San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#315
Expected Predictive Rating-13.5#345
Pace76.0#32
Improvement-2.0#301

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#353
First Shot-5.0#316
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#314
Layup/Dunks+0.3#173
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#319
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement+0.6#129

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#206
First Shot+0.9#149
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#325
Layups/Dunks+1.6#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#205
Freethrows-0.1#194
Improvement-2.6#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 1.3% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 45.6% 36.7% 47.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC San Diego (Home) - 13.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 50 - 11
Quad 31 - 61 - 16
Quad 45 - 86 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 288   Rider L 67-68 54%     0 - 1 -10.7 -11.2 +0.4
  Nov 08, 2024 252   Boston University W 74-60 48%     1 - 1 +5.8 +6.8 +0.8
  Nov 12, 2024 276   Portland St. L 76-85 51%     1 - 2 -18.1 -17.0 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 231   Idaho St. L 66-78 42%     1 - 3 -18.8 -14.4 -3.4
  Nov 22, 2024 210   Southern Utah L 67-72 37%     1 - 4 -10.4 -12.6 +2.4
  Nov 24, 2024 291   Idaho W 68-61 54%     2 - 4 -2.8 -12.3 +9.5
  Dec 03, 2024 61   @ Arizona St. L 53-90 4%     2 - 5 -24.9 -16.6 -5.9
  Dec 07, 2024 45   @ San Diego St. L 57-74 3%     2 - 6 -3.0 -10.3 +8.1
  Dec 10, 2024 272   Long Beach St. L 70-76 51%     2 - 7 -14.9 +1.1 -16.8
  Dec 14, 2024 256   @ Fresno St. L 65-73 27%     2 - 8 -10.3 -6.5 -3.6
  Dec 21, 2024 95   UC San Diego L 65-76 14%    
  Dec 28, 2024 102   Grand Canyon L 69-83 10%    
  Dec 30, 2024 264   Pacific L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 02, 2025 78   Santa Clara L 68-81 12%    
  Jan 04, 2025 67   @ Oregon St. L 59-79 3%    
  Jan 08, 2025 3   @ Gonzaga L 61-93 0.2%   
  Jan 11, 2025 41   St. Mary's L 58-75 5%    
  Jan 16, 2025 68   Washington St. L 68-82 10%    
  Jan 18, 2025 189   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-75 17%    
  Jan 23, 2025 312   @ Portland L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 56   @ San Francisco L 60-81 3%    
  Jan 30, 2025 226   Pepperdine L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 01, 2025 189   Loyola Marymount L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 06, 2025 264   @ Pacific L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 78   @ Santa Clara L 65-84 4%    
  Feb 13, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine L 69-77 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 56   San Francisco L 63-78 8%    
  Feb 22, 2025 67   Oregon St. L 62-76 11%    
  Feb 27, 2025 68   @ Washington St. L 65-85 4%    
  Mar 01, 2025 312   Portland W 74-72 59%    
Projected Record 6 - 24 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.3 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 5.5 4.5 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.1 3.0 9.7 6.3 1.2 0.1 20.4 9th
10th 0.5 5.9 13.3 7.1 1.0 0.0 27.9 10th
11th 3.2 10.2 12.0 5.0 0.5 0.0 30.9 11th
Total 3.2 10.7 18.0 21.3 18.7 13.4 8.0 4.0 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.2% 0.2
9-9 0.6% 0.6
8-10 1.7% 1.7
7-11 4.0% 4.0
6-12 8.0% 8.0
5-13 13.4% 13.4
4-14 18.7% 18.7
3-15 21.3% 21.3
2-16 18.0% 18.0
1-17 10.7% 10.7
0-18 3.2% 3.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.9%