St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#108
Expected Predictive Rating+14.0#34
Pace65.6#285
Improvement+0.2#181

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#137
First Shot-0.1#179
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#99
Layup/Dunks+0.3#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#202
Freethrows-1.6#278
Improvement-2.4#342

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#88
First Shot+3.0#78
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#204
Layups/Dunks+2.4#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
Freethrows+1.0#125
Improvement+2.6#20
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.6% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.1% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 11.4
.500 or above 96.6% 97.9% 91.5%
.500 or above in Conference 67.1% 69.3% 58.6%
Conference Champion 3.5% 3.8% 2.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.9% 1.8%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round3.7% 4.1% 2.2%
Second Round0.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 78.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 23 - 33 - 7
Quad 38 - 311 - 10
Quad 410 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 115 Bradley W 69-63 53%     1 - 0 +9.4 +3.2 +6.6
  Sat, Nov 8 355 Canisius W 89-70 96%     2 - 0 +2.8 +18.2 -13.6
  Wed, Nov 12 156 Siena W 75-66 76%     3 - 0 +5.7 +8.3 -1.8
  Sat, Nov 15 162 Youngstown St. W 84-80 77%     4 - 0 +0.4 +11.1 -10.7
  Thu, Nov 20 186 Robert Morris W 75-61 80%     5 - 0 +9.3 +1.6 +8.0
  Tue, Nov 25 22 North Carolina L 70-85 15%     5 - 1 +0.0 +3.1 -2.9
  Thu, Nov 27 266 East Carolina W 67-58 82%     6 - 1 +3.4 -8.2 +11.5
  Sun, Nov 30 122 @Florida Atlantic W 70-65 44%     7 - 1 +10.6 +3.5 +7.5
  Sat, Dec 6 223 @Buffalo W 77-69 68%     8 - 1 +7.2 +5.4 +2.2
  Wed, Dec 10 179 Colgate W 75-66 79%    
  Sat, Dec 13 190 Ohio W 77-71 72%    
  Sat, Dec 20 306 Le Moyne W 83-68 92%    
  Wed, Dec 31 42 @Virginia Commonwealth L 66-77 16%    
  Wed, Jan 7 105 Richmond W 74-71 60%    
  Sat, Jan 10 229 Fordham W 72-61 84%    
  Wed, Jan 14 178 @Saint Joseph's W 71-68 59%    
  Sat, Jan 17 225 @La Salle W 70-65 68%    
  Tue, Jan 20 260 Loyola Chicago W 75-63 87%    
  Fri, Jan 23 45 Saint Louis L 72-76 36%    
  Wed, Jan 28 133 @Duquesne L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 74 George Mason L 67-68 48%    
  Tue, Feb 3 70 @Dayton L 67-74 27%    
  Sat, Feb 7 229 @Fordham W 69-64 67%    
  Sat, Feb 14 133 Duquesne W 78-73 68%    
  Wed, Feb 18 178 Saint Joseph's W 74-65 77%    
  Sat, Feb 21 105 @Richmond L 71-74 38%    
  Wed, Feb 25 116 Rhode Island W 73-69 63%    
  Sat, Feb 28 74 @George Mason L 64-71 28%    
  Wed, Mar 4 59 @George Washington L 74-82 23%    
  Sat, Mar 7 138 Davidson W 71-66 69%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.1 0.6 0.1 6.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.5 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.1 4.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.5 1.6 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.2 3.2 6.1 2.4 0.2 12.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 6.2 3.7 0.3 12.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 4.9 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.9 0.7 0.0 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.1 1.0 0.0 6.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 6.2 9.1 12.1 14.5 15.0 13.5 10.5 7.0 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 89.4% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 63.8% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1
14-4 27.5% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
13-5 6.5% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 75.0% 31.8% 43.2% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 63.3%
16-2 0.6% 50.8% 22.8% 28.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 36.3%
15-3 1.9% 25.8% 13.9% 12.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.4 13.9%
14-4 3.9% 17.4% 11.7% 5.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 3.3 6.4%
13-5 7.0% 9.7% 7.8% 1.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.3 2.1%
12-6 10.5% 6.4% 5.8% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.8 0.6%
11-7 13.5% 3.8% 3.8% 11.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 12.9
10-8 15.0% 1.9% 1.9% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 14.7
9-9 14.5% 1.3% 1.3% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.3
8-10 12.1% 0.7% 0.7% 12.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.0
7-11 9.1% 0.5% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
6-12 6.2% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
5-13 3.2% 3.2
4-14 1.5% 1.5
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 3.2% 0.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 2.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 95.9 0.9%