Santa Clara
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +12.1 44
Expected Predictive Rating +12.8 45
Pace 72.7 74
Improvement +1.0 141

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ #44 B+ B+ B- D- C+
Defense B- #62 B- C A- D+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 216 65% 48 +1.9 110
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 284 50% 7 +0.1 176
Three Pointers 47% 56 36% 103 +4.3 45
1st FG Attempt 1.14 34 +6.3 35
Second Chance 37.4% 25 1.09 88 0.41 32
Turnovers 15.6% 101
Freethrows 0.24 346 72% 181 0.17 339
Total Offense +7.9 44

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 64 58% 190 -2.9 282
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 228 33% 23 +1.6 67
Three Pointers 38% 264 31% 52 +3.4 48
1st FG Attempt 0.98 106 +2.2 107
Second Chance 30.6% 185 1.01 155 0.31 179
Turnovers 21.1% 16
Freethrows 0.33 281 73% 217 0.24 269
Total Defense +4.2 62

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.5 114 +0.6 273
Shot Type Accuracy +5.5 33 -2.6 73
Possession Length 16.1 66 17.5 221
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 32 0.22 327
Improvement +2.1 #79 -1.1 #259

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 1% 2% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 53% 69% 44%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 43% 58% 35%
Average Seed 9.9 9.5 10.2
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 38% 84% 13%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four16% 14% 17%
First Round45% 63% 35%
Second Round18% 25% 13%
Sweet Sixteen3% 4% 2%
Elite Eight1% 1% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Home) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 5
Quad 27 - 18 - 6
Quad 39 - 018 - 6
Quad 47 - 124 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 88 McNeese St. W 79 - 67 81% +5  65% 1 - 0 A- +15 B+ +8 B C B B+ +7 A+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 10 83 @Xavier W 87 - 68 59% +15  97% 2 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +15 B+ A+ B A+ +14 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 66 Nevada W 98 - 83 74% +13  99% 3 - 0 A +20 A+ +23 A+ A+ B- C- -3 D+ A A-
 Tue, Nov 18 250 Idaho St. W 64 - 55 96% +5  90% 4 - 0 C +1 F -12 F C+ B A+ +14 B+ A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 290 Louisiana W 80 - 43 97% +20  96% 5 - 0 A+ +27 B- +5 F A+ A+ A+ +23 A+ B+ A+
 Thu, Nov 27 22 Saint Louis L 70 - 71 33% +3  69% 5 - 1 A- +16 C+ +2 C- B+ C- A+ +14 A+ A C
 Fri, Nov 28 71 Minnesota W 86 - 75 66% +18  99% 6 - 1 A +19 A+ +19 A+ A- A- C+ +0 A- F C
 Wed, Dec 3 203 Utah Tech W 90 - 80 94% +12  95% 7 - 1 C+ +4 B- +4 B A- D C -0 F+ C A+
 Sat, Dec 6 49 @New Mexico L 71 - 98 43% -11  5% 7 - 2 D- -13 C +1 F+ A+ D+ F -14 F F B-
 Sat, Dec 13 69 Arizona St. L 79 - 82 65% +6  75% 7 - 3 B- +5 C+ +3 C+ C C B- +2 F D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 144 North Texas W 63 - 60 85% -2  32% 8 - 3 C+ +4 D -4 D+ A+ F A- +9 A- F C
 Sat, Dec 20 277 Loyola Chicago L 78 - 80 95% -1  30% 8 - 4 D -9 C +1 D- A+ C+ F+ -10 F B+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 178 @Oregon St. W 102 - 64 83% +22  99% 9 - 4 1 - 0 A+ +40 A+ +30 A+ C- B- A +11 B- B A+
