Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#196
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#178
Pace65.5#269
Improvement-4.4#356

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#165
First Shot+1.3#137
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#247
Layup/Dunks+2.0#111
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#323
Freethrows+3.2#38
Improvement-1.2#280

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#231
First Shot-1.2#208
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#248
Layups/Dunks+3.2#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#341
Freethrows-0.7#239
Improvement-3.2#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.8% 42.0% 35.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 87.7% 92.3% 79.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.8% 98.4% 96.8%
Conference Champion 55.3% 58.0% 50.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four7.9% 6.3% 10.8%
First Round36.1% 39.0% 30.7%
Second Round1.1% 1.3% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Neutral) - 65.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 33 - 7
Quad 415 - 518 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 112   James Madison W 83-69 41%     1 - 0 +14.6 +10.5 +4.3
  Nov 12, 2024 225   @ William & Mary L 73-84 45%     1 - 1 -11.3 -4.7 -6.3
  Nov 16, 2024 270   @ Hampton W 67-58 54%     2 - 1 +6.2 +3.0 +4.5
  Nov 20, 2024 87   @ Stanford L 63-70 15%     2 - 2 +2.2 +0.0 +1.6
  Nov 22, 2024 102   @ Grand Canyon L 73-91 18%     2 - 3 -10.1 +3.9 -13.8
  Nov 25, 2024 184   @ UC Davis W 76-55 37%     3 - 3 +22.8 +8.5 +14.4
  Dec 01, 2024 309   @ Stony Brook W 77-66 63%     4 - 3 +5.9 +8.7 -1.8
  Dec 09, 2024 156   Hofstra L 67-80 55%     4 - 4 -15.9 +1.4 -18.4
  Dec 11, 2024 12   @ Baylor L 69-94 4%     4 - 5 -6.1 +2.2 -8.2
  Dec 15, 2024 216   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-71 42%     4 - 6 -8.7 -5.1 -4.1
  Dec 19, 2024 275   Alabama St. W 76-72 65%    
  Dec 20, 2024 287   Grambling St. W 71-66 68%    
  Dec 29, 2024 134   @ High Point L 70-76 28%    
  Dec 31, 2024 4   @ Tennessee L 56-81 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-64 92%    
  Jan 06, 2025 341   @ Delaware St. W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 77-58 96%    
  Jan 13, 2025 349   @ Morgan St. W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 254   Howard W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 01, 2025 262   South Carolina St. W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 03, 2025 258   NC Central W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 15, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-67 80%    
  Feb 17, 2025 341   Delaware St. W 78-65 87%    
  Feb 22, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 74-61 89%    
  Feb 24, 2025 349   Morgan St. W 83-70 89%    
  Mar 01, 2025 262   @ South Carolina St. W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 03, 2025 258   @ NC Central W 72-71 53%    
  Mar 06, 2025 254   @ Howard W 75-74 52%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 6.0 15.3 17.7 11.7 3.8 55.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.6 10.0 5.8 0.9 23.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.7 2.1 0.1 12.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 0.8 0.0 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.7 7.8 12.9 18.1 21.2 18.6 11.7 3.8 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 3.8    3.8
13-1 100.0% 11.7    11.5 0.3
12-2 94.9% 17.7    14.7 2.9 0.0
11-3 72.3% 15.3    8.5 6.1 0.7 0.0
10-4 33.2% 6.0    1.6 2.9 1.4 0.2
9-5 6.1% 0.8    0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 55.3% 55.3 40.2 12.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 3.8% 63.8% 63.8% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.4
13-1 11.7% 57.3% 57.3% 14.4 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.8 0.4 5.0
12-2 18.6% 49.6% 49.6% 14.9 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.9 2.0 9.4
11-3 21.2% 41.5% 41.5% 15.4 0.1 0.7 3.8 4.2 12.4
10-4 18.1% 35.2% 35.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.6 11.7
9-5 12.9% 28.7% 28.7% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.3 9.2
8-6 7.8% 21.6% 21.6% 16.0 0.1 1.6 6.1
7-7 3.7% 16.0% 16.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6 3.1
6-8 1.5% 14.4% 14.4% 16.0 0.2 1.3
5-9 0.5% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
4-10 0.2% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-11 0.0% 0.0 0.0
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 39.8% 39.8% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.7 14.0 16.9 60.2 0.0%