Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +11.7 46
Results Rating +14.9 32
Consistency 0.18 333
Pace 66.8 228
Improvement +2.6 88

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 41 B+ A- D+ B B
Defense B- 74 B- B+ B- C+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 37 B+ 66% 36 +7.0 10
2 Pt. Jumpers 31% 252 C- 36% 236 -1.8 271
Three Pointers 39% 219 B 37% 62 +0.7 156
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 65 B+ +4.7 48
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.14 40
Second Chance B+ 36.4% 30 B 1.14 45 A- 0.42 24
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 128
Other Turnovers D- 9.0% 340
Turnovers D+ 17.9% 264
Freethrows A- 0.38 10 D 69% 300 B 0.26 45
Total Offense B+ +7.8 41

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 50% 161 B- 9.0% 74
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 223 C+ 4.6% 162
Three Pointers B 89% 69 B+ 0.2% 33
Total C+ 58% 135 B- 4.8% 97


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 338 B 52% 44 -6.0 21
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 53 B- 36% 109 +1.2 291
Three Pointers 44% 95 D+ 36% 276 +2.7 305
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 34 C+ -1.0 139
1st FG Attempt B- 0.98 116
Second Chance C+ 28.7% 113 A 0.85 9 B+ 0.24 32
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.5% 99
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 142
Turnovers B- 18.1% 95
Freethrows B- 0.28 111 C- 73% 253 C+ 0.21 126
Total Defense B- +3.9 74

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 83 B 15.0% 49
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 161 C 5.1% 155
Three Pointers B- 81% 100 A- 2.2% 22
Total C+ 54% 143 B- 6.9% 77

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 106 18.5 332
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 46 0.13 47
Consistency 0.12 185 0.12 151
Improvement +0.3 166 +2.3 70

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status On The Bubble
Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 52 47 42
Results Rating Rank 41 35 27
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 8 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None 10 8
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 1% 1% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70% 83% 62%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70% 83% 62%
Average Seed 9.4 8.9 9.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four12% 5% 17%
First Round64% 81% 54%
Second Round24% 34% 19%
Sweet Sixteen3% 4% 3%
Elite Eight1% 1% 1%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Arkansas (Home) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 46 - 8
Quad 25 - 311 - 12
Quad 32 - 013 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 182 @Howard W 88 - 67 83% +14  97% 1 - 0 A +22 A +14 A+ A+ F+ A- +7 C+ A+ D
 Fri, Nov 7 223 Southeast Missouri St. W 89 - 84 95% +2  61% 2 - 0 C- -2 B- +5 A+ D+ F D- -7 F B A-
