San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.0 216
Expected Predictive Rating -3.6 226
Pace 72.3 83
Improvement +2.3 92

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #181 C+ C- C- D- C-
Defense C- #245 D+ D- B D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 327 61% 112 -2.6 272
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 171 37% 205 -0.1 183
Three Pointers 47% 65 36% 106 +4.0 57
1st FG Attempt 1.05 132 +1.4 131
Second Chance 29.7% 205 0.97 271 0.29 229
Turnovers 17.7% 233
Freethrows 0.24 349 74% 119 0.18 334
Total Offense -0.7 181

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 138 63% 308 -3.0 284
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 271 44% 336 +0.1 180
Three Pointers 42% 133 32% 86 +0.6 158
1st FG Attempt 1.06 256 -2.3 256
Second Chance 35.1% 329 1.09 270 0.38 325
Turnovers 19.2% 57
Freethrows 0.34 289 72% 145 0.24 271
Total Defense -2.3 245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.4 250 +0.5 259
Shot Type Accuracy +1.8 110 +1.7 244
Possession Length 17.6 210 16.5 43
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 92 0.24 347
Improvement +0.8 #134 +1.5 #104

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 3% 8% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Home) - 36.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 65 - 15
Quad 46 - 511 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 250 Idaho St. L 68 - 71 69% -7  16% 0 - 1 D -11 D- -7 C- D C- D+ -4 C+ C- D+
 Wed, Nov 12 189 Idaho W 78 - 74 58% +5  89% 1 - 1 C -1 B- +4 A+ B- F+ D+ -5 D+ D A+
 Tue, Nov 18 285 Grambling St. W 78 - 68 75% +7  97% 2 - 1 C -0 D+ -3 D+ F D C+ +2 A- D- C-
 Fri, Nov 21 293 UC Riverside L 71 - 85 77% -10  3% 2 - 2 F -25 D- -7 F C+ C- F -18 F F D
 Tue, Nov 25 138 California Baptist L 61 - 76 34% -2  36% 2 - 3 D- -14 F -12 C F+ D+ C- -2 C F A+
 Sun, Nov 30 251 @Long Beach St. L 72 - 76 46% +1  66% 2 - 4 D+ -6 B- +4 B- A+ F F+ -10 D F F
 Fri, Dec 5 236 @San Jose St. L 69 - 86 43% -18  0% 2 - 5 F -18 F -11 F C+ B+ D -7 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 9 47 USC L 81 - 94 15% -5  20% 2 - 6 C- -5 C+ +2 C- B- C D -5 F D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 311 Northern Arizona W 78 - 69 80% +6  90% 3 - 6 C- -3 C- -2 B- A+ F C -1 D+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 139 @UC San Diego W 82 - 80 25% +7  90% 4 - 6 B- +6 A+ +19 B A C+ F -12 D+ F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 46 @Washington L 56 - 86 6% -16  1% 4 - 7 F+ -16 F -16 D+ D- F C+ +2 A F C+
 Sun, Dec 28 115 Pacific W 66 - 54 38% +9  98% 5 - 7 1 - 0 B+ +12 D+ -3 F+ A- B+ A+ +16 A A A+
 Tue, Dec 30 13 Gonzaga L 93 - 99 5% -10  3% 5 - 8 1 - 1 B +10 A+ +14 A+ C+ A+ C- -3 C- F A
 Fri, Jan 2 107 @San Francisco L 64 - 74 17% -4  16% 5 - 9 1 - 2 C- -3 F -10 C F C- B+ +7 A D- C
