Nevada
Mountain West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +7.3 81
Results Rating +8.2 71
Consistency 0.15 145
Pace 64.4 290
Improvement -1.6 243

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 84 C B- B+ A D+
Defense B- 87 B- C C+ C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 126 D 53% 296 -0.9 213
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 51 C- 37% 217 +2.3 68
Three Pointers 32% 342 A- 39% 11 -1.9 248
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 285 C +0.2 158
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 186
Second Chance B- 34.0% 78 C+ 1.05 137 B- 0.36 77
Opponents' Steals B 7.9% 45
Other Turnovers B+ 5.7% 25
Turnovers B+ 13.7% 21
Freethrows A 0.38 8 B 76% 56 A 0.29 5
Total Offense B- +4.2 84

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 57% 52 C- 11.9% 234
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A 43% 13 C 5.5% 227
Three Pointers A- 93% 13 C- 1.0% 232
Total B+ 64% 36 D+ 6.6% 299


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 271 B+ 51% 27 -4.1 56
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 216 C- 40% 259 -0.2 174
Three Pointers 45% 64 C+ 33% 134 +1.3 257
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 161 B- -2.8 65
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 76
Second Chance B 26.6% 56 D- 1.16 342 C 0.31 182
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 136
Other Turnovers C 7.4% 154
Turnovers C+ 17.5% 133
Freethrows D+ 0.33 260 B- 70% 69 C- 0.23 231
Total Defense B- +3.1 87

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 234 B+ 16.8% 29
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 231 C 5.0% 166
Three Pointers C 84% 193 C 0.8% 166
Total C- 58% 252 B 7.4% 55

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 162 18.2 309
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 56 0.15 113
Consistency 0.12 179 0.12 164
Improvement -3.2 323 +1.6 97

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 89 80 69
Results Rating Rank 85 79 58
Conference Record 12 - 8 12 - 8 12 - 8
Conference Finish 5 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 11.5
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round5% 5% 1%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Air Force (Home) - 98.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 6
Quad 25 - 46 - 10
Quad 311 - 016 - 10
Quad 45 - 221 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 221 Louisiana Tech W 77 - 50 90% +16  98% 1 - 0 A +20 A- +11 C A+ B A+ +12 A+ C+ B-
 Sat, Nov 8 126 Pacific W 78 - 77 77% +2  61% 2 - 0 C +1 B +6 C- A B- D -6 D A+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 121 Southern Illinois W 86 - 81 OT 76% -1  30% 3 - 0 C+ +5 B +6 F+ D A+ C- -2 B B+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 44 @Santa Clara L 83 - 98 22% -13  0% 3 - 1 C +0 A +12 B+ D A- F -12 F F C
