Creighton
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#16
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#184
Pace68.6#201
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#16
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#38
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
#1 Seed 3.8% 4.0% 0.6%
Top 2 Seed 9.3% 9.6% 2.1%
Top 4 Seed 24.8% 25.3% 9.1%
Top 6 Seed 41.2% 41.9% 20.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 75.2% 76.0% 52.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 71.2% 72.0% 49.2%
Average Seed 6.1 6.1 7.2
.500 or above 92.8% 93.4% 75.9%
.500 or above in Conference 86.6% 87.0% 74.1%
Conference Champion 14.9% 15.2% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.7% 2.6%
First Four4.0% 4.0% 4.9%
First Round73.2% 74.0% 50.2%
Second Round51.7% 52.4% 30.3%
Sweet Sixteen26.4% 26.8% 14.3%
Elite Eight13.0% 13.3% 5.9%
Final Four6.0% 6.1% 2.6%
Championship Game2.7% 2.8% 0.9%
National Champion1.2% 1.3% 0.4%

Next Game: UMKC (Home) - 96.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 7
Quad 26 - 211 - 9
Quad 36 - 117 - 10
Quad 44 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 269   UT Rio Grande Valley W 99-86 97%     1 - 0 +4.3 +12.0 -8.8
  Nov 10, 2024 348   Fairleigh Dickinson W 96-70 99%     2 - 0 +10.5 +4.3 +3.5
  Nov 13, 2024 358   Houston Christian W 78-43 99%     3 - 0 +17.7 -1.3 +20.4
  Nov 16, 2024 205   UMKC W 81-62 97%    
  Nov 22, 2024 67   Nebraska W 77-68 79%    
  Nov 26, 2024 55   San Diego St. W 71-66 67%    
  Nov 27, 2024 28   Texas A&M W 72-71 55%    
  Dec 04, 2024 5   Kansas L 75-77 43%    
  Dec 07, 2024 94   UNLV W 77-66 85%    
  Dec 14, 2024 7   @ Alabama L 77-84 27%    
  Dec 18, 2024 105   @ Georgetown W 77-71 71%    
  Dec 21, 2024 77   Villanova W 77-67 80%    
  Dec 31, 2024 18   St. John's W 77-74 60%    
  Jan 03, 2025 29   @ Marquette L 73-75 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 93   @ Butler W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 14, 2025 84   Providence W 74-64 81%    
  Jan 18, 2025 1   @ Connecticut L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 21, 2025 114   @ DePaul W 78-71 74%    
  Jan 25, 2025 97   Seton Hall W 71-59 84%    
  Jan 29, 2025 41   Xavier W 81-75 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 77   @ Villanova W 74-70 62%    
  Feb 05, 2025 84   @ Providence W 71-67 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 29   Marquette W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 11, 2025 1   Connecticut L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 16, 2025 18   @ St. John's L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 23, 2025 105   Georgetown W 80-68 85%    
  Feb 26, 2025 114   DePaul W 81-68 87%    
  Mar 01, 2025 41   @ Xavier W 79-78 51%    
  Mar 04, 2025 97   @ Seton Hall W 68-62 69%    
  Mar 08, 2025 93   Butler W 80-69 83%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.6 4.2 3.2 1.4 0.3 14.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.6 7.3 5.8 2.2 0.4 24.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.6 6.1 5.6 2.5 0.5 0.0 19.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 3.7 5.3 3.6 1.0 0.1 14.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.2 3.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 2.5 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.4 5.5 7.3 9.4 11.3 12.6 12.7 11.5 9.8 6.4 3.6 1.4 0.3 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4 0.1
18-2 89.8% 3.2    2.6 0.7 0.0
17-3 65.0% 4.2    2.7 1.4 0.1
16-4 36.4% 3.6    1.6 1.6 0.4 0.0
15-5 14.1% 1.6    0.6 0.7 0.3 0.1
14-6 3.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 14.9% 14.9 9.2 4.7 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 100.0% 57.7% 42.3% 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 1.4% 100.0% 47.6% 52.4% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 3.6% 100.0% 40.0% 60.0% 2.1 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 6.4% 99.9% 29.0% 71.0% 2.9 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
16-4 9.8% 99.8% 24.5% 75.3% 3.9 0.5 1.3 2.4 2.4 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 11.5% 99.2% 19.8% 79.4% 5.1 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.5 2.4 2.0 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.0%
14-6 12.7% 96.9% 14.1% 82.8% 6.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.1 2.6 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.4 96.3%
13-7 12.6% 90.7% 10.5% 80.2% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.2 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.2 89.6%
12-8 11.3% 77.5% 7.4% 70.1% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.7 2.0 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 2.5 75.7%
11-9 9.4% 61.4% 5.7% 55.7% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.6 59.1%
10-10 7.3% 36.9% 3.9% 33.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.6 34.3%
9-11 5.5% 15.1% 2.0% 13.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.6 13.4%
8-12 3.4% 4.7% 1.6% 3.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3 3.2%
7-13 2.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 0.6%
6-14 1.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.3%
5-15 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 0.7
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 75.2% 13.9% 61.3% 6.1 3.8 5.5 7.2 8.3 8.2 8.3 8.2 7.5 6.9 6.0 4.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.8 71.2%