 Sun, Jan 4 44 @Santa Clara L 70 - 98 6% -12  0% 5 - 10 1 - 3 D- -13 D+ -4 B F C- D- -7 C- F B+
 Thu, Jan 8 291 Pepperdine W 83 - 63 77% +12  95% 6 - 10 2 - 3 B +9 B+ +8 A+ C+ C B- +3 C B A-
 Sat, Jan 10 115 @Pacific L 70 - 77 20% +6  83% 6 - 11 2 - 4 C -1 C- -2 C C- D+ C+ +1 A+ C F+
 Thu, Jan 15 132 @Seattle L 64 - 75 23% -6  5% 6 - 12 2 - 5 D+ -6 D -5 C- D- D+ C -1 F+ B B-
 Wed, Jan 21 125 Washington St. W 96 - 92 42% +8  93% 7 - 12 3 - 5 C+ +3 A+ +18 A+ A A+ F -15 C F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 44 Santa Clara L 73 - 85 13% -14  0% 7 - 13 3 - 6 C- -3 D -4 C- F A C+ +2 F A- A+
 Wed, Jan 28 291 @Pepperdine W 92 - 88 OT 56% -3  16% 8 - 13 4 - 6 C -1 B- +4 F+ A B- D -5 D+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 178 Oregon St. L 76 - 78 OT 55% +1  48% 8 - 14 4 - 7 D+ -6 F -12 C D F B+ +7 C A B
 Wed, Feb 4 40 @St. Mary's L 60 - 87 5% -19  0% 8 - 15 4 - 8 D -11 C- -1 A- D- D F -13 F+ F C-
 Sat, Feb 7 151 @Loyola Marymount L 63 - 83 27% -17  0% 8 - 16 4 - 9 F+ -17 C- -1 C D+ A- F -17 F D+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 206 Portland W 71 - 58 61% +2  47% 9 - 16 5 - 9 B- +7 C +1 A+ F D- B+ +8 B+ C A-
 Sun, Feb 15 107 San Francisco L 74 - 78 36%
 Sat, Feb 21 151 Loyola Marymount L 74 - 75 48%
 Wed, Feb 25 178 @Oregon St. L 71 - 76 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 206 @Portland L 75 - 78 38%
Totals 11 - 18 7 - 11 -3 C -1 C+ C- C- C- -2 D+ D- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ C- B- C+ 33% 21% 47% C- C+ C D+ C- C- F+ B- D- C- D D- B- C- 40% 18% 42% D+ D+ D- D+ D- B D+ C D+
1.08 61% 37% 36% +2 0 1.05 30% 1.0 .29 18% .24 74% .18 1.12 63% 44% 32% +2 0 1.06 35% 1.1 .38 19% .34 72% .17
Nov
7		 Idaho St. D- F B+ A+ D+ 49% 16% 35% B C- B- F D C- D- F+ F+ D+ A- F D B- 46% 9% 46% F+ C+ F B+ C- D+ D A+ C
1.07 46% 50% 41% 0 +1 1.04 34% 0.8 .26 16% .26 71% .19 1.12 48% 50% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 16% .36 63% .22
Nov
12		 Idaho B- D- A+ A+ A+ 25% 27% 48% D A+ C+ B- B- F+ F F F D+ D- D+ A- C- 50% 11% 39% F D+ F A+ D A+ F D+ F
1.16 50% 54% 52% +15 -2 1.29 28% 1.1 .31 19% .20 64% .13 1.10 64% 40% 29% 0 +2 1.07 51% 0.6 .32 24% .49 76% .37
Nov
18		 Grambling St. D+ A+ F C- C 22% 18% 60% F+ D+ D+ F F D A+ A+ A+ C+ B- C+ A+ A- 45% 32% 23% B+ A- F B- D- C- F A+ F+
1.05 90% 0% 33% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.4 .12 22% .55 97% .53 0.92 52% 33% 18% -10 -1 0.81 38% 0.9 .33 20% .53 58% .31
Nov
21		 UC Riverside D- C F D F 41% 12% 47% B- F B C- C+ C- C B+ B- F D C F F 49% 18% 33% D- F F F F D F B+ F
1.04 60% 0% 30% -6 +1 0.92 36% 0.9 .33 16% .33 74% .25 1.25 64% 38% 53% +12 +1 1.29 34% 1.2 .41 16% .44 68% .30
Nov
