UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -15.0 357
Expected Predictive Rating -20.0 361
Pace 71.3 108
Improvement -1.3 247

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 361 D- D D- D D
Defense D+ 302 D D+ C B D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 283 D 52% 309 -4.2 315
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 54 C- 36% 252 +2.0 76
Three Pointers 38% 251 D- 29% 332 -4.2 317
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 315 D- -5.2 338
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 345
Second Chance C- 28.3% 246 F+ 0.85 353 D 0.24 328
Turnovers D- 19.6% 328
Freethrows D 0.27 303 D 68% 316 D 0.18 323
Total Offense F -10.9 361

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 83 D 63% 309 -4.5 326
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 256 C- 40% 242 +0.7 133
Three Pointers 39% 231 D+ 35% 248 -0.2 187
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -1.1 315 D -5.2 338
1st FG Attempt 1.10 305 D -4.0 305
Second Chance F+ 36.4% 348 C+ 0.98 104 D+ 0.36 292
Turnovers C 16.9% 185
Freethrows B- 0.27 76 B- 70% 67 B 0.19 64
Total Defense D+ -4.1 302

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.9 243 16.1 23
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 124 0.22 336
Improvement -2.1 #297 +0.7 #138

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 79% 57% 81%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Thomas (Home) - 9.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 42 - 132 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 122 @Southern Illinois L 78 - 101 4% -11  26% 0 - 1 F+ -18 C+ +3 D- A- B+ F -19 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 248 Iona L 91 - 105 24% -9  5% 0 - 2 F -22 D -4 C C- F F -15 F C- B+
 Sat, Nov 15 30 @Texas L 55 - 71 1% -11  0% 0 - 3 C+ +2 F+ -10 F C- A+ A- +10 A+ A F
 Wed, Nov 19 50 @TCU L 45 - 81 1% -22  0% 0 - 4 F -22 F -22 F D F C+ +0 B+ F B
 Mon, Nov 24 244 @Lindenwood L 67 - 80 11% -6  18% 0 - 5 F+ -15 F -13 D- F F C -1 F A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 29 224 @Weber St. L 61 - 82 9% -10  0% 0 - 6 F -21 F -16 D F D- D -6 F B+ A
 Wed, Dec 3 257 Idaho St. L 59 - 68 26% -0  62% 0 - 7 F+ -17 F -14 D F+ F D+ -4 B- F B
 Sat, Dec 6 221 @Eastern Washington L 66 - 90 9% -15  4% 0 - 8 F -24 F -17 F C F D+ -5 B F C
 Wed, Dec 10 224 Weber St. L 60 - 64 21% -3  10% 0 - 9 D -10 F -24 F D F A+ +14 A C- A+
 Tue, Dec 16 54 @Oklahoma L 67 - 89 1% -19  4% 0 - 10 D -9 D -5 C- C- F D+ -4 B D- D
 Thu, Dec 18 59 @Oklahoma St. L 79 - 91 1% -6  5% 0 - 11 C +0 C +1 B- D B+ C +0 F B+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 247 @Denver L 74 - 87 11% -12  0% 0 - 12 0 - 1 F+ -15 D- -8 F B+ D+ D -7 C- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 242 @Nebraska Omaha W 73 - 66 11% +2  56% 1 - 12 1 - 1 B- +5 D+ -2 D D- A- A- +8 C- C- A
 Thu, Jan 8 145 North Dakota St. L 73 - 97 12% -18  0% 1 - 13 1 - 2 F -26 D+ -3 B+ F+ F F -24 F B D-
 Sat, Jan 10 288 North Dakota L 79 - 81 33% +2  65% 1 - 14 1 - 3 D- -12 C+ +2 A+ F F F -14 D- D- F
 Thu, Jan 15 278 @South Dakota L 83 - 99 15% -17  1% 1 - 15 1 - 4 F -20 C- -2 C- F A+ F -17 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 214 @South Dakota St. L 62 - 90 9% -6  13% 1 - 16 1 - 5 F -28 F+ -9 F+ B D+ F -21 F D- D
 Sat, Jan 24 242 Nebraska Omaha L 60 - 77 24% -8  5% 1 - 17 1 - 6 F -25 F -24 F F F C +0 C F A+
 Wed, Jan 28 247 Denver L 61 - 69 24% +0  49% 1 - 18 1 - 7 F+ -16 F -21 F F C+ B +5 A+ D+ C