 Tue, Dec 30 206 @Portland W 92 - 85 86% +1  46% 10 - 4 2 - 0 B- +7 A+ +16 A+ C+ D D- -9 F F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 2 291 Pepperdine W 82 - 63 97% +7  80% 11 - 4 3 - 0 B +8 C- -2 A- F C+ A- +9 A- D+ A+
 Sun, Jan 4 216 San Diego W 98 - 70 94% +12  97% 12 - 4 4 - 0 A +22 A +13 B A+ C+ B+ +7 C- A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 13 @Gonzaga L 77 - 89 18% -6  12% 12 - 5 4 - 1 B +10 B+ +9 B A C+ C+ +2 D D A-
 Sat, Jan 10 151 Loyola Marymount W 103 - 72 91% +17  98% 13 - 5 5 - 1 A+ +28 A+ +20 A A+ A+ B+ +6 A D B
 Wed, Jan 14 115 Pacific W 85 - 69 87% +4  56% 14 - 5 6 - 1 A- +16 A+ +16 B+ A+ A C+ +1 F D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 40 St. Mary's W 62 - 54 58% +7  98% 15 - 5 7 - 1 A +18 D -5 C- D+ C+ A+ +24 A+ B+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 216 @San Diego W 85 - 73 87% +14  98% 16 - 5 8 - 1 B+ +12 B- +4 A+ D F B+ +8 B+ A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 28 107 San Francisco W 88 - 73 85% +4  61% 17 - 5 9 - 1 A- +16 A +14 A+ B+ B+ B- +3 D- A+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 151 @Loyola Marymount W 104 - 73 79% +17  99% 18 - 5 10 - 1 A+ +34 A+ +23 A+ A+ C+ A- +9 B C+ A+
 Wed, Feb 4 115 @Pacific W 71 - 56 72% +4  66% 19 - 5 11 - 1 A +21 B +6 B D+ A A+ +17 B+ B A+
 Sat, Feb 7 125 @Washington St. W 96 - 92 75% +3  71% 20 - 5 12 - 1 B +9 A+ +20 A+ D C+ F+ -11 D- F C
 Wed, Feb 11 132 Seattle W 84 - 72 89% +6  91% 21 - 5 13 - 1 B +11 A+ +16 A D A+ D+ -5 C- D+ D+
 Sat, Feb 14 13 Gonzaga L 79 - 83 36%
 Sat, Feb 21 107 @San Francisco W 79 - 74 67%
 Wed, Feb 25 40 @St. Mary's L 73 - 77 35%
 Sat, Feb 28 178 Oregon St. W 83 - 67 93%
Totals 23 - 7 15 - 3 +12 B+ +8 B+ B+ B- B- +4 B- C A-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ A+ B- B+ 37% 16% 47% C+ B+ B+ B- B+ B- F+ C D- B- C B+ B B- 43% 19% 38% D+ B- C C C A- D+ C D+
1.20 65% 50% 36% +6 +1 1.14 37% 1.1 .41 16% .24 72% .17 1.03 58% 33% 31% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.0 .31 21% .33 73% .17
Nov
7		 McNeese St. B+ C+ F A- B 26% 13% 61% C B A+ F C B A F C B+ A F A+ A+ 50% 23% 27% C A+ A- F F A+ F B- F
1.17 58% 17% 39% +2 0 1.07 57% 0.7 .39 22% .48 60% .29 0.99 45% 60% 8% -12 +1 0.80 29% 1.9 .55 21% .43 74% .32
Nov
10		 Xavier A+ B- A+ D- B+ 52% 30% 18% C B+ A A+ A+ B C C+ C A+ C A+ A+ A+ 39% 35% 26% B A+ D F F A+ F D+ F
1.21 62% 53% 30% +6 0 1.13 38% 1.3 .50 15% .28 71% .20 0.95 61% 13% 8% -18 -2 0.63 30% 1.2 .37 18% .58 74% .43
Nov
15		 Nevada A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 21% 42% C A+ A A+ A+ B- D- F F+ C- A+ F F D 40% 30% 30% C+ D+ D+ A+ A A- F F F
1.39 74% 73% 41% +18 0 1.37 37% 1.8 .67 16% .27 63% .17 1.18 32% 64% 50% +4 -1 1.09 36% 0.7 .24 17% .48 86% .41
Nov
18		 Idaho St. F F A+ F F 47% 6% 47% A F A+ F C+ B B F C A+ F A+ A B+ 30% 15% 55% B- B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ D-
1.00 39% 67% 17% -19 +2 0.69 43% 0.8 .36 12% .36 70% .25 0.86 75% 17% 27% -4 0 0.95 23% 0.7 .16 25% .37 72% .27
Nov
21		 Louisiana B- B+ A+ F F 50% 4% 46% A F A+ C+ A+ A+ D F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 55% 26% 18% F A+ C- A+ B+ A+ F F F
1.20 65% 50% 17% -8 +3 0.92 50% 1.1 .55 12% .33 63% .21 0.65 33% 20% 14% -24 0 0.55 27% 0.6 .15 27% .52 80% .41
Nov