25		 California Baptist F A+ D F D+ 46% 12% 42% A- C F A+ F+ D+ F F F C- B- A+ C- C 42% 12% 47% D+ C B- F F A+ F F+ F
0.86 75% 33% 14% -6 +2 0.94 3% 4.0 .13 17% .22 62% .14 1.07 50% 20% 35% -5 +1 0.95 35% 1.5 .55 24% .52 79% .41
Nov
30		 Long Beach St. B- A+ B D+ B 35% 24% 41% D+ B- A+ A- A+ F F A+ F F+ D+ F C D 34% 30% 36% C D F F F F A A+ A+
1.14 75% 45% 32% +6 -1 1.13 46% 1.4 .65 24% .15 86% .12 1.21 65% 47% 33% +5 -2 1.08 39% 1.5 .58 11% .18 50% .09
Dec
5		 San Jose St. F D F F F 20% 19% 61% F+ F B D+ C+ B+ C- C+ C D F F F+ F 32% 34% 34% B- F F B F A+ F B F
0.95 55% 0% 24% -17 -1 0.67 39% 1.1 .43 15% .27 76% .21 1.18 71% 53% 40% +13 -2 1.23 58% 0.9 .54 30% .53 70% .37
Dec
9		 USC C+ F A+ D C- 32% 21% 47% C- C- C+ C+ B- C A A A+ D C- F F F 44% 21% 35% D F A+ F D+ A+ F D- F
1.03 39% 58% 30% -5 -1 0.91 30% 0.9 .28 18% .37 83% .31 1.20 63% 56% 60% +20 0 1.42 24% 1.7 .40 27% .61 77% .47
Dec
13		 Northern Arizona C- B+ D A B 33% 20% 47% D B- C- A+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ C F C- D+ F+ 26% 34% 40% A+ D+ F D- F A+ C- F F
1.17 67% 33% 43% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.7 .54 21% .46 75% .34 1.04 75% 38% 37% +6 -3 1.09 32% 1.1 .36 26% .28 86% .24
Dec
19		 UC San Diego A+ D+ A+ C+ B- 38% 15% 47% B B A B- A C+ F+ A+ B F D F B D+ 44% 6% 50% D- D+ C- F F D+ C- F D
1.29 52% 50% 35% 0 +1 1.04 39% 1.1 .45 16% .21 109% .22 1.26 65% 67% 31% +3 +2 1.12 28% 1.4 .38 14% .29 75% .22
Dec
22		 Washington F C- F D+ D+ 25% 24% 51% C+ D+ F+ D D- F F+ F F C+ D B A+ A 36% 28% 36% C A C- F F C+ F D+ F
0.76 54% 25% 31% -6 -1 0.86 18% 0.9 .15 24% .20 55% .11 1.16 67% 36% 22% -4 -1 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 16% .47 79% .37
Dec
28		 Pacific D+ D- F D+ F+ 18% 23% 59% C- F+ D- A+ A- B+ A B+ A+ A+ B- F A+ A+ 45% 10% 45% F A D A+ A A+ C A+ B-
1.03 50% 20% 31% -8 -2 0.82 19% 2.0 .38 12% .43 75% .32 0.84 53% 75% 21% -8 +2 0.90 38% 0.6 .24 33% .28 67% .19
Dec
30		 Gonzaga A+ A+ A+ A A+ 29% 17% 53% B+ A+ D- A+ C+ A+ B D B- C- D- A+ F C 49% 22% 29% F+ C- D- F F A F+ A+ C
1.17 71% 50% 39% +10 0 1.21 17% 1.3 .23 14% .33 65% .22 1.24 70% 25% 44% +8 +1 1.18 42% 1.5 .61 19% .37 54% .20
Jan
2		 San Francisco F A+ A+ F C+ 32% 29% 39% D- C F F F C- F+ A+ D B+ F F A+ A+ 35% 13% 52% C- A D+ D- D- C B+ D- B-
0.90 72% 50% 18% -1 -1 0.96 9% 0.7 .06 14% .20 83% .16 1.04 72% 57% 15% -7 +1 0.88 35% 1.3 .44 15% .28 76% .22
Jan
4		 Santa Clara D+ C F A B 42% 15% 43% C+ B F F F C- F D F D- F+ F C C 30% 9% 61% C- C- F D+ F B+ A- F C+
0.94 59% 25% 39% +2 +1 1.08 19% 0.6 .11 21% .22 69% .15 1.32 71% 60% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.2 .59 19% .17 100% .17
Jan
8		 Pepperdine B+ B- A+ A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% D+ A+ C C+ C+ C D- D- D- B- F A- A+ C 32% 17% 51% C- C A- C+ B A- F A F
