1%
8-12	11.7%		7.0%	0.3%	6.8%	10.9									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	0.2					10.9		6.8%
7-13	12.0%		0.8%	0.2%	0.6%	10.9										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					11.9		0.6%
6-14	10.6%		0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	12.5													0.0	0.0				10.6		0.0%
5-15	9.4%																							9.4
4-16	7.0%																							7.0
3-17	4.6%																							4.6
2-18	2.5%																							2.5
1-19	0.9%																							0.9
0-20	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		28.0%	1.5%	26.5%	7.9		0.2	0.4	1.0	1.5	2.0	2.6	3.4	4.2	4.2	3.8	4.2	0.7	0.0				72.0		26.9%