Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#281
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#268
Pace69.5#156
Improvement+0.1#175

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#143
First Shot+1.8#121
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#229
Layup/Dunks+1.8#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#164
Freethrows-2.6#320
Improvement+2.6#54

Defense
Total Defense-8.1#357
First Shot-9.2#364
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#99
Layups/Dunks-2.3#273
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#348
Freethrows-1.6#289
Improvement-2.5#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.5% 17.2% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 35.8% 58.5% 30.3%
.500 or above in Conference 90.0% 97.1% 88.3%
Conference Champion 22.1% 48.7% 15.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four10.4% 13.1% 9.8%
First Round7.4% 10.9% 6.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Norfolk St. (Away) - 19.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 7
Quad 412 - 913 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 57-87 1%     0 - 1 -7.7 -3.7 -3.6
  Nov 08, 2024 29   @ Missouri L 62-77 3%     0 - 2 +1.1 -4.4 +5.4
  Nov 13, 2024 301   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 53%     1 - 2 -3.8 +8.5 -12.5
  Nov 18, 2024 241   @ Florida International W 75-70 30%     2 - 2 +3.4 +2.7 +0.6
  Nov 24, 2024 282   Boston University L 62-69 50%     2 - 3 -14.0 -7.3 -7.2
  Nov 25, 2024 271   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-95 37%     2 - 4 -21.5 -0.1 -21.6
  Nov 30, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 57%     2 - 5 -12.7 -2.3 -10.3
  Dec 08, 2024 39   @ Cincinnati L 67-84 3%     2 - 6 -2.4 +6.3 -8.8
  Dec 14, 2024 141   UNC Wilmington W 88-83 29%     3 - 6 +3.8 +11.2 -7.6
  Dec 17, 2024 193   Drexel L 65-68 39%     3 - 7 -7.1 -5.1 -2.2
  Dec 28, 2024 256   @ Hampton L 67-83 34%     3 - 8 -18.6 -3.4 -15.9
  Jan 01, 2025 88   @ Yale L 65-93 7%     3 - 9 -18.8 +0.2 -21.1
  Jan 04, 2025 321   Delaware St. W 100-94 69%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -6.1 +13.1 -19.7
  Jan 11, 2025 334   Morgan St. W 100-95 75%     5 - 9 2 - 0 -9.1 +6.3 -16.0
  Jan 13, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 90-75 88%     6 - 9 3 - 0 -4.8 +11.6 -16.4
  Jan 25, 2025 182   @ Norfolk St. L 72-81 19%    
  Feb 01, 2025 256   Hampton L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 03, 2025 243   South Carolina St. W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 306   NC Central W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 10, 2025 361   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-74 69%    
  Feb 15, 2025 321   @ Delaware St. L 79-80 48%    
  Feb 17, 2025 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 83-72 86%    
  Feb 22, 2025 334   @ Morgan St. W 85-83 56%    
  Feb 24, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 77-70 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 306   @ NC Central L 76-78 43%    
  Mar 03, 2025 243   @ South Carolina St. L 76-81 32%    
  Mar 06, 2025 182   Norfolk St. L 75-78 39%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1.1 5.8 8.6 5.1 1.4 0.1 22.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.6 11.7 11.4 2.8 0.0 28.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 11.6 7.8 0.9 23.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 7.4 4.6 0.3 13.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 3.4 0.2 7.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.5 1.8 0.2 3.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 8th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.4 6.9 13.9 19.0 20.9 18.2 11.3 5.1 1.4 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 1.4    1.4
12-2 99.2% 5.1    4.3 0.8
11-3 75.7% 8.6    4.8 3.6 0.2
10-4 31.9% 5.8    1.3 2.9 1.5 0.0
9-5 5.3% 1.1    0.0 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 22.1% 22.1 12.0 7.6 2.2 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-1 1.4% 31.0% 31.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0
12-2 5.1% 24.0% 24.0% 15.9 0.1 1.1 3.9
11-3 11.3% 21.4% 21.4% 15.9 0.1 2.3 8.9
10-4 18.2% 17.1% 17.1% 16.0 0.0 3.1 15.1
9-5 20.9% 12.0% 12.0% 16.0 2.5 18.4
8-6 19.0% 8.0% 8.0% 16.0 1.5 17.5
7-7 13.9% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.8 13.1
6-8 6.9% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.4 6.5
5-9 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 2.3
4-10 0.7% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-11 0.1% 0.1
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 12.5% 12.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.0 87.5 0.0%