 Sun, Nov 9 358 VMI W 106 - 68 99% +11  80% 3 - 0 A +19 A- +11 D- A+ B- B +5 F+ A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 12 57 Minnesota W 83 - 60 68% +3  44% 4 - 0 A+ +30 A+ +22 A+ A+ A- A+ +11 A A- B
 Mon, Nov 17 322 Prairie View W 91 - 73 98% +19  97% 5 - 0 C+ +5 C+ +2 C+ B- C C+ +1 B- B- F+
 Thu, Nov 20 284 South Dakota W 102 - 68 97% +14  93% 6 - 0 A+ +24 A+ +16 A+ A+ F B+ +6 B F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 359 South Carolina St. W 98 - 66 99% +24  99% 7 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +15 F A+ A C- -2 B+ C+ F+
 Fri, Nov 28 319 Cleveland St. W 86 - 59 98% +19  95% 8 - 0 B+ +14 C- -2 C- A+ F A+ +16 B+ A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 85 @Notre Dame L 71 - 76 58% +1  60% 8 - 1 C+ +5 C +1 C+ C- D B +4 C A+ B+
 Sun, Dec 7 20 @Kansas L 60 - 80 20% -8  17% 8 - 2 C +0 C +1 C C+ C C- -2 B F C-
 Thu, Dec 11 313 Alabama St. W 85 - 77 98% +11  99% 9 - 2 C- -4 A+ +16 A+ A+ C F -19 F F F
 Sun, Dec 14 236 Bethune-Cookman W 82 - 60 95% +15  96% 10 - 2 A- +15 B+ +8 A- A+ F A- +7 A- D- A
 Mon, Dec 22 5 Illinois L 48 - 91 16% -17  1% 10 - 3 F -21 F -14 F+ D- D- F -12 B- F A
 Sat, Jan 3 3 Florida W 76 - 74 15% +1  48% 11 - 3 1 - 0 A+ +25 A+ +15 A+ A- B A +10 A A+ F+
 Wed, Jan 7 22 @Kentucky W 73 - 68 24% -0  40% 12 - 3 2 - 0 A+ +24 B+ +9 A+ D C- A+ +15 A- A+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 74 @Mississippi L 69 - 76 53% +1  42% 12 - 4 2 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +2 A+ D D+ C+ +1 B+ B- D
 Wed, Jan 14 37 Auburn W 84 - 74 54% +4  68% 13 - 4 3 - 1 A +21 A +11 A+ C- C A +10 A+ B B
 Sat, Jan 17 59 @LSU L 70 - 78 47% -7  0% 13 - 5 3 - 2 C+ +5 B +7 D+ A+ F+ D+ -4 A F D-
 Tue, Jan 20 25 Georgia L 72 - 74 46% -2  29% 13 - 6 3 - 3 B +11 C +2 C+ C- B- A +9 A A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 44 Oklahoma W 88 - 87 OT 59% -0  30% 14 - 6 4 - 3 B +10 B +7 C- A C+ B- +3 D A+ B
 Tue, Jan 27 15 @Alabama L 64 - 90 18% -12  8% 14 - 7 4 - 4 C- -4 F+ -9 F+ A- D- B+ +6 B+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 93 Mississippi St. W 84 - 79 79% +8  93% 15 - 7 5 - 4 B- +8 B +6 B+ D+ C C+ +1 C- A+ A-
 Sat, Feb 7 97 @South Carolina W 78 - 59 62% +9  97% 16 - 7 6 - 4 A+ +28 A +12 B A+ F A+ +16 A+ A D
 Wed, Feb 11 33 @Texas A&M W 86 - 85 29% -1  35% 17 - 7 7 - 4 A +18 A+ +24 A+ A A+ D -5 F A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 14 27 Texas L 68 - 85 48% -3  32% 17 - 8 7 - 5 C- -5 C -0 F+ A+ C+ D -6 C B- F+
 Wed, Feb 18 17 Vanderbilt W 81 - 80 37% +6  80% 18 - 8 8 - 5 A- +16 A +11 A+ B C- B +5 B A- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 18 @Arkansas L 86 - 94 19% -2  31% 18 - 9 8 - 6 B+ +13 A+ +19 A+ D+ B+ D -6 C+ D F
 Tue, Feb 24 13 Tennessee W 73 - 69 35% -2  28% 19 - 9 9 - 6 A +20 A- +11 A C+ A+ A +9 A C A+
 Sat, Feb 28 93 @Mississippi St. W 88 - 64 60% +23  98% 20 - 9 10 - 6 A+ +33 A+ +19 A+ A+ F+ A+ +15 C- A+ A+
 Tue, Mar 3 44 @Oklahoma L 64 - 80 36% -10  1% 20 - 10 10 - 7 C -1 C- -1 A D+ F C -1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Mar 7 18 Arkansas L 81 - 84 37%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 8 +12 B+ +8 B- B+ B B- +4 B D B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B+ C- B B+ 44% 31% 39% B B+ B+ B A- D+ A- D B B- B B- D+ C+ 31% 25% 44% B+ B- C+ A B+ B- B- C- C+
