Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#230
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#215
Pace65.5#296
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#193
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.6% 35.2% 26.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 64.1% 73.8% 49.5%
.500 or above in Conference 93.0% 94.8% 90.2%
Conference Champion 42.2% 46.8% 35.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.3% 0.9%
First Four12.1% 11.4% 13.2%
First Round25.8% 29.7% 19.8%
Second Round0.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hampton (Away) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 414 - 616 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 126   James Madison W 83-69 39%     1 - 0 +13.5 +10.2 +3.5
  Nov 12, 2024 244   @ William & Mary L 73-84 41%     1 - 1 -12.1 -3.8 -7.9
  Nov 16, 2024 323   @ Hampton W 73-70 60%    
  Nov 20, 2024 70   @ Stanford L 63-77 9%    
  Nov 22, 2024 85   @ Grand Canyon L 65-78 11%    
  Nov 25, 2024 168   @ UC Davis L 69-75 30%    
  Dec 01, 2024 287   @ Stony Brook W 71-70 51%    
  Dec 09, 2024 131   Hofstra L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 11, 2024 13   @ Baylor L 60-81 3%    
  Dec 15, 2024 180   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-71 31%    
  Dec 19, 2024 281   Alabama St. W 70-67 60%    
  Dec 20, 2024 241   Grambling St. W 67-66 51%    
  Dec 29, 2024 125   @ High Point L 70-79 21%    
  Dec 31, 2024 9   @ Tennessee L 58-81 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 360   Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-62 89%    
  Jan 06, 2025 344   @ Delaware St. W 72-66 68%    
  Jan 11, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 74-56 94%    
  Jan 13, 2025 338   @ Morgan St. W 77-72 65%    
  Jan 25, 2025 246   Howard W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 01, 2025 310   South Carolina St. W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 03, 2025 283   NC Central W 73-67 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 360   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 73-65 76%    
  Feb 17, 2025 344   Delaware St. W 75-63 84%    
  Feb 22, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 71-59 85%    
  Feb 24, 2025 338   Morgan St. W 80-69 81%    
  Mar 01, 2025 310   @ South Carolina St. W 72-71 55%    
  Mar 03, 2025 283   @ NC Central W 71-70 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 246   @ Howard L 71-73 43%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 4.7 11.0 13.1 9.2 3.4 42.2 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 6.0 10.0 5.9 1.2 24.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 5.2 6.6 2.2 0.2 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.6 3.9 0.9 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.8 7.0 10.8 14.2 16.9 17.1 14.3 9.2 3.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 3.4    3.4
13-1 100.0% 9.2    8.9 0.3
12-2 91.6% 13.1    10.5 2.6 0.0
11-3 64.4% 11.0    5.6 4.7 0.7
10-4 27.7% 4.7    1.3 2.2 1.1 0.1
9-5 5.1% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 42.2% 42.2 29.7 10.1 2.2 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 3.4% 66.6% 66.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.2 1.2
13-1 9.2% 58.0% 58.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.1 1.2 3.9
12-2 14.3% 47.3% 47.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.5 3.1 7.6
11-3 17.1% 37.3% 37.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.3 10.7
10-4 16.9% 28.9% 28.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 4.1 12.0
9-5 14.2% 22.1% 22.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.0 11.1
8-6 10.8% 15.0% 15.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6 9.2
7-7 7.0% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7 6.2
6-8 3.8% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.3 3.5
5-9 1.9% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.1 1.8
4-10 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-11 0.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 31.6% 31.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.5 7.9 18.7 68.4 0.0%