UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#343
Expected Predictive Rating-16.2#348
Pace72.7#89
Improvement+1.6#88

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#359
First Shot-7.9#358
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#267
Layup/Dunks-1.0#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#329
Freethrows-1.3#264
Improvement-1.8#309

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#248
First Shot-0.5#180
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#318
Layups/Dunks-5.7#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#110
Freethrows+1.9#63
Improvement+3.3#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.2% 18.5% 5.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 47.5% 26.6% 53.7%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Away) - 22.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 44 - 115 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 130 @Southern Illinois L 78-101 7%     0 - 1 -18.0 +2.4 -18.6
  Tue, Nov 11 165 Iona L 91-105 22%     0 - 2 -17.4 -1.1 -13.7
  Sat, Nov 15 41 @Texas L 55-71 1%     0 - 3 -0.8 -6.2 +3.7
  Wed, Nov 19 53 @TCU L 45-81 2%     0 - 4 -23.1 -19.7 -2.9
  Mon, Nov 24 229 @Lindenwood L 67-80 16%     0 - 5 -14.1 -9.7 -3.5
  Sat, Nov 29 223 @Weber St. L 61-82 16%     0 - 6 -21.8 -12.1 -10.2
  Wed, Dec 3 175 Idaho St. L 59-68 24%     0 - 7 -13.1 -8.0 -6.5
  Sat, Dec 6 258 @Eastern Washington L 66-90 19%     0 - 8 -26.4 -16.5 -8.0
  Wed, Dec 10 223 Weber St. L 60-64 32%     0 - 9 -10.8 -20.8 +10.2
  Tue, Dec 16 45 @Oklahoma L 67-89 2%     0 - 10 -7.7 -1.9 -5.7
  Thu, Dec 18 55 @Oklahoma St. L 79-91 2%     0 - 11 +0.2 +3.1 -1.8
  Wed, Dec 31 290 @Denver L 74-82 23%    
  Sat, Jan 3 221 @Nebraska Omaha L 68-79 16%    
  Thu, Jan 8 155 North Dakota St. L 68-77 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 333 North Dakota W 73-71 56%    
  Thu, Jan 15 291 @South Dakota L 75-83 24%    
  Sat, Jan 17 172 @South Dakota St. L 67-81 10%    
  Sat, Jan 24 221 Nebraska Omaha L 71-76 33%    
  Wed, Jan 28 290 Denver L 77-79 43%    
  Sun, Feb 1 135 @St. Thomas L 65-81 7%    
  Wed, Feb 4 291 South Dakota L 78-80 44%    
  Thu, Feb 12 303 @Oral Roberts L 70-77 27%    
  Sat, Feb 14 135 St. Thomas L 68-78 17%    
  Thu, Feb 19 333 @North Dakota L 70-74 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 155 @North Dakota St. L 65-80 9%    
  Thu, Feb 26 172 South Dakota St. L 70-78 24%    
  Sat, Feb 28 303 Oral Roberts L 73-74 48%    
Projected Record 4 - 23 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.9 1.1 0.2 3.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 3.3 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.6 8.0 4.4 0.6 0.0 17.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 6.3 9.8 5.7 0.8 0.0 24.2 8th
9th 1.7 6.1 10.9 10.1 4.4 0.6 0.0 33.8 9th
Total 1.7 6.2 12.4 16.8 18.0 16.7 12.2 7.9 4.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 37.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 12.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.3% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-6 1.0% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.1 0.9
9-7 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.1 2.2
8-8 4.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 4.4
7-9 7.9% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.8
6-10 12.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.1
5-11 16.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.6
4-12 18.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 17.9
3-13 16.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.8
2-14 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.4
1-15 6.2% 6.2
0-16 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%