IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
San Diego
West Coast
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.6	#183
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.8	#21
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.8	#141

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.4	#251

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	0.7%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.3	11.4	11.1

.500 or above	33.9%	39.2%	15.2%
.500 or above in Conference	31.2%	34.6%	18.9%
Conference Champion	0.5%	0.6%	0.2%
Last Place in Conference	13.9%	11.6%	21.7%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.5%	0.6%	0.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 78.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 3	4 - 6	5 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 3	13 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2025	282	Idaho St.	W	78-70	78%
Nov 12, 2025	235	Idaho	W	80-74	69%
Nov 18, 2025	283	Grambling St.	W	74-66	78%
Nov 21, 2025	258	UC Riverside	W	80-73	72%
Nov 25, 2025	169	California Baptist	L	73-74	48%
Nov 30, 2025	264	@ Long Beach St.	W	73-72	53%
Dec 05, 2025	159	@ San Jose St.	L	73-77	35%
Dec 09, 2025	29	USC	L	72-85	13%
Dec 13, 2025	263	Northern Arizona	W	80-73	72%
Dec 19, 2025	117	@ UC San Diego	L	70-77	26%
Dec 22, 2025	48	@ Washington	L	70-86	9%
Dec 28, 2025	219	Pacific	W	78-73	66%
Dec 30, 2025	19	Gonzaga	L	75-90	10%
Jan 02, 2026	75	@ San Francisco	L	71-83	16%
Jan 04, 2026	105	@ Santa Clara	L	75-84	22%
Jan 08, 2026	239	Pepperdine	W	82-76	69%
Jan 10, 2026	219	@ Pacific	L	75-76	46%
Jan 15, 2026	121	@ Seattle	L	69-76	28%
Jan 21, 2026	124	Washington St.	L	81-82	48%
Jan 24, 2026	105	Santa Clara	L	78-81	40%
Jan 28, 2026	239	@ Pepperdine	L	78-79	49%
Jan 31, 2026	113	Oregon St.	L	72-74	42%
Feb 04, 2026	49	@ St. Mary's	L	60-76	10%
Feb 07, 2026	136	@ Loyola Marymount	L	72-78	30%
Feb 11, 2026	262	Portland	W	83-76	71%
Feb 15, 2026	75	San Francisco	L	74-80	31%
Feb 21, 2026	136	Loyola Marymount	L	75-76	49%
Feb 25, 2026	113	@ Oregon St.	L	69-77	25%
Feb 28, 2026	262	@ Portland	W	80-79	53%
Projected Record						13 - 16	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected West Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.5	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0			2.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.2	1.7	1.2	0.3	0.0					4.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	1.9	2.6	1.3	0.3	0.0						6.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.6	2.6	3.7	1.6	0.1								8.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.2	4.5	1.8	0.2	0.0								10.2	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.3	5.1	2.1	0.2	0.0									11.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	3.2	5.7	2.5	0.2	0.0										12.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.4	3.4	5.7	2.6	0.3	0.0											12.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	3.2	5.2	2.6	0.4	0.0												11.9	10th
11th		0.1	1.0	3.4	4.4	1.9	0.3	0.0													11.0	11th
12th	0.5	1.6	2.8	2.3	1.1	0.1	0.0														8.4	12th

Total	0.5	1.7	3.8	6.2	9.1	11.1	12.2	12.5	11.8	9.9	7.9	5.7	3.6	2.3	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	91.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	72.2%	0.1		0.0	0.1
15-3	36.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	10.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	1.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0
12-6	0.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		2.4%		2.4%	9.0										0.0								0.0		2.4%
17-1	0.0%		83.2%	33.3%	49.9%	8.9							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		74.8%
16-2	0.2%		14.9%	6.4%	8.5%	10.3										0.0	0.0	0.0						0.2		9.1%
15-3	0.5%		13.5%	10.3%	3.2%	10.9										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.4		3.6%
14-4	1.1%		10.2%	9.1%	1.1%	11.2											0.0	0.1	0.0					1.0		1.2%
13-5	2.3%		4.3%	4.2%	0.0%	11.4												0.1	0.0					2.2		0.0%
12-6	3.6%		1.9%	1.8%	0.1%	11.6											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			3.5		0.1%
11-7	5.7%		1.8%	1.8%		12.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			5.6
10-8	7.9%		0.3%	0.3%		12.0												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			7.8
9-9	9.9%		0.1%	0.1%		13.0													0.0		0.0			9.8
8-10	11.8%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0														0.0		0.0		11.8
7-11	12.5%																							12.5
6-12	12.2%																							12.2
5-13	11.1%																							11.1
4-14	9.1%																							9.1
3-15	6.2%																							6.2
2-16	3.8%																							3.8
1-17	1.7%																							1.7
0-18	0.5%																							0.5

Total	100%		0.6%	0.5%	0.1%	11.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		99.4		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%