San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#290
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#334
Pace74.5#47
Improvement+2.3#79

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#331
First Shot-3.9#289
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#312
Layup/Dunks+1.6#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#304
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement+3.8#23

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#214
First Shot+0.3#168
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#302
Layups/Dunks+1.7#107
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#205
Freethrows-1.7#297
Improvement-1.5#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 36.0% 31.5% 36.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 13.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 20 - 60 - 12
Quad 31 - 51 - 17
Quad 45 - 86 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 294   Rider L 67-68 61%     0 - 1 -11.4 -11.6 +0.2
  Nov 08, 2024 282   Boston University W 74-60 59%     1 - 1 +4.3 +6.9 -0.9
  Nov 12, 2024 227   Portland St. L 76-85 46%     1 - 2 -15.5 -12.8 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2024 217   Idaho St. L 66-78 44%     1 - 3 -17.9 -15.0 -1.8
  Nov 22, 2024 240   Southern Utah L 67-72 49%     1 - 4 -12.1 -12.1 +0.3
  Nov 24, 2024 246   Idaho W 68-61 50%     2 - 4 -0.5 -11.6 +11.1
  Dec 03, 2024 64   @ Arizona St. L 53-90 5%     2 - 5 -25.7 -16.4 -6.8
  Dec 07, 2024 47   @ San Diego St. L 57-74 4%     2 - 6 -3.4 -7.6 +5.1
  Dec 10, 2024 293   Long Beach St. L 70-76 61%     2 - 7 -16.4 -0.3 -16.8
  Dec 14, 2024 254   @ Fresno St. L 65-73 32%     2 - 8 -10.5 -9.0 -1.4
  Dec 21, 2024 79   UC San Diego L 65-77 13%    
  Dec 28, 2024 83   Grand Canyon L 55-68 10%     2 - 9 -6.2 -17.4 +12.3
  Dec 30, 2024 302   Pacific W 75-65 62%     3 - 9 1 - 0 -0.6 -3.7 +3.2
  Jan 02, 2025 67   Santa Clara L 80-81 11%     3 - 10 1 - 1 +4.6 +8.1 -3.4
  Jan 04, 2025 70   @ Oregon St. L 54-81 6%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -16.4 -12.1 -5.8
  Jan 08, 2025 14   @ Gonzaga L 80-93 1%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +6.4 +8.7 -1.6
  Jan 11, 2025 35   St. Mary's L 56-103 6%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -37.1 -4.9 -37.9
  Jan 16, 2025 85   Washington St. L 61-65 14%     3 - 14 1 - 5 +0.0 -7.3 +7.1
  Jan 18, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-77 15%     3 - 15 1 - 6 -3.4 +2.5 -6.1
  Jan 23, 2025 308   @ Portland L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 75   @ San Francisco L 63-81 5%    
  Jan 30, 2025 203   Pepperdine L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 01, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 06, 2025 302   @ Pacific L 73-75 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 67   @ Santa Clara L 66-85 4%    
  Feb 13, 2025 203   @ Pepperdine L 70-78 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 75   San Francisco L 66-78 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 70   Oregon St. L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 27, 2025 85   @ Washington St. L 67-84 5%    
  Mar 01, 2025 308   Portland W 76-72 64%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.7 7th
8th 1.7 6.4 6.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 16.5 8th
9th 6.0 17.8 9.9 2.2 0.1 36.1 9th
10th 4.1 15.2 6.6 0.6 26.5 10th
11th 4.2 10.3 4.3 0.3 19.1 11th
Total 4.2 14.5 25.5 26.3 16.9 9.0 2.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.2% 0.2
8-10 0.7% 0.7
7-11 2.7% 2.7
6-12 9.0% 9.0
5-13 16.9% 16.9
4-14 26.3% 26.3
3-15 25.5% 25.5
2-16 14.5% 14.5
1-17 4.2% 4.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.8%