Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#128
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#180
Pace63.6#300
Improvement+5.5#12

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#180
First Shot-2.5#245
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#54
Layup/Dunks-2.4#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#34
Freethrows-2.9#335
Improvement+3.6#32

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#103
First Shot+2.3#107
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#163
Layups/Dunks+1.4#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#86
Freethrows-2.1#317
Improvement+1.9#85
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.1% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.3 15.3
.500 or above 0.7% 2.3% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 43.9% 100.0% 29.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 1.1% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Home) - 20.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 23 - 53 - 7
Quad 36 - 710 - 14
Quad 44 - 513 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 99   Lipscomb L 72-77 50%     0 - 1 -2.9 -5.7 +3.2
  Nov 08, 2024 194   Princeton L 68-75 65%     0 - 2 -8.8 -7.0 -1.7
  Nov 15, 2024 123   @ DePaul L 58-84 38%     0 - 3 -20.8 -4.5 -19.7
  Nov 19, 2024 136   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-80 64%     0 - 4 -7.4 +1.3 -8.8
  Nov 24, 2024 126   South Dakota St. L 60-71 50%     0 - 5 -8.8 -9.2 -0.3
  Nov 25, 2024 215   Hampton L 59-64 69%     0 - 6 -7.9 -10.8 +2.6
  Nov 26, 2024 296   Old Dominion W 67-54 82%     1 - 6 +5.5 -10.2 +15.6
  Dec 03, 2024 277   St. Peter's L 59-62 85%     1 - 7 -12.1 -3.8 -8.9
  Dec 06, 2024 264   Delaware W 80-66 84%     2 - 7 +5.6 +5.1 +1.5
  Dec 11, 2024 224   Maine L 56-61 78%     2 - 8 -10.9 -10.1 -1.5
  Dec 14, 2024 145   Towson W 65-47 55%     3 - 8 +18.9 +12.1 +12.0
  Dec 21, 2024 82   UC Irvine W 70-54 42%     4 - 8 +20.1 +15.4 +7.4
  Dec 31, 2024 138   Rhode Island W 67-55 64%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +10.5 -1.1 +12.7
  Jan 04, 2025 132   @ Davidson L 71-77 42%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -1.7 +8.1 -10.6
  Jan 08, 2025 73   Saint Joseph's W 85-81 OT 39%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +9.1 +9.9 -1.1
  Jan 15, 2025 121   @ George Washington W 73-65 38%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +13.3 +6.1 +7.4
  Jan 18, 2025 104   St. Bonaventure W 75-57 54%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +19.2 +13.4 +8.1
  Jan 21, 2025 81   Dayton L 62-82 42%     8 - 10 4 - 2 -15.9 -6.0 -11.4
  Jan 26, 2025 217   @ Fordham L 63-65 60%     8 - 11 4 - 3 -2.3 -4.8 +2.3
  Jan 29, 2025 73   @ Saint Joseph's L 72-76 21%     8 - 12 4 - 4 +6.5 +6.2 +0.3
  Feb 01, 2025 179   Massachusetts L 53-62 71%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -12.7 -20.9 +8.3
  Feb 05, 2025 226   @ Richmond L 68-73 61%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -5.7 +6.6 -13.1
  Feb 08, 2025 118   Loyola Chicago W 69-56 58%     9 - 14 5 - 6 +13.1 +1.5 +12.4
  Feb 15, 2025 81   @ Dayton L 76-77 24%     9 - 15 5 - 7 +8.6 +11.3 -2.8
  Feb 19, 2025 217   Fordham W 73-64 77%     10 - 15 6 - 7 +3.3 -3.4 +6.6
  Feb 22, 2025 104   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-70 33%     10 - 16 6 - 8 -0.4 +2.8 -4.0
  Feb 26, 2025 238   @ La Salle W 67-62 64%     11 - 16 7 - 8 +3.4 -1.1 +4.8
  Mar 01, 2025 88   George Mason W 85-68 45%     12 - 16 8 - 8 +20.6 +20.8 +0.2
  Mar 04, 2025 31   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-72 20%    
  Mar 08, 2025 100   @ Saint Louis L 66-71 30%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 1.0 1.0 5th
6th 5.1 5.1 6th
7th 11.8 37.6 0.2 49.6 7th
8th 28.4 28.4 8th
9th 15.9 15.9 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 56.1 37.6 6.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 6.4% 1.1% 1.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3
9-9 37.6% 1.1% 1.1% 14.9 0.1 0.4 37.1
8-10 56.1% 0.6% 0.6% 15.6 0.1 0.2 55.8
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 24.5%