South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +5.4 90
Expected Predictive Rating +3.4 106
Pace 65.8 259
Improvement -3.2 310

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #101 C+ C B B+ C
Defense C+ #98 B- B- D+ B B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 253 62% 78 +0.2 168
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 222 45% 32 +0.4 150
Three Pointers 46% 84 32% 258 +1.1 143
1st FG Attempt 1.05 123 +1.7 123
Second Chance 29.8% 204 1.04 157 0.31 185
Turnovers 14.6% 44
Freethrows 0.33 112 80% 6 0.26 39
Total Offense +2.8 101

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 151 57% 151 -0.3 190
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 48 37% 138 -1.7 308
Three Pointers 35% 339 31% 54 +5.0 15
1st FG Attempt 0.96 78 +3.0 82
Second Chance 28.8% 108 0.95 69 0.27 76
Turnovers 15.6% 259
Freethrows 0.27 67 71% 106 0.19 63
Total Defense +2.7 98

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.1 179 -0.6 82
Shot Type Accuracy +1.5 119 -2.4 83
Possession Length 18.1 258 17.3 180
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 267 0.22 318
Improvement -2.3 #303 -0.9 #248

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 10.0 10.0 n/a
.500 or above 1% 4% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 66% 34% 68%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Alabama (Away) - 6.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 12
Quad 21 - 63 - 18
Quad 31 - 14 - 19
Quad 49 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 286 N.C. A&T W 91 - 72 92% +14  99% 1 - 0 B +9 B- +4 B+ A- F+ B- +4 C A+ D-
 Sun, Nov 9 241 Southern Miss W 83 - 79 OT 88% +2  50% 2 - 0 C- -4 C +0 B F D- D+ -4 C- C F
 Wed, Nov 12 272 Presbyterian W 81 - 61 91% +18  96% 3 - 0 B +11 B+ +8 C+ D+ A+ B +4 A- C F+
 Tue, Nov 18 233 Radford W 87 - 58 88% +15  96% 4 - 0 A +22 B +6 B+ A+ B- A+ +16 A+ B+ B
 Fri, Nov 21 75 Butler L 72 - 79 42% -7  0% 4 - 1 C +1 C -0 D- C- A+ C+ +0 A- F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 64 Northwestern L 77 - 79 38% -3  15% 4 - 2 B- +6 A +12 B- A+ A D -6 F A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 28 256 Charleston Southern W 74 - 62 90% +4  79% 5 - 2 C+ +4 D -5 D C+ A A- +9 A A F+
 Tue, Dec 2 55 Virginia Tech L 83 - 86 OT 44% -4  8% 5 - 3 C+ +4 C+ +3 A- F A+ C+ +1 C+ D+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 333 Stetson W 82 - 51 95% +15  87% 6 - 3 A- +17 B +7 A A+ F A+ +13 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 347 The Citadel W 71 - 55 96% +5  82% 7 - 3 C +1 F+ -8 F C- C+ A +10 A- A- F
 Tue, Dec 16 38 @Clemson L 61 - 68 14% -6  16% 7 - 4 B +10 C- -0 D B- D A +10 A B- D
