Hawaii
Big West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#181
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#160
Pace65.3#258
Improvement-1.5#247

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#197
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#226
Layup/Dunks+3.5#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#317
Freethrows+1.4#92
Improvement-1.0#245

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#180
First Shot-0.4#192
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#153
Layups/Dunks-1.1#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#91
Freethrows-1.7#298
Improvement-0.6#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.0% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.2 13.6
.500 or above 81.3% 91.2% 71.7%
.500 or above in Conference 61.1% 76.1% 46.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.2% 3.0% 1.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Away) - 49.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 34 - 45 - 11
Quad 412 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 160   San Jose St. W 80-69 56%     1 - 0 +8.5 +13.1 -3.3
  Nov 11, 2024 302   Pacific W 76-66 82%     2 - 0 -0.6 -1.7 +1.3
  Nov 17, 2024 237   Weber St. W 73-68 OT 73%     3 - 0 -2.1 -6.0 +3.9
  Nov 22, 2024 26   North Carolina L 69-87 14%     3 - 1 -7.0 +3.6 -11.1
  Dec 03, 2024 83   @ Grand Canyon L 72-78 16%     3 - 2 +3.5 -0.7 +4.7
  Dec 07, 2024 293   @ Long Beach St. L 68-76 65%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -12.9 -3.7 -9.7
  Dec 14, 2024 169   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-62 59%     4 - 3 +5.9 +0.9 +5.6
  Dec 22, 2024 224   Charlotte W 78-61 70%     5 - 3 +10.6 +6.6 +5.2
  Dec 23, 2024 52   Nebraska L 55-69 21%     5 - 4 -6.2 -6.4 -1.5
  Dec 25, 2024 178   Oakland W 73-70 OT 60%     6 - 4 -0.6 -1.0 +0.5
  Jan 02, 2025 165   UC Santa Barbara L 61-64 57%     6 - 5 0 - 2 -5.7 -3.7 -2.5
  Jan 04, 2025 286   Cal Poly W 68-55 80%     7 - 5 1 - 2 +3.1 -4.8 +9.1
  Jan 09, 2025 175   @ UC Riverside W 83-76 38%     8 - 5 2 - 2 +9.2 +8.0 +0.9
  Jan 11, 2025 309   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 95-86 68%     9 - 5 3 - 2 +3.3 +15.4 -12.6
  Jan 16, 2025 133   Cal St. Northridge L 60-83 50%     9 - 6 3 - 3 -23.9 -9.8 -15.2
  Jan 18, 2025 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 81-70 72%     10 - 6 4 - 3 +4.2 +3.8 +0.3
  Jan 23, 2025 228   @ UC Davis W 67-66 49%    
  Jan 25, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 61-74 11%    
  Jan 31, 2025 79   UC San Diego L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 02, 2025 309   Cal St. Fullerton W 73-63 84%    
  Feb 06, 2025 286   @ Cal Poly W 79-75 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 165   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 14, 2025 293   Long Beach St. W 73-64 81%    
  Feb 16, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 79   @ UC San Diego L 63-74 15%    
  Feb 28, 2025 175   UC Riverside W 71-69 60%    
  Mar 02, 2025 228   UC Davis W 70-64 70%    
  Mar 06, 2025 234   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-68 51%    
  Mar 08, 2025 133   @ Cal St. Northridge L 72-77 31%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.8 3.9 1.3 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 7.0 6.1 1.4 0.0 16.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 8.3 8.2 1.5 0.0 20.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 7.7 7.8 1.9 0.1 19.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 6.0 7.5 2.1 0.1 0.0 16.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.3 1.4 0.1 10.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.1 5.6 12.2 18.5 20.3 18.7 12.6 6.2 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 46.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-5 11.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.7% 20.6% 20.6% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.5
14-6 2.4% 11.8% 11.8% 12.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.1
13-7 6.2% 6.6% 6.6% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.8
12-8 12.6% 4.2% 4.2% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 12.1
11-9 18.7% 2.0% 2.0% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 18.3
10-10 20.3% 1.2% 1.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 20.1
9-11 18.5% 0.8% 0.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 18.3
8-12 12.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 12.2
7-13 5.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.6
6-14 2.1% 2.1
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 97.8 0.0%