Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +11.2 48
Expected Predictive Rating +14.7 35
Pace 67.3 220
Improvement +2.1 100

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ #46 B+ A- D+ B- B-
Defense B- #76 B- B C+ C+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 50 67% 26 +7.0 12
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 246 35% 267 -1.7 267
Three Pointers 39% 220 36% 97 +0.3 162
1st FG Attempt 1.13 43 +5.5 44
Second Chance 36.8% 33 1.16 39 0.43 21
Turnovers 18.1% 259
Freethrows 0.37 24 67% 329 0.25 95
Total Offense +7.7 46

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 30% 351 50% 18 +7.3 9
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 54 37% 129 -1.3 289
Three Pointers 45% 67 36% 264 -3.2 316
1st FG Attempt 0.96 85 +2.8 87
Second Chance 28.1% 87 0.89 26 0.25 44
Turnovers 17.5% 138
Freethrows 0.29 125 74% 277 0.21 149
Total Defense +3.6 76

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.8 76 -1.1 25
Shot Type Accuracy +4.5 52 -1.6 114
Possession Length 16.7 110 18.4 327
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 53 0.13 44
Improvement +0.0 #180 +2.1 #73

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 1% 1% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 63% 73% 53%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 63% 73% 52%
Average Seed 9.5 9.3 9.8
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 80% 94% 68%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four15% 14% 16%
First Round55% 66% 44%
Second Round21% 25% 16%
Sweet Sixteen3% 4% 2%
Elite Eight1% 1% 1%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Texas (Home) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 53 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 45 - 9
Quad 24 - 49 - 12
Quad 33 - 012 - 12
Quad 48 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 237 @Howard W 88 - 67 88% +14  97% 1 - 0 A +20 A +13 A A+ D- B +6 C- A+ D-
 Fri, Nov 7 230 Southeast Missouri St. W 89 - 84 94% +2  61% 2 - 0 C- -2 C+ +3 A+ D F D+ -5 F+ A- B+
 Sun, Nov 9 360 VMI W 106 - 68 99% +11  80% 3 - 0 A +19 A +12 D- A+ B B +5 F+ A+ A
 Wed, Nov 12 71 Minnesota W 83 - 60 73% +3  44% 4 - 0 A+ +28 A+ +21 A+ A+ A- A +10 B+ A- B-
 Mon, Nov 17 336 Prairie View W 91 - 73 98% +19  97% 5 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +2 C+ B- C C+ +1 B C+ F+
 Thu, Nov 20 281 South Dakota W 102 - 68 96% +14  93% 6 - 0 A+ +24 A+ +15 A+ A F B+ +7 B F A
 Tue, Nov 25 358 South Carolina St. W 98 - 66 99% +24  99% 7 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +15 F A+ A- C -1 B+ C+ F+
 Fri, Nov 28 299 Cleveland St. W 86 - 59 97% +19  95% 8 - 0 A- +16 C +0 C+ A+ F A+ +16 A- A+ A
 Tue, Dec 2 82 @Notre Dame L 71 - 76 56% +1  60% 8 - 1 C+ +5 C +1 C+ C- D B- +3 C A+ B
 Sun, Dec 7 12 @Kansas L 60 - 80 16% -8  17% 8 - 2 C+ +2 C +1 C B- C C -0 B+ D- C-
 Thu, Dec 11 316 Alabama St. W 85 - 77 98% +11  99% 9 - 2 C- -5 A+ +16 A+ A+ C+ F -19 F F F
 Sun, Dec 14 227 Bethune-Cookman W 82 - 60 94% +15  96% 10 - 2 A- +15 B+ +9 A- A+ F B+ +8 B+ F+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 6 Illinois L 48 - 91 17% -17  1% 10 - 3 F -22 F -14 F+ D- F+ F -12 B F A-
