Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#78
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#97
Pace70.3#143
Improvement+3.8#15

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#68
First Shot+3.8#78
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#153
Layup/Dunks+3.2#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#67
Freethrows-0.1#183
Improvement+1.8#48

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#103
First Shot+1.3#132
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#71
Layups/Dunks+2.7#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
Freethrows-0.2#197
Improvement+2.0#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% 6.0% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.6% 3.0% 0.9%
Average Seed 10.5 10.5 10.8
.500 or above 89.8% 92.5% 77.0%
.500 or above in Conference 82.3% 83.6% 76.5%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four1.5% 1.7% 0.6%
First Round4.7% 5.2% 2.6%
Second Round1.7% 1.9% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kennesaw St. (Home) - 82.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 6
Quad 24 - 46 - 10
Quad 35 - 311 - 13
Quad 49 - 119 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 135   Saint Louis W 85-78 71%     1 - 0 +8.4 +5.7 +2.4
  Nov 08, 2024 61   Arizona St. L 74-81 42%     1 - 1 +2.1 +6.1 -4.0
  Nov 13, 2024 131   North Dakota St. L 80-88 OT 79%     1 - 2 -9.2 -4.2 -4.3
  Nov 16, 2024 54   @ Nevada L 59-85 29%     1 - 3 -13.1 -3.9 -11.0
  Nov 19, 2024 177   UC Riverside W 96-54 85%     2 - 3 +38.1 +24.3 +15.0
  Nov 23, 2024 87   Stanford L 69-71 65%     2 - 4 +1.2 -3.8 +5.0
  Nov 28, 2024 86   TCU W 69-52 53%     3 - 4 +23.3 +3.5 +20.1
  Nov 29, 2024 96   Washington L 69-76 56%     3 - 5 -1.4 +2.6 -4.2
  Dec 03, 2024 92   @ McNeese St. W 74-67 43%     4 - 5 +16.0 +11.2 +5.3
  Dec 07, 2024 256   Fresno St. W 81-66 92%     5 - 5 +6.7 +1.0 +4.5
  Dec 14, 2024 76   Bradley W 84-74 50%     6 - 5 +17.1 +18.0 -0.2
  Dec 18, 2024 154   Kennesaw St. W 84-74 82%    
  Dec 21, 2024 228   South Dakota W 90-76 90%    
  Dec 28, 2024 226   Pepperdine W 81-67 90%    
  Dec 30, 2024 56   @ San Francisco L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 02, 2025 315   @ San Diego W 81-68 88%    
  Jan 09, 2025 67   Oregon St. W 71-69 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 56   San Francisco W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 15, 2025 189   @ Loyola Marymount W 74-69 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 3   @ Gonzaga L 70-86 7%    
  Jan 23, 2025 68   Washington St. W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 25, 2025 67   @ Oregon St. L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 29, 2025 41   St. Mary's L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 264   Pacific W 81-65 92%    
  Feb 06, 2025 312   @ Portland W 80-68 87%    
  Feb 08, 2025 315   San Diego W 84-65 96%    
  Feb 11, 2025 41   @ St. Mary's L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 19, 2025 189   Loyola Marymount W 77-66 85%    
  Feb 22, 2025 68   @ Washington St. L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 27, 2025 3   Gonzaga L 73-83 18%    
  Mar 01, 2025 264   @ Pacific W 78-68 81%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.0 1.4 0.1 11.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 7.1 5.1 0.9 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 8.4 5.7 0.7 0.0 18.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.1 9.1 6.1 0.8 0.0 20.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.3 8.4 4.7 0.7 0.0 20.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.2 5.1 9.2 14.2 17.1 17.5 14.9 10.2 5.4 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 78.7% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-3 37.1% 0.8    0.3 0.5 0.1
14-4 9.4% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 96.0% 17.3% 78.7% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.2%
16-2 0.7% 70.4% 20.1% 50.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 62.9%
15-3 2.2% 43.7% 13.3% 30.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 1.2 35.1%
14-4 5.4% 23.4% 10.6% 12.8% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.1 4.2 14.4%
13-5 10.2% 11.2% 6.5% 4.6% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.1 9.1 4.9%
12-6 14.9% 5.2% 4.0% 1.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 14.1 1.3%
11-7 17.5% 1.9% 1.7% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 17.2 0.2%
10-8 17.1% 1.3% 1.2% 0.0% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 16.9 0.0%
9-9 14.2% 0.7% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.0
8-10 9.2% 0.4% 0.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2
7-11 5.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
6-12 2.2% 2.2
5-13 0.9% 0.9
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.5% 3.0% 2.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 3.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.5 2.6%