Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#70
Expected Predictive Rating+3.9#116
Pace64.5#316
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#43
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#99
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.7% 1.9% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 4.5% 5.0% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.9% 25.8% 12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.2% 24.1% 11.2%
Average Seed 8.7 8.6 9.1
.500 or above 79.1% 82.2% 60.1%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 55.8% 40.1%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.5% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.0% 3.5% 7.4%
First Four4.8% 5.2% 3.0%
First Round21.3% 23.1% 10.5%
Second Round10.9% 11.8% 5.0%
Sweet Sixteen3.4% 3.8% 1.1%
Elite Eight1.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Davis (Home) - 85.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 7
Quad 25 - 47 - 11
Quad 36 - 212 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 309   Denver W 85-62 95%     1 - 0 +12.2 +6.6 +5.9
  Nov 08, 2024 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 80-53 93%     2 - 0 +18.8 +12.2 +9.4
  Nov 12, 2024 288   Northern Arizona W 90-64 94%     3 - 0 +16.4 +23.6 -3.5
  Nov 17, 2024 168   UC Davis W 77-66 86%    
  Nov 20, 2024 230   Norfolk St. W 77-63 91%    
  Nov 23, 2024 111   @ Santa Clara W 74-73 54%    
  Nov 26, 2024 85   Grand Canyon W 72-71 54%    
  Nov 30, 2024 333   Cal Poly W 84-63 97%    
  Dec 03, 2024 124   Utah Valley W 73-65 77%    
  Dec 07, 2024 119   @ California W 74-72 57%    
  Dec 17, 2024 206   Merrimack W 72-59 88%    
  Dec 21, 2024 39   Oregon L 69-72 40%    
  Jan 01, 2025 44   @ Clemson L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 04, 2025 35   @ Pittsburgh L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 08, 2025 82   Virginia Tech W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 11, 2025 78   Virginia W 63-59 62%    
  Jan 15, 2025 62   @ Wake Forest L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 18, 2025 10   @ North Carolina L 70-81 16%    
  Jan 22, 2025 33   Miami (FL) L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 80   Florida St. W 74-70 62%    
  Jan 29, 2025 89   Syracuse W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 63   @ SMU L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 05, 2025 62   Wake Forest W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 59   North Carolina St. W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 12, 2025 96   @ Georgia Tech L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 6   @ Duke L 65-78 13%    
  Feb 22, 2025 119   California W 77-69 75%    
  Feb 26, 2025 144   Boston College W 74-64 80%    
  Mar 01, 2025 63   SMU W 77-75 58%    
  Mar 05, 2025 81   @ Notre Dame L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 08, 2025 49   @ Louisville L 71-76 34%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 4.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.2 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.2 0.8 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 3.8 1.5 0.1 7.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.8 2.0 0.1 6.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 6.4 11th
12th 0.0 1.3 3.6 1.3 0.1 6.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 5.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.7 0.8 0.0 5.5 14th
15th 0.1 1.1 2.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 5.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.5 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 4.4 6.6 8.6 10.3 11.5 12.2 11.2 9.8 8.0 5.5 3.6 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 83.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
17-3 62.1% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 39.5% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 12.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 32.4% 67.6% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 24.0% 76.0% 3.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.9% 100.0% 14.9% 85.1% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.9% 97.5% 14.2% 83.3% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.1%
15-5 3.6% 91.3% 9.2% 82.1% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 90.4%
14-6 5.5% 83.0% 7.3% 75.8% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.9 81.7%
13-7 8.0% 60.0% 4.3% 55.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.2 0.1 3.2 58.2%
12-8 9.8% 39.9% 1.9% 37.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.9 38.7%
11-9 11.2% 21.8% 1.2% 20.6% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.8 20.8%
10-10 12.2% 10.2% 0.7% 9.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 11.0 9.5%
9-11 11.5% 2.8% 0.2% 2.5% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.2 2.6%
8-12 10.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2 0.6%
7-13 8.6% 8.6
6-14 6.6% 6.6
5-15 4.4% 4.4
4-16 2.8% 2.8
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 23.9% 2.1% 21.8% 8.7 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.7 4.7 5.3 0.8 0.0 76.1 22.2%