Portland
West Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.3#312
Expected Predictive Rating-9.0#313
Pace71.8#99
Improvement-0.1#193

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#322
First Shot-1.7#220
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#344
Layup/Dunks-5.2#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#115
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#135
Freethrows+1.0#113
Improvement+1.1#96

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#271
First Shot-3.5#293
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#150
Layups/Dunks-0.6#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#331
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#321
Freethrows+3.5#15
Improvement-1.2#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 1.2% 0.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 42.2% 37.8% 46.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Home) - 48.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 20 - 40 - 10
Quad 31 - 71 - 17
Quad 45 - 67 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 136   UC Santa Barbara L 53-94 26%     0 - 1 -42.6 -23.8 -17.6
  Nov 12, 2024 23   @ Oregon L 70-80 OT 2%     0 - 2 +7.0 -3.9 +12.2
  Nov 16, 2024 272   @ Long Beach St. W 63-61 30%     1 - 2 -0.9 -2.6 +2.0
  Nov 21, 2024 145   South Florida L 68-74 20%     1 - 3 -5.3 -5.6 +0.4
  Nov 22, 2024 161   Ohio L 73-85 22%     1 - 4 -12.1 -10.4 -0.3
  Nov 24, 2024 119   Princeton L 67-94 15%     1 - 5 -24.2 -10.0 -12.5
  Dec 01, 2024 325   Denver W 101-90 2OT 65%     2 - 5 -1.2 -0.7 -2.9
  Dec 06, 2024 115   @ Kent St. L 57-76 9%     2 - 6 -12.7 -5.4 -8.8
  Dec 10, 2024 271   UMKC L 64-69 53%     2 - 7 -13.9 -8.6 -5.6
  Dec 18, 2024 245   Cal St. Bakersfield L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 21, 2024 239   Lafayette L 68-69 45%    
  Dec 28, 2024 68   Washington St. L 69-82 11%    
  Dec 30, 2024 67   @ Oregon St. L 60-79 4%    
  Jan 02, 2025 3   @ Gonzaga L 61-92 0.2%   
  Jan 04, 2025 41   St. Mary's L 58-75 6%    
  Jan 09, 2025 56   @ San Francisco L 60-81 3%    
  Jan 16, 2025 264   Pacific W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 68   @ Washington St. L 66-85 4%    
  Jan 23, 2025 315   San Diego W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 3   Gonzaga L 64-89 1%    
  Jan 30, 2025 189   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 01, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine L 69-77 24%    
  Feb 06, 2025 78   Santa Clara L 68-80 13%    
  Feb 13, 2025 67   Oregon St. L 63-76 11%    
  Feb 15, 2025 189   Loyola Marymount L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 19, 2025 41   @ St. Mary's L 55-78 2%    
  Feb 22, 2025 264   @ Pacific L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 27, 2025 226   Pepperdine L 72-74 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 315   @ San Diego L 72-74 41%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.5 6.0 4.8 1.4 0.1 0.0 13.8 8th
9th 0.1 3.1 10.2 7.0 1.4 0.1 21.9 9th
10th 0.5 5.8 12.9 7.4 1.1 0.1 27.6 10th
11th 2.7 9.0 11.1 4.9 0.5 0.0 28.1 11th
Total 2.7 9.4 17.0 20.8 19.6 14.7 8.7 4.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.2
9-9 0.7% 0.7
8-10 1.8% 1.8
7-11 4.4% 4.4
6-12 8.7% 8.7
5-13 14.7% 14.7
4-14 19.6% 19.6
3-15 20.8% 20.8
2-16 17.0% 17.0
1-17 9.4% 9.4
0-18 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%