Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -4.5 240
Results Rating -2.4 205
Consistency 0.16 245
Pace 69.3 158
Improvement -0.8 219

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 150 C- D+ B C+ B-
Defense D 315 D+ D+ D+ C- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 118 D+ 54% 275 -0.2 194
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 273 C 37% 200 -2.2 288
Three Pointers 44% 116 C- 33% 227 +0.9 155
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 75 D+ -2.3 261
1st FG Attempt C- 0.99 223
Second Chance C- 28.1% 243 C- 0.99 246 D+ 0.28 252
Opponents' Steals C+ 8.9% 124
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 46
Turnovers B 14.9% 71
Freethrows C+ 0.32 124 C- 72% 218 C+ 0.23 134
Total Offense C +0.5 150

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 180 C- 11.4% 209
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 254 C+ 4.3% 129
Three Pointers D+ 80% 264 D- 1.7% 340
Total C 55% 185 C- 6.1% 237


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 10 C 58% 165 +4.7 331
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 281 C- 40% 246 -0.9 116
Three Pointers 36% 330 D- 38% 333 -0.6 154
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.0 344 D+ +2.0 264
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 281
Second Chance C 29.9% 171 D- 1.14 324 D+ 0.34 265
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.2% 278
Other Turnovers C- 7.0% 214
Turnovers D+ 15.2% 269
Freethrows C 0.31 200 F 77% 358 C- 0.24 255
Total Defense D -5.0 315

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 154 C- 9.2% 238
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 267 D- 1.1% 353
Three Pointers D+ 86% 256 B+ 2.0% 29
Total C 56% 188 C- 5.2% 201

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 229 16.5 44
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 307 0.18 213
Consistency 0.14 280 0.15 325
Improvement +2.9 53 -3.8 334

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 252 241 219
Results Rating Rank 216 206 159
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 15% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four3% 4% 0%
First Round9% 12% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 32 - 53 - 8
Quad 415 - 518 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 105 @George Mason L 46 - 70 14% -9  0% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -23 F D F B +4 B D B
 Sat, Nov 8 274 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86 - 76 68% +12  98% 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 F+ A- D+ C+ +1 C+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 38 @Auburn L 62 - 93 4% -19  2% 1 - 2 D- -14 F -10 F+ D- C+ D+ -3 C F+ B-
 Sat, Nov 15 285 @Bellarmine W 94 - 86 48% +8  84% 2 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +8 A+ F D D+ -4 C- D- F
 Wed, Nov 19 340 North Florida W 86 - 78 85% +1  41% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -5 D- A- D+ D+ -3 F+ A+ D-
 Wed, Nov 26 183 @Northern Kentucky L 83 - 93 29% -2  21% 3 - 3 D -9 B- +4 D- F+ A F -12 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 294 @Eastern Kentucky W 83 - 77 51% +8  91% 4 - 3 C +1 C- -1 F D A+ B- +2 A F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 271 Presbyterian W 63 - 56 67% +4  76% 5 - 3 C- -2 F+ -9 F D- A+ A- +8 A D- C
