IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.8	#178
Expected Predictive Rating	-13.0	#335

Pace	61.8	#351
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.2	#115

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#266

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.8%	24.0%	12.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.4	13.4	14.5

.500 or above	50.7%	83.8%	50.1%
.500 or above in Conference	72.9%	89.1%	72.6%
Conference Champion	15.1%	32.0%	14.8%
Last Place in Conference	1.9%	1.1%	1.9%

First Four	1.7%	0.5%	1.7%
First Round	12.2%	23.7%	11.9%
Second Round	0.9%	2.7%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.9%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 1.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	1 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 11
Quad 4	11 - 5	15 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	143	@ Lipscomb	L	69-78	31%	0 - 1			-4.8	+4.9	-11.0
Nov 13, 2024	264	@ Presbyterian	L	68-71	55%	0 - 2			-5.2	-1.2	-4.4
Nov 16, 2024	6	@ Duke	L	60-82	2%
Nov 22, 2024	169	St. Thomas	L	71-72	49%
Nov 23, 2024	240	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	74-75	49%
Nov 24, 2024	209	Portland St.	W	78-76	57%
Dec 01, 2024	177	North Alabama	W	73-70	61%
Dec 04, 2024	217	Gardner-Webb	W	74-69	68%
Dec 07, 2024	272	@ Elon	W	72-70	57%
Dec 16, 2024	100	@ College of Charleston	L	74-83	21%
Dec 18, 2024	102	@ Saint Louis	L	70-79	22%
Jan 01, 2025	174	UNC Greensboro	W	69-66	60%
Jan 04, 2025	190	@ East Tennessee St.	L	69-71	42%
Jan 08, 2025	263	Western Carolina	W	71-64	74%
Jan 11, 2025	148	@ Furman	L	69-74	34%
Jan 15, 2025	179	@ Chattanooga	L	69-72	39%
Jan 18, 2025	249	Mercer	W	73-67	71%
Jan 22, 2025	292	The Citadel	W	71-62	78%
Jan 25, 2025	141	@ Samford	L	74-79	33%
Jan 29, 2025	357	VMI	W	84-68	92%
Feb 01, 2025	174	@ UNC Greensboro	L	66-69	39%
Feb 05, 2025	179	Chattanooga	W	72-69	60%
Feb 08, 2025	249	@ Mercer	W	71-70	51%
Feb 12, 2025	292	@ The Citadel	W	68-65	60%
Feb 15, 2025	141	Samford	W	77-76	53%
Feb 19, 2025	357	@ VMI	W	81-71	81%
Feb 22, 2025	190	East Tennessee St.	W	72-68	62%
Feb 26, 2025	263	@ Western Carolina	W	68-67	55%
Mar 01, 2025	148	Furman	W	72-71	53%
Projected Record						14 - 15	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.7	2.6	4.2	3.8	2.5	1.0	0.2		15.1	1st
2nd											0.1	1.4	4.4	5.3	2.9	0.7	0.1				14.9	2nd
3rd										0.1	1.6	5.1	5.1	1.9	0.2						13.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.6	5.0	4.9	1.3	0.1							13.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	1.5	4.8	4.5	1.1	0.1								12.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	1.5	4.3	3.9	0.9	0.0									10.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.4	3.4	3.0	0.7	0.0										8.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	1.5	2.4	1.9	0.4	0.0											6.5	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0												4.0	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0														0.9	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.7	3.1	4.8	7.2	9.2	11.2	12.1	12.6	11.5	9.8	7.3	4.6	2.6	1.0	0.2			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	1.0		1.0	0.0
16-2	96.7%	2.5		2.3	0.2	0.0
15-3	84.0%	3.8		2.9	0.9	0.0
14-4	57.1%	4.2		2.2	1.8	0.3	0.0
13-5	26.3%	2.6		0.7	1.3	0.5	0.1
12-6	6.3%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	15.1%	15.1		9.4	4.4	1.1	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		49.2%	47.6%	1.6%	11.5							0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		3.0%
17-1	1.0%		47.3%	47.3%		12.7										0.0		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5
16-2	2.6%		42.0%	42.0%		13.1												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.0		1.5
15-3	4.6%		34.8%	34.8%		13.6												0.0	0.1	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	3.0
14-4	7.3%		28.4%	28.4%		14.1													0.0	0.5	1.0	0.5	0.1	5.2
13-5	9.8%		21.8%	21.8%		14.4													0.0	0.3	0.8	0.8	0.2	7.7
12-6	11.5%		16.1%	16.1%		14.9														0.1	0.5	0.9	0.5	9.7
11-7	12.6%		11.5%	11.5%		15.2														0.0	0.2	0.7	0.6	11.1
10-8	12.1%		6.8%	6.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	11.3
9-9	11.2%		5.9%	5.9%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.6	10.5
8-10	9.2%		2.9%	2.9%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	8.9
7-11	7.2%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	7.0
6-12	4.8%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	4.7
5-13	3.1%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.0	3.1
4-14	1.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	1.7
3-15	0.8%																							0.8
2-16	0.3%																							0.3
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		12.8%	12.8%	0.0%	14.4							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	2.1	3.5	3.5	2.9	87.2		0.0%