1.23 62% 60% 45% +13 0 1.28 32% 1.1 .36 16% .21 67% .14 0.94 77% 29% 24% -3 0 0.95 23% 0.9 .19 22% .56 69% .38
Jan
10		 Pacific C- B- C+ D C 25% 29% 45% D+ C C- C- C- D+ D+ A C+ C+ C- A- A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% D- A+ F A+ C F+ F F+ F
1.00 62% 40% 30% -1 -2 0.96 24% 1.0 .24 17% .31 78% .24 1.10 58% 33% 23% -9 +1 0.86 48% 0.7 .34 16% .48 82% .39
Jan
15		 Seattle D C- D+ D+ C 33% 22% 45% C- C- D F D- D+ D A C- C D D F F 37% 22% 41% B F+ A- C B B- F B- F
0.89 53% 36% 30% -4 0 0.92 27% 0.7 .19 22% .25 79% .20 1.04 65% 40% 42% +8 0 1.17 19% 0.8 .16 19% .43 68% .29
Jan
21		 Washington St. A+ A+ D A+ A+ 26% 29% 45% F+ A+ A+ D A A+ F F F F D- F B C+ 40% 16% 44% C- C F D+ F F+ F F F
1.37 73% 35% 54% +17 -2 1.31 43% 1.0 .43 9% .20 54% .11 1.31 70% 50% 32% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 14% .42 84% .35
Jan
24		 Santa Clara D A+ C+ F C 38% 29% 34% F+ C- B F F A D+ C+ D+ C+ F F F F 45% 9% 47% F F A+ D+ A- A+ F+ A+ C
0.98 76% 38% 16% -3 -1 0.95 35% 0.4 .13 16% .30 74% .22 1.14 86% 75% 41% +20 +2 1.47 27% 1.1 .31 28% .32 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Pepperdine B- F A B- F 46% 7% 47% B F+ B A+ A B- A+ A+ A+ D B- C D- D+ 36% 19% 46% D+ D+ D C+ C- F F A F
1.15 33% 50% 36% -9 +2 0.88 37% 1.3 .49 15% .37 88% .32 1.10 52% 36% 37% 0 0 1.02 33% 0.9 .28 14% .42 69% .29
Jan
31		 Oregon St. F B- A- F+ C+ 34% 22% 43% D- C C- F+ D F F C F B+ A- D+ D C+ 44% 13% 44% F+ C B+ A+ A B D A+ C+
0.93 60% 46% 28% -1 -1 0.98 30% 0.8 .25 24% .19 75% .15 0.95 46% 43% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 20% .41 67% .27
Feb
4		 St. Mary's C- B+ F A+ A 33% 27% 40% D+ A- C+ F D- D C+ F F F C+ F F F 45% 21% 34% C F+ D- F F C- D C+ D+
0.94 63% 23% 42% +2 -1 1.04 26% 0.5 .13 17% .25 38% .09 1.36 57% 50% 50% +10 0 1.23 42% 1.3 .55 16% .37 80% .30
Feb
7		 Loyola Marymount C- D+ A F+ B- 27% 37% 35% F C F+ B D+ A- F C- F F F F A+ F 39% 22% 39% D+ F F B+ D+ F F F F
1.00 50% 47% 28% -2 -3 0.92 24% 1.1 .26 13% .20 73% .15 1.32 79% 73% 26% +12 0 1.24 36% 0.9 .32 11% .37 76% .29
Feb
11		 Portland C F A+ A+ A+ 33% 22% 45% D+ A+ B- F F D- F F F B+ F F A+ A- 40% 18% 42% C B+ A F C A- C F F
1.11 44% 45% 55% +11 -1 1.22 34% 0.5 .17 20% .16 63% .10 0.91 72% 50% 11% -7 0 0.89 22% 1.6 .35 24% .29 100% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.4 1.4 1.7 4th
5th 0.1 6.2 1.4 7.7 5th
6th 3.0 6.4 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 11.5 1.7 13.3 7th
8th 1.5 14.0 0.1 15.6 8th
9th 0.0 11.5 3.7 15.2 9th
10th 2.3 17.5 0.1 19.9 10th
11th 12.7 4.5 17.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 15.1 35.0 32.4 14.7 2.8 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 2.8% 2.8
8-10 14.7% 14.7
7-11 32.4% 32.4
6-12 35.0% 35.0
5-13 15.1% 15.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 14.2%