Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#37
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#69
Pace71.2#141
Improvement+0.0#189

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#27
First Shot+6.6#29
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#78
Layup/Dunks+5.1#42
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#133
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#177
Freethrows+0.8#136
Improvement-1.0#261

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#59
First Shot+2.0#104
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#45
Layups/Dunks+7.7#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#321
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#354
Freethrows+3.2#25
Improvement+1.0#103
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 6.3% 11.4% 4.4%
Top 6 Seed 19.4% 30.1% 15.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58.4% 72.7% 52.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 57.1% 71.5% 51.7%
Average Seed 7.4 7.0 7.7
.500 or above 90.3% 96.6% 87.8%
.500 or above in Conference 54.3% 61.4% 51.6%
Conference Champion 3.7% 5.1% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.3% 2.8% 4.9%
First Four5.6% 5.2% 5.8%
First Round55.9% 70.3% 50.3%
Second Round33.8% 45.6% 29.3%
Sweet Sixteen11.4% 16.4% 9.4%
Elite Eight3.9% 5.8% 3.1%
Final Four1.3% 2.1% 1.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Kansas (Away) - 27.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 45 - 10
Quad 24 - 29 - 12
Quad 32 - 011 - 12
Quad 49 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 313 @Howard W 88-67 95%     1 - 0 +15.5 +11.2 +3.8
  Fri, Nov 7 216 Southeast Missouri St. W 89-84 95%     2 - 0 -1.6 +5.4 -7.4
  Sun, Nov 9 341 VMI W 106-68 99%     3 - 0 +23.7 +17.8 +3.0
  Wed, Nov 12 102 Minnesota W 83-60 85%     4 - 0 +24.9 +22.1 +5.8
  Mon, Nov 17 322 Prairie View W 91-73 98%     5 - 0 +5.9 +6.1 -1.7
  Thu, Nov 20 270 South Dakota W 102-68 97%     6 - 0 +25.3 +17.8 +5.6
  Tue, Nov 25 349 South Carolina St. W 98-66 99%     7 - 0 +16.5 +18.9 -2.3
  Fri, Nov 28 323 Cleveland St. W 86-59 98%     8 - 0 +14.6 +4.0 +10.4
  Tue, Dec 2 58 @Notre Dame L 71-76 51%     8 - 1 +7.5 +5.7 +1.8
  Sun, Dec 7 18 @Kansas L 72-78 28%    
  Thu, Dec 11 276 Alabama St. W 89-67 98%    
  Sun, Dec 14 220 Bethune-Cookman W 85-66 97%    
  Mon, Dec 22 15 Illinois L 77-82 31%    
  Sat, Jan 3 14 Florida L 78-80 42%    
  Wed, Jan 7 21 @Kentucky L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 57 @Mississippi L 74-75 49%    
  Wed, Jan 14 26 Auburn W 80-78 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 31 @LSU L 76-80 37%    
  Tue, Jan 20 19 Georgia W 86-85 51%    
  Sat, Jan 24 53 Oklahoma W 83-77 69%    
  Tue, Jan 27 10 @Alabama L 84-93 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 78 Mississippi St. W 82-74 78%    
  Sat, Feb 7 87 @South Carolina W 76-72 63%    
  Wed, Feb 11 39 @Texas A&M L 80-82 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 46 Texas W 81-76 67%    
  Wed, Feb 18 11 Vanderbilt L 80-83 40%    
  Sat, Feb 21 20 @Arkansas L 77-82 31%    
  Tue, Feb 24 17 Tennessee L 74-75 48%    
  Sat, Feb 28 78 @Mississippi St. W 79-77 59%    
  Tue, Mar 3 53 @Oklahoma L 79-80 48%    
  Sat, Mar 7 20 Arkansas W 80-79 52%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 3.7 0.9 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.5 1.9 0.1 7.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.7 3.6 0.4 0.0 8.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 5.0 1.2 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.1 0.1 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 2.6 4.2 0.7 7.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.5 2.0 0.1 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.1 0.3 0.0 6.8 12th
13th 0.2 1.8 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.1 13th
14th 0.1 1.1 2.4 1.3 0.1 5.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.1 0.1 3.8 15th
16th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 2.0 16th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.5 6.0 8.7 12.0 12.9 13.9 12.6 10.6 7.7 4.9 2.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.2% 0.1    0.1
16-2 93.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 78.3% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0
14-4 47.3% 1.3    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.5% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 22.2% 77.8% 2.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 2.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.2% 100.0% 18.7% 81.3% 3.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.8% 100.0% 13.7% 86.3% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.9% 99.9% 10.5% 89.4% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-6 7.7% 99.2% 8.1% 91.2% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 99.2%
11-7 10.6% 97.0% 4.5% 92.5% 7.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.9 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.3 96.8%
10-8 12.6% 91.6% 2.6% 89.0% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 2.4 3.2 2.6 1.3 0.3 1.1 91.4%
9-9 13.9% 77.8% 1.5% 76.3% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.5 3.0 2.7 1.2 0.0 3.1 77.5%
8-10 12.9% 46.2% 0.8% 45.4% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.0 1.8 0.1 7.0 45.8%
7-11 12.0% 18.1% 0.4% 17.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 0.1 9.8 17.8%
6-12 8.7% 4.7% 0.3% 4.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 8.3 4.4%
5-13 6.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 6.0 0.4%
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 58.4% 3.0% 55.4% 7.4 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.7 5.9 7.2 9.0 9.6 8.4 7.0 4.8 0.2 41.6 57.1%