 Sun, Feb 1 126 @St. Thomas L 64 - 99 4% -23  4% 1 - 19 1 - 8 F -30 F -14 F C D+ F -14 F F B-
 Wed, Feb 4 278 South Dakota L 75 - 82 OT 31% +2  64% 1 - 20 1 - 9 F+ -17 F -16 D+ F F C -0 B+ C D
 Thu, Feb 12 333 @Oral Roberts L 60 - 69 26% -4  27% 1 - 21 1 - 10 F+ -17 F -14 F D C- D+ -4 D- A+ F+
 Sat, Feb 14 126 St. Thomas L 68 - 82 10%
 Thu, Feb 19 288 @North Dakota L 69 - 80 16%
 Sat, Feb 21 145 @North Dakota St. L 62 - 81 4%
 Thu, Feb 26 214 South Dakota St. L 68 - 77 21%
 Sat, Feb 28 333 Oral Roberts L 71 - 72 47%
Totals 2 - 25 2 - 14 -15 F -11 D- D- D D -4 D- D D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F D C- D- D- 35% 27% 38% D D- C- F+ D D- D D D D+ D C- D+ D 42% 18% 39% D+ D F+ C+ D+ C B- B- B
0.93 52% 36% 29% -5 -1 0.89 28% 0.9 .24 20% .27 68% .18 1.15 63% 40% 35% +3 +1 1.10 36% 1.0 .36 17% .27 70% .19
Nov
7		 Southern Illinois C+ F A- B+ D- 38% 27% 35% D+ D- B+ A- A- B+ A- F C+ F F F F F 57% 25% 19% F F D F F C- F A- D-
1.02 29% 47% 37% -7 -1 0.85 34% 1.2 .40 16% .36 61% .22 1.33 77% 54% 40% +16 +1 1.36 33% 1.4 .48 16% .41 62% .25
Nov
11		 Iona D A- A+ F B- 30% 33% 38% F C B- D C- F B C+ B F F D F F 41% 22% 38% C+ F F A- C- B+ B B B+
1.05 68% 67% 17% +3 -2 1.03 38% 0.9 .33 21% .31 71% .22 1.22 73% 43% 54% +19 0 1.39 31% 0.8 .26 21% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Texas F+ D B F F 29% 48% 23% F F C D- C- A+ F B F A- C+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 12% 41% F+ A+ D- A+ A F F A+ C+
0.87 50% 41% 8% -10 -4 0.73 24% 0.8 .20 10% .14 75% .11 1.13 61% 17% 15% -13 +2 0.80 44% 0.8 .37 8% .48 61% .29
Nov
19		 TCU F F F F F 28% 11% 61% B- F C F D F A D- B+ C+ A+ A+ F B+ 41% 20% 39% C+ B+ F D+ F B A F C+
0.63 23% 0% 25% -22 +1 0.59 27% 0.8 .20 25% .36 63% .23 1.14 43% 20% 45% -3 0 0.96 41% 1.2 .49 18% .26 87% .22
Nov
24		 Lindenwood F C+ F C- D- 54% 26% 20% D+ D- F F F F A+ A- A+ C D- A+ D- F+ 60% 13% 27% F F C A+ A+ C- F F+ F
0.89 60% 17% 33% -5 0 0.93 21% 0.9 .18 25% .46 77% .35 1.06 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.10 31% 0.5 .14 19% .44 74% .32
Nov
29		 Weber St. F A F+ F D+ 36% 26% 38% D- D F F F D- F+ F F D F F F F 48% 9% 43% D F F A+ B+ A D+ C+ D+
0.89 72% 31% 26% -1 -1 0.98 19% 0.7 .14 19% .25 50% .13 1.20 68% 50% 45% +13 +2 1.33 39% 0.6 .25 22% .37 70% .26
Dec
3		 Idaho St. F D+ A F D 43% 26% 31% D+ D C- F F+ F C+ D+ C D+ F A+ A+ B 37% 11% 52% D+ B- F C F B A- C- B+
0.97 56% 55% 23% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.8 .23 21% .34 75% .25 1.12 76% 20% 25% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.0 .45 20% .25 75% .18
Dec
6		 Eastern Washington F C+ D- F F 48% 29% 23% D- F D A- C F B+ F C- D+ C C- A A- 43% 9% 47% F B F F F C F C+ F
0.87 61% 36% 18% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .39 28% .38 62% .24 1.18 57% 40% 28% -5 +2 0.96 42% 1.6 .68 18% .42 73% .31
Dec
10		 Weber St. F F B F F 38% 13% 48% C+ F C F D F B- F+ C A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 50% 17% 33% C A C+ D C- A+ C+ A+ A
0.81 50% 43% 16% -15 +1 0.73 30% 0.9 .28 22% .36 67% .24 0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 31% 1.1 .33 24% .32 50% .16
Dec
16		 Oklahoma D F F A+ C- 36% 26% 38% C C- D B- C- F A+ C- A+ D+ F+ C- A+ B+ 44% 12% 44% D- B D- C- D- D C A+ A-
0.95 41% 25% 44% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .29 23% .41 73% .29 1.27 69% 43% 23% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .51 11% .31 58% .18
