Auburn
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +13.7 37
Results Rating +13.0 42
Consistency 0.18 323
Pace 68.7 173
Improvement -3.2 301

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 13 B+ A- B+ A+ B
Defense C+ 106 C+ B- B C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 80 B 63% 65 +4.6 36
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 298 A- 46% 24 -1.0 236
Three Pointers 43% 146 B- 36% 89 +2.3 99
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 58 B+ +4.6 49
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 39
Second Chance A 39.8% 7 C+ 1.07 113 A- 0.43 20
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.8% 110
Other Turnovers A- 5.2% 11
Turnovers B+ 14.0% 30
Freethrows A 0.40 4 B 76% 70 A+ 0.30 4
Total Offense A +11.2 13

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 50% 158 C 11.1% 183
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 168 B+ 2.3% 22
Three Pointers F+ 73% 351 C- 1.1% 245
Total C- 54% 219 C 5.5% 179


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 257 B 54% 69 -2.9 84
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 105 C+ 37% 141 +0.5 232
Three Pointers 41% 167 D+ 36% 291 +1.6 265
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 104 C -0.3 166
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.01 151
Second Chance B- 27.8% 87 C 1.02 164 B- 0.28 101
Turnovers from Steals B+ 12.3% 24
Other Turnovers D+ 6.6% 272
Turnovers B 18.9% 60
Freethrows B- 0.28 107 C- 74% 258 C+ 0.21 125
Total Defense C+ +2.4 106

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 52 A- 17.7% 21
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 181 B 7.3% 53
Three Pointers B 79% 57 C 0.9% 138
Total B- 51% 95 A- 8.5% 22

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.1 55 18.6 341
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 37 0.14 64
Consistency 0.10 24 0.13 235
Improvement -0.8 232 -2.3 302

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status On The Bubble
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 43 38 30
Results Rating Rank 49 43 34
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 11 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 9
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 1% 3% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38% 76% 26%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 37% 76% 25%
Average Seed 10.5 10.0 10.9
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four27% 41% 22%
First Round26% 59% 16%
Second Round12% 26% 7%
Sweet Sixteen3% 7% 2%
Elite Eight1% 2% 1%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Alabama (Away) - 23.5% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 45 - 12
Quad 24 - 29 - 15
Quad 32 - 111 - 16
Quad 46 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 236 Bethune-Cookman W 95 - 90 OT 96% +1  61% 1 - 0 C- -2 B +6 C- B B- F+ -9 F B+ D
