UMKC
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#240
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#284
Pace66.4#251
Improvement+2.4#43

Offense
Total Offense-3.1#260
First Shot-4.9#316
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#89
Layup/Dunks-11.2#364
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#21
Freethrows+0.4#153
Improvement+3.3#11

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#206
First Shot+0.2#164
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#291
Layups/Dunks-2.5#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#97
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#118
Freethrows+0.1#182
Improvement-0.8#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.7% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 20.5% 31.1% 13.7%
.500 or above in Conference 51.9% 57.8% 48.1%
Conference Champion 4.6% 5.9% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 7.2% 10.7%
First Four2.2% 2.2% 2.3%
First Round4.5% 5.8% 3.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Home) - 39.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 63 - 9
Quad 49 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 5   @ Iowa St. L 56-82 2%     0 - 1 -3.6 -3.7 -1.4
  Nov 16, 2024 48   @ Creighton L 56-79 6%     0 - 2 -9.7 -9.9 +0.3
  Nov 22, 2024 242   American L 60-64 51%     0 - 3 -8.6 -12.8 +4.1
  Nov 23, 2024 236   Albany L 65-67 49%     0 - 4 -6.1 -4.8 -1.5
  Nov 30, 2024 289   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 59-80 48%     0 - 5 -24.8 -19.5 -3.3
  Dec 04, 2024 279   Idaho L 77-82 69%     0 - 6 -14.6 -0.7 -14.0
  Dec 07, 2024 141   @ Montana St. L 62-74 22%     0 - 7 -8.1 -2.4 -7.2
  Dec 10, 2024 325   @ Portland W 69-64 58%     1 - 7 -1.3 -2.4 +1.3
  Dec 14, 2024 267   Bowling Green W 85-77 66%     2 - 7 -0.7 +11.0 -11.3
  Dec 17, 2024 110   @ Wichita St. W 74-64 15%     3 - 7 +16.7 +9.5 +7.8
  Dec 21, 2024 132   East Tennessee St. L 68-71 39%    
  Jan 02, 2025 235   South Dakota W 81-78 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 294   Oral Roberts W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 08, 2025 298   @ Nebraska Omaha L 69-70 49%    
  Jan 16, 2025 130   @ North Dakota St. L 67-76 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 278   @ North Dakota L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 23, 2025 123   South Dakota St. L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 142   St. Thomas L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 30, 2025 318   @ Denver W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 294   @ Oral Roberts L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 130   North Dakota St. L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 278   North Dakota W 75-70 68%    
  Feb 13, 2025 235   @ South Dakota L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 19, 2025 298   Nebraska Omaha W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 23, 2025 123   @ South Dakota St. L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 27, 2025 318   Denver W 74-66 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 142   @ St. Thomas L 68-76 24%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.5 5.3 2.1 0.2 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 6.6 6.8 2.1 0.2 17.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.9 7.1 6.7 1.6 0.1 17.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 6.1 5.5 1.1 0.0 14.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.6 4.4 0.8 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.1 3.0 0.7 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.0 5.8 9.5 13.1 15.3 15.4 13.6 10.4 6.9 3.6 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 98.2% 0.4    0.4 0.1
13-3 80.6% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
12-4 44.9% 1.6    0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
11-5 14.8% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1
10-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 34.0% 34.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 27.4% 27.4% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.5% 20.5% 20.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
12-4 3.6% 15.4% 15.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 3.0
11-5 6.9% 13.0% 13.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 6.0
10-6 10.4% 9.7% 9.7% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.5 9.4
9-7 13.6% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 12.7
8-8 15.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7 14.7
7-9 15.3% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 14.7
6-10 13.1% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.3 12.8
5-11 9.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 9.4
4-12 5.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.7
3-13 3.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.0
2-14 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-15 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.5% 5.5% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.2 94.5 0.0%