1.20 66% 36% 37% +5 +1 1.14 36% 1.1 .42 18% .38 69% .26 1.03 52% 36% 36% -1 -1 0.98 29% 0.9 .24 18% .28 73% .28
Nov
3		 Howard A C F A+ A 57% 6% 37% A A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ B F F+ A- A+ A+ F C+ 34% 15% 51% B- C+ A+ A+ A+ D B+ B+ A-
1.23 57% 0% 50% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.3 .59 22% .38 48% .18 0.93 33% 25% 41% -5 0 0.92 24% 0.7 .17 18% .27 69% .19
Nov
7		 Southeast Missouri St. B- A+ A+ B+ A+ 41% 33% 27% F A+ B- F D+ F A+ F B- D- D- F D+ F 26% 31% 43% A+ F F A+ B A- C- F F+
1.15 75% 63% 38% +17 -1 1.33 31% 0.9 .28 25% .53 61% .33 1.09 64% 53% 35% +7 -2 1.11 38% 0.7 .26 21% .34 81% .28
Nov
9		 VMI A- A- D F F 49% 16% 35% B+ D- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C- A+ B A+ F F+ F 6% 17% 77% A+ F+ A- A+ A+ A+ F+ D F+
1.40 72% 38% 22% 0 +1 1.06 50% 1.8 .88 15% .54 71% .39 0.90 0% 44% 38% +2 -2 1.02 20% 0.3 .05 22% .34 75% .26
Nov
12		 Minnesota A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 28% 26% 46% C- A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ D+ A+ A+ A- F A+ A- 33% 27% 40% A+ A F A+ A- B C A+ A-
1.34 85% 42% 48% +18 -1 1.35 13% 3.0 .39 15% .38 70% .27 0.97 53% 67% 22% -1 -1 0.98 39% 0.6 .22 18% .33 53% .18
Nov
17		 Prairie View C+ C F A+ C 50% 11% 39% B+ C+ C B+ B- C B- F+ C C+ A A+ D- B 35% 28% 37% D B- A+ F B- F+ A+ F B+
1.19 59% 17% 43% +3 +2 1.13 35% 1.3 .44 18% .40 68% .27 0.96 43% 24% 36% -8 -1 0.83 14% 1.5 .21 12% .24 88% .21
Nov
20		 South Dakota A+ A A A+ A+ 68% 13% 19% A- A+ A+ D+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ B+ D- B+ B+ C+ 23% 27% 50% A+ B D- F F A+ C A+ A
1.38 72% 50% 56% +17 +3 1.43 50% 1.1 .54 23% .53 80% .42 0.92 64% 31% 29% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.3 .39 23% .37 57% .21
Nov
25		 South Carolina St. A+ B+ D F F 39% 22% 39% F+ F A+ A+ A+ A A B A+ C- D- B A+ B+ 27% 33% 40% C+ B+ B- C- C+ F+ F F F
1.40 70% 36% 20% -4 0 0.94 54% 1.9 1.03 13% .49 77% .38 0.94 62% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.79 27% 1.0 .27 17% .47 74% .34
Nov
28		 Cleveland St. C- A+ C C- C- 27% 10% 63% C+ C- A+ C+ A+ F F A D A+ B- A+ D+ A- 29% 18% 53% C+ B+ C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.22 79% 40% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.1 .57 23% .24 85% .20 0.83 53% 11% 37% -4 0 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 24% .20 55% .11
Dec
2		 Notre Dame C A+ F+ F C 38% 21% 42% B- C+ C+ D- C- D A+ F A+ B F F B- C- 21% 19% 60% B- C A+ A+ A+ B+ C F D-
1.03 72% 30% 25% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 17% .44 68% .30 1.11 82% 50% 32% +6 -1 1.12 24% 0.7 .17 19% .32 83% .27
Dec
7		 Kansas C C F F D 49% 8% 43% A+ C A D- C+ C A+ F B+ C- C A+ C B+ 45% 19% 36% D- B F+ D+ F C- F B+ F
0.91 52% 0% 23% -13 +2 0.80 36% 0.7 .24 15% .38 52% .20 1.22 62% 22% 35% -1 +1 1.02 39% 1.3 .48 14% .46 73% .34
