IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.2	#143
Expected Predictive Rating	+2.6	#144

Pace	71.6	#112
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.3	#90

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#241

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	23.4%	28.5%	20.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.5	14.1

.500 or above	90.6%	96.6%	87.6%
.500 or above in Conference	94.5%	96.8%	93.3%
Conference Champion	32.7%	40.0%	29.2%
Last Place in Conference	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%

First Four	0.6%	0.2%	0.8%
First Round	23.1%	28.5%	20.5%
Second Round	2.5%	3.9%	1.8%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	0.9%	0.4%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 4	5 - 8
Quad 4	15 - 3	20 - 11

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	157	@ Duquesne	W	77-72	41%	1 - 0			+8.6	+3.0	+5.2
Nov 06, 2024	19	@ Arkansas	L	60-76	8%	1 - 1			+0.5	-7.0	+8.4
Nov 09, 2024	178	Wofford	W	78-69	69%	2 - 1			+5.2	+11.2	-4.9
Nov 12, 2024	151	Belmont	L	79-80	62%	2 - 2			-3.1	+5.1	-8.2
Nov 17, 2024	118	@ Western Kentucky	L	81-86	33%
Nov 19, 2024	12	@ Kentucky	L	74-92	4%
Nov 24, 2024	324	Jackson St.	W	82-69	89%
Nov 30, 2024	340	@ Alabama A&M	W	81-72	79%
Dec 03, 2024	179	@ Chattanooga	L	75-76	47%
Dec 05, 2024	321	Southeast Missouri St.	W	84-71	88%
Dec 19, 2024	129	@ Middle Tennessee	L	71-75	36%
Jan 02, 2025	232	@ Jacksonville	W	73-71	55%
Jan 04, 2025	140	@ North Florida	L	80-83	39%
Jan 09, 2025	297	Queens	W	86-75	84%
Jan 11, 2025	349	West Georgia	W	85-68	93%
Jan 16, 2025	328	@ Bellarmine	W	78-70	75%
Jan 18, 2025	215	Austin Peay	W	76-69	73%
Jan 23, 2025	177	@ North Alabama	L	77-78	47%
Jan 25, 2025	346	@ Central Arkansas	W	82-72	81%
Jan 30, 2025	225	Eastern Kentucky	W	83-76	74%
Feb 01, 2025	328	Bellarmine	W	81-67	88%
Feb 05, 2025	349	@ West Georgia	W	82-71	82%
Feb 08, 2025	297	@ Queens	W	83-78	67%
Feb 13, 2025	322	Stetson	W	81-68	87%
Feb 15, 2025	239	Florida Gulf Coast	W	75-67	75%
Feb 18, 2025	225	@ Eastern Kentucky	W	80-79	55%
Feb 20, 2025	177	North Alabama	W	80-75	67%
Feb 24, 2025	215	@ Austin Peay	W	73-72	54%
Feb 26, 2025	346	Central Arkansas	W	85-69	92%
Projected Record						19 - 10	13 - 5

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	2.1	6.0	9.6	8.4	5.0	1.3		32.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.7	7.0	7.6	3.7	0.8	0.1			22.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	2.3	6.1	5.0	1.5	0.1	0.0				15.2	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.7	4.4	3.6	0.7	0.1						10.8	4th
5th									0.1	1.0	3.3	2.6	0.5	0.0							7.5	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	2.0	1.9	0.5	0.0								5.0	6th
7th							0.0	0.3	1.3	1.3	0.3	0.0									3.2	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.2	0.0										1.8	8th
9th						0.1	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0											1.0	9th
10th				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0												0.4	10th
11th			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0														0.2	11th
12th		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0														0.1	12th

Total		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.5	2.9	4.7	7.5	10.1	13.3	14.8	15.1	13.4	9.1	5.0	1.3			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.3		1.3
17-1	98.9%	5.0		4.8	0.2
16-2	91.5%	8.4		7.0	1.4	0.0
15-3	71.6%	9.6		5.9	3.3	0.3
14-4	39.7%	6.0		2.4	2.7	0.8	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.3%	2.1		0.4	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0
12-6	2.4%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	32.7%	32.7		21.8	8.5	2.0	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.3%		58.8%	58.8%		11.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0			0.5
17-1	5.0%		51.0%	51.0%		12.7										0.0	0.0	0.1	1.0	1.0	0.4	0.0		2.5
16-2	9.1%		42.8%	42.8%		13.2												0.0	0.8	1.7	1.2	0.2	0.0	5.2
15-3	13.4%		34.9%	34.9%		13.6												0.0	0.4	1.8	1.9	0.6	0.0	8.7
14-4	15.1%		26.5%	26.5%		14.0													0.1	0.9	1.9	1.0	0.1	11.1
13-5	14.8%		21.0%	21.0%		14.5													0.0	0.3	1.2	1.4	0.3	11.7
12-6	13.3%		15.6%	15.6%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.6	1.1	0.3	11.2
11-7	10.1%		12.7%	12.7%		15.1														0.0	0.2	0.6	0.4	8.8
10-8	7.5%		8.1%	8.1%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.3	6.9
9-9	4.7%		5.0%	5.0%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.1	4.5
8-10	2.9%		3.0%	3.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	2.8
7-11	1.5%		1.8%	1.8%		15.9																0.0	0.0	1.4
6-12	0.7%		1.8%	1.8%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
5-13	0.3%																							0.3
4-14	0.1%																							0.1
3-15	0.0%																							0.0
2-16	0.0%																							0.0
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		23.4%	23.4%	0.0%	13.8					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	2.6	6.0	7.4	5.3	1.7	76.6		0.0%