Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#142
Expected Predictive Rating-0.6#173
Pace62.0#336
Improvement+1.8#111

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#104
First Shot+0.6#151
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#79
Layup/Dunks+1.9#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#60
Freethrows-3.1#343
Improvement-1.1#238

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#212
First Shot-2.5#259
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#80
Layups/Dunks-0.3#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#289
Freethrows-1.5#285
Improvement+3.0#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.0% 14.5% 10.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.7 14.6
.500 or above 81.0% 94.2% 58.4%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round13.0% 14.5% 10.4%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Home) - 63.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 23 - 33 - 5
Quad 35 - 78 - 12
Quad 48 - 316 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 101   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 29%     0 - 1 -2.0 +9.1 -12.3
  Nov 13, 2024 270   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 66%     0 - 2 -6.2 +0.2 -6.7
  Nov 16, 2024 2   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -24.9 -23.1 -6.3
  Nov 22, 2024 126   St. Thomas W 81-73 47%     1 - 3 +9.8 +6.9 +3.1
  Nov 23, 2024 130   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 38%     1 - 4 +2.3 +8.3 -6.2
  Nov 24, 2024 201   Portland St. L 74-79 62%     1 - 5 -7.2 +5.3 -12.7
  Dec 01, 2024 134   North Alabama W 74-54 59%     2 - 5 +18.8 +1.8 +17.8
  Dec 04, 2024 257   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 80%     3 - 5 +16.2 +15.4 +2.2
  Dec 07, 2024 175   @ Elon L 56-79 48%     3 - 6 -21.3 -12.9 -9.9
  Dec 16, 2024 143   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 40%     3 - 7 -6.4 -0.1 -6.9
  Dec 18, 2024 109   @ Saint Louis W 74-71 32%     4 - 7 +8.9 +11.9 -2.7
  Jan 01, 2025 154   UNC Greensboro L 66-68 62%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -4.0 +0.2 -4.4
  Jan 04, 2025 148   @ East Tennessee St. W 81-78 42%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +6.3 +14.0 -7.6
  Jan 08, 2025 333   Western Carolina W 77-69 90%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -5.3 +1.0 -6.1
  Jan 13, 2025 159   @ Furman W 81-62 44%     7 - 8 3 - 1 +21.7 +19.7 +4.6
  Jan 15, 2025 119   @ Chattanooga L 81-83 OT 34%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +3.3 +8.0 -4.8
  Jan 18, 2025 256   Mercer W 69-49 80%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +12.2 -0.9 +14.7
  Jan 22, 2025 358   The Citadel W 79-68 94%     9 - 9 5 - 2 -5.9 +8.3 -12.9
  Jan 25, 2025 113   @ Samford L 61-77 33%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -10.5 -0.9 -11.9
  Jan 29, 2025 309   VMI L 67-74 87%     9 - 11 5 - 4 -18.0 -3.8 -14.8
  Feb 01, 2025 154   @ UNC Greensboro W 74-62 42%     10 - 11 6 - 4 +15.1 +11.7 +4.8
  Feb 05, 2025 119   Chattanooga L 70-79 54%     10 - 12 6 - 5 -8.8 +0.3 -10.0
  Feb 08, 2025 256   @ Mercer W 77-66 64%     11 - 12 7 - 5 +8.3 +1.9 +6.1
  Feb 12, 2025 358   @ The Citadel W 74-71 OT 88%     12 - 12 8 - 5 -8.8 +2.3 -10.8
  Feb 15, 2025 113   Samford L 68-76 53%     12 - 13 8 - 6 -7.6 -3.1 -4.8
  Feb 19, 2025 309   @ VMI W 82-43 75%     13 - 13 9 - 6 +33.0 +8.8 +24.8
  Feb 22, 2025 148   East Tennessee St. W 70-67 63%    
  Feb 26, 2025 333   @ Western Carolina W 77-68 80%    
  Mar 01, 2025 159   Furman W 71-68 64%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 6.3 6.3 2nd
3rd 7.1 23.9 31.0 3rd
4th 0.5 25.5 3.8 29.8 4th
5th 0.0 8.7 9.8 18.5 5th
6th 3.1 11.3 14.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 3.1 20.4 42.5 34.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 34.0% 15.8% 15.8% 13.3 0.5 2.8 2.0 0.1 28.6
11-7 42.5% 12.7% 12.7% 14.3 0.0 0.5 2.9 2.0 0.0 37.1
10-8 20.4% 9.7% 9.7% 14.9 0.3 1.6 0.1 18.4
9-9 3.1% 7.7% 7.7% 15.7 0.1 0.2 2.9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 13.0% 13.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.6 3.2 5.2 3.8 0.2 87.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.4% 100.0% 13.3 9.9 51.3 37.4 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.9%
Lose Out 1.6%