 Mon, Dec 22 358 South Carolina St. W 95 - 70 98% +12  95% 8 - 4 B- +7 A +12 A B+ F D+ -5 D C+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 325 Albany W 96 - 67 95% +16  99% 9 - 4 A- +16 A+ +23 A+ B+ C+ D+ -4 A+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 3 14 Vanderbilt L 71 - 83 17% -10  3% 9 - 5 0 - 1 C+ +4 B +7 B- C- A+ D+ -4 D B+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 57 @LSU W 78 - 68 24% +16  99% 10 - 5 1 - 1 A+ +23 A+ +15 A+ F+ A+ A- +9 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 36 Georgia L 70 - 75 29% +1  56% 10 - 6 1 - 2 B- +6 C +0 B- F A+ B +6 B- A+ D
 Wed, Jan 14 19 @Arkansas L 74 - 108 8% -18  3% 10 - 7 1 - 3 D- -13 C+ +3 B C- F+ F -15 F+ C F
 Sat, Jan 17 28 @Auburn L 67 - 71 12% -5  4% 10 - 8 1 - 4 B+ +14 D+ -3 C- B- D A+ +17 A+ A+ B
 Tue, Jan 20 54 Oklahoma W 85 - 76 44% +8  99% 11 - 8 2 - 4 A- +16 B+ +8 A D C A- +8 A C B-
 Sat, Jan 24 31 @Texas A&M L 69 - 92 13% -15  14% 11 - 9 2 - 5 D+ -5 C +1 D+ F A+ D -6 D D D+
 Wed, Jan 28 4 Florida L 48 - 95 9% -24  0% 11 - 10 2 - 6 F -27 F -17 F F B F+ -10 F D- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 57 LSU L 87 - 92 OT 45% -3  18% 11 - 11 2 - 7 C+ +2 B+ +8 D A+ A+ D -6 F+ A+ C-
 Tue, Feb 3 30 @Texas L 75 - 84 13% -1  39% 11 - 12 2 - 8 B +9 B +6 C+ C+ C+ B- +2 A D- C+
 Sat, Feb 7 48 Missouri L 59 - 78 39% -9  0% 11 - 13 2 - 9 D -11 F -10 F D+ A+ C- -2 B D B+
 Sat, Feb 14 17 @Alabama L 76 - 92 7%
 Tue, Feb 17 4 @Florida L 64 - 85 2%
 Sat, Feb 21 79 Mississippi St. W 73 - 72 55%
 Tue, Feb 24 24 Kentucky L 69 - 77 23%
 Sat, Feb 28 36 @Georgia L 74 - 86 13%
 Tue, Mar 3 18 Tennessee L 65 - 75 18%
 Sat, Mar 7 65 @Mississippi L 67 - 73 28%
Totals 12 - 19 3 - 15 +5 C+ +3 C+ C B C+ +3 B- B- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B- B+ D+ C+ 36% 18% 46% C C+ C C C B B- A B+ C+ C+ C+ B B- 40% 26% 35% B- B- C+ B- B- D+ B- C+ B
1.13 62% 45% 32% +1 0 1.05 30% 1.0 .31 15% .33 80% .26 1.05 57% 37% 31% -2 -1 0.96 29% 0.9 .27 16% .27 71% .23
Nov
4		 N.C. A&T B- C+ B- A B+ 38% 13% 49% B- B+ B- A+ A- F+ C+ B- B- B- F A D D+ 35% 45% 20% A+ C A+ A+ A+ D- C+ B- B-
1.20 60% 43% 42% +8 +1 1.19 29% 1.3 .38 17% .33 71% .24 0.95 68% 28% 36% 0 -3 0.95 19% 0.7 .14 16% .35 73% .25
Nov
9		 Southern Miss C F A+ A- B 21% 9% 70% C B C F F D- C+ A+ B+ D+ D- C- B D 27% 41% 32% A C- D+ B C F B C- B-
1.11 45% 60% 41% +6 0 1.15 29% 0.5 .14 20% .35 81% .28 1.05 67% 39% 28% 0 -3 0.95 33% 0.9 .30 12% .32 76% .24
Nov
12		 Presbyterian B+ C- D- A+ C+ 42% 19% 40% C- C+ B+ F D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B B+ F A+ A 57% 26% 17% D- A- D- B+ C F+ D+ A+ B-
1.25 55% 33% 42% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.7 .25 9% .54 78% .42 0.94 50% 50% 0% -10 +1 0.83 37% 0.9 .32 15% .36 55% .20
Nov
18		 Radford B A+ A+ F A- 33% 21% 46% D B+ C- A+ A+ B- F A D- A+ A+ B B+ A+ 34% 18% 48% B- A+ A- B B+ B F B D