 Sat, Jan 3 4 Florida W 76 - 74 20% +1  48% 11 - 3 1 - 0 A +22 A +14 A+ A- B A- +9 A A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 7 24 @Kentucky W 73 - 68 22% -0  40% 12 - 3 2 - 0 A+ +24 B+ +9 A+ D C A+ +16 A- A+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 65 @Mississippi L 69 - 76 49% +1  42% 12 - 4 2 - 1 C+ +4 C+ +3 A+ D D+ C+ +1 B+ B- D
 Wed, Jan 14 28 Auburn W 84 - 74 46% +4  68% 13 - 4 3 - 1 A +22 A +13 A+ C- C A- +10 A+ B B
 Sat, Jan 17 57 @LSU L 70 - 78 44% -7  0% 13 - 5 3 - 2 C+ +5 B+ +8 D+ A+ D- D+ -4 A F F+
 Tue, Jan 20 36 Georgia L 72 - 74 50% -2  29% 13 - 6 3 - 3 B +9 C+ +3 B- D+ B B +6 A- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 54 Oklahoma W 88 - 87 OT 65% -0  30% 14 - 6 4 - 3 B +8 B +7 D+ A C+ C+ +1 D- A+ B
 Tue, Jan 27 17 @Alabama L 64 - 90 17% -12  8% 14 - 7 4 - 4 D+ -5 F+ -9 F+ A- D- B +5 B A+ D
 Sat, Jan 31 79 Mississippi St. W 84 - 79 75% +8  93% 15 - 7 5 - 4 B +9 B+ +8 A- D+ C C+ +0 D+ A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 90 @South Carolina W 78 - 59 61% +9  97% 16 - 7 6 - 4 A+ +27 A +12 B A+ F A+ +17 A+ A D
 Wed, Feb 11 31 @Texas A&M W 86 - 85 27% -1  35% 17 - 7 7 - 4 A +19 A+ +23 A A A+ D+ -5 F A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 14 30 Texas L 79 - 80 50%
 Wed, Feb 18 14 Vanderbilt L 77 - 82 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 19 @Arkansas L 77 - 87 17%
 Tue, Feb 24 18 Tennessee L 71 - 75 36%
 Sat, Feb 28 79 @Mississippi St. W 76 - 75 54%
 Tue, Mar 3 54 @Oklahoma L 77 - 79 43%
 Sat, Mar 7 19 Arkansas L 80 - 84 35%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 8 +11 B+ +8 B+ A- D+ B- +4 B- B C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ A- D+ B- B 44% 17% 39% B- B+ B+ B+ A- D+ B+ D- B- B- A- C+ D+ C+ 30% 25% 45% B+ B- B- B+ B C+ C+ D+ C+
1.20 67% 35% 36% +5 +1 1.13 37% 1.2 .43 18% .37 67% .25 1.04 50% 37% 36% -2 -1 0.96 28% 0.9 .25 18% .29 74% .27
Nov
3		 Howard A C F A+ A 57% 6% 37% A A A+ B+ A+ D- B- F F B A+ A F C- 34% 15% 51% B- C- A+ A+ A+ D- B+ B+ A-
1.23 57% 0% 50% +6 +3 1.20 47% 1.3 .59 22% .38 48% .18 0.93 33% 25% 41% -5 0 0.92 24% 0.7 .17 18% .27 69% .19
Nov
7		 Southeast Missouri St. C+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 41% 33% 27% F A+ C+ F D F A+ F B- D+ D- F D+ F 26% 31% 43% A+ F+ F A+ A- B+ D+ F F
1.15 75% 63% 38% +17 -1 1.33 31% 0.9 .28 25% .53 61% .33 1.09 64% 53% 35% +7 -2 1.11 38% 0.7 .26 21% .34 81% .28
Nov
9		 VMI A A- D F F+ 49% 16% 35% B+ D- A A+ A+ B A+ C A+ B A+ F+ F+ F 6% 17% 77% A+ F+ A- A+ A+ A D- D- F+
1.40 72% 38% 22% +1 +1 1.06 50% 1.8 .88 15% .54 71% .39 0.90 0% 44% 38% +2 -2 1.02 20% 0.3 .05 22% .34 75% .26
Nov
12		 Minnesota A+ A+ B A+ A+ 28% 26% 46% C- A+ F A+ A+ A- A+ C- A A B+ F A+ B 33% 27% 40% A B+ F A+ A- B- B- A+ A
1.34 85% 42% 48% +18 -1 1.35 13% 3.0 .39 15% .38 70% .27 0.97 53% 67% 22% -1 -1 0.98 39% 0.6 .22 18% .33 53% .18
Nov
17		 Prairie View C+ C F A C 50% 11% 39% B+ C+ C- A B- C C+ D C- C+ A A+ D B+ 35% 28% 37% D+ B A F C+ F+ A+ F B+