27		 Saint Louis C+ D F F D 53% 8% 39% A+ C- B B+ B+ C- B+ A A A+ C+ F A A+ 45% 6% 49% C A+ B A+ A C C- A+ B-
0.99 48% 25% 25% -11 +3 0.84 31% 1.0 .31 17% .37 82% .31 1.00 59% 67% 29% -1 +2 1.04 29% 0.8 .23 16% .32 63% .20
Nov
28		 Minnesota A+ B+ D+ A+ A+ 26% 17% 57% B- A+ F+ A+ A- A- F+ B- D- C+ C+ A+ A- A 43% 11% 46% D A- F F F C F D- F
1.29 64% 33% 53% +17 0 1.36 19% 1.8 .35 15% .19 73% .14 1.13 60% 20% 29% -5 +2 0.96 38% 1.3 .50 17% .49 74% .36
Dec
3		 Utah Tech B- A B D+ B 38% 12% 50% C+ B A+ C- A- D F F F C F B- D+ F+ 45% 11% 45% F+ F+ F A+ C A+ A F B-
1.18 74% 43% 30% +4 +1 1.12 45% 1.0 .45 18% .21 54% .11 1.05 72% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.6 .25 29% .15 100% .15
Dec
6		 New Mexico C D- A+ F F 22% 9% 69% B F+ A+ B A+ D+ F+ C+ D- F F A+ D F 48% 10% 42% D F D F F B- F F F
0.99 50% 80% 21% -11 0 0.80 41% 1.1 .45 21% .21 75% .16 1.37 79% 20% 38% +11 +2 1.28 35% 1.8 .62 17% .40 88% .35
Dec
13		 Arizona St. C+ B- F C C+ 35% 13% 52% B C+ C+ C- C C C A B- B- D A+ F F 49% 9% 43% F F A- F D+ A+ B- B- B
1.08 61% 29% 33% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.0 .33 21% .29 82% .24 1.12 65% 0% 50% +11 +2 1.28 27% 1.6 .42 22% .33 74% .25
Dec
17		 North Texas D D+ A- F D+ 33% 20% 47% C D+ A A+ A+ F F F F A- B D- A+ A 61% 12% 27% F A- C- F F C F C- F
0.93 53% 44% 24% -7 0 0.87 43% 1.6 .70 31% .28 62% .17 0.89 52% 40% 9% -13 +3 0.80 34% 1.3 .45 18% .49 70% .34
Dec
20		 Loyola Chicago C F A+ D- F+ 38% 20% 42% C+ D- A A A+ C+ C+ C C+ F+ B- F F+ F 28% 15% 57% B+ F B- A B+ F F F F
1.15 43% 55% 30% -5 0 0.93 39% 1.3 .50 12% .30 78% .23 1.18 54% 86% 38% +10 0 1.22 30% 0.8 .22 13% .39 78% .31
Dec
28		 Oregon St. A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 29% 18% 53% D A+ B- D- C- B- A- D B+ A A+ A+ F C+ 25% 20% 55% B+ B- C A B A+ F A+ D
1.49 93% 44% 58% +30 0 1.61 35% 0.9 .30 13% .40 71% .29 0.93 36% 22% 42% -2 -1 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 23% .51 63% .32
Dec
30		 Portland A+ B+ A+ A- A+ 33% 24% 43% D A+ A+ F C+ D C A+ B- D- F D- D- F 43% 18% 39% C- F F B- F+ B- C+ A+ B
1.29 67% 69% 39% +14 -1 1.28 46% 0.8 .36 20% .30 82% .24 1.19 86% 44% 37% +15 +1 1.33 40% 1.1 .44 21% .28 63% .18
Jan
2		 Pepperdine C- A+ A+ D- A- 41% 12% 47% C+ A- D- F F C+ F+ D- F+ A- B- A+ B A- 40% 23% 36% C- A- C+ F D+ A+ F B F
1.10 75% 57% 30% +6 +1 1.17 26% 0.7 .18 16% .19 67% .13 0.84 53% 18% 29% -9 0 0.83 27% 1.1 .30 25% .40 73% .29
Jan
4		 San Diego A A- A+ C+ B 30% 9% 61% C+ B A+ B- A+ C+ F A+ F B+ C A+ D- C 42% 15% 43% F+ C- A+ A+ A+ A- C+ B+ B-
1.32 71% 60% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.2 .59 19% .17 100% .17 0.94 59% 25% 39% +2 +1 1.08 19% 0.6 .11 21% .22 69% .15
Jan
8		 Gonzaga B+ A A+ F A- 22% 35% 44% D- B A B+ A C+ C- A+ B+ C+ F B- F+ D 44% 26% 30% D+ D C+ F D A- D- C- D-
1.05 67% 53% 25% +1 -3 0.98 34% 1.0 .34 20% .27 88% .24 1.21 77% 38% 40% +11 0 1.24 36% 1.4 .50 18% .35 71% .25
Jan
10		 Loyola Marymount A+ D A+ A+ A 37% 19% 43% B- A A A A+ A+ C+ C+ C+ B+ F A+ A+ A 31% 28% 41% B- A B+ F D B F+ B- D
1.34 48% 54% 41% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.2 .51 9% .30 76% .23 0.94 71% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.87 22% 1.5 .33 21% .33 65% .21
Jan
14		 Pacific A+ A+ A+ C- A- 24% 27% 49% D+ B+ B- A+ A+ A C- A+ A- C+ A- A- F F 41% 7% 51% F F F B D+ A+ C- C- C-
