UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#346
Expected Predictive Rating-14.5#345
Pace71.8#127
Improvement-0.4#217

Offense
Total Offense-8.0#353
First Shot-7.1#350
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#238
Layup/Dunks+1.8#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.1#354
Freethrows-2.7#321
Improvement-1.7#307

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#316
First Shot-1.2#214
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#324
Layups/Dunks-4.3#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#187
Freethrows+1.3#107
Improvement+1.3#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 8.3% 11.7% 7.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 48.3% 40.8% 50.9%
First Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Weber St. (Home) - 25.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 45 - 115 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 143 @Southern Illinois L 78-101 7%     0 - 1 -18.8 +0.7 -17.7
  Tue, Nov 11 176 Iona L 91-105 23%     0 - 2 -18.4 -1.8 -13.9
  Sat, Nov 15 46 @Texas L 55-71 2%     0 - 3 -2.1 -7.5 +3.6
  Wed, Nov 19 47 @TCU L 45-81 2%     0 - 4 -22.2 -20.1 -1.6
  Mon, Nov 24 236 @Lindenwood L 67-80 16%     0 - 5 -14.3 -10.0 -3.4
  Sat, Nov 29 195 @Weber St. L 61-82 12%     0 - 6 -20.2 -10.9 -9.7
  Wed, Dec 3 168 Idaho St. L 59-68 22%     0 - 7 -12.8 -6.5 -7.7
  Sat, Dec 6 234 @Eastern Washington L 66-90 16%     0 - 8 -25.2 -14.9 -8.4
  Wed, Dec 10 195 Weber St. L 71-78 26%    
  Tue, Dec 16 53 @Oklahoma L 64-89 1%    
  Thu, Dec 18 44 @Oklahoma St. L 68-94 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 180 Austin Peay L 67-75 24%    
  Wed, Dec 31 294 @Denver L 73-81 24%    
  Sat, Jan 3 233 @Nebraska Omaha L 69-80 16%    
  Thu, Jan 8 155 North Dakota St. L 67-76 21%    
  Sat, Jan 10 337 North Dakota W 74-72 56%    
  Thu, Jan 15 270 @South Dakota L 74-83 20%    
  Sat, Jan 17 153 @South Dakota St. L 65-80 8%    
  Sat, Jan 24 233 Nebraska Omaha L 72-77 33%    
  Wed, Jan 28 294 Denver L 76-78 44%    
  Sun, Feb 1 169 @St. Thomas L 66-80 10%    
  Wed, Feb 4 270 South Dakota L 77-80 38%    
  Thu, Feb 12 301 @Oral Roberts L 73-80 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 169 St. Thomas L 69-77 23%    
  Thu, Feb 19 337 @North Dakota L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Feb 21 155 @North Dakota St. L 64-79 9%    
  Thu, Feb 26 153 South Dakota St. L 68-77 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 301 Oral Roberts L 76-77 45%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 3.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.1 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.1 7.3 4.5 0.7 0.0 16.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 6.7 10.1 5.6 1.0 0.0 25.2 8th
9th 2.1 7.1 11.3 9.7 4.4 0.7 0.0 35.3 9th
Total 2.1 7.2 13.1 16.8 17.8 15.5 11.7 7.6 4.3 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-4 59.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 23.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.2% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.4% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-6 1.0% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
9-7 2.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 2.4
8-8 4.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 4.3
7-9 7.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.5
6-10 11.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.6
5-11 15.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.4
4-12 17.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.8
3-13 16.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.8
2-14 13.1% 13.1
1-15 7.2% 7.2
0-16 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%