 Tue, Nov 18 175 UC Davis L 71 - 75 85% +0  37% 3 - 2 D+ -8 F -10 D+ F F+ B- +3 F A+ A+
 Sat, Nov 22 142 UC Santa Barbara W 77 - 64 81% +8  95% 4 - 2 B +11 C +1 C+ D- D- A +11 A+ D- A-
 Thu, Nov 27 49 Washington L 66 - 83 35% -7  2% 4 - 3 D+ -6 D -5 D- C+ B+ C -0 C- B+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 122 San Francisco W 81 - 65 67% +5  66% 5 - 3 A +19 A +13 A- C- A+ A- +7 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 133 UC San Diego W 76 - 70 79% +4  92% 6 - 3 C+ +5 B+ +9 B A A- D+ -4 A+ F F
 Sun, Dec 7 128 @Washington St. W 78 - 64 58% +5  55% 7 - 3 A +19 A +11 F+ A+ A A +9 A C- A-
 Sat, Dec 13 127 Duquesne W 78 - 75 77% +5  77% 8 - 3 C+ +2 B +6 D- A+ A+ D+ -3 A- F B-
 Sat, Dec 20 59 Boise St. W 81 - 66 53% +10  97% 9 - 3 1 - 0 A +21 A+ +17 A C+ A B+ +6 C A A
 Tue, Dec 30 85 @Colorado St. W 75 - 62 40% +4  83% 10 - 3 2 - 0 A +23 B+ +9 F A+ B+ A+ +16 A+ D- D
 Sat, Jan 3 129 @Fresno St. W 66 - 65 59% -2  8% 11 - 3 3 - 0 B- +6 C +0 D+ B- B+ B+ +6 C D- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 48 San Diego St. L 68 - 73 45% +2  54% 11 - 4 3 - 1 C+ +3 B- +5 F+ A+ A+ C- -2 B+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 100 Wyoming W 92 - 83 70% +4  89% 12 - 4 4 - 1 B +11 A+ +29 A+ A+ A- F -17 D- F F
 Wed, Jan 14 42 @Utah St. L 62 - 71 20% -3  14% 12 - 5 4 - 2 B- +7 D+ -3 C+ F C A +10 B+ A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 344 @Air Force W 81 - 66 94% +10  77% 13 - 5 5 - 2 B- +5 B- +5 A D F C+ +1 F+ A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 20 223 San Jose St. W 87 - 54 90% +16  97% 14 - 5 6 - 2 A+ +26 A+ +17 B A A+ A+ +13 A+ A- F+
 Sat, Jan 24 53 @New Mexico L 73 - 80 27% -0  42% 14 - 6 6 - 3 B- +7 B- +5 B- D B B- +2 A F+ D
 Tue, Jan 27 62 Grand Canyon W 66 - 60 OT 54% -2  31% 15 - 6 7 - 3 B+ +12 D -5 F C+ A A+ +17 A+ A- A-
 Fri, Jan 30 103 UNLV W 89 - 76 72% +11  97% 16 - 6 8 - 3 B+ +14 A+ +16 A+ B A+ C -1 C- A- C-
 Tue, Feb 3 59 @Boise St. L 87 - 91 OT 31% -8  3% 16 - 7 8 - 4 B +8 A +12 B- A A C- -3 C F C-
 Sat, Feb 7 129 Fresno St. W 69 - 59 79% -2  25% 17 - 7 9 - 4 B +9 C+ +2 F A A+ A- +8 A+ C F
 Sat, Feb 14 48 @San Diego St. L 57 - 71 25% -9  6% 17 - 8 9 - 5 C +0 D+ -2 F A+ C- C+ +1 A- F C
 Tue, Feb 17 223 @San Jose St. L 71 - 87 78% -12  0% 17 - 9 9 - 6 F+ -17 F+ -9 F F+ F+ D- -8 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 42 Utah St. W 80 - 77 40% -3  15% 18 - 9 10 - 6 B+ +13 A- +11 A+ C D+ B- +3 C A+ C
 Tue, Feb 24 53 New Mexico W 67 - 60 49% +1  51% 19 - 9 11 - 6 B+ +15 D -5 D D C+ A+ +19 A A+ A-
 Sat, Feb 28 103 @UNLV L 83 - 85 OT 50% +0  46% 19 - 10 11 - 7 B- +5 C+ +3 D+ C+ C+ B- +3 C F A
 Tue, Mar 3 100 @Wyoming L 73 - 83 48% -13  0% 19 - 11 11 - 8 C- -2 B- +5 D+ B- A+ D- -7 F A+ C
