Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#87
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#92
Pace69.2#170
Improvement-1.9#295

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#63
First Shot+2.5#108
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#73
Layup/Dunks-1.3#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#198
Freethrows+1.8#81
Improvement-0.7#243

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#120
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#143
Layups/Dunks+0.5#152
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#43
Freethrows-1.6#282
Improvement-1.2#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 6.5% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.2% 5.6% 2.0%
Average Seed 9.9 9.9 10.0
.500 or above 80.2% 83.1% 60.9%
.500 or above in Conference 52.6% 54.3% 41.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.7% 3.3%
First Four2.1% 2.3% 0.8%
First Round4.8% 5.2% 1.9%
Second Round1.8% 2.0% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 87.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 36 - 10
Quad 36 - 312 - 13
Quad 47 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 325   Denver W 85-62 95%     1 - 0 +10.8 +6.1 +4.9
  Nov 08, 2024 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 80-53 92%     2 - 0 +17.9 +12.5 +8.2
  Nov 12, 2024 286   Northern Arizona W 90-64 92%     3 - 0 +16.3 +23.5 -3.4
  Nov 17, 2024 184   UC Davis W 79-65 84%     4 - 0 +9.8 +5.4 +3.9
  Nov 20, 2024 196   Norfolk St. W 70-63 85%     5 - 0 +2.3 +1.1 +2.0
  Nov 23, 2024 78   @ Santa Clara W 71-69 35%     6 - 0 +12.1 +2.4 +9.7
  Nov 26, 2024 102   Grand Canyon L 71-78 55%     6 - 1 -2.1 -3.3 +1.6
  Nov 30, 2024 249   Cal Poly L 90-97 90%     6 - 2 -14.9 +4.5 -18.7
  Dec 03, 2024 165   Utah Valley W 77-63 82%     7 - 2 +10.5 +0.2 +9.5
  Dec 07, 2024 120   @ California W 89-81 52%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +13.7 +21.0 -6.8
  Dec 17, 2024 217   Merrimack W 74-62 87%    
  Dec 21, 2024 23   Oregon L 71-79 23%    
  Jan 01, 2025 30   @ Clemson L 66-75 19%    
  Jan 04, 2025 32   @ Pittsburgh L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 08, 2025 125   Virginia Tech W 75-68 74%    
  Jan 11, 2025 93   Virginia W 64-61 62%    
  Jan 15, 2025 94   @ Wake Forest L 69-72 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 18   @ North Carolina L 75-86 15%    
  Jan 22, 2025 91   Miami (FL) W 78-75 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 65   Florida St. W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 29, 2025 97   Syracuse W 80-76 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 49   @ SMU L 74-81 26%    
  Feb 05, 2025 94   Wake Forest W 72-69 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 79   North Carolina St. W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 12, 2025 110   @ Georgia Tech L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 2   @ Duke L 63-81 6%    
  Feb 22, 2025 120   California W 82-75 72%    
  Feb 26, 2025 150   Boston College W 77-68 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 49   SMU L 77-78 46%    
  Mar 05, 2025 81   @ Notre Dame L 69-73 37%    
  Mar 08, 2025 50   @ Louisville L 72-79 27%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 3.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 4.7 1.5 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.8 2.9 0.3 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.3 3.4 4.6 0.7 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 5.3 1.9 0.1 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 7.7 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 4.2 1.0 0.0 0.0 7.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.3 2.1 0.1 0.0 6.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.7 0.6 0.0 5.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 2.3 0.9 0.0 4.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.1 0.1 3.0 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.2 6.1 9.3 12.3 14.4 14.6 13.2 10.3 7.1 4.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 67.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 35.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 18.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 3.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 89.3% 28.6% 60.7% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.0%
17-3 0.3% 92.2% 9.2% 83.0% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.4%
16-4 0.9% 76.9% 9.3% 67.5% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 74.5%
15-5 2.1% 54.4% 4.9% 49.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.9 52.0%
14-6 4.1% 31.7% 3.6% 28.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.0 2.8 29.1%
13-7 7.1% 16.8% 1.8% 15.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.1 5.9 15.2%
12-8 10.3% 7.6% 1.4% 6.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 9.5 6.3%
11-9 13.2% 2.6% 0.7% 2.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.9 2.0%
10-10 14.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.5 0.6%
9-11 14.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4 0.1%
8-12 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
7-13 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 9.3
6-14 6.1% 6.1
5-15 3.2% 3.2
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.9% 0.8% 5.1% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.4 0.2 0.0 94.1 5.2%