Dec
11		 Alabama St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 23% 33% D+ A+ C A+ A+ C D- D- F+ F C C F F 25% 27% 47% A- F D+ F F F A- B- B+
1.37 79% 50% 50% +20 0 1.42 33% 1.9 .62 18% .31 69% .22 1.24 54% 36% 46% +7 -2 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 11% .22 67% .15
Dec
14		 Bethune-Cookman B+ C+ A+ C A- 49% 14% 37% B- A- A A+ A+ F F F F A- A+ D+ F A 54% 20% 27% F+ A- A+ F D- A F F F
1.22 58% 71% 33% +5 +2 1.14 42% 1.9 .81 22% .21 64% .13 0.89 32% 38% 45% -10 +1 0.85 18% 2.0 .36 24% .41 76% .31
Dec
22		 Illinois F F F C- F+ 28% 32% 40% C F+ B+ F D- D- A+ D+ A F C B F+ C 18% 25% 57% A+ B- F F F A F C- F
0.77 38% 20% 32% -13 -2 0.72 30% 0.4 .13 16% .29 67% .19 1.46 63% 36% 40% +5 -2 1.09 56% 1.9 1.07 18% .39 80% .31
Jan
3		 Florida A+ A+ F+ A A+ 34% 23% 43% B- A+ A B+ A- B A+ F A+ A B- A+ A- A+ 45% 8% 47% C- A A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ D+ C
1.12 69% 27% 40% +5 -1 1.11 31% 0.8 .26 15% .52 60% .31 1.09 58% 25% 28% -5 +2 0.96 33% 0.8 .26 12% .33 75% .25
Jan
7		 Kentucky B+ A- A+ B- A+ 46% 20% 34% A- A+ F A D C- B C B- A+ B- B- C- B+ 37% 33% 30% A+ A- A+ A- A+ A F C+ F+
1.07 65% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.16 15% 1.0 .15 18% .32 72% .23 1.00 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 71% .31
Jan
10		 Mississippi C+ A+ F D+ A 37% 15% 48% A- A+ C- F+ D D+ A+ F C C+ D+ A F B 17% 45% 38% A+ B+ B- C B- D C- D D+
1.03 82% 29% 32% +6 +1 1.15 27% 0.9 .24 19% .45 50% .22 1.14 67% 29% 40% +1 -5 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 10% .32 79% .25
Jan
14		 Auburn A A+ C+ A+ A+ 49% 12% 40% A A+ C- C- C- C A+ F+ A+ A B+ A- B A+ 40% 19% 40% B A+ B- B- B B F B D-
1.23 71% 40% 47% +14 +2 1.35 27% 1.0 .27 19% .56 68% .38 1.08 53% 33% 32% -5 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 16% .49 71% .35
Jan
17		 LSU B B+ F F D 40% 23% 38% C+ D+ B- A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ D+ C A+ C- A- 28% 28% 43% A+ A F D F D- F+ C- F+
1.13 63% 22% 27% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 19% .60 80% .48 1.26 62% 23% 35% -3 -2 0.93 43% 1.3 .57 11% .42 78% .33
Jan
20		 Georgia C B F C+ C+ 44% 17% 38% B C+ B+ F C- B- D A+ B- A A+ C+ D+ A- 29% 29% 42% A+ A F A+ A+ C+ D F F
1.06 61% 11% 35% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.7 .25 18% .21 92% .20 1.09 47% 40% 36% -1 -2 0.96 44% 0.6 .26 15% .36 86% .31
Jan
24		 Oklahoma B D B D- D+ 41% 22% 37% B- C- A B A C+ A+ C A+ B- A+ F F F 21% 30% 49% A+ D A+ A+ A+ B F C- F
1.17 50% 42% 30% -5 0 0.93 41% 1.1 .46 16% .52 73% .38 1.15 45% 56% 46% +12 -2 1.21 17% 0.6 .10 16% .47 77% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Alabama F+ C- F F F 43% 20% 37% B+ F+ B A- A- D- A+ F D- B+ B+ D C- B+ 30% 7% 63% C+ B+ A+ D A+ D- D- F F
0.86 52% 18% 20% -14 0 0.74 33% 1.1 .37 18% .38 35% .13 1.21 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 22% 1.3 .27 9% .39 88% .34
Jan
31		 Mississippi St. B B+ C B A- 22% 27% 51% C- B+ B+ F D+ C A+ C+ A+ C+ A+ F F D 26% 33% 41% A+ C- D A+ A+ A- C- C+ C-