 Sat, Mar 7 344 Air Force W 81 - 58 99%
Totals 20 - 11 12 - 8 +7 B- +4 B+ C D+ B- +3 A- B A



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- D C- A- C 40% 50% 32% D+ C B- C+ B- B+ A B A B- B+ C- C+ B- 36% 19% 45% C B- B D- C C+ D+ B- C-
1.15 53% 37% 39% 0 -1 1.01 34% 1.1 .36 14% .38 76% .29 1.04 51% 40% 33% -3 0 0.96 27% 1.2 .31 17% .33 70% .27
Nov
4		 Louisiana Tech A- D- A+ D+ C+ 30% 33% 37% F C A+ A A+ B A+ B- A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 43% 9% 48% F A+ A+ F C+ B- F+ C- D-
1.23 46% 50% 31% -1 -2 0.95 49% 1.2 .60 16% .53 75% .40 0.80 53% 25% 14% -18 +2 0.70 22% 1.1 .25 21% .34 65% .22
Nov
8		 Pacific B D+ A+ F C- 40% 30% 30% C+ C- A+ D+ A B- A+ F A+ D A+ C F D 33% 10% 58% D- D A+ C A+ F B- A B
1.16 53% 54% 23% -2 -1 0.95 40% 0.9 .38 13% .67 62% .41 1.14 41% 40% 47% +6 +1 1.15 18% 1.0 .18 12% .25 67% .17
Nov
12		 Southern Illinois B F A+ F D- 25% 30% 46% F+ F+ B- F D A+ A+ B- A+ C- A F A- B- 40% 34% 26% B B A C+ B+ F F B F
1.09 33% 50% 25% -9 -2 0.80 32% 0.7 .23 5% .44 73% .32 1.03 48% 50% 27% -3 -2 0.93 23% 0.9 .20 10% .41 66% .27
Nov
15		 Santa Clara A F A+ A+ A 40% 30% 30% F+ B+ B+ F D A- A+ A+ A+ F F F F F 37% 21% 42% B F C F F C D+ A+ C+
1.18 32% 64% 50% +4 -1 1.09 36% 0.7 .24 17% .48 86% .41 1.39 74% 73% 41% +17 0 1.37 37% 1.8 .67 16% .27 63% .17
Nov
18		 UC Davis F F F A+ D 46% 17% 37% C D+ D+ F F F+ A+ C- A+ B- D- D- F F 29% 17% 54% C F A+ A+ A+ A+ F C+ F
0.96 48% 13% 47% -2 +1 1.00 27% 0.4 .12 23% .51 72% .37 1.01 67% 43% 45% +13 0 1.27 15% 0.8 .11 27% .50 74% .37
Nov
22		 UC Santa Barbara C B B+ D C+ 45% 25% 30% C C+ C- F D- D- A+ A+ A+ A B A+ A+ A+ 38% 11% 51% D- A+ B+ F D- A- F A+ D-
1.13 65% 45% 31% +4 0 1.09 26% 0.9 .22 19% .54 87% .47 0.94 53% 20% 26% -10 +1 0.84 26% 1.5 .39 22% .43 65% .28
Nov
27		 Washington D F D+ A F+ 40% 35% 25% C D- D+ A+ C+ B+ A+ C A+ C A+ C+ F B- 58% 12% 30% F C- D+ A+ B+ A F C F
0.92 33% 33% 38% -10 -2 0.79 23% 1.2 .28 13% .37 70% .26 1.16 40% 40% 62% +2 +3 1.12 38% 0.8 .32 20% .63 75% .47
Nov
28		 San Francisco A C+ D- A+ A- 48% 31% 21% C- A- B+ F C- A+ B- B+ B A- A- D- A+ A+ 35% 18% 48% C A F F+ F A+ F F F
1.26 60% 31% 55% +5 -1 1.12 33% 0.8 .27 6% .30 78% .23 1.01 50% 43% 26% -7 0 0.88 40% 1.3 .50 23% .51 80% .41
Dec
2		 UC San Diego B+ B B+ D+ B 46% 20% 35% B- B A+ C+ A A- A+ F B+ D+ A D+ A+ A+ 56% 9% 35% F A+ D F F F A D- A-
1.18 62% 44% 31% +2 +1 1.07 39% 1.1 .42 12% .39 59% .23 1.09 47% 40% 20% -14 +3 0.81 30% 1.4 .42 6% .18 73% .13
Dec
7		 Washington St. A F D- A D- 33% 37% 31% F F+ A A+ A+ A A A+ A+ A D+ A+ C- A 29% 26% 45% A A D C+ C- A- F D+ F
1.23 38% 33% 40% -6 -2 0.86 38% 1.4 .54 9% .37 86% .31 1.01 67% 18% 37% -1 -1 0.98 34% 0.9 .31 22% .45 77% .35
Dec
13		 Duquesne B F B B+ D 43% 40% 17% F+ D- B A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ A F B+ A 42% 4% 54% D A- F D F B- C- F F