1.30 75% 50% 32% +6 -2 1.10 28% 1.6 .44 11% .32 89% .29 1.05 47% 33% 52% +9 +2 1.24 42% 0.9 .38 32% .29 77% .22
Jan
17		 St. Mary's D C D+ F C- 42% 31% 27% C- C- D+ D+ D+ C+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 38% 19% 43% C A+ A C B+ B+ F+ A+ C+
0.92 55% 33% 23% -7 -1 0.85 21% 0.9 .18 15% .35 75% .26 0.80 39% 33% 15% -20 0 0.62 30% 1.1 .33 19% .40 64% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 San Diego B- A+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 9% 47% B+ A+ F+ B- D F D+ F F B+ F C A+ B+ 38% 29% 34% B- B+ F+ A+ A+ D+ F+ C D-
1.14 86% 75% 41% +20 +2 1.47 27% 1.1 .31 28% .32 53% .17 0.98 76% 38% 16% -3 -1 0.95 35% 0.4 .13 16% .30 74% .22
Jan
28		 San Francisco A A- C- A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C- A+ C A+ B+ B+ D- B+ D B- F A- C- F+ 41% 22% 37% C+ D- D+ A+ A+ A F A- D
1.27 67% 36% 44% +9 -1 1.18 27% 1.3 .36 10% .21 77% .16 1.06 79% 30% 35% +8 0 1.17 35% 0.5 .18 20% .42 65% .27
Jan
31		 Loyola Marymount A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 14% 50% B+ A+ A+ A- A+ C+ B A A- A- D- D- A+ A- 45% 21% 33% F+ B C+ C+ C+ A+ F F F
1.34 62% 50% 41% +9 +1 1.21 46% 1.2 .54 15% .34 82% .27 0.94 68% 44% 14% -4 0 0.95 26% 1.0 .26 28% .63 77% .49
Feb
4		 Pacific B B- A+ D+ B- 35% 14% 51% A B B- F D+ A C F D- A+ A- F A- A 60% 16% 23% F B+ B B B A+ F A+ D+
1.11 61% 57% 31% +1 +1 1.06 28% 0.7 .20 11% .33 58% .19 0.87 46% 57% 30% -5 +2 0.95 31% 0.9 .28 27% .36 65% .23
Feb
7		 Washington St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 20% 38% B- A+ A- F D C+ D+ A C F+ D A+ F D- 48% 12% 40% F D- F F F C B F C
1.35 75% 64% 43% +17 0 1.38 34% 0.6 .22 14% .26 81% .21 1.30 68% 17% 48% +11 +2 1.27 41% 1.3 .52 18% .26 87% .22
Feb
11		 Seattle A+ C+ F A+ A 32% 13% 55% B- A F+ C- D A+ D- A+ C- D+ C+ A+ F C 48% 12% 40% F+ C- A F D+ D+ A F B-
1.23 56% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.13 24% 0.9 .21 4% .24 81% .20 1.05 56% 0% 43% 0 +2 1.06 18% 1.3 .24 16% .19 91% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 4.1 24.9 9.3 38.2 1st
2nd 0.1 6.3 33.1 7.0 46.5 2nd
3rd 1.1 10.1 4.1 15.3 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.2 16.4 41.2 31.9 9.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 9.3    9.3
16-2 78.1% 24.9    7.5 17.3
15-3 9.8% 4.1    0.1 1.6 2.4
14-4 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 38.2% 38.2 16.9 18.9 2.4



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 9.3% 85.1% 30.0% 55.1% 8.7 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.0 1.8 0.7 1.4 78.7%
16-2 31.9% 67.2% 25.1% 42.0% 9.8 0.0 0.5 2.2 5.0 7.6 6.1 0.0 10.5 56.1%
15-3 41.2% 45.6% 14.3% 31.4% 10.3 0.1 0.8 2.8 5.4 9.7 0.1 22.4 36.6%
14-4 16.4% 30.2% 10.0% 20.1% 10.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.2 0.1 11.5 22.4%
13-5 1.2% 16.4% 6.6% 9.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 10.5%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 53.2% 18.4% 34.8% 9.9 46.8 42.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.8% 100.0% 7.4 3.6 18.0 32.4 30.2 12.6 2.5 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.1% 81.1% 9.3 0.2 3.1 15.6 26.1 26.5 9.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.3% 69.4% 9.7 1.5 7.5 19.4 25.4 15.7