Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#129
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#194
Pace63.1#316
Improvement+6.1#10

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#183
First Shot-2.4#244
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#50
Layup/Dunks-2.4#271
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#32
Freethrows-2.9#336
Improvement+4.1#18

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#112
First Shot+2.0#109
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#176
Layups/Dunks+1.3#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#86
Freethrows-2.2#318
Improvement+2.0#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.0% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.5
.500 or above 10.6% 14.2% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 51.9% 61.9% 31.2%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.5% 3.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.6% 2.0% 0.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Home) - 67.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 73 - 8
Quad 36 - 79 - 15
Quad 44 - 413 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 101   Lipscomb L 72-77 51%     0 - 1 -3.3 -5.0 +2.0
  Nov 08, 2024 140   Princeton L 68-75 52%     0 - 2 -5.5 -6.9 +1.6
  Nov 15, 2024 117   @ DePaul L 58-84 38%     0 - 3 -20.8 -5.6 -18.7
  Nov 19, 2024 131   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-80 60%     0 - 4 -6.7 +1.5 -8.3
  Nov 24, 2024 111   South Dakota St. L 60-71 44%     0 - 5 -7.5 -7.6 -0.6
  Nov 25, 2024 282   Hampton L 59-64 80%     0 - 6 -11.8 -12.7 +0.6
  Nov 26, 2024 272   Old Dominion W 67-54 78%     1 - 6 +6.9 -9.5 +16.2
  Dec 03, 2024 240   St. Peter's L 59-62 81%     1 - 7 -10.3 -1.1 -9.7
  Dec 06, 2024 227   Delaware W 80-66 78%     2 - 7 +7.9 +6.9 +2.0
  Dec 11, 2024 188   Maine L 56-61 71%     2 - 8 -8.7 -8.1 -1.4
  Dec 14, 2024 152   Towson W 65-47 54%     3 - 8 +18.8 +12.7 +11.3
  Dec 21, 2024 65   UC Irvine W 70-54 35%     4 - 8 +22.0 +16.2 +8.5
  Dec 31, 2024 122   Rhode Island W 67-55 58%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +11.8 +0.9 +12.0
  Jan 04, 2025 123   @ Davidson L 71-77 39%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -1.3 +7.4 -9.4
  Jan 08, 2025 86   Saint Joseph's W 85-81 OT 41%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +8.4 +9.5 -1.4
  Jan 15, 2025 119   @ George Washington W 73-65 38%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +13.0 +5.2 +8.0
  Jan 18, 2025 94   St. Bonaventure W 75-57 46%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +21.1 +12.9 +10.4
  Jan 21, 2025 83   Dayton L 62-82 40%     8 - 10 4 - 2 -15.5 -6.5 -10.5
  Jan 26, 2025 199   @ Fordham L 63-65 55%     8 - 11 4 - 3 -1.2 -2.9 +1.5
  Jan 29, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 72-76 24%     8 - 12 4 - 4 +5.4 +5.6 -0.2
  Feb 01, 2025 161   Massachusetts W 73-69 67%    
  Feb 05, 2025 207   @ Richmond W 66-64 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 134   Loyola Chicago W 69-66 63%    
  Feb 15, 2025 83   @ Dayton L 64-72 23%    
  Feb 19, 2025 199   Fordham W 73-67 73%    
  Feb 22, 2025 94   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-68 26%    
  Feb 26, 2025 202   @ La Salle W 70-69 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 80   George Mason L 60-63 41%    
  Mar 04, 2025 44   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-70 29%    
  Mar 08, 2025 99   @ Saint Louis L 66-71 30%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.4 1st
2nd 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 1.7 0.2 3.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 3.9 0.6 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 6.3 2.6 0.1 9.8 5th
6th 0.1 4.9 5.8 0.4 11.2 6th
7th 1.6 9.0 2.1 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.2 6.4 6.2 0.2 13.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.9 9.1 1.7 12.7 9th
10th 0.1 5.5 5.0 0.2 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 5.3 1.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.2 3.0 2.2 0.1 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 2.3 0.2 3.4 13th
14th 0.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.6 14th
15th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 15th
Total 0.3 2.2 7.1 15.3 23.2 22.7 16.3 8.7 3.2 0.9 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 66.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1
13-5 29.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.9% 9.2% 9.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
12-6 3.2% 6.3% 6.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.0
11-7 8.7% 4.7% 4.7% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.3
10-8 16.3% 2.5% 2.5% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 15.9
9-9 22.7% 1.3% 1.3% 14.8 0.1 0.3 22.4
8-10 23.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.4 0.1 0.1 23.1
7-11 15.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 15.3
6-12 7.1% 7.1
5-13 2.2% 2.2
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 98.4 0.0%