 Thu, Nov 6 173 Merrimack W 95 - 57 94% +18  92% 2 - 0 A+ +34 A+ +22 B A+ A+ A+ +14 A+ B- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 240 Wofford W 93 - 62 96% +19  95% 3 - 0 A+ +24 A- +10 B- A+ C A+ +13 A- A- B+
 Sun, Nov 16 6 Houston L 72 - 73 21% -3  11% 3 - 1 A +21 A- +11 C+ B+ A+ A +10 B+ A B+
 Wed, Nov 19 345 Jackson St. W 112 - 66 99% +26  94% 4 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +20 A+ D+ A- A- +7 D+ C A+
 Mon, Nov 24 82 Oregon W 84 - 73 74% +3  75% 5 - 1 A +18 A +13 C+ A+ A+ B +5 A- F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 2 Michigan L 72 - 102 11% -21  3% 5 - 2 C- -3 B+ +9 B C+ A+ F -12 B- F D
 Wed, Nov 26 19 St. John's W 85 - 74 36% +0  45% 6 - 2 A+ +28 A+ +25 A+ A+ B+ B +4 A F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 34 North Carolina St. W 83 - 73 60% +5  82% 7 - 2 A +21 A- +10 A+ C F A +11 A- A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 4 @Arizona L 68 - 97 9% -15  6% 7 - 3 C -1 B- +4 D A- D+ C- -3 F C B+
 Sat, Dec 13 286 Chattanooga W 92 - 78 96% +7  95% 8 - 3 B- +7 A +12 A+ A+ F D -5 C- C F
 Sat, Dec 20 7 Purdue L 60 - 88 26% -13  3% 8 - 4 D+ -7 D -4 C- F+ B D -5 D F A
 Mon, Dec 29 202 Queens W 106 - 65 95% +30  99% 9 - 4 A+ +36 A+ +17 A+ B- B- A+ +17 A+ C- B+
 Sat, Jan 3 25 @Georgia L 100 - 104 OT 32% -1  26% 9 - 5 0 - 1 B+ +15 A+ +15 B+ B A- C -0 D+ B+ C-
 Tue, Jan 6 33 Texas A&M L 88 - 90 58% +0  43% 9 - 6 0 - 2 B +9 A +13 C+ A+ B- D+ -4 D- F A
 Sat, Jan 10 18 Arkansas W 95 - 73 45% +15  93% 10 - 6 1 - 2 A+ +37 A+ +21 A+ A+ A- A+ +16 A A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 46 @Missouri L 74 - 84 46% -4  25% 10 - 7 1 - 3 C+ +5 B +6 C- A B C -1 F A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 97 South Carolina W 71 - 67 85% +5  88% 11 - 7 2 - 3 B- +7 D+ -3 D F+ C A +9 B+ C A+
 Tue, Jan 20 74 @Mississippi W 78 - 66 60% +5  86% 12 - 7 3 - 3 A +23 A +13 D A+ A A +11 A+ B- F+
 Sat, Jan 24 3 @Florida W 76 - 67 9% +8  93% 13 - 7 4 - 3 A+ +38 A+ +21 A+ C+ A- A+ +18 A A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 27 Texas W 88 - 82 55% -3  26% 14 - 7 5 - 3 A +18 A+ +23 A+ C+ A+ D+ -4 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 13 @Tennessee L 69 - 77 23% -8  0% 14 - 8 5 - 4 B+ +14 B +7 D+ A B+ B+ +7 B A+ A
 Sat, Feb 7 15 Alabama L 92 - 96 43% +2  60% 14 - 9 5 - 5 B+ +12 A +14 A+ B+ A+ C- -2 D+ D A+
 Tue, Feb 10 17 Vanderbilt L 76 - 84 45% -7  1% 14 - 10 5 - 6 B- +7 A +13 C- A+ A+ D- -7 B F D
 Sat, Feb 14 18 @Arkansas L 75 - 88 24% -8  10% 14 - 11 5 - 7 B- +8 A- +10 C- B- A+ C- -2 D C+ F+
 Wed, Feb 18 93 @Mississippi St. L 85 - 91 67% -7  12% 14 - 12 5 - 8 C+ +3 A+ +17 C A+ B F -15 F B F
 Sat, Feb 21 22 Kentucky W 75 - 74 53% -0  45% 15 - 12 6 - 8 B+ +14 B- +5 B B+ B- A +9 B+ C+ A
 Tue, Feb 24 44 @Oklahoma L 79 - 91 43% -9  1% 15 - 13 6 - 9 C+ +3 A +12 B A+ F F+ -9 F+ C C
 Sat, Feb 28 74 Mississippi L 79 - 85 79% -1  35% 15 - 14 6 - 10 C -1 A- +9 A+ C D- F -11 D- F C+
