Howard
Mid-Eastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#254
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#254
Pace69.1#173
Improvement+1.2#95

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#173
First Shot+2.5#109
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#313
Layup/Dunks+0.6#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#58
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows-2.2#305
Improvement+1.8#49

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#330
First Shot-6.2#351
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#105
Layups/Dunks-1.3#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#303
Freethrows-1.4#277
Improvement-0.5#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.5% 21.4% 16.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 55.0% 69.4% 45.2%
.500 or above in Conference 87.4% 90.3% 85.5%
Conference Champion 23.5% 27.6% 20.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 1.1%
First Four10.5% 10.0% 10.9%
First Round13.3% 16.6% 11.1%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 40.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 32 - 6
Quad 412 - 814 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 10   @ Kansas L 57-87 2%     0 - 1 -9.6 -6.2 -2.8
  Nov 08, 2024 51   @ Missouri L 62-77 5%     0 - 2 -1.8 -5.3 +3.3
  Nov 13, 2024 321   Tennessee St. W 88-84 OT 65%     1 - 2 -5.1 +6.8 -12.1
  Nov 18, 2024 242   @ Florida International W 75-70 36%     2 - 2 +3.5 +2.3 +1.2
  Nov 24, 2024 252   Boston University L 62-69 50%     2 - 3 -12.2 -7.4 -5.4
  Nov 25, 2024 255   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 77-95 39%     2 - 4 -20.3 +1.8 -22.3
  Nov 30, 2024 266   Mount St. Mary's L 75-79 63%     2 - 5 -12.7 -4.2 -8.4
  Dec 08, 2024 27   @ Cincinnati L 67-84 3%     2 - 6 -0.7 +4.2 -5.1
  Dec 14, 2024 142   UNC Wilmington W 88-83 38%     3 - 6 +3.0 +11.4 -8.5
  Dec 17, 2024 153   Drexel L 69-72 40%    
  Dec 28, 2024 270   @ Hampton L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 01, 2025 105   @ Yale L 71-84 12%    
  Jan 04, 2025 341   Delaware St. W 80-71 80%    
  Jan 06, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-72 70%    
  Jan 11, 2025 349   Morgan St. W 85-75 82%    
  Jan 13, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 78-62 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 196   @ Norfolk St. L 71-78 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 258   NC Central W 76-73 62%    
  Feb 03, 2025 262   South Carolina St. W 76-73 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 341   @ Delaware St. W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 17, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 81-69 86%    
  Feb 22, 2025 349   @ Morgan St. W 82-78 64%    
  Feb 24, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 75-65 81%    
  Mar 01, 2025 258   @ NC Central L 73-76 40%    
  Mar 03, 2025 262   @ South Carolina St. L 73-76 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 196   Norfolk St. L 74-75 48%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 4.1 8.2 7.0 3.1 0.6 23.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 7.3 10.5 4.9 0.7 24.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 7.6 8.9 2.8 0.1 21.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 6.4 6.4 1.4 0.0 15.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.5 0.2 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.4 7.1 11.5 15.9 18.1 17.4 13.2 7.7 3.1 0.6 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
13-1 100.0% 3.1    3.0 0.1
12-2 90.7% 7.0    5.4 1.6 0.0
11-3 61.9% 8.2    4.0 3.7 0.5 0.0
10-4 23.4% 4.1    0.8 2.0 1.1 0.1
9-5 3.3% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 23.5% 23.5 13.8 7.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.6% 50.5% 50.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
13-1 3.1% 44.4% 44.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.3 1.7
12-2 7.7% 36.3% 36.3% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 4.9
11-3 13.2% 29.7% 29.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.1 9.3
10-4 17.4% 21.4% 21.4% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.4 13.6
9-5 18.1% 16.2% 16.2% 16.0 0.1 2.9 15.2
8-6 15.9% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 1.7 14.1
7-7 11.5% 9.2% 9.2% 16.0 1.1 10.4
6-8 7.1% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.4 6.7
5-9 3.4% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.2 3.3
4-10 1.4% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.1 1.4
3-11 0.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 18.5% 18.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.0 14.7 81.5 0.0%