Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#358
Expected Predictive Rating-17.0#357
Pace68.2#199
Improvement+0.8#125

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#345
First Shot-4.0#295
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#318
Layup/Dunks-6.7#351
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#22
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#250
Freethrows+1.2#106
Improvement-0.3#200

Defense
Total Defense-7.3#355
First Shot-4.9#326
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#333
Layups/Dunks-2.5#266
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#286
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#216
Freethrows-0.4#219
Improvement+1.1#95
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 5.9% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.2% 35.3% 17.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 0.0% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 25.8% 14.7% 25.8%
First Four1.2% 5.9% 1.2%
First Round0.4% 2.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 45 - 125 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 57   @ Vanderbilt L 63-102 2%     0 - 1 -26.6 -6.9 -18.7
  Nov 07, 2024 284   @ Penn L 84-87 16%     0 - 2 -6.6 +8.3 -14.9
  Nov 12, 2024 195   @ Miami (OH) L 70-88 8%     0 - 3 -16.6 +6.6 -25.1
  Nov 15, 2024 318   @ Old Dominion L 71-73 22%     0 - 4 -7.8 -5.3 -2.5
  Nov 20, 2024 116   @ Murray St. L 61-79 4%     0 - 5 -11.8 -4.1 -9.0
  Nov 23, 2024 16   @ Illinois L 40-87 1%     0 - 6 -28.9 -25.6 -1.7
  Nov 25, 2024 29   @ Arkansas L 35-109 1%     0 - 7 -58.2 -32.4 -20.0
  Nov 27, 2024 244   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 59-78 13%     0 - 8 -20.6 -10.3 -10.8
  Nov 30, 2024 9   @ Connecticut L 45-99 0.5%    0 - 9 -33.5 -20.6 -13.9
  Dec 05, 2024 220   @ Longwood L 76-80 10%     0 - 10 -3.9 +5.6 -9.6
  Dec 08, 2024 290   Wagner L 61-63 34%     0 - 11 -11.8 -1.2 -10.9
  Dec 28, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 58-89 0.1%   
  Jan 04, 2025 196   @ Norfolk St. L 64-79 8%    
  Jan 06, 2025 254   Howard L 72-78 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 258   @ NC Central L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 13, 2025 262   @ South Carolina St. L 66-77 14%    
  Jan 25, 2025 341   Delaware St. W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 349   @ Morgan St. L 75-80 33%    
  Feb 03, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 71-64 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 196   Norfolk St. L 67-76 20%    
  Feb 17, 2025 254   @ Howard L 69-81 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 258   NC Central L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 24, 2025 262   South Carolina St. L 69-74 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 349   Morgan St. W 78-77 54%    
  Mar 03, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 68-67 54%    
  Mar 06, 2025 341   @ Delaware St. L 70-76 30%    
Projected Record 5 - 21 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.0 0.1 4.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 4.6 1.9 0.1 8.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.8 7.8 3.2 0.2 16.8 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 7.9 10.4 3.8 0.3 0.0 24.3 6th
7th 0.3 4.1 10.7 9.5 2.9 0.2 0.0 27.8 7th
8th 0.9 3.9 6.1 3.6 0.7 0.0 15.2 8th
Total 0.9 4.2 10.3 16.1 18.8 18.4 14.1 9.3 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 96.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-3 61.9% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-4 35.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0
12-2 0.1% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.2% 10.3% 10.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-4 0.8% 9.5% 9.5% 16.0 0.1 0.7
9-5 2.3% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.1 2.1
8-6 4.7% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.2 4.5
7-7 9.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 9.1
6-8 14.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.8
5-9 18.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 18.2
4-10 18.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 18.7
3-11 16.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.0
2-12 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
1-13 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
0-14 0.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 16.0 1.2 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%