Dec
18		 Oklahoma St. C D+ F A+ B- 38% 13% 49% B- B- C- F D B+ A- A+ A+ C F C+ F F 62% 17% 21% C- F F+ A+ B+ A+ B- C B-
1.02 52% 14% 41% 0 +1 1.04 27% 0.8 .22 16% .34 82% .28 1.18 76% 33% 45% +14 +2 1.34 38% 0.6 .24 21% .31 74% .23
Dec
31		 Denver D- A- F F F 52% 15% 33% B- F C A B+ D+ A- C- B+ D D C- C C- 40% 23% 38% D- C- B D+ C+ F F D F
1.06 70% 13% 12% -8 +2 0.88 34% 1.4 .47 14% .38 70% .27 1.24 62% 42% 35% +3 0 1.08 26% 1.2 .31 9% .41 81% .33
Jan
3		 Nebraska Omaha D+ F D A D+ 38% 29% 33% D- D F B+ D- A- B+ A A A- D A+ D- C- 42% 25% 33% C C- A- F C- A A A A+
1.08 50% 33% 41% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.2 .20 10% .36 82% .30 0.97 65% 25% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 22% .21 64% .13
Jan
8		 North Dakota St. D+ B A+ B+ A- 39% 22% 39% C B+ B+ F F+ F A- F B- F F F F F 34% 19% 47% D F F A+ B D- D D+ D-
1.06 67% 60% 39% +11 0 1.24 38% 0.4 .16 25% .33 65% .21 1.42 72% 50% 52% +20 0 1.42 44% 0.6 .26 13% .32 74% .24
Jan
10		 North Dakota C+ F A+ A+ A+ 19% 40% 40% F A+ B F F F F A+ C F B+ F F F+ 43% 20% 37% B- D- D- D+ D- F F+ A+ C
1.21 50% 59% 65% +26 -4 1.45 39% 0.6 .22 27% .29 93% .27 1.24 48% 45% 40% +1 0 1.04 33% 1.1 .36 8% .40 58% .23
Jan
15		 South Dakota C- C+ F+ C+ C- 48% 20% 33% D C- D+ F F A+ C- F F+ F B- F F F 46% 13% 41% D- F F F F F+ D+ F D-
1.09 62% 33% 35% +2 +1 1.07 29% 0.8 .22 10% .26 56% .15 1.30 52% 57% 45% +7 +2 1.19 38% 1.3 .50 13% .38 84% .32
Jan
17		 South Dakota St. F+ B- F C- F 35% 24% 41% D+ F+ C+ A B D+ D- D- F+ F F F F F 49% 20% 31% D+ F F C+ D- D C A+ B
0.95 61% 8% 33% -6 -1 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 17% .24 69% .17 1.38 72% 80% 44% +20 +1 1.43 37% 1.0 .37 14% .27 60% .16
Jan
24		 Nebraska Omaha F F A+ F D- 15% 32% 53% F F D- F F F D- F F C D F B+ C- 28% 24% 48% B+ C F C F A+ F B D-
0.81 50% 53% 25% -3 -3 0.89 23% 0.6 .13 20% .26 53% .14 1.04 64% 50% 29% +1 -1 1.02 39% 1.1 .42 23% .39 68% .26
Jan
28		 Denver F A- D+ F F 24% 36% 40% F F F+ F F C+ D F F B A+ B A+ A+ 35% 33% 31% B- A+ F A+ D+ C D+ B- C-
0.91 69% 35% 23% -5 -3 0.85 26% 0.7 .19 12% .27 50% .13 1.03 39% 35% 25% -12 -2 0.75 44% 0.9 .38 15% .33 74% .24
Feb
1		 St. Thomas F F F F F 43% 18% 39% C F B+ F C D+ F+ C F+ F F F F F 34% 3% 62% D+ F F F+ F B- A+ F A+
0.87 46% 20% 18% -18 +1 0.68 36% 0.9 .34 19% .20 75% .15 1.34 80% 50% 44% +18 +2 1.41 30% 1.1 .33 16% .15 78% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 South Dakota F A F C C 47% 32% 21% F D+ F F F F F+ D- F+ C C+ A+ A A 44% 15% 41% D B+ B+ F C D F D- F
0.93 70% 28% 33% +2 -1 1.05 18% 1.0 .18 22% .21 69% .14 1.02 54% 13% 27% -10 +1 0.85 23% 1.3 .29 15% .51 80% .41
Feb
12		 Oral Roberts F F F D F 50% 9% 41% B F C+ F D C- D F D- D+ B F D D- 44% 13% 42% D D- F A+ A+ F+ C+ F C-
0.92 37% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.76 35% 0.9 .30 15% .29 63% .18 1.06 48% 57% 36% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.3 .11 14% .29 81% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 20.3 16.6 4.0 0.4 0.0 41.3 8th
9th 32.0 23.4 3.1 0.1 58.6 9th
Total 32.0 43.6 19.7 4.2 0.5 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 0.0% 0.0
5-11 0.5% 0.5
4-12 4.2% 4.2
3-13 19.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.6
2-14 43.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 43.6
1-15 32.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 32.0
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 22.1%