1.19 59% 17% 43% +3 +2 1.13 35% 1.3 .44 18% .40 68% .27 0.96 43% 24% 36% -8 -1 0.83 14% 1.5 .21 12% .24 88% .21
Nov
20		 South Dakota A+ A A- A+ A+ 68% 13% 19% B+ A+ A+ D- A F A+ B+ A+ B+ D- B+ B+ C+ 23% 27% 50% A+ B D F F A C- A+ A-
1.38 72% 50% 56% +17 +3 1.43 50% 1.1 .54 23% .53 80% .42 0.92 64% 31% 29% -4 -2 0.90 32% 1.3 .39 23% .37 57% .21
Nov
25		 South Carolina St. A+ B+ D F F 39% 22% 39% F+ F A+ A+ A+ A- A B A C D- B A+ A- 27% 33% 40% C- B+ B- C C+ F+ F F F
1.40 70% 36% 20% -4 0 0.94 54% 1.9 1.03 13% .49 77% .38 0.94 62% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.79 27% 1.0 .27 17% .47 74% .34
Nov
28		 Cleveland St. C A+ C- C C+ 27% 10% 63% C+ C+ A+ B- A+ F D- A D+ A+ C+ A+ C- A- 29% 18% 53% B- A- B A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+
1.22 79% 40% 34% +6 +1 1.16 51% 1.1 .57 23% .24 85% .20 0.83 53% 11% 37% -4 0 0.94 24% 0.6 .13 24% .20 55% .11
Dec
2		 Notre Dame C A+ F+ F C+ 38% 21% 42% B- C+ C+ D C- D A+ F+ A+ B- F F B- C- 21% 19% 60% B- C A+ A+ A+ B C- F D-
1.03 72% 30% 25% -2 0 0.98 26% 0.9 .23 17% .44 68% .30 1.11 82% 50% 32% +6 -1 1.12 24% 0.7 .17 19% .32 83% .27
Dec
7		 Kansas C C F F D+ 49% 8% 43% A+ C A D B- C A+ F A- C C+ A+ C- A- 45% 19% 36% D B+ F+ C D- C- F B F
0.91 52% 0% 23% -13 +2 0.80 36% 0.7 .24 15% .38 52% .20 1.22 62% 22% 35% -1 +1 1.02 39% 1.3 .48 14% .46 73% .34
Dec
11		 Alabama St. A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 23% 33% D+ A+ C- A+ A+ C+ D F F+ F C+ C F F 25% 27% 47% B+ F C- F F F A- B- B+
1.37 79% 50% 50% +20 0 1.42 33% 1.9 .62 18% .31 69% .22 1.24 54% 36% 46% +7 -2 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 11% .22 67% .15
Dec
14		 Bethune-Cookman B+ C+ A+ C A- 49% 14% 37% B- A- A A+ A+ F F F F B+ A+ C- F A 54% 20% 27% F+ B+ A+ F F+ A+ F F F
1.22 58% 71% 33% +5 +2 1.14 42% 1.9 .81 22% .21 64% .13 0.89 32% 38% 45% -10 +1 0.85 18% 2.0 .36 24% .41 76% .31
Dec
22		 Illinois F F F C- F+ 28% 32% 40% C F+ B+ F D- F+ A+ D+ A F C B F+ C+ 18% 25% 57% A+ B F F F A- F+ C- F+
0.77 38% 20% 32% -13 -2 0.72 30% 0.4 .13 16% .29 67% .19 1.46 63% 36% 40% +6 -2 1.09 56% 1.9 1.07 18% .39 80% .31
Jan
3		 Florida A A+ F+ A A+ 34% 23% 43% B- A+ A B+ A- B A+ F A+ A- B- A+ B+ A 45% 8% 47% C- A A+ A+ A+ D- C+ D+ C
1.12 69% 27% 40% +5 -1 1.11 31% 0.8 .26 15% .52 60% .31 1.09 58% 25% 28% -5 +2 0.96 33% 0.8 .26 12% .33 75% .25
Jan
7		 Kentucky B+ A- A+ B A+ 46% 20% 34% A- A+ F A D C B- C- B- A+ B- B- C- B+ 37% 33% 30% A+ A- A+ A A+ A F B- F+
1.07 65% 50% 35% +6 +1 1.16 15% 1.0 .15 18% .32 72% .23 1.00 59% 33% 36% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 71% .31
Jan
10		 Mississippi C+ A+ F+ C- A+ 37% 15% 48% B+ A+ C- F+ D D+ A+ F C C+ D+ A F+ B- 17% 45% 38% A+ B+ B C B- D C- D D+
1.03 82% 29% 32% +6 +1 1.15 27% 0.9 .24 19% .45 50% .22 1.14 67% 29% 40% +1 -5 0.94 28% 1.1 .31 10% .32 79% .25
Jan
14		 Auburn A A+ C+ A+ A+ 49% 12% 40% A A+ C- C- C- C A+ F+ A+ A- B+ A- B A+ 40% 19% 40% B A+ B- B- B B F B D-
1.23 71% 40% 47% +15 +2 1.35 27% 1.0 .27 19% .56 68% .38 1.08 53% 33% 32% -4 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 16% .49 71% .35