1.16 40% 42% 38% -5 -2 0.87 33% 1.3 .44 12% .54 75% .40 1.11 48% 50% 30% -7 +2 0.92 38% 1.1 .43 19% .37 90% .33
Dec
20		 Boise St. A+ B A A+ A+ 40% 40% 20% D- A C B C+ A A+ A+ A+ B+ C- D+ C C+ 45% 13% 43% D C D A+ A A F A+ F
1.30 63% 50% 50% +11 -2 1.20 21% 1.2 .25 11% .61 79% .49 1.06 61% 40% 35% +2 +2 1.10 38% 0.6 .24 21% .63 61% .38
Dec
30		 Colorado St. B+ A+ F F F 18% 39% 43% F F C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ 30% 23% 48% A- A+ D+ F+ D- D F A+ F
1.18 75% 18% 26% -10 -4 0.75 29% 2.4 .71 13% .56 74% .41 0.97 77% 10% 24% -8 -1 0.84 33% 1.3 .42 16% .54 62% .33
Jan
3		 Fresno St. C D- F C D 39% 22% 39% C D+ D+ A+ B- B+ A D- B+ B+ B- C D+ C+ 50% 18% 32% D- C D D- D- A+ A- F+ B
1.02 53% 27% 32% -6 0 0.90 26% 1.3 .34 15% .33 67% .22 1.00 55% 38% 36% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.1 .37 23% .22 82% .18
Jan
6		 San Diego St. B- B F F D- 20% 29% 51% F+ F+ B A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ C- F+ F A+ B+ 32% 32% 36% B B+ F F F A- D- A C-
1.06 60% 20% 27% -10 -2 0.76 33% 1.3 .44 14% .36 90% .33 1.14 71% 50% 19% 0 -2 0.98 40% 1.6 .63 20% .37 68% .25
Jan
10		 Wyoming A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 50% 17% 33% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A- A+ A+ F A F F F+ 45% 18% 36% B- D- B- F F F F C+ F
1.49 57% 50% 67% +17 +1 1.39 41% 1.2 .50 13% .45 83% .37 1.35 45% 63% 50% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.4 .46 10% .56 74% .41
Jan
14		 Utah St. D+ F F A+ B- 44% 33% 23% D+ C+ B+ F F C C+ B B- A C+ B- B- B+ 45% 14% 41% C+ B+ A+ C+ A+ B F F F
0.94 43% 25% 64% -1 -1 0.98 37% 0.2 .07 21% .33 76% .25 1.08 60% 33% 33% 0 +1 1.05 23% 1.1 .27 17% .44 83% .37
Jan
17		 Air Force B- B C+ A+ A+ 40% 27% 33% C- A B- F D F A A+ A+ C+ D A+ F F 21% 21% 58% A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F A+
1.18 67% 42% 53% +14 -1 1.29 32% 0.8 .24 22% .39 90% .36 0.96 64% 18% 45% +7 -1 1.13 13% 0.0 .00 20% .11 100% .11
Jan
20		 San Jose St. A+ C- D- A+ B+ 40% 24% 36% D B C+ A+ A A+ A B+ A A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 28% 28% 44% C A+ B+ A- A- F+ D+ B C-
1.41 60% 33% 50% +8 0 1.18 35% 1.5 .52 8% .37 81% .30 0.88 43% 36% 18% -15 -2 0.68 28% 0.9 .25 11% .31 71% .22
Jan
24		 New Mexico B- C- A+ D+ B- 39% 22% 39% B- B- B+ F D B A A+ A+ B- A+ C F+ A+ 40% 10% 50% C A C F F+ D F C F
1.04 55% 55% 30% 0 0 1.02 32% 0.6 .19 17% .36 81% .29 1.14 30% 40% 40% -7 +1 0.92 30% 1.3 .40 13% .44 74% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Grand Canyon D F F A- F 38% 34% 29% D+ F B- C C+ A A F+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 24% 42% B+ A+ A+ F A- A- A- A+ A
0.91 38% 16% 38% -14 -2 0.71 27% 1.1 .29 12% .41 65% .27 0.83 41% 58% 19% -10 -1 0.80 22% 1.3 .27 21% .26 67% .17