 Tue, Mar 3 59 LSU W 88 - 74 75% +6  71% 16 - 14 7 - 10 A +21 A+ +17 A A+ B B +4 F+ B+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 15 @Alabama L 86 - 94 23%
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 11 +14 A +11 B+ B+ B C+ +2 B- B A+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A B A- B- B+ 42% 27% 43% B B+ A C+ A- B+ A B A+ C+ B C+ D+ C 36% 23% 41% C+ C+ B- C B- B B- C- C+
1.25 63% 46% 36% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 14% .40 76% .30 1.05 54% 37% 36% 0 0 1.01 28% 1.0 .28 19% .28 74% .29
Nov
3		 Bethune-Cookman B D+ A+ F+ D 54% 7% 39% A- C- B+ C- B B- A+ C A+ F+ D A+ F F 44% 21% 35% D+ F B+ A- B+ D A+ F A+
1.19 52% 50% 29% -6 +3 0.96 40% 1.1 .44 14% .55 71% .39 1.13 64% 23% 50% +8 0 1.19 24% 0.9 .21 16% .14 89% .12
Nov
6		 Merrimack A+ B+ A+ D- B+ 34% 21% 45% C- B A+ A A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 31% 12% 57% B- A+ C+ B B- C+ F A D+
1.41 63% 60% 29% +3 0 1.06 60% 1.2 .74 12% .62 73% .45 0.84 47% 17% 25% -14 +1 0.76 23% 0.9 .20 16% .42 71% .30
Nov
11		 Wofford A- C A+ B- B+ 35% 22% 44% D- B- A+ D- A+ C C- F D A+ C+ C+ A+ A- 40% 20% 40% B A- A- B+ A- B+ A+ F A+
1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20 0.87 55% 36% 23% -9 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14
Nov
16		 Houston A- D D+ C- C+ 36% 22% 42% C+ C+ A C B+ A+ A+ D A+ A B- F A B+ 28% 33% 39% B- B+ C A+ A B+ B+ D- B
1.08 50% 30% 32% -6 0 0.89 35% 0.9 .33 12% .56 64% .36 1.09 60% 50% 29% +1 -2 1.00 38% 0.8 .30 15% .21 83% .18
Nov
19		 Jackson St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 5% 51% A- A+ D B- D+ A- D- B D A- B- D- C+ D- 26% 39% 35% A+ D+ F+ A- C A+ F B- F+
1.48 88% 67% 43% +22 +2 1.51 32% 1.1 .36 12% .29 79% .23 0.87 50% 44% 31% -1 -3 0.93 33% 0.8 .27 29% .35 74% .26
Nov
24		 Oregon A A+ B- F C+ 34% 29% 38% C C+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ B A F A A 24% 11% 64% B- A- F B- F A+ F D F
1.20 68% 44% 24% -1 -1 0.98 32% 1.3 .42 9% .36 83% .30 1.04 45% 60% 28% -7 0 0.89 48% 1.1 .52 26% .44 78% .35
Nov
25		 Michigan B+ F F A+ B- 33% 23% 44% B+ B B D C+ A+ A+ F A+ F B F D B- 38% 5% 57% C+ B- D- D F D C+ F D+
1.01 35% 8% 43% -8 -1 0.85 30% 0.9 .26 11% .52 55% .29 1.44 57% 67% 38% +4 +2 1.14 44% 1.5 .67 13% .35 82% .29
Nov
26		 St. John's A+ A+ C A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B B A+ A A+ 44% 10% 46% D+ A F D- F A+ F C- F
1.28 73% 36% 42% +10 0 1.22 48% 1.1 .52 18% .46 84% .38 1.11 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 45% 1.3 .57 21% .53 75% .40
Dec
3		 North Carolina St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 40% 10% 50% B A+ C C C F A+ A+ A+ A C- B B A- 34% 16% 50% B A- A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A
1.18 75% 25% 55% +21 +1 1.48 26% 1.0 .26 28% .44 86% .38 1.04 63% 33% 32% 0 0 1.02 21% 0.6 .13 13% .21 85% .18
Dec
6		 Arizona B- F+ F F D- 27% 29% 44% C+ D A+ C A- D+ A+ A+ A+ C- D F F F 46% 30% 25% C+ F B- D+ C B+ A+ C A+
