Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#85
Expected Predictive Rating+11.2#58
Pace74.6#57
Improvement+0.7#140

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#97
First Shot+2.9#99
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#171
Layup/Dunks+1.2#141
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#308
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#95
Freethrows+1.2#112
Improvement+1.6#57

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#80
First Shot+2.5#93
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#128
Layups/Dunks+4.6#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#131
Freethrows-1.9#292
Improvement-0.9#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.3% 14.2% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.2% 14.0% 6.4%
Average Seed 9.4 9.4 9.7
.500 or above 71.9% 77.6% 53.9%
.500 or above in Conference 23.8% 25.8% 17.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 8.5% 13.1%
First Four3.8% 4.3% 2.1%
First Round10.0% 11.4% 5.2%
Second Round3.8% 4.4% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Home) - 76.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 24 - 37 - 12
Quad 35 - 211 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 171 Portland St. W 89-79 84%     1 - 0 +5.9 +5.6 -0.9
  Sat, Nov 8 206 Montana W 91-68 87%     2 - 0 +17.3 +8.2 +7.6
  Wed, Nov 12 164 Montana St. W 77-68 83%     3 - 0 +5.4 -2.0 +6.8
  Tue, Nov 18 319 Louisiana W 93-66 95%     4 - 0 +15.1 +15.1 -0.6
  Fri, Nov 21 113 Seattle L 69-77 71%     4 - 1 -7.4 -4.4 -2.7
  Thu, Nov 27 102 Minnesota W 72-68 56%     5 - 1 +8.9 +8.3 +1.0
  Fri, Nov 28 45 Saint Louis W 78-77 33%     6 - 1 +11.9 +8.8 +3.1
  Mon, Dec 1 275 Portland W 94-72 92%     7 - 1 +13.0 +17.4 -4.2
  Sun, Dec 7 132 UNLV W 87-79 76%    
  Sat, Dec 13 182 @San Jose St. W 76-71 68%    
  Wed, Dec 17 191 Texas Arlington W 79-68 86%    
  Sat, Dec 20 63 Colorado L 79-81 42%    
  Sat, Dec 27 261 Cal St. Northridge W 88-73 91%    
  Tue, Dec 30 58 Notre Dame L 72-73 49%    
  Fri, Jan 2 13 Louisville L 77-86 21%    
  Wed, Jan 7 67 @Virginia Tech L 75-80 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 23 @Virginia L 71-82 15%    
  Wed, Jan 14 22 North Carolina L 76-82 30%    
  Sat, Jan 17 3 Duke L 68-81 12%    
  Sat, Jan 24 76 California W 77-75 57%    
  Wed, Jan 28 32 @Miami (FL) L 73-83 19%    
  Sat, Jan 31 101 @Florida St. L 81-83 44%    
  Wed, Feb 4 33 Clemson L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 135 Georgia Tech W 79-71 75%    
  Wed, Feb 11 145 @Boston College W 73-71 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 50 @Wake Forest L 75-82 26%    
  Sat, Feb 21 76 @California L 74-78 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 95 Pittsburgh W 75-71 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 40 SMU L 78-81 42%    
  Wed, Mar 4 58 @Notre Dame L 70-76 29%    
  Sat, Mar 7 36 @North Carolina St. L 77-86 20%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 3.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.4 0.6 0.0 3.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 1.8 0.1 5.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.9 3.5 0.5 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.1 1.8 0.1 7.0 10th
11th 0.3 3.3 3.9 0.4 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.3 1.7 0.0 9.2 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 5.0 3.6 0.3 9.9 13th
14th 0.5 3.7 5.2 1.1 0.0 10.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.4 2.2 0.1 10.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.1 2.9 0.4 9.2 16th
17th 0.1 1.3 3.1 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.4 17th
18th 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.6 18th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.1 6.4 10.0 13.6 15.1 14.5 12.2 9.5 6.6 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 56.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 19.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 5.4% 94.6% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 97.5% 5.0% 92.5% 6.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.4%
13-5 1.1% 95.1% 3.7% 91.4% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 94.9%
12-6 2.1% 86.3% 1.3% 85.0% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.3 86.1%
11-7 3.9% 67.9% 0.9% 67.0% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.3 67.6%
10-8 6.6% 46.2% 0.2% 46.0% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.0 3.5 46.0%
9-9 9.5% 23.1% 0.2% 23.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.1 7.3 23.0%
8-10 12.2% 7.0% 0.1% 7.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 11.4 7.0%
7-11 14.5% 1.1% 0.1% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.3 1.1%
6-12 15.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 15.1 0.2%
5-13 13.6% 13.6
4-14 10.0% 10.0
3-15 6.4% 6.4
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 12.3% 0.2% 12.2% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.5 3.5 3.4 0.1 87.7 12.2%