Wofford
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#163
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#238
Pace62.8#328
Improvement+0.8#123

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#121
First Shot+0.9#145
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#116
Layup/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#52
Freethrows-3.0#334
Improvement-1.2#281

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#253
First Shot-4.1#309
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#62
Layups/Dunks-1.6#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#292
Freethrows-1.5#278
Improvement+2.0#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.0% 12.3% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 44.7% 61.7% 36.7%
.500 or above in Conference 78.3% 83.6% 75.8%
Conference Champion 11.1% 13.9% 9.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.6%
First Four1.2% 0.6% 1.5%
First Round9.6% 12.1% 8.4%
Second Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 32.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 34 - 75 - 12
Quad 410 - 415 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 107   @ Lipscomb L 69-78 23%     0 - 1 -1.8 +9.4 -12.5
  Nov 13, 2024 250   @ Presbyterian L 68-71 56%     0 - 2 -4.9 +1.1 -6.4
  Nov 16, 2024 2   @ Duke L 35-86 2%     0 - 3 -27.2 -22.2 -9.5
  Nov 22, 2024 143   St. Thomas W 81-73 45%     1 - 3 +8.8 +8.7 +0.3
  Nov 23, 2024 141   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-76 33%     1 - 4 +2.1 +7.2 -5.2
  Nov 24, 2024 276   Portland St. L 74-79 71%     1 - 5 -11.1 +0.0 -11.3
  Dec 01, 2024 193   North Alabama W 74-54 66%     2 - 5 +15.4 +1.7 +14.5
  Dec 04, 2024 240   Gardner-Webb W 88-64 74%     3 - 5 +16.9 +16.7 +1.7
  Dec 07, 2024 149   @ Elon L 56-79 35%     3 - 6 -19.5 -11.6 -9.5
  Dec 16, 2024 122   @ College of Charleston L 67-77 28%     3 - 7 -4.5 +0.4 -5.4
  Dec 18, 2024 135   @ Saint Louis L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 01, 2025 157   UNC Greensboro W 69-66 59%    
  Jan 04, 2025 147   @ East Tennessee St. L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 08, 2025 308   Western Carolina W 77-66 83%    
  Jan 11, 2025 126   @ Furman L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 15, 2025 178   @ Chattanooga L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 229   Mercer W 76-70 72%    
  Jan 22, 2025 345   The Citadel W 75-61 90%    
  Jan 25, 2025 109   @ Samford L 76-83 25%    
  Jan 29, 2025 350   VMI W 79-64 91%    
  Feb 01, 2025 157   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 05, 2025 178   Chattanooga W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 229   @ Mercer W 73-72 50%    
  Feb 12, 2025 345   @ The Citadel W 72-64 77%    
  Feb 15, 2025 109   Samford L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 19, 2025 350   @ VMI W 76-67 78%    
  Feb 22, 2025 147   East Tennessee St. W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 308   @ Western Carolina W 74-69 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 126   Furman W 69-68 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.3 3.7 2.8 1.5 0.4 0.1 11.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.1 5.7 2.8 0.6 0.0 14.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 5.2 6.4 2.3 0.2 0.0 15.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 5.3 7.0 2.1 0.2 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.2 6.4 2.1 0.1 15.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.7 5.3 1.8 0.1 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.5 3.1 1.0 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.4 6.2 9.4 12.7 14.8 15.2 13.2 10.5 6.7 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 97.4% 1.5    1.4 0.1
15-3 83.4% 2.8    2.1 0.7 0.0
14-4 54.8% 3.7    1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.8% 2.3    0.5 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 6.1 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 24.2% 24.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.4% 34.1% 34.1% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.5% 33.1% 33.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-3 3.4% 26.1% 26.1% 13.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.5
14-4 6.7% 21.4% 21.4% 13.6 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.3
13-5 10.5% 16.8% 16.8% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.0 8.7
12-6 13.2% 12.9% 12.9% 14.6 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.1 11.5
11-7 15.2% 9.3% 9.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.2 13.8
10-8 14.8% 7.3% 7.3% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 13.7
9-9 12.7% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.1 0.5 12.1
8-10 9.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.1
7-11 6.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 6.1
6-12 3.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.4
5-13 1.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.7
4-14 0.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.8 3.1 2.0 90.0 0.0%