Hawaii
Big West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#175
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#103
Pace65.3#301
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#181
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#174
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 6.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.9 13.5
.500 or above 62.4% 70.2% 44.1%
.500 or above in Conference 60.7% 65.4% 49.6%
Conference Champion 5.5% 6.5% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 3.2% 6.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.9% 6.8% 3.7%
Second Round0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Home) - 70.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 410 - 315 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 251   San Jose St. W 80-69 74%     1 - 0 +3.7 +12.1 -7.2
  Nov 11, 2024 284   Pacific W 76-66 79%     2 - 0 +0.7 -0.1 +1.0
  Nov 17, 2024 233   Weber St. W 71-65 70%    
  Nov 23, 2024 10   North Carolina L 67-81 9%    
  Dec 03, 2024 85   @ Grand Canyon L 65-76 17%    
  Dec 07, 2024 250   @ Long Beach St. W 74-73 52%    
  Dec 15, 2024 219   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 73-68 68%    
  Dec 22, 2024 133   Charlotte W 66-65 52%    
  Jan 03, 2025 117   UC Santa Barbara L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 05, 2025 333   Cal Poly W 79-67 86%    
  Jan 09, 2025 155   @ UC Riverside L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 11, 2025 262   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 17, 2025 202   Cal St. Northridge W 76-71 66%    
  Jan 19, 2025 261   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-64 74%    
  Jan 23, 2025 168   @ UC Davis L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 62-74 14%    
  Jan 31, 2025 132   UC San Diego W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 02, 2025 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 333   @ Cal Poly W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 08, 2025 117   @ UC Santa Barbara L 70-77 28%    
  Feb 14, 2025 250   Long Beach St. W 77-70 71%    
  Feb 16, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 132   @ UC San Diego L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 28, 2025 155   UC Riverside W 72-70 56%    
  Mar 02, 2025 168   UC Davis W 72-69 59%    
  Mar 06, 2025 261   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-67 54%    
  Mar 08, 2025 202   @ Cal St. Northridge L 73-74 46%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 5.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.2 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 2.9 4.5 2.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.8 5.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 13.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 13.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.2 4.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.1 3.9 1.3 0.1 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 3.6 5.2 7.1 9.2 10.5 11.5 11.2 10.8 9.0 7.1 5.2 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 96.3% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
17-3 70.7% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.0
16-4 46.0% 1.4    0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 22.2% 1.2    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 6.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.5% 5.5 3.0 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 50.7% 43.7% 7.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.5%
18-2 0.8% 40.2% 39.8% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7%
17-3 1.8% 32.4% 32.0% 0.4% 12.2 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.5%
16-4 3.0% 27.1% 27.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.2
15-5 5.2% 21.1% 21.1% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.1
14-6 7.1% 13.6% 13.6% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 6.1
13-7 9.0% 7.8% 7.8% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.3
12-8 10.8% 5.5% 5.5% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.2
11-9 11.2% 2.9% 2.9% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.9
10-10 11.5% 1.7% 1.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.3
9-11 10.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.4
8-12 9.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
7-13 7.1% 7.1
6-14 5.2% 5.2
5-15 3.6% 3.6
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 94.1 0.0%