Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#130
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#168
Pace62.1#337
Improvement+3.6#38

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#88
First Shot+1.5#128
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#61
Layup/Dunks+2.3#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#305
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#57
Freethrows-3.1#343
Improvement+0.9#127

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#230
First Shot-2.9#264
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#87
Layups/Dunks-0.5#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#291
Freethrows-1.6#285
Improvement+2.8#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.9% 18.1% 13.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.5 14.0
.500 or above 87.7% 88.6% 67.6%
.500 or above in Conference 98.4% 98.7% 92.1%
Conference Champion 22.5% 23.1% 8.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round17.9% 18.1% 13.4%
Second Round1.4% 1.5% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 95.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 33 - 5
Quad 36 - 68 - 11
Quad 49 - 317 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 91   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 25%     0 - 1 -0.1 +9.7 -11.1
  Nov 13, 2024 273   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 70%     0 - 2 -6.7 +0.1 -7.1
  Nov 16, 2024 1   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -24.5 -22.0 -6.9
  Nov 22, 2024 125   St. Thomas W 81-73 48%     1 - 3 +10.4 +8.3 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2024 161   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 46%     1 - 4 +1.0 +8.6 -7.7
  Nov 24, 2024 227   Portland St. L 74-79 71%     1 - 5 -8.8 +4.0 -13.0
  Dec 01, 2024 163   North Alabama W 74-54 67%     2 - 5 +17.4 +1.5 +16.7
  Dec 04, 2024 239   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 80%     3 - 5 +16.9 +16.6 +1.7
  Dec 07, 2024 158   @ Elon L 56-79 45%     3 - 6 -19.9 -12.4 -9.1
  Dec 16, 2024 127   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 38%     3 - 7 -4.9 +0.7 -6.2
  Dec 18, 2024 102   @ Saint Louis W 74-71 32%     4 - 7 +9.8 +10.7 -0.6
  Jan 01, 2025 129   UNC Greensboro L 66-68 60%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -2.7 -0.2 -2.7
  Jan 04, 2025 146   @ East Tennessee St. W 81-78 42%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +6.9 +13.6 -6.5
  Jan 08, 2025 342   Western Carolina W 77-69 93%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -6.3 +2.2 -8.2
  Jan 13, 2025 151   @ Furman W 81-62 43%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +22.7 +20.8 +4.4
  Jan 15, 2025 156   @ Chattanooga L 81-83 OT 45%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +1.2 +7.0 -5.9
  Jan 18, 2025 233   Mercer W 69-49 80%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +13.2 -0.3 +15.1
  Jan 22, 2025 352   The Citadel W 76-58 95%    
  Jan 25, 2025 115   @ Samford L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 29, 2025 327   VMI W 79-64 92%    
  Feb 01, 2025 129   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 05, 2025 156   Chattanooga W 76-72 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 233   @ Mercer W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 12, 2025 352   @ The Citadel W 73-61 86%    
  Feb 15, 2025 115   Samford W 78-76 57%    
  Feb 19, 2025 327   @ VMI W 76-67 81%    
  Feb 22, 2025 146   East Tennessee St. W 72-69 64%    
  Feb 26, 2025 342   @ Western Carolina W 77-66 84%    
  Mar 01, 2025 151   Furman W 71-67 65%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 4.7 9.7 6.6 1.2 22.5 1st
2nd 0.2 4.9 11.9 5.8 0.4 23.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.6 11.4 5.5 0.2 20.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.9 8.7 5.1 0.2 16.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.7 4.5 0.4 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.3 2.2 0.3 5.6 6th
7th 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.3 3.9 8.9 17.4 22.1 22.2 15.7 7.0 1.2 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
15-3 93.8% 6.6    5.3 1.2 0.0
14-4 61.8% 9.7    4.1 4.6 1.0 0.0
13-5 21.0% 4.7    0.5 1.6 1.8 0.7 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.5% 22.5 11.1 7.5 3.0 0.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 1.2% 39.0% 39.0% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.7
15-3 7.0% 33.1% 33.1% 12.7 0.0 0.9 1.2 0.2 4.7
14-4 15.7% 28.2% 28.2% 13.1 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.2 0.0 11.3
13-5 22.2% 21.2% 21.2% 13.5 0.3 2.0 2.1 0.3 0.0 17.5
12-6 22.1% 14.8% 14.8% 13.7 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.4 18.9
11-7 17.4% 9.7% 9.7% 14.4 0.1 0.9 0.8 15.7
10-8 8.9% 7.5% 7.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 8.2
9-9 3.9% 7.4% 7.4% 15.5 0.1 0.2 3.6
8-10 1.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.3
7-11 0.2% 0.0 0.2
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.9% 17.9% 0.0% 13.5 0.1 2.4 6.8 6.2 2.2 0.2 82.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 11.9 17.4 73.9 8.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%