Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#338
Expected Predictive Rating-26.5#364
Pace75.0#53
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#300
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#354
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.3% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 13.6% 17.1% 5.1%
.500 or above in Conference 47.3% 51.3% 37.7%
Conference Champion 5.8% 6.8% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 8.8% 15.2%
First Four5.3% 6.0% 3.6%
First Round2.6% 3.1% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 70.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 49 - 1110 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 356   Mercyhurst L 73-78 73%     0 - 1 -22.1 -5.8 -16.3
  Nov 09, 2024 167   @ Longwood L 66-84 11%     0 - 2 -15.2 -6.0 -8.6
  Nov 16, 2024 354   NJIT W 75-69 70%    
  Nov 20, 2024 300   @ N.C. A&T L 76-83 26%    
  Nov 22, 2024 315   @ Buffalo L 77-82 31%    
  Nov 24, 2024 134   Towson L 67-77 19%    
  Nov 27, 2024 302   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 81-88 27%    
  Dec 07, 2024 270   @ Bowling Green L 74-82 23%    
  Dec 10, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 69-94 1%    
  Dec 15, 2024 304   Campbell L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 22, 2024 11   @ Iowa St. L 58-88 0.4%   
  Dec 29, 2024 88   @ Minnesota L 64-84 4%    
  Jan 04, 2025 310   South Carolina St. L 76-77 50%    
  Jan 06, 2025 283   NC Central L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 246   @ Howard L 73-83 20%    
  Jan 13, 2025 230   Norfolk St. L 72-77 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-71 71%    
  Feb 03, 2025 344   @ Delaware St. L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 310   @ South Carolina St. L 74-80 30%    
  Feb 17, 2025 283   @ NC Central L 71-79 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 246   Howard L 76-80 38%    
  Feb 24, 2025 230   @ Norfolk St. L 69-80 19%    
  Mar 01, 2025 360   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-74 52%    
  Mar 03, 2025 344   Delaware St. W 76-72 63%    
  Mar 06, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 72-68 65%    
Projected Record 9 - 17 6 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 5.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 3.5 3.5 1.2 0.1 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 5.5 4.4 0.9 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.9 7.7 5.1 0.8 0.0 16.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.2 8.7 5.0 0.5 0.0 19.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.3 7.7 3.5 0.4 17.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.4 4.8 1.7 0.2 12.7 7th
8th 0.3 1.3 2.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.9 8th
Total 0.3 1.4 3.9 6.9 11.1 13.8 15.4 15.0 12.2 9.1 5.9 3.3 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 91.2% 1.2    1.0 0.3 0.0
11-3 64.4% 2.1    1.1 0.9 0.1
10-4 25.4% 1.5    0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0
9-5 4.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.8% 5.8 3.0 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 63.0% 63.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.5% 38.3% 38.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3
12-2 1.3% 34.3% 34.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 0.9
11-3 3.3% 22.7% 22.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7 2.5
10-4 5.9% 15.2% 15.2% 16.0 0.9 5.0
9-5 9.1% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 1.0 8.1
8-6 12.2% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.8 11.4
7-7 15.0% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.7 14.3
6-8 15.4% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 15.0
5-9 13.8% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 13.6
4-10 11.1% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.9
3-11 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.9
2-12 3.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.9
1-13 1.4% 1.4
0-14 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.5 94.4 0.0%