Hawaii
Big West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#161
Pace65.3#275
Improvement-1.3#266

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#201
First Shot+1.0#144
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#292
Layup/Dunks+1.2#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#255
Freethrows+2.1#66
Improvement-2.4#332

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#165
First Shot-1.2#209
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#74
Layups/Dunks-1.3#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#28
Freethrows-3.6#350
Improvement+1.1#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.2% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.4
.500 or above 58.8% 68.6% 43.9%
.500 or above in Conference 49.0% 54.1% 41.3%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.4% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 5.0% 9.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.5% 4.2% 2.5%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Home) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 34 - 55 - 11
Quad 410 - 315 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 185   San Jose St. W 80-69 63%     1 - 0 +6.8 +12.3 -4.3
  Nov 11, 2024 264   Pacific W 76-66 77%     2 - 0 +1.4 +2.3 -0.7
  Nov 17, 2024 208   Weber St. W 73-68 OT 67%     3 - 0 -0.4 -4.7 +4.3
  Nov 22, 2024 18   North Carolina L 69-87 12%     3 - 1 -6.3 +2.6 -9.4
  Dec 03, 2024 102   @ Grand Canyon L 72-78 20%     3 - 2 +1.9 -2.4 +4.8
  Dec 07, 2024 272   @ Long Beach St. L 68-76 58%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -10.9 -2.0 -9.4
  Dec 14, 2024 190   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-62 64%     4 - 3 +4.6 +1.1 +4.1
  Dec 22, 2024 170   Charlotte W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 03, 2025 136   UC Santa Barbara W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 05, 2025 249   Cal Poly W 81-74 74%    
  Jan 09, 2025 177   @ UC Riverside L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 278   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 67-65 58%    
  Jan 17, 2025 148   Cal St. Northridge W 75-73 56%    
  Jan 19, 2025 245   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-63 74%    
  Jan 23, 2025 184   @ UC Davis L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 63   @ UC Irvine L 61-74 13%    
  Jan 31, 2025 95   UC San Diego L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 02, 2025 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-62 77%    
  Feb 06, 2025 249   @ Cal Poly W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 136   @ UC Santa Barbara L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 14, 2025 272   Long Beach St. W 71-63 77%    
  Feb 16, 2025 63   UC Irvine L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 95   @ UC San Diego L 63-73 20%    
  Feb 28, 2025 177   UC Riverside W 70-67 60%    
  Mar 02, 2025 184   UC Davis W 70-67 62%    
  Mar 06, 2025 245   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 08, 2025 148   @ Cal St. Northridge L 72-76 35%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 3.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 4.7 4.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 5.6 4.4 1.2 0.1 13.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 5.7 4.3 1.0 0.1 13.3 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 5.5 4.2 1.0 0.1 12.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.4 3.0 0.7 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.3 1.9 0.5 0.0 6.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.5 7.3 9.9 12.1 13.0 13.0 11.6 9.3 6.9 4.2 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 95.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 80.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1
16-4 54.4% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
15-5 27.2% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 5.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 40.0% 40.0% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 30.0% 30.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.1% 24.6% 24.6% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.8
15-5 2.3% 20.9% 20.9% 12.5 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9
14-6 4.2% 12.3% 12.3% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.7
13-7 6.9% 9.0% 9.0% 13.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 6.3
12-8 9.3% 6.1% 6.1% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 8.8
11-9 11.6% 3.4% 3.4% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 11.2
10-10 13.0% 1.7% 1.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.8
9-11 13.0% 1.3% 1.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.9
8-12 12.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.0
7-13 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 9.9
6-14 7.3% 7.3
5-15 4.5% 4.5
4-16 2.5% 2.5
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 96.5 0.0%