1.23 76% 82% 25% +9 0 1.19 30% 1.9 .57 17% .25 80% .20 0.82 29% 33% 29% -14 0 0.74 23% 0.9 .21 20% .44 68% .30
Nov
21		 Butler C C+ F F F+ 40% 18% 42% B- D- D- A- C- A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C- A- B+ B+ 43% 35% 22% A+ A- F+ F F C- F A+ F
1.05 59% 20% 26% -8 0 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 10% .36 68% .24 1.15 60% 31% 30% -3 -1 0.93 43% 1.5 .66 15% .58 59% .34
Nov
23		 Northwestern A B+ A+ F B- 33% 14% 53% B B- B+ A+ A+ A C- B- C D D- A+ F F 56% 16% 28% F F A A+ A+ B+ A- F B
1.21 65% 57% 26% -1 +1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 13% .27 73% .20 1.24 68% 25% 50% +10 +2 1.26 22% 0.8 .17 16% .26 86% .22
Nov
28		 Charleston Southern D A- A- F D 37% 24% 39% C D F A+ C+ A C+ B+ B A- B- B A+ A+ 43% 10% 47% D A D+ A+ A F+ A+ B A+
1.05 65% 46% 14% -7 -1 0.87 19% 1.7 .32 7% .38 76% .29 0.88 54% 33% 25% -8 +2 0.88 30% 0.5 .14 14% .13 63% .08
Dec
2		 Virginia Tech C+ A+ A D+ A 23% 29% 48% F+ A- F C F A+ A+ B- A+ C+ F F+ A+ C 37% 32% 32% A- C+ A+ F D+ D- C+ A B
1.07 77% 50% 30% +5 -2 1.07 14% 1.0 .14 10% .40 75% .30 1.11 76% 44% 22% +3 -2 1.05 21% 2.0 .41 12% .31 67% .20
Dec
6		 Stetson B A A+ A+ A+ 26% 20% 54% D A A+ C+ A+ F D A+ C A+ C A A+ A+ 29% 31% 40% A A+ B+ B+ B+ F C- A C+
1.29 75% 56% 44% +16 -1 1.33 45% 1.2 .55 20% .24 83% .20 0.80 57% 27% 16% -15 -2 0.69 21% 0.9 .18 11% .32 61% .19
Dec
13		 The Citadel F+ B- A F F 49% 8% 43% B+ F C D+ C- C+ A A+ A+ A C C- A+ A- 42% 27% 31% B- A- C+ A+ A- F F+ A+ C
1.07 67% 50% 14% -7 +2 0.92 33% 1.0 .33 14% .37 86% .31 0.83 55% 38% 13% -11 -1 0.79 26% 0.6 .15 14% .35 55% .19
Dec
16		 Clemson C- C+ A+ F F+ 35% 13% 52% A- D B- C+ B- D A+ A A+ A C B+ A+ A 48% 25% 27% B+ A A+ F B- D F A+ F
0.92 56% 50% 17% -13 +1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 21% .44 83% .36 1.03 62% 36% 25% -2 0 0.98 14% 2.0 .29 12% .53 61% .33
Dec
22		 South Carolina St. A A+ A+ D A+ 36% 20% 44% F+ A A- C- B+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ F F F+ 26% 46% 28% A D C B- C+ F B+ A- B+
1.35 88% 67% 30% +14 0 1.29 48% 1.2 .57 21% .65 86% .56 1.00 14% 56% 47% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 16% .27 56% .15
Dec
30		 Albany A+ A+ B A+ A+ 31% 15% 54% C- A+ B- B+ B+ C+ C A+ A- D+ C- A A+ A+ 46% 35% 19% A A+ F F F A- A- F C+
1.50 87% 43% 50% +23 0 1.48 38% 1.4 .52 14% .31 94% .29 1.05 59% 29% 0% -12 -1 0.75 47% 1.5 .72 23% .16 88% .14
Jan
3		 Vanderbilt B C A+ F C+ 38% 15% 47% A- B- F A+ C- A+ D B D+ D+ C+ D- F D- 38% 23% 40% B D B B- B+ D C+ D- C
1.09 55% 63% 24% -4 +1 0.94 15% 1.6 .24 6% .29 78% .23 1.28 61% 45% 47% +11 0 1.23 29% 1.1 .32 11% .31 83% .26
Jan
6		 LSU A+ D- A A+ A+ 36% 23% 40% C- A+ F+ F+ F+ A+ A- A+ A A- A+ B- D A- 39% 22% 39% B A- F A+ A+ A+ A F B
1.22 47% 45% 58% +12 -1 1.26 22% 0.7 .16 9% .36 76% .28 1.07 47% 36% 37% -3 0 0.96 43% 0.6 .28 22% .28 86% .24