0.92 43% 27% 26% -13 -2 0.73 36% 0.8 .29 20% .42 80% .34 1.31 69% 65% 43% +16 -1 1.33 38% 1.1 .41 17% .20 75% .15
Dec
13		 Chattanooga A A+ A+ A- A+ 16% 26% 58% F A+ A+ C A+ F A+ A- A+ D A+ F D D+ 33% 31% 35% A- C- A F C F D F F
1.31 86% 55% 40% +14 -2 1.26 47% 1.1 .53 19% .65 78% .51 1.11 44% 53% 37% +2 -2 1.02 13% 1.8 .22 9% .31 85% .27
Dec
20		 Purdue D D+ A- F D+ 29% 25% 45% C+ C- B+ F F+ B A- C+ A- D F F D D 35% 18% 47% D+ D D+ F F A A+ F B
0.92 53% 46% 26% -5 -1 0.90 29% 0.5 .13 15% .29 69% .20 1.35 76% 56% 39% +13 0 1.29 39% 1.7 .65 17% .18 100% .18
Dec
29		 Queens A+ A F A+ A+ 38% 13% 48% C+ A+ A D- B- B- A+ D A A+ B A+ A+ A+ 55% 18% 27% D- A+ B F C- B+ F D+ F
1.43 70% 14% 60% +20 +1 1.44 43% 0.9 .40 14% .47 70% .33 0.88 56% 22% 8% -15 +1 0.76 25% 1.3 .33 19% .45 78% .35
Jan
3		 Georgia A+ B- A+ F B+ 47% 14% 40% A- B+ A+ D- B A- A+ D+ A+ C B- F D- D 41% 14% 45% C+ D+ A+ F B+ C- F B+ F
1.21 59% 75% 26% +1 +1 1.07 48% 0.7 .35 16% .52 67% .35 1.26 58% 75% 38% +8 +1 1.21 27% 1.3 .35 13% .49 71% .35
Jan
6		 Texas A&M A F A+ D C 41% 12% 47% A- C+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C+ A+ D+ B+ F F F+ 37% 12% 52% B D- D+ F F A C- A+ B-
1.20 45% 83% 30% -2 +1 1.00 46% 1.3 .59 18% .52 74% .38 1.23 53% 83% 44% +11 +1 1.27 36% 1.3 .48 19% .34 65% .22
Jan
10		 Arkansas A+ A F A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A- A+ B- A+ A+ B+ A D- A 35% 27% 38% A A A+ A- A+ A- D+ B C
1.33 68% 17% 47% +10 +2 1.26 31% 2.0 .62 14% .39 71% .28 1.02 56% 29% 40% 0 -1 1.00 22% 1.1 .25 15% .35 71% .25
Jan
14		 Missouri B C- D+ D D 40% 19% 40% B+ C- A B+ A B A+ D+ A+ C F+ D+ F F 49% 12% 40% D- F A+ A- A+ C+ F C+ F
1.08 53% 33% 32% -5 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 16% .49 71% .35 1.23 71% 40% 47% +14 +2 1.35 27% 1.0 .27 19% .56 68% .38
Jan
17		 South Carolina D+ B B- F F+ 52% 10% 38% A+ D C+ F F+ C A+ A- A+ A A C- C+ A 42% 14% 44% D- B+ F+ A C A+ D+ A+ B-
1.02 64% 40% 11% -10 +2 0.88 30% 0.5 .16 16% .51 77% .39 0.96 48% 43% 32% -5 +1 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 21% .36 65% .24
Jan
20		 Mississippi A A+ D F D- 40% 23% 38% B- D A+ B A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A+ C- C- A 13% 42% 44% A+ A+ A+ F B- F+ B+ D- B
1.18 69% 33% 13% -8 0 0.85 42% 1.2 .48 14% .69 82% .56 1.00 14% 41% 35% -4 -5 0.85 22% 1.4 .30 9% .25 80% .20
Jan
24		 Florida A+ B A+ D+ A+ 50% 23% 27% A- A+ B+ D+ C+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ C A+ 43% 13% 45% B- A B- A+ A+ B- F A+ D-
1.16 58% 55% 31% +3 +1 1.08 27% 0.6 .17 14% .37 90% .34 1.02 55% 17% 33% -5 +1 0.96 41% 0.6 .27 17% .50 59% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Texas A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 39% 12% 49% A A+ C C+ C+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ B F F F 31% 16% 53% C+ F A+ B- A+ B D D+ D
1.38 56% 60% 50% +14 +1 1.32 24% 1.0 .24 5% .64 74% .48 1.29 57% 71% 46% +14 0 1.31 29% 1.1 .33 17% .44 78% .34
Jan
