Kansas
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.0#5
Expected Predictive Rating+24.2#3
Pace74.4#64
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+10.1#7
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+8.9#5
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 12.9% 13.0% 3.8%
#1 Seed 38.7% 39.0% 15.4%
Top 2 Seed 64.4% 64.8% 37.4%
Top 4 Seed 86.5% 86.9% 64.1%
Top 6 Seed 93.7% 93.9% 75.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.3% 98.4% 90.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.8% 98.0% 89.5%
Average Seed 2.5 2.5 3.9
.500 or above 98.8% 98.9% 91.3%
.500 or above in Conference 93.3% 93.5% 80.4%
Conference Champion 27.8% 28.0% 13.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.2% 0.9%
First Four1.0% 1.0% 4.7%
First Round97.9% 98.0% 87.7%
Second Round90.3% 90.5% 74.9%
Sweet Sixteen64.5% 64.8% 46.3%
Elite Eight40.9% 41.2% 25.5%
Final Four23.9% 24.0% 13.2%
Championship Game13.3% 13.4% 7.3%
National Champion7.3% 7.4% 4.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 98.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 56 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 211 - 7
Quad 26 - 118 - 8
Quad 34 - 022 - 8
Quad 43 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 246   Howard W 87-57 98%     1 - 0 +22.8 +7.5 +14.9
  Nov 08, 2024 10   North Carolina W 92-89 70%     2 - 0 +16.4 +15.0 +1.1
  Nov 12, 2024 27   Michigan St. W 77-69 73%     3 - 0 +20.7 +4.1 +15.7
  Nov 16, 2024 186   Oakland W 84-61 99%    
  Nov 19, 2024 156   UNC Wilmington W 86-65 98%    
  Nov 26, 2024 6   Duke W 77-76 53%    
  Nov 30, 2024 148   Furman W 87-66 97%    
  Dec 04, 2024 16   @ Creighton W 77-75 57%    
  Dec 08, 2024 71   @ Missouri W 79-71 77%    
  Dec 14, 2024 59   North Carolina St. W 83-70 88%    
  Dec 22, 2024 199   Brown W 86-62 98%    
  Dec 31, 2024 57   West Virginia W 82-69 88%    
  Jan 05, 2025 66   @ Central Florida W 79-71 75%    
  Jan 08, 2025 72   Arizona St. W 82-68 90%    
  Jan 11, 2025 22   @ Cincinnati W 76-73 60%    
  Jan 15, 2025 11   @ Iowa St. L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 18, 2025 42   Kansas St. W 79-68 83%    
  Jan 22, 2025 53   @ TCU W 81-74 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 2   Houston W 70-68 58%    
  Jan 28, 2025 66   Central Florida W 82-68 88%    
  Feb 01, 2025 13   @ Baylor W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 03, 2025 11   Iowa St. W 75-69 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 42   @ Kansas St. W 76-71 68%    
  Feb 11, 2025 76   Colorado W 81-67 89%    
  Feb 15, 2025 51   @ Utah W 81-75 71%    
  Feb 18, 2025 32   @ BYU W 80-76 63%    
  Feb 22, 2025 87   Oklahoma St. W 84-69 90%    
  Feb 24, 2025 76   @ Colorado W 78-70 76%    
  Mar 01, 2025 14   Texas Tech W 78-71 73%    
  Mar 03, 2025 2   @ Houston L 67-71 38%    
  Mar 08, 2025 8   Arizona W 83-79 65%    
Projected Record 24 - 7 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 5.6 8.1 6.7 3.6 1.1 27.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.3 5.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 18.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.5 4.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.2 1.9 4.6 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.8 0.6 0.0 7.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.3 0.6 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 16th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.8 3.0 4.6 7.0 8.6 11.2 13.0 13.5 12.7 10.9 7.1 3.6 1.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.1    1.1
19-1 99.7% 3.6    3.5 0.1
18-2 93.9% 6.7    5.6 1.1 0.0
17-3 74.7% 8.1    5.4 2.4 0.4 0.0
16-4 44.1% 5.6    2.3 2.4 0.7 0.1
15-5 16.2% 2.2    0.4 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 27.8% 27.8 18.4 7.1 1.9 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.1% 100.0% 58.3% 41.7% 1.1 1.1 0.1 100.0%
19-1 3.6% 100.0% 48.9% 51.1% 1.1 3.3 0.3 100.0%
18-2 7.1% 100.0% 41.3% 58.7% 1.1 6.3 0.8 0.0 100.0%
17-3 10.9% 100.0% 34.6% 65.4% 1.2 8.4 2.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 12.7% 100.0% 28.1% 71.9% 1.4 8.2 4.1 0.4 0.0 100.0%
15-5 13.5% 100.0% 21.4% 78.6% 1.7 6.1 5.9 1.4 0.1 100.0%
14-6 13.0% 100.0% 16.3% 83.7% 2.1 3.6 5.8 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 11.2% 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 2.6 1.3 3.9 3.9 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-8 8.6% 100.0% 6.9% 93.1% 3.3 0.4 1.7 3.1 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-9 7.0% 100.0% 5.6% 94.4% 4.1 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-10 4.6% 99.3% 3.0% 96.3% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
9-11 3.0% 96.7% 2.5% 94.2% 7.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.1 96.6%
8-12 1.8% 81.7% 0.9% 80.8% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 81.5%
7-13 1.0% 53.6% 0.3% 53.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 53.4%
6-14 0.5% 16.4% 0.7% 15.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 15.9%
5-15 0.2% 1.4% 1.4% 11.0 0.0 0.2 1.4%
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 98.3% 20.2% 78.1% 2.5 38.7 25.7 14.1 8.0 4.5 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 97.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 1.1 93.9 6.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 92.6 7.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 1.1 91.7 8.3