Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#133
Expected Predictive Rating-1.8#197
Pace78.0#24
Improvement+0.0#191

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#138
First Shot+1.9#127
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#220
Layup/Dunks+1.4#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#262
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#158
Freethrows+1.1#118
Improvement+1.0#103

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#150
First Shot+0.9#143
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#203
Layups/Dunks+1.2#131
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#202
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#38
Freethrows-5.1#359
Improvement-1.0#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.1% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.7 12.2
.500 or above 43.9% 67.9% 40.0%
.500 or above in Conference 36.9% 49.0% 34.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.9% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 2.8% 6.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round1.4% 2.1% 1.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Away) - 13.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 63 - 10
Quad 34 - 57 - 14
Quad 48 - 215 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 342 Niagara W 83-63 93%     1 - 0 +5.6 +3.5 +1.8
  Fri, Nov 7 256 Sacred Heart W 92-80 83%     2 - 0 +3.8 +6.9 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 11 196 Queens W 87-81 OT 75%     3 - 0 +0.7 -8.8 +8.3
  Sat, Nov 15 38 @Villanova L 77-87 10%     3 - 1 +5.6 +11.2 -5.6
  Wed, Nov 19 321 Loyola Maryland W 92-78 90%     4 - 1 +1.9 +6.6 -5.5
  Sat, Nov 22 228 Northeastern L 86-93 71%     4 - 2 -10.9 -1.8 -7.9
  Tue, Dec 2 119 William & Mary L 79-83 57%     4 - 3 -3.9 -0.8 -2.8
  Sat, Dec 6 221 Stony Brook W 84-75 79%     5 - 3 +2.3 +7.9 -5.5
  Wed, Dec 10 52 @Boise St. L 69-80 14%    
  Sat, Dec 13 106 @Nevada L 74-80 30%    
  Mon, Dec 22 355 Canisius W 81-63 95%    
  Tue, Dec 30 138 @Davidson L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Jan 3 42 Virginia Commonwealth L 75-82 26%    
  Wed, Jan 7 178 @Saint Joseph's W 78-77 51%    
  Tue, Jan 13 70 Dayton L 77-80 38%    
  Sat, Jan 17 229 @Fordham W 75-72 59%    
  Tue, Jan 20 45 Saint Louis L 79-85 29%    
  Sat, Jan 24 260 @Loyola Chicago W 78-74 65%    
  Wed, Jan 28 108 St. Bonaventure W 76-75 53%    
  Sun, Feb 1 116 Rhode Island W 79-77 55%    
  Wed, Feb 4 74 @George Mason L 70-79 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 59 George Washington L 83-88 33%    
  Sat, Feb 14 108 @St. Bonaventure L 73-78 32%    
  Wed, Feb 18 225 La Salle W 79-70 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 70 @Dayton L 74-83 20%    
  Wed, Feb 25 138 Davidson W 77-74 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 45 @Saint Louis L 76-88 14%    
  Wed, Mar 4 116 @Rhode Island L 76-80 34%    
  Sat, Mar 7 105 Richmond W 80-79 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 2.8 0.5 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.7 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.0 2.0 0.1 9.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 5.3 3.6 0.4 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.5 4.6 0.8 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 5.0 5.2 1.2 0.1 12.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.4 4.7 1.4 0.1 11.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.1 3.6 1.3 0.1 9.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 1.8 2.0 0.7 0.1 5.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.6 6.8 10.0 12.7 14.2 13.6 12.6 9.4 6.8 4.2 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 88.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 76.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 35.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
13-5 8.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 25.0% 11.1% 13.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 15.6%
15-3 0.4% 11.7% 9.9% 1.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0%
14-4 1.0% 11.9% 11.5% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.4%
13-5 2.3% 9.1% 9.1% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
12-6 4.2% 5.9% 5.9% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.0
11-7 6.8% 4.4% 4.4% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 6.5
10-8 9.4% 1.6% 1.6% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.3
9-9 12.6% 1.3% 1.3% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.4
8-10 13.6% 0.6% 0.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.5
7-11 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.1
6-12 12.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
5-13 10.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 10.0
4-14 6.8% 6.8
3-15 3.6% 3.6
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.6 0.0%