Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.8 #118
Expected Predictive Rating -0.9 #176
Pace 75.7 #35
Improvement +2.5 #70

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #120 B- C+ D B A-
Defense #136 C+ C+ C D- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #106 1.27 #73 +3.8 #59
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% #345 0.70 #264 -4.2 #350
Three Pointers 48% #40 1.01 #194 +3.5 #71
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #90 +3.2 #91
Freethrows 20.5 #51 72% #208 14.7 #74
Second Chance 31.0% #173 1.10 #115 0.34 #130
Turnovers 18.1% #283
Total Offense +1.9 #120

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #140 1.13 #138 -0.4 #189
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #90 0.75 #163 -1.1 #269
Three Pointers 36% #300 1.01 #179 +2.5 #91
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #144 +1.1 #145
Freethrows 20.5 #318 73% #209 14.9 #314
Second Chance 27.8% #87 1.06 #213 0.30 #113
Turnovers 16.5% #181
Total Defense +0.9 #136

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.0% #22 -0.5% #120
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 3.2% #129 -1.7% #153
Possession Length 15.7 #44 17.3 #179
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #36 0.22 #322
Improvement +1.6 #97 +0.9 #128

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.2% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.4 13.6
.500 or above 38.5% 46.7% 19.0%
.500 or above in Conference 36.4% 44.6% 17.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 0.5% 7.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.0% 1.2% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Away) - 70.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 21 - 52 - 10
Quad 35 - 57 - 15
Quad 48 - 215 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 352 Niagara W 83 - 63 95% +17  1 - 0 +4 +2 A+ D+ F +2 B B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 270 Sacred Heart W 92 - 80 86% +7  2 - 0 +3 +7 F A A+ -5 B+ B- F
 Tue, Nov 11 177 Queens W 87 - 81 OT 75% +9  3 - 0 +2 -9 D+ F F +9 A- A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 33 @Villanova L 77 - 87 10% -6  3 - 1 +7 +12 A+ D F -5 A+ F A-
 Wed, Nov 19 324 Loyola Maryland W 92 - 78 92% +12  4 - 1 +1 +6 B A+ F -6 D- B- D
 Sat, Nov 22 259 Northeastern L 86 - 93 78% -3  4 - 2 -12 -6 B- F F -5 F A A+
 Tue, Dec 2 138 William & Mary L 79 - 83 67% -8  4 - 3 -6 -1 F A+ F -5 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 242 Stony Brook W 84 - 75 83% +8  5 - 3 +2 +8 A+ F C- -7 B D+ F
 Wed, Dec 10 66 @Boise St. L 64 - 86 21% -12  5 - 4 -11 -3 F B- C+ -8 C- D- F
 Sat, Dec 13 80 @Nevada L 75 - 78 23% -5  5 - 5 +7 +9 C- A D- -2 A- F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 344 Canisius W 103 - 59 94% +22  6 - 5 +29 +21 A+ B- C +6 C- C+ A+
 Tue, Dec 30 137 @Davidson W 89 - 83 2OT 43% -3  7 - 5 1 - 0 +11 +10 C B+ B -0 A+ A F
 Sat, Jan 3 55 Virginia Commonwealth L 80 - 93 33% -7  7 - 6 1 - 1 -6 +8 A+ F C- -13 C F B
 Wed, Jan 7 159 @Saint Joseph's L 90 - 97 OT 49% +0  7 - 7 1 - 2 -4 +10 A B- F -13 F C+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 73 Dayton L 65 - 71 42% -5  7 - 8 1 - 3 -1 +3 C F A+ -5 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 193 @Fordham W 74 - 63 58% +6  8 - 8 2 - 3 +12 +2 B D F +9 A+ B- C
 Tue, Jan 20 28 Saint Louis L 77 - 81 20% -5  8 - 9 2 - 4 +8 +3 D A+ F +5 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 268 @Loyola Chicago W 81 - 75 70%
 Wed, Jan 28 136 St. Bonaventure W 80 - 76 66%
 Sun, Feb 1 122 Rhode Island W 76 - 73 61%
 Wed, Feb 4 86 @George Mason L 72 - 79 25%
 Sat, Feb 7 72 George Washington L 83 - 85 42%
 Sat, Feb 14 136 @St. Bonaventure L 77 - 79 44%
 Wed, Feb 18 197 La Salle W 79 - 71 78%
 Sat, Feb 21 73 @Dayton L 71 - 79 23%
 Wed, Feb 25 137 Davidson W 76 - 72 66%
 Sat, Feb 28 28 @Saint Louis L 75 - 90 9%
 Wed, Mar 4 122 @Rhode Island L 73 - 76 40%
 Sat, Mar 7 120 Richmond W 81 - 78 61%
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 +3 +2 B- C+ D +1 C+ C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 1.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.4 0.8 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 4.5 2.0 0.1 8.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 6.5 4.4 0.4 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 5.9 7.0 1.1 0.0 14.3 7th
8th 0.1 3.3 8.6 2.3 0.1 0.0 14.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 8.2 4.4 0.2 14.0 9th
10th 0.3 4.8 5.9 0.6 0.0 11.7 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 5.4 1.4 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 3.4 1.7 0.1 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.2 0.1 3.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.6 7.0 13.4 19.3 20.5 17.6 11.2 5.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 1.3% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 6.3% 6.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.9% 6.4% 6.4% 11.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.8
11-7 5.4% 3.0% 3.0% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.2
10-8 11.2% 1.8% 1.8% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.0
9-9 17.6% 0.9% 0.9% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 17.4
8-10 20.5% 0.9% 0.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 20.3
7-11 19.3% 0.6% 0.6% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 19.2
6-12 13.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 13.4
5-13 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 2.6% 2.6
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0% 12.7 99.0 0.0%