Jan
17		 LSU B+ B F F D 40% 23% 38% C+ D+ B- A+ A+ D- A+ A+ A+ D+ C A+ C- A- 28% 28% 43% A+ A F D F F+ D- C- D-
1.13 63% 22% 27% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 19% .60 80% .48 1.26 62% 23% 35% -2 -2 0.93 43% 1.3 .57 11% .42 78% .33
Jan
20		 Georgia C+ B F B- B- 44% 17% 38% B B- B F D+ B D+ A+ B- B A+ C+ D B+ 29% 29% 42% A+ A- F+ A+ A+ C D+ F F+
1.06 61% 11% 35% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.7 .25 18% .21 92% .20 1.09 47% 40% 36% -1 -2 0.96 44% 0.6 .26 15% .36 86% .31
Jan
24		 Oklahoma B D B D- D+ 41% 22% 37% B- D+ A B A C+ A+ C- A+ C+ A F F F 21% 30% 49% A+ D- A+ A+ A+ B F C- F
1.17 50% 42% 30% -5 0 0.93 41% 1.1 .46 16% .52 73% .38 1.15 45% 56% 46% +12 -3 1.21 17% 0.6 .10 16% .47 77% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Alabama F+ C- F F F 43% 20% 37% B+ F+ B A A- D- A+ F D- B A- D D+ B+ 30% 7% 63% C+ B A+ D+ A+ D D- F F
0.86 52% 18% 20% -14 0 0.74 33% 1.1 .37 18% .38 35% .13 1.21 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 22% 1.3 .27 9% .39 88% .34
Jan
31		 Mississippi St. B+ B+ C B+ A 22% 27% 51% C- A- B+ F D+ C A+ B- A+ C+ A+ F F D- 26% 33% 41% A+ D+ D+ A+ A+ B+ C- B- C
1.15 64% 38% 36% +3 -2 1.04 32% 0.7 .22 14% .52 76% .40 1.08 43% 56% 41% +6 -3 1.09 35% 0.4 .14 19% .30 67% .20
Feb
7		 South Carolina A D B B+ B- 42% 16% 42% B+ B A+ B- A+ F A+ C- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 32% 27% 41% A- A+ C+ A+ A D F C- F
1.19 53% 43% 37% 0 +1 1.04 48% 1.0 .48 21% .58 70% .41 0.90 43% 33% 17% -17 -1 0.66 28% 0.7 .21 12% .47 81% .38
Feb
11		 Texas A&M A+ A+ F A- A 49% 17% 34% B+ A A+ C- A A+ C- F D- D+ C F+ F F 39% 4% 57% C- F A A+ A+ C- A- D B
1.31 77% 11% 39% +7 +1 1.19 47% 0.9 .41 14% .26 60% .16 1.30 60% 50% 52% +16 +2 1.39 26% 0.3 .06 14% .26 80% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.1 0.1 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.1 0.6 4.0 3rd
4th 0.0 3.0 2.5 5.5 4th
5th 0.9 7.4 0.7 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 5.1 5.9 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.8 11.3 1.4 14.6 7th
8th 0.4 8.5 8.1 0.0 17.0 8th
9th 0.1 3.7 10.8 1.7 16.3 9th
10th 1.1 7.1 4.6 0.1 12.8 10th
11th 2.7 4.2 0.6 7.6 11th
12th 0.3 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 4.2 15.4 26.4 27.1 18.1 6.9 1.8 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 36.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 1.8% 98.9% 4.5% 94.3% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 98.8%
12-6 6.9% 97.2% 1.3% 95.9% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.2 97.2%
11-7 18.1% 89.0% 1.2% 87.8% 9.0 0.1 0.9 3.7 6.3 3.9 1.1 2.0 88.9%
10-8 27.1% 77.4% 0.5% 77.0% 9.8 0.2 2.0 5.7 8.1 5.1 6.1 77.3%
9-9 26.4% 53.4% 0.2% 53.2% 10.4 0.2 1.4 4.9 7.6 0.1 12.3 53.3%
8-10 15.4% 19.4% 0.3% 19.1% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4 0.1 12.4 19.2%
7-11 4.2% 3.1% 3.1% 11.1 0.1 0.0 4.1 3.1%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 62.9% 0.6% 62.3% 9.5 37.1 62.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.2%