 Sat, Dec 6 241 Elon L 52 - 73 62% -21  0% 5 - 4 F -29 F -22 F F B- F+ -10 F A B-
 Mon, Dec 15 360 @Gardner-Webb W 83 - 57 83% +11  89% 6 - 4 B +11 C +1 F+ A+ C- A +10 B+ A- B+
 Wed, Dec 17 92 @Wichita St. L 73 - 84 11% -7  0% 6 - 5 C- -2 B+ +8 C A- B+ F -10 F C D
 Wed, Dec 31 232 @Western Carolina W 79 - 74 36% +3  74% 7 - 5 1 - 0 C+ +4 C- -1 C C- D+ B +5 B+ B- B+
 Sat, Jan 3 343 @The Citadel W 95 - 86 70% +8  94% 8 - 5 2 - 0 C -1 A+ +20 A+ F C F -20 F F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 297 UNC Greensboro W 97 - 85 74% +11  92% 9 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 A +14 D A+ A+ F -13 F+ F D
 Sat, Jan 10 178 @Mercer L 97 - 109 27% -7  3% 9 - 6 3 - 1 D -10 A +12 B- B+ B- F -21 F F C+
 Wed, Jan 14 286 Chattanooga L 67 - 76 71% +2  61% 9 - 7 3 - 2 F -19 F -13 D- F B+ D -6 F A C-
 Sat, Jan 17 186 @Furman W 74 - 70 29% -3  18% 10 - 7 4 - 2 B- +5 B+ +8 B C+ B- C- -2 A F C
 Wed, Jan 21 191 Samford W 88 - 78 52% +1  55% 11 - 7 5 - 2 B- +5 A+ +15 A+ C- B+ F+ -9 F+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 178 Mercer W 80 - 77 49% +1  60% 12 - 7 6 - 2 C -1 C +0 C- A- B- C- -2 C A+ D
 Thu, Jan 29 286 @Chattanooga W 81 - 55 49% +13  88% 13 - 7 7 - 2 A +22 B +7 C C- A A+ +16 A+ B C
 Sun, Feb 1 140 East Tennessee St. L 72 - 86 40% -5  4% 13 - 8 7 - 3 F+ -16 C +1 C- B- A- F -18 B+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 358 @VMI W 81 - 67 80% +12  93% 14 - 8 8 - 3 C +1 C -0 C+ F A C+ +1 D A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 232 Western Carolina W 77 - 66 59% +5  75% 15 - 8 9 - 3 C+ +4 D+ -3 B- F F+ A- +7 A D C-
 Wed, Feb 11 191 @Samford L 80 - 97 30% -13  1% 15 - 9 9 - 4 F+ -16 C +0 C- F+ A+ F -16 F F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 297 @UNC Greensboro L 89 - 99 53% -12  0% 15 - 10 9 - 5 F+ -15 B+ +8 C+ A C F -23 F B F
 Wed, Feb 18 358 VMI W 82 - 76 91% +3  60% 16 - 10 10 - 5 D- -13 D+ -4 B D C F+ -10 D+ D- C-
 Sat, Feb 21 186 Furman L 67 - 76 51% -4  24% 16 - 11 10 - 6 D- -14 D+ -4 C D- B+ F -11 F B D-
 Wed, Feb 25 140 @East Tennessee St. W 72 - 69 21% -0  41% 17 - 11 11 - 6 B- +7 C+ +2 F+ B- A+ B +5 D- B+ B
 Sat, Feb 28 343 The Citadel L 90 - 93 OT 85% -3  18% 17 - 12 11 - 7 F -19 C+ +2 C+ A D F -21 F F+ D-
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 7 -5 C +0 A+ D+ B- D -5 C- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C C- D+ 41% 29% 44% B- C- C- C- D+ B C+ C- C+ D C C- D- D+ 47% 17% 36% D- D+ C D- D+ D+ C F C-
1.09 54% 37% 33% -2 +1 0.99 28% 1.0 .28 15% .32 72% .23 1.16 58% 40% 38% +2 +1 1.08 30% 1.1 .34 15% .31 77% .25
Nov
3		 George Mason F B- F F F 19% 19% 62% D+ F C- F D F A F B B C+ B B- B+ 42% 25% 33% C+ B B F D B A- D+ B
0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20 1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23
Nov
8		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee C- D B- F F 57% 13% 30% B+ F+ A C- A- D+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A- A F B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ A+ F A F C- F D-
1.14 53% 43% 25% -6 +2 0.94 39% 1.1 .45 17% .48 83% .40 1.01 46% 29% 39% -5 0 0.91 18% 1.3 .23 11% .28 79% .22
Nov
11		 Auburn F C- C- F F 40% 20% 40% B- F+ D- D- D- C+ F A- F D+ B- F D D+ 35% 22% 44% A- C F B- F+ B- A+ A A+
0.87 55% 36% 23% -9 0 0.85 22% 0.9 .19 18% .17 80% .14 1.31 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.15 51% 1.0 .51 15% .30 67% .20