Jan
10		 Georgia C B- B- D+ B- 37% 19% 44% C B- D- F F A+ A+ B- A B D D A- C+ 40% 21% 40% B+ B- A A+ A+ D D+ C- D+
1.02 58% 40% 30% -2 0 0.98 25% 0.6 .14 13% .35 71% .25 1.09 67% 45% 29% +2 0 1.06 30% 0.4 .11 12% .36 77% .28
Jan
14		 Arkansas C+ A- A- D- B 33% 17% 50% C B B+ F C- F+ C A+ B F F+ F D- D- 52% 17% 31% D- F+ D+ B C F A- F B
1.02 65% 44% 27% -2 0 0.98 35% 0.9 .32 22% .25 79% .19 1.48 73% 55% 40% +13 +1 1.31 38% 1.2 .44 5% .25 82% .20
Jan
17		 Auburn D+ D- B D+ D 42% 14% 44% B+ C- B+ D B- D A F B- A+ C- C+ A+ A+ 52% 10% 38% F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B F C- F
0.96 48% 43% 32% -5 +1 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 21% .36 65% .24 1.02 64% 40% 11% -9 +2 0.88 30% 0.5 .16 16% .51 77% .39
Jan
20		 Oklahoma B+ C C A+ A 40% 22% 38% B- A C- D- D C A+ B+ A+ A- D- D+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 42% C A B D- C B- D- D+ D-
1.18 55% 36% 47% +6 0 1.14 28% 0.9 .25 17% .47 79% .37 1.06 67% 44% 18% -5 +1 0.92 31% 1.4 .44 15% .36 77% .28
Jan
24		 Texas A&M C F C- B- D 41% 20% 39% B- D+ F F+ F A+ F A+ C D B- F F F+ 28% 7% 65% B D D+ D D D+ A+ F A+
0.99 43% 36% 36% -5 0 0.93 19% 0.7 .14 14% .20 100% .20 1.32 56% 75% 43% +11 +1 1.26 36% 1.1 .39 13% .16 90% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Florida F F D+ F F 34% 36% 30% D+ F D F F B C+ A+ A F+ D- F F F 58% 6% 36% F F A+ F D- C+ A+ C A+
0.69 35% 33% 20% -16 -2 0.66 16% 0.0 .00 14% .28 88% .25 1.36 71% 67% 42% +14 +3 1.36 32% 1.6 .52 16% .24 71% .17
Jan
31		 LSU B+ F C+ B+ D+ 34% 29% 38% D D B A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D F A+ F F 41% 22% 37% B- F+ B A+ A+ C- D+ F F+
1.16 37% 38% 38% -5 -1 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 8% .45 71% .32 1.23 86% 8% 45% +11 0 1.24 31% 0.9 .28 15% .39 84% .33
Feb
3		 Texas B A+ F F C+ 51% 29% 20% B- C+ D+ A C+ C+ A A A+ B- C+ A+ C A 32% 30% 38% A A F B- D- C+ F D- F
1.10 80% 21% 10% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.2 .24 15% .41 79% .33 1.23 60% 29% 33% -2 -2 0.94 47% 1.2 .56 16% .63 81% .51
Feb
7		 Missouri F F D+ F F 32% 27% 41% C F C F+ D+ A+ A+ A A+ C- A- D- D+ B+ 42% 16% 42% C B F A- D B+ F D+ F
0.90 43% 33% 17% -17 -1 0.66 28% 0.7 .21 12% .47 81% .38 1.19 53% 43% 37% 0 +1 1.04 48% 1.0 .48 21% .58 70% .41



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.3 3.1 2.2 0.2 5.7 12th
13th 0.1 4.0 5.5 0.6 0.0 10.3 13th
14th 2.7 12.7 2.8 0.1 18.2 14th
15th 1.6 15.5 10.1 0.5 27.7 15th
16th 15.9 19.5 2.3 0.0 37.6 16th
Total 17.4 37.8 29.4 11.8 3.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.4% 0.4
6-12 3.1% 3.1
5-13 11.8% 11.8
4-14 29.4% 29.4
3-15 37.8% 37.8
2-16 17.4% 17.4
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 17.4%