Jan
30		 UNLV A+ B- A- A+ A+ 49% 23% 28% C+ A+ F A+ B A+ A+ B- A+ C B C F D 32% 23% 45% B+ C- A- B+ A- C- A+ F A+
1.33 61% 45% 54% +11 0 1.26 19% 2.0 .38 10% .52 74% .38 1.13 53% 42% 46% +7 -1 1.15 26% 0.8 .21 15% .19 82% .16
Feb
3		 Boise St. A B C+ B B 33% 33% 33% D+ B- C A+ A A B- C- C+ C- F D+ A- C 42% 10% 48% D C B F F C- F C+ F
1.17 63% 42% 37% +4 -2 1.07 21% 1.9 .38 11% .29 68% .20 1.22 70% 40% 30% +3 +2 1.10 31% 1.8 .54 15% .55 77% .43
Feb
7		 Fresno St. C+ D- F+ F F 35% 21% 44% C F B A+ A A+ A+ B A+ A- A+ C- A A+ 27% 20% 53% B A+ A+ F C F C C C
1.09 53% 30% 19% -13 0 0.75 33% 1.3 .44 11% .44 76% .34 0.93 38% 40% 27% -10 -1 0.80 14% 2.0 .29 13% .29 75% .22
Feb
14		 San Diego St. D+ F F F F 15% 29% 56% F F A+ A- A+ C- A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F B+ A 27% 20% 52% C- A- B F F C D+ F F
0.91 33% 25% 26% -14 -3 0.68 41% 1.1 .46 22% .47 74% .35 1.13 42% 56% 30% -4 -1 0.93 29% 1.6 .46 16% .34 94% .32
Feb
17		 San Jose St. F+ A- F+ F F 36% 28% 36% F+ F C- F F+ F+ A+ C A+ D- A+ F F F 16% 31% 53% B+ F F+ F F A+ D- A+ C
1.00 71% 31% 12% -10 -1 0.81 33% 0.8 .28 21% .57 75% .43 1.22 38% 53% 46% +11 -3 1.18 39% 1.6 .61 21% .34 63% .21
Feb
21		 Utah St. A- A F A+ A+ 40% 18% 43% B A+ B+ F+ C D+ A+ C+ A+ B- A+ A+ F C 32% 9% 58% B- C A- A+ A+ C C- A C+
1.19 69% 14% 59% +16 +1 1.35 38% 0.8 .31 22% .52 74% .38 1.14 47% 20% 45% +5 +1 1.13 29% 0.7 .20 15% .33 63% .21
Feb
24		 New Mexico D F A+ D- D 44% 28% 28% C D B F D C+ A+ C+ A A+ A+ D- B- A+ 44% 21% 35% B+ A A+ A+ A+ A- D- A+ B-
0.95 36% 57% 29% -7 -1 0.88 31% 0.6 .19 18% .38 73% .28 0.85 43% 45% 33% -5 0 0.92 18% 0.1 .03 18% .36 57% .21
Feb
28		 UNLV C+ C- F A+ C- 42% 31% 27% D D+ C+ C C+ C+ A+ C A+ B- C+ C+ F C 47% 20% 33% C- C F+ F+ F A F B F
1.10 55% 20% 46% -2 -1 0.96 32% 1.1 .34 17% .58 72% .42 1.13 57% 40% 44% +4 +1 1.12 38% 1.1 .41 21% .49 66% .32
Mar
3		 Wyoming B- D- A+ F D+ 45% 24% 31% D D+ D A+ B- A+ A+ D A- D- F F F F 45% 9% 45% D+ F A+ F A+ C F A+ D-
1.10 50% 50% 27% -4 0 0.94 22% 1.4 .31 9% .48 66% .32 1.25 80% 75% 45% +21 +2 1.48 13% 1.3 .17 17% .49 59% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 16.4 16.4 4th
5th 82.2 82.2 5th
6th 1.3 1.3 6th
7th 0.2 0.2 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 1.5 98.5 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 98.5% 5.6% 5.3% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.1 4.1 1.2 0.0 93.1 0.3%
11-9 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 1.5
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.5% 5.3% 0.2% 11.2 94.5 0.3%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.2% 100.0% 11.2 0.2 1.9 75.9 21.8 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 9.0% 1.3% 11.3 0.9 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 22.6% 0.2% 11.2 0.2 0.0
Lose Out 0.7%