1.15 64% 38% 36% +3 -2 1.04 32% 0.7 .22 14% .52 76% .40 1.08 43% 56% 41% +6 -3 1.09 35% 0.4 .14 19% .30 67% .20
Feb
7		 South Carolina A D B+ B+ B- 42% 16% 42% B+ B A+ C A+ F A+ C A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 32% 27% 41% A- A+ C+ A+ A D F C- F
1.19 53% 43% 37% 0 +1 1.04 48% 1.0 .48 21% .58 70% .41 0.90 43% 33% 17% -17 -1 0.66 28% 0.7 .21 12% .47 81% .38
Feb
11		 Texas A&M A+ A+ F A- A+ 49% 17% 34% A- A+ A+ C- A A+ C- F D- D C F F F 39% 4% 57% C- F A A+ A+ C- A- D- B
1.31 77% 11% 39% +7 +1 1.19 47% 0.9 .41 14% .26 60% .16 1.30 60% 50% 52% +16 +2 1.39 26% 0.3 .06 14% .26 80% .21
Feb
14		 Texas C F+ F C- F 55% 23% 23% A- F+ B- A+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ D F A+ D D+ 35% 33% 31% A+ C D- A B- F+ C F F
1.05 45% 22% 33% -11 +1 0.83 27% 1.8 .47 14% .68 68% .47 1.32 83% 29% 38% +8 -2 1.14 44% 1.0 .44 11% .40 91% .37
Feb
18		 Vanderbilt A C- F A+ A 43% 18% 39% B+ A+ B+ C+ B C- A+ B A+ B A+ F F B 37% 20% 43% B- B F A+ A- B+ B- C+ B-
1.16 53% 13% 53% +4 +1 1.11 32% 1.0 .32 20% .57 78% .45 1.14 40% 55% 43% +3 0 1.07 40% 0.8 .30 16% .31 78% .24
Feb
21		 Arkansas A+ A- A+ A- A+ 52% 10% 38% A+ A+ C- D+ D+ B+ A+ B+ A+ D D- A+ F C+ 47% 22% 31% C C+ C- D D F F+ F F
1.26 65% 60% 37% +8 +2 1.22 26% 1.1 .30 15% .39 74% .29 1.37 71% 18% 44% +6 0 1.16 37% 1.4 .50 7% .39 88% .35
Feb
24		 Tennessee A- A+ F+ F A 39% 24% 37% C+ A B- C- C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A D B- A+ A- 31% 29% 40% A+ A C C- C A+ A A+ A+
1.11 83% 27% 24% +1 0 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 12% .38 77% .30 1.05 67% 36% 26% -3 -2 0.94 46% 1.1 .51 23% .28 57% .16
Feb
28		 Mississippi St. A+ D A+ A+ A+ 34% 32% 34% C- A+ A+ C A+ F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F C A C- 42% 21% 38% D+ C- A- A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A-
1.28 50% 60% 50% +12 -2 1.23 44% 1.0 .44 17% .42 83% .35 0.93 75% 40% 28% +4 0 1.10 25% 0.6 .16 26% .26 54% .14
Mar
3		 Oklahoma C- B B- B+ A- 41% 11% 48% A A C+ F D+ F B+ F D C F F+ F F 32% 20% 49% B- F B A+ A+ A+ F A+ C-
1.01 61% 40% 38% +4 +1 1.14 32% 0.8 .26 25% .34 50% .17 1.26 92% 50% 60% +32 0 1.66 30% 0.0 .00 24% .41 60% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 4.0 4.0 3rd
4th 17.0 17.0 4th
5th 9.7 16.4 26.0 5th
6th 24.9 24.9 6th
7th 20.4 20.4 7th
8th 6.8 6.8 8th
9th 0.8 0.8 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 62.6 37.4 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 37.4% 83.4% 0.8% 82.6% 8.9 0.1 0.4 2.6 8.2 10.9 7.4 1.7 6.2 83.3%
10-8 62.6% 62.3% 0.3% 62.0% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.9 8.7 15.2 10.3 0.1 23.6 62.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 70.2% 0.5% 69.7% 9.4 29.8 70.1%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 6.5 15.8 31.6 42.1 10.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1% 99.1% 7.6 1.4 8.3 35.9 38.7 13.8 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.6% 92.4% 8.2 0.2 1.8 18.3 37.2 26.0 8.6 0.2
Lose Out 40.2% 54.0% 10.2 0.0 1.6 7.8 23.4 20.8 0.3