Idaho St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#168
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#163
Pace62.5#345
Improvement+2.2#47

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#175
First Shot+0.6#159
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#249
Layup/Dunks-2.6#264
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#45
Freethrows-0.4#200
Improvement+0.6#128

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#174
First Shot-0.1#176
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#202
Layups/Dunks+1.5#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#133
Freethrows-1.7#281
Improvement+1.6#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.6% 17.5% 12.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 60.2% 79.2% 56.6%
.500 or above in Conference 68.5% 77.4% 66.7%
Conference Champion 16.8% 23.3% 15.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 3.2% 6.4%
First Four0.8% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round13.4% 17.3% 12.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah Valley (Away) - 16.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 65 - 11
Quad 411 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 264 @San Diego W 71-68 57%     1 - 0 +0.5 +3.4 -2.6
  Sun, Nov 9 56 @San Diego St. L 57-73 10%     1 - 1 -3.0 -2.1 -3.0
  Sat, Nov 15 113 @Seattle L 74-83 24%     1 - 2 -2.4 +15.1 -18.7
  Tue, Nov 18 75 @Santa Clara L 55-64 14%     1 - 3 +1.6 -8.8 +9.6
  Wed, Nov 26 126 Sam Houston St. L 81-84 38%     1 - 4 -0.7 +5.3 -5.9
  Fri, Nov 28 261 Cal St. Northridge W 82-50 67%     2 - 4 +26.6 +1.0 +23.2
  Wed, Dec 3 346 @UMKC W 68-59 78%     3 - 4 -0.1 +3.1 -1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 294 Denver W 93-79 82%     4 - 4 +3.6 +13.6 -9.3
  Wed, Dec 10 83 @Utah Valley L 64-74 16%    
  Sun, Dec 21 170 UC Davis W 69-66 62%    
  Thu, Jan 1 278 Sacramento St. W 76-68 78%    
  Sat, Jan 3 171 Portland St. W 69-66 62%    
  Thu, Jan 8 157 @Northern Colorado L 69-72 38%    
  Sat, Jan 10 251 @Northern Arizona W 69-68 54%    
  Wed, Jan 14 173 @Idaho L 69-72 41%    
  Sat, Jan 17 234 Eastern Washington W 76-70 73%    
  Thu, Jan 22 164 @Montana St. L 66-69 39%    
  Sat, Jan 24 206 @Montana L 72-73 46%    
  Sat, Jan 31 195 @Weber St. L 71-73 44%    
  Mon, Feb 2 171 @Portland St. L 66-69 41%    
  Thu, Feb 5 251 Northern Arizona W 72-65 74%    
  Sat, Feb 7 157 Northern Colorado W 72-69 59%    
  Thu, Feb 12 234 @Eastern Washington W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 173 @Idaho L 69-72 41%    
  Thu, Feb 19 206 Montana W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 164 Montana St. W 69-66 60%    
  Sat, Feb 28 195 Weber St. W 74-70 65%    
  Mon, Mar 2 278 @Sacramento St. W 73-71 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.5 4.5 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 16.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.5 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 14.5 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.7 5.9 2.6 0.6 0.0 13.1 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 6.0 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.9 3.0 0.3 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.5 3.5 0.4 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.8 0.6 0.0 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.5 5.7 8.4 11.0 12.6 13.2 12.6 10.7 8.6 5.6 3.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
16-2 99.3% 1.4    1.3 0.0
15-3 94.0% 3.0    2.7 0.4 0.0
14-4 80.1% 4.5    3.2 1.2 0.1
13-5 52.6% 4.5    2.1 1.9 0.5 0.0
12-6 21.5% 2.3    0.6 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-7 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.8% 16.8 10.4 4.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 52.2% 52.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 43.0% 43.0% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.4% 42.2% 42.2% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8
15-3 3.2% 31.8% 31.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 2.2
14-4 5.6% 30.1% 30.1% 13.6 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 3.9
13-5 8.6% 26.0% 26.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.4 0.0 6.4
12-6 10.7% 19.5% 19.5% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 8.6
11-7 12.6% 15.5% 15.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.1 10.6
10-8 13.2% 12.6% 12.6% 14.9 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 11.6
9-9 12.6% 8.6% 8.6% 15.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 11.5
8-10 11.0% 5.3% 5.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.4
7-11 8.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.1
6-12 5.7% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 5.5
5-13 3.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.5
4-14 1.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7
3-15 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 13.6% 13.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.8 3.9 1.6 86.4 0.0%