Cincinnati
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.0#22
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#167
Pace68.1#216
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#29
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#28
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
#1 Seed 3.3% 3.4% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 8.2% 8.5% 1.7%
Top 4 Seed 22.5% 23.1% 7.9%
Top 6 Seed 38.4% 39.2% 17.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 68.7% 69.7% 43.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.2% 68.3% 41.8%
Average Seed 6.0 6.0 7.2
.500 or above 86.0% 87.0% 61.3%
.500 or above in Conference 63.2% 64.0% 42.4%
Conference Champion 5.2% 5.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 3.3% 3.2% 7.8%
First Four4.1% 4.0% 4.2%
First Round66.7% 67.8% 40.9%
Second Round46.7% 47.5% 26.5%
Sweet Sixteen23.0% 23.5% 11.3%
Elite Eight10.5% 10.7% 4.5%
Final Four4.8% 4.9% 1.8%
Championship Game2.1% 2.1% 0.7%
National Champion0.9% 0.9% 0.5%

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Home) - 96.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 9
Quad 26 - 312 - 11
Quad 33 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 361   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 109-54 99%     1 - 0 +37.2 +18.6 +15.0
  Nov 08, 2024 274   Morehead St. W 83-56 97%     2 - 0 +18.0 +17.4 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2024 212   Nicholls St. W 80-61 96%    
  Nov 19, 2024 180   @ Northern Kentucky W 75-64 84%    
  Nov 23, 2024 96   @ Georgia Tech W 80-75 66%    
  Nov 27, 2024 281   Alabama St. W 80-58 98%    
  Dec 03, 2024 77   @ Villanova W 72-69 59%    
  Dec 08, 2024 246   Howard W 83-63 96%    
  Dec 14, 2024 41   Xavier W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 20, 2024 58   Dayton W 72-68 64%    
  Dec 22, 2024 241   Grambling St. W 77-57 96%    
  Dec 30, 2024 42   @ Kansas St. L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 04, 2025 8   Arizona L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 07, 2025 13   @ Baylor L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 11, 2025 5   Kansas L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 15, 2025 76   @ Colorado W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 18, 2025 72   Arizona St. W 76-68 76%    
  Jan 21, 2025 14   Texas Tech W 72-71 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 32   @ BYU L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 28, 2025 51   @ Utah W 75-74 51%    
  Feb 02, 2025 57   West Virginia W 76-69 73%    
  Feb 05, 2025 66   @ Central Florida W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 32   BYU W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 11, 2025 51   Utah W 77-71 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 11   @ Iowa St. L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 19, 2025 57   @ West Virginia W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 53   TCU W 77-70 72%    
  Feb 25, 2025 13   Baylor W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 2   @ Houston L 61-71 20%    
  Mar 05, 2025 42   Kansas St. W 73-68 67%    
  Mar 08, 2025 87   @ Oklahoma St. W 74-71 62%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 5.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.3 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.2 2.1 0.5 0.1 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 4.1 2.7 0.5 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.8 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.4 3.6 0.9 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 3.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.6 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.9 0.8 0.0 6.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 1.2 0.1 4.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.7 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.4 4.8 6.6 8.6 9.9 10.9 11.1 10.7 9.6 7.7 5.8 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 97.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 87.8% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
17-3 66.5% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1
16-4 38.7% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 14.3% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.6 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 34.0% 66.0% 1.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
18-2 1.0% 100.0% 27.2% 72.8% 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.2% 100.0% 20.8% 79.2% 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.8% 100.0% 16.2% 83.8% 2.4 0.8 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 5.8% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 3.2 0.4 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 7.7% 100.0% 9.9% 90.1% 4.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 9.6% 99.6% 6.0% 93.6% 5.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.4 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-8 10.7% 98.3% 3.7% 94.6% 6.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.0 2.4 2.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 98.3%
11-9 11.1% 93.9% 2.1% 91.8% 7.4 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.4 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.7 93.8%
10-10 10.9% 82.1% 1.0% 81.1% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.0 1.8 1.5 0.9 0.1 2.0 82.0%
9-11 9.9% 56.7% 0.7% 56.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.5 0.3 4.3 56.4%
8-12 8.6% 26.0% 0.3% 25.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 6.4 25.8%
7-13 6.6% 6.9% 0.1% 6.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.2 6.8%
6-14 4.8% 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.7 1.0%
5-15 3.4% 3.4
4-16 2.0% 2.0
3-17 1.1% 1.1
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 68.7% 4.4% 64.3% 6.0 3.3 5.0 6.9 7.4 8.0 7.8 8.0 7.2 5.5 4.7 4.1 0.8 0.0 31.3 67.2%