Nov
15		 Bellarmine B+ B- F A+ A+ 38% 4% 57% A A+ F F F D A+ B- A+ D+ D+ F A- C 57% 11% 31% D- C- F C+ D- F F C- F
1.33 67% 0% 59% +23 +2 1.53 24% 0.2 .04 17% .50 76% .38 1.22 65% 67% 29% +5 +3 1.17 28% 1.1 .31 11% .42 81% .34
Nov
19		 North Florida D C- A+ F F 50% 4% 46% A D- C- A+ A- D+ A+ F A- D+ C A+ F F+ 36% 12% 53% C- F+ A+ D- A+ D- A+ B- A+
1.18 58% 100% 25% -4 +3 1.00 36% 1.5 .56 14% .40 64% .25 1.07 57% 29% 42% +5 +1 1.14 12% 1.3 .15 15% .13 75% .10
Nov
26		 Northern Kentucky B- F F A D- 37% 26% 37% D D- D+ F F+ A A+ B+ A+ F F+ A C- F+ 55% 22% 24% C D- C- F F F F F+ F
1.12 47% 25% 41% -4 -1 0.93 31% 0.9 .28 15% .68 74% .51 1.25 68% 27% 33% +3 +1 1.10 30% 1.4 .42 12% .52 76% .40
Nov
29		 Eastern Kentucky C- C D+ D- F 29% 20% 51% C- F D+ D D A+ A+ C+ A+ B- B- A+ A- A+ 28% 20% 52% D+ A D F F D- C F D+
1.15 60% 40% 31% -2 -1 0.98 30% 0.9 .28 8% .49 75% .36 1.07 53% 17% 29% -10 -1 0.82 36% 1.4 .51 14% .26 81% .21
Dec
3		 Presbyterian F+ F C D- F 39% 10% 51% B- F B F D- A+ C+ B B- A- A+ A+ C- A+ 69% 11% 20% F A D- C- D- C B- A- B
1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22 0.89 39% 20% 33% -16 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20
Dec
6		 Elon F F F F F 32% 4% 64% A- F D- F F B- C F D F+ B- F F F 52% 9% 39% D F F A+ A B- B- F+ C
0.85 47% 0% 23% -15 +2 0.74 28% 0.7 .20 15% .29 60% .17 1.20 54% 75% 44% +7 +3 1.22 39% 0.5 .21 18% .28 79% .22
Dec
15		 Gardner-Webb C F+ B- C F+ 39% 20% 41% D+ F+ A+ B- A+ C- B+ F C+ A B F A+ B+ 48% 22% 30% C+ B+ A+ C A- B+ D- F F
1.20 53% 40% 35% -1 0 1.00 49% 1.2 .57 16% .34 65% .22 0.82 50% 50% 14% -10 +1 0.83 13% 1.0 .13 23% .32 88% .28
Dec
17		 Wichita St. B+ D A+ F+ C- 37% 18% 45% A- C A+ C- A- B+ A+ B- A+ F F F+ C F 42% 24% 33% C F A- F C D F C- F
1.11 50% 56% 27% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.9 .37 14% .44 72% .32 1.27 68% 45% 33% +6 0 1.13 33% 1.2 .39 12% .62 69% .43
Dec
31		 Western Carolina C- F A+ B+ C- 32% 12% 56% B- C D+ B C- D+ A- D- B B B- A+ A+ A+ 61% 4% 35% F B+ F A+ B- B+ F B- F
1.11 44% 67% 39% +3 +1 1.10 24% 1.1 .26 17% .39 70% .27 1.04 52% 0% 22% -12 +4 0.86 43% 0.7 .30 20% .51 69% .35
Jan
3		 The Citadel A+ D+ D A+ A+ 38% 6% 56% B- A+ B F F C A- B+ A F C- A- F F 43% 14% 43% D- F F F F B- D+ F F
1.43 58% 33% 61% +22 +2 1.50 38% 0.5 .21 15% .35 75% .27 1.29 57% 29% 48% +7 +1 1.18 41% 1.7 .70 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
7		 UNC Greensboro A F A B F+ 39% 14% 46% B D B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ F A- A- F F+ 44% 19% 37% F+ F+ D- F F D C+ B- C+
1.40 45% 50% 38% 0 +1 1.04 34% 1.8 .60 6% .40 73% .29 1.23 48% 30% 53% +4 +1 1.12 32% 1.3 .42 13% .35 67% .23
Jan
10		 Mercer A F C A+ C+ 41% 8% 51% A- B- C A+ B+ B- A C A F F A+ F F 54% 10% 35% F F B- F F C+ F F F
1.27 38% 40% 50% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.2 .40 16% .34 77% .26 1.42 73% 20% 59% +19 +2 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 17% .49 87% .42
Jan
14		 Chattanooga F F F C F+ 35% 17% 48% C D- F F F B+ B+ F C+ D C F F F 38% 14% 48% F+ F A A+ A C- D- C+ D
0.97 47% 22% 35% -6 0 0.91 23% 0.3 .08 10% .40 64% .26 1.10 58% 57% 42% +8 +1 1.20 14% 0.8 .10 15% .32 74% .24
Jan
17		 Furman B+ B+ A D B 44% 16% 40% B B D+ A C+ B- C- A- C C- A+ F A+ B+ 23% 26% 51% A+ A F F F C C F D-
1.16 64% 50% 30% +2 +1 1.08 27% 1.3 .33 13% .23 77% .18 1.10 45% 58% 25% -5 -2 0.89 37% 1.4 .51 19% .29 80% .23