31		 Tennessee B C+ F F D- 39% 11% 50% A D+ B A+ A B+ B+ B A- B+ F A+ D+ C+ 37% 37% 26% A+ B D+ A+ A+ A F F F
1.01 57% 17% 22% -12 +1 0.81 29% 1.3 .37 15% .34 70% .24 1.12 75% 25% 36% +2 -2 1.02 49% 0.8 .37 22% .58 81% .47
Feb
7		 Alabama A A A+ C- A 43% 14% 43% A A+ A D+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A C- C- A+ F D+ 44% 17% 39% B- D+ A+ F D A+ D F F
1.23 64% 50% 32% +3 +1 1.10 38% 0.9 .35 7% .32 77% .24 1.29 63% 33% 48% +9 +1 1.22 25% 1.9 .46 19% .38 87% .33
Feb
10		 Vanderbilt A F F A+ D 51% 14% 35% A+ C- A+ A A+ A+ A+ B- A+ D- B- A+ F+ B+ 40% 14% 47% D+ B D+ F F D F F F
1.19 44% 0% 41% -9 +2 0.88 51% 1.2 .60 12% .48 78% .37 1.31 59% 17% 40% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .50 11% .53 87% .46
Feb
14		 Arkansas A- F B C- C 38% 32% 30% D- C- A F B- A+ A A- A C- F A+ C- D 50% 15% 35% D- D A F C+ F+ A A A+
1.12 45% 41% 31% -5 -2 0.89 38% 1.0 .38 10% .33 75% .25 1.32 81% 25% 37% +11 +2 1.28 27% 1.6 .42 7% .24 67% .16
Feb
18		 Mississippi St. A+ F F+ A+ C 29% 25% 46% C+ C A+ A A+ B A+ A- A+ F F A F F 18% 31% 51% A+ F B B- B F C+ F D+
1.26 33% 31% 42% -4 -1 0.92 40% 1.2 .50 12% .52 81% .42 1.35 80% 29% 54% +16 -3 1.29 27% 1.0 .27 9% .28 76% .21
Feb
21		 Kentucky B- C A+ F C 58% 8% 34% A+ B A+ C- B+ B- A+ A+ A+ A B D+ B A- 47% 20% 33% C- B+ F A+ C+ A B F C
1.06 55% 75% 24% -4 +3 1.00 38% 0.8 .29 16% .40 83% .33 1.05 57% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 46% 0.9 .41 20% .30 82% .25
Feb
24		 Oklahoma A A- D+ A- B+ 32% 27% 41% D+ B A+ B+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ F+ A- A+ F F 33% 31% 35% A F+ C C C C F B- F
1.19 64% 33% 39% +4 -1 1.07 45% 1.1 .52 21% .52 78% .40 1.37 50% 27% 71% +13 -2 1.25 34% 1.3 .44 14% .44 72% .31
Feb
28		 Mississippi A- B A+ B A+ 34% 16% 50% B+ A+ A- F C D- A+ C A+ F F B- D- D- 30% 28% 42% D D- B- F F C+ C+ C- C+
1.18 60% 71% 36% +8 0 1.18 37% 0.8 .30 21% .51 70% .36 1.27 80% 36% 38% +8 -2 1.16 28% 1.8 .48 13% .29 76% .22
Mar
3		 LSU A+ A A+ C- A 41% 18% 41% B A C A+ A+ B A B+ A B D B F F 44% 22% 34% C+ F+ A+ F B+ A+ F B F
1.31 67% 56% 33% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.6 .45 13% .38 73% .27 1.10 67% 33% 50% +11 0 1.24 22% 1.6 .35 24% .51 73% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 76.5 23.5 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 76.5 23.5 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 23.5% 76.3% 1.1% 75.2% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.7 4.3 8.9 0.4 5.6 76.1%
7-11 76.5% 25.9% 0.8% 25.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.7 13.6 3.0 0.1 56.7 25.3%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 37.7% 0.8% 36.9% 10.5 62.3 37.2%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 5.9 1.9 21.2 57.7 19.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0% 99.5% 7.0 0.5 3.7 27.4 39.5 21.1 6.8 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.9% 94.4% 8.5 0.3 4.3 12.0 33.1 23.5 18.1 3.2
Lose Out 19.4% 5.5% 11.4 3.6 1.7 0.2