Cal St. Bakersfield
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#234
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#216
Pace64.1#298
Improvement-0.4#200

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#208
First Shot-2.3#239
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#113
Layup/Dunks-4.2#319
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#353
Freethrows+1.9#73
Improvement+0.7#134

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#262
First Shot-3.2#276
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#161
Layups/Dunks+1.3#123
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#156
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#161
Freethrows-5.8#364
Improvement-1.1#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 14.3% 20.3% 6.8%
.500 or above in Conference 34.4% 46.2% 19.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.6% 4.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Fullerton (Away) - 55.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 34 - 64 - 13
Quad 49 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 118   @ California L 73-86 18%     0 - 1 -7.5 -2.1 -4.9
  Nov 11, 2024 112   North Dakota St. W 86-81 33%     1 - 1 +5.4 +17.0 -11.2
  Nov 16, 2024 254   Fresno St. W 74-58 65%     2 - 1 +8.0 -4.4 +11.8
  Nov 22, 2024 168   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 54-74 27%     2 - 2 -17.6 -6.6 -15.1
  Nov 23, 2024 241   Florida International L 73-76 OT 51%     2 - 3 -7.4 -1.5 -5.8
  Nov 24, 2024 200   Northeastern W 68-60 41%     3 - 3 +6.2 +3.0 +4.1
  Nov 30, 2024 240   @ Southern Utah L 64-74 41%     3 - 4 -11.6 -6.5 -5.5
  Dec 05, 2024 60   @ UC Irvine L 66-82 8%     3 - 5 0 - 1 -4.0 +4.3 -8.5
  Dec 07, 2024 79   @ UC San Diego L 60-81 10%     3 - 6 0 - 2 -11.0 -7.6 -3.7
  Dec 18, 2024 308   @ Portland W 81-64 56%     4 - 6 +11.5 +14.1 -0.6
  Dec 21, 2024 227   Portland St. L 58-59 59%     4 - 7 -7.5 -15.3 +7.8
  Dec 23, 2024 112   @ North Dakota St. L 60-94 18%     4 - 8 -28.2 -13.2 -15.8
  Jan 02, 2025 228   UC Davis W 75-64 59%     5 - 8 1 - 2 +4.5 +8.7 -3.5
  Jan 04, 2025 293   Long Beach St. W 80-65 73%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +4.6 +11.5 -4.8
  Jan 09, 2025 165   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-78 26%     6 - 9 2 - 3 -9.2 -2.2 -7.8
  Jan 11, 2025 133   Cal St. Northridge W 94-90 38%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +3.1 +14.9 -12.1
  Jan 18, 2025 181   @ Hawaii L 70-81 28%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -9.1 -1.6 -7.5
  Jan 23, 2025 309   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 69-67 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 175   UC Riverside L 70-71 48%    
  Jan 30, 2025 286   Cal Poly W 81-75 72%    
  Feb 01, 2025 133   @ Cal St. Northridge L 71-80 20%    
  Feb 06, 2025 165   UC Santa Barbara L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 175   @ UC Riverside L 67-73 27%    
  Feb 13, 2025 79   UC San Diego L 65-74 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 309   Cal St. Fullerton W 72-65 75%    
  Feb 20, 2025 228   @ UC Davis L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 63-74 17%    
  Feb 27, 2025 293   @ Long Beach St. W 70-69 52%    
  Mar 01, 2025 286   @ Cal Poly W 78-77 51%    
  Mar 06, 2025 181   Hawaii L 68-69 49%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 2.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 5.7 4.3 0.6 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 7.3 6.4 1.1 0.0 16.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 8.4 8.2 2.1 0.1 20.8 7th
8th 0.3 2.9 8.8 8.1 2.1 0.1 22.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.9 11th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.7 8.4 14.2 18.6 19.1 15.7 10.1 5.6 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.5% 5.6% 5.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-7 2.3% 1.3% 1.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 2.3
12-8 5.6% 2.0% 2.0% 14.5 0.1 0.1 5.5
11-9 10.1% 0.7% 0.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 10.0
10-10 15.7% 0.4% 0.4% 15.2 0.1 0.0 15.7
9-11 19.1% 0.4% 0.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 19.1
8-12 18.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.6
7-13 14.2% 14.2
6-14 8.4% 8.4
5-15 3.7% 3.7
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.2% 0.2
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 99.6 0.0%