Jan
21		 Samford A+ A A+ A+ A+ 55% 19% 26% A+ A+ F A+ C- B+ A+ C A+ F+ D- F B+ D- 41% 12% 47% F F+ D+ F D- D+ A+ F A-
1.34 69% 56% 50% +16 +1 1.36 14% 2.0 .29 11% .41 75% .31 1.19 67% 67% 29% +3 +1 1.12 27% 1.3 .33 12% .24 79% .19
Jan
24		 Mercer C D- D+ A+ C- 52% 21% 27% B- C- B A- A- B- C- B C C- C+ D- C+ C+ 43% 13% 44% F C A A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.15 48% 36% 50% +1 +1 1.06 37% 1.2 .43 16% .26 80% .20 1.10 57% 43% 33% -1 +1 1.04 25% 0.2 .06 14% .37 86% .32
Jan
29		 Chattanooga B D+ F+ B+ C- 48% 13% 39% B+ C A- F C- A C- F D A+ B B- A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% D A+ D A+ B C F+ A+ C
1.22 54% 29% 38% -1 +2 1.04 41% 0.8 .34 9% .33 65% .22 0.83 53% 38% 21% -12 0 0.80 24% 0.7 .17 15% .34 58% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 East Tennessee St. C D- A+ F+ D 58% 8% 34% A C- F A+ B- A- C- A C+ F B+ A B- A 59% 14% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
1.11 52% 75% 29% -3 +3 1.02 20% 1.7 .33 15% .29 81% .24 1.32 52% 29% 31% -6 +2 0.94 38% 1.7 .66 9% .47 93% .44
Feb
4		 VMI C A+ F A C+ 27% 22% 51% D C+ F F F A A+ C+ A+ C+ C C+ C- D- 42% 17% 40% C- D B+ A+ A+ F D D+ D
1.20 79% 27% 42% +10 -1 1.20 22% 0.5 .11 12% .40 75% .30 0.99 55% 33% 33% -3 +1 0.98 21% 0.4 .08 12% .32 74% .23
Feb
7		 Western Carolina D+ A- B- D+ C+ 49% 17% 34% B B- F C F F+ F A+ D A- A A+ A A+ 51% 7% 42% F A B- F D C- A+ A+ A+
1.12 69% 44% 33% +6 +1 1.17 15% 1.0 .15 19% .22 92% .20 0.96 43% 25% 26% -14 +3 0.80 32% 1.2 .39 16% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Samford C D B C C- 32% 30% 38% C- C- F A+ F+ A+ A- F B- F F F F F 35% 18% 47% D+ F C+ F F A- C- D D+
1.10 53% 44% 35% +1 -2 1.00 11% 1.8 .19 5% .35 67% .23 1.33 78% 56% 50% +21 0 1.45 23% 2.0 .45 18% .37 73% .27
Feb
14		 UNC Greensboro B+ A- A+ D- C 39% 18% 43% B- C+ A+ C+ A C A+ D A+ F C+ F F F 40% 22% 38% D+ F B+ C B F F F F
1.27 70% 56% 32% +6 0 1.16 43% 1.1 .49 14% .47 68% .32 1.41 55% 64% 53% +15 0 1.32 21% 1.0 .21 4% .57 76% .43
Feb
18		 VMI D+ A- A+ B- B- 31% 4% 64% A- B F+ B- D C A+ C- A+ F+ C+ C- B- D+ 47% 15% 38% D- D+ B- F D- C- F+ F F
1.19 71% 100% 38% +11 +2 1.27 30% 1.1 .33 16% .48 71% .35 1.10 52% 38% 30% -5 +1 0.94 23% 1.4 .31 16% .35 95% .33
Feb
21		 Furman D+ C+ A+ F D+ 48% 8% 44% A C D- D- D- B+ A F C F B- A+ F F 55% 11% 34% F F A C- B D- D+ F D-
1.05 58% 75% 23% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 11% .33 53% .18 1.19 58% 20% 56% +9 +2 1.26 22% 1.0 .22 16% .31 76% .24
Feb
25		 East Tennessee St. C+ C- F F+ F 39% 17% 44% C F+ D+ A+ B- A+ C B C+ B F C+ A+ D 55% 18% 27% D- D- C+ A+ B+ B F A+ C
1.08 57% 22% 29% -6 +1 0.91 26% 1.3 .34 9% .30 78% .23 1.04 79% 38% 17% +4 +1 1.14 26% 0.9 .22 18% .40 59% .24
Feb
28		 The Citadel C+ B F B+ C 45% 5% 50% B+ C+ B A+ A D F+ C- F+ F D- B- F F 47% 6% 47% F F C+ F F+ D- F F F
1.22 68% 0% 39% +6 +2 1.20 38% 1.3 .50 18% .21 69% .15 1.26 63% 33% 42% +7 +3 1.22 26% 1.3 .34 15% .45 75% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 10.3% 10.3% 15.7 0.1 3.1 7.0 89.7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 10.3% 10.3% 0.0% 15.7 89.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.3% 100.0% 15.7 1.4 30.2 68.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 17.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 41.7%
Lose Out 30.2%