Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#220
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#178
Pace68.0#225
Improvement+0.1#170

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#214
First Shot-2.6#242
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#118
Layup/Dunks-3.6#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#192
Freethrows+2.6#46
Improvement+0.3#154

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#237
First Shot-3.0#280
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#112
Layups/Dunks-5.5#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#94
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement-0.1#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.0% 9.5% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 70.5% 81.2% 58.5%
.500 or above in Conference 68.1% 79.6% 55.2%
Conference Champion 7.8% 11.3% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.7% 3.8%
First Four0.9% 0.7% 1.1%
First Round7.5% 9.1% 5.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Carolina (Away) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 414 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 88 @George Mason L 46-70 12%     0 - 1 -14.7 -19.0 +2.5
  Sat, Nov 8 210 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86-76 60%     1 - 1 +3.8 +2.2 +0.8
  Tue, Nov 11 34 @Auburn L 62-93 4%     1 - 2 -14.6 -6.4 -7.7
  Sat, Nov 15 267 @Bellarmine W 94-86 46%     2 - 2 +5.2 +15.5 -10.4
  Wed, Nov 19 350 North Florida W 86-78 86%     3 - 2 -7.6 -1.0 -6.9
  Wed, Nov 26 208 @Northern Kentucky L 83-93 36%     3 - 3 -10.1 +5.7 -15.3
  Sat, Nov 29 259 @Eastern Kentucky W 83-77 45%     4 - 3 +3.6 +5.8 -2.4
  Wed, Dec 3 286 Presbyterian W 63-56 72%     5 - 3 -2.6 -6.1 +4.2
  Sat, Dec 6 166 Elon L 52-73 49%     5 - 4 -24.5 -18.7 -8.9
  Mon, Dec 15 362 @Gardner-Webb W 83-57 80%     6 - 4 +13.5 +5.4 +8.4
  Wed, Dec 17 98 @Wichita St. L 73-84 13%     6 - 5 -2.5 +9.0 -12.1
  Wed, Dec 31 299 @Western Carolina W 76-75 53%    
  Sat, Jan 3 355 @The Citadel W 75-68 74%    
  Wed, Jan 7 294 UNC Greensboro W 77-71 72%    
  Sat, Jan 10 174 @Mercer L 74-80 30%    
  Wed, Jan 14 235 Chattanooga W 75-71 63%    
  Sat, Jan 17 148 @Furman L 69-77 24%    
  Wed, Jan 21 227 Samford W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 174 Mercer W 77-76 51%    
  Thu, Jan 29 235 @Chattanooga L 72-74 41%    
  Sat, Jan 31 141 East Tennessee St. L 72-74 42%    
  Wed, Feb 4 332 @VMI W 77-73 62%    
  Sat, Feb 7 299 Western Carolina W 79-72 73%    
  Wed, Feb 11 227 @Samford L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Feb 14 294 @UNC Greensboro W 74-73 51%    
  Wed, Feb 18 332 VMI W 80-70 81%    
  Sat, Feb 21 148 Furman L 72-74 45%    
  Wed, Feb 25 141 @East Tennessee St. L 69-77 23%    
  Sat, Feb 28 355 The Citadel W 78-65 88%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.5 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 4.0 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 5.7 4.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 6.7 5.5 1.2 0.1 16.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.9 5.3 1.0 0.0 16.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 5.7 4.0 0.8 0.0 13.1 6th
7th 0.2 1.8 4.3 3.2 0.6 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 1.9 0.3 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.2 5.6 8.8 12.0 14.1 14.8 13.5 10.7 7.5 4.3 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 99.1% 0.7    0.7 0.1
15-3 86.3% 1.9    1.4 0.5 0.0
14-4 57.6% 2.5    1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 25.3% 1.9    0.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 4.1 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 35.8% 35.8% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 30.0% 30.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
15-3 2.2% 25.6% 25.6% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.6
14-4 4.3% 20.9% 20.9% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 3.4
13-5 7.5% 16.1% 16.1% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 6.3
12-6 10.7% 13.4% 13.4% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 9.3
11-7 13.5% 8.7% 8.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.4 12.4
10-8 14.8% 6.7% 6.7% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 13.8
9-9 14.1% 5.1% 5.1% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 13.4
8-10 12.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.4 11.7
7-11 8.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.6
6-12 5.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.6
5-13 3.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.1
4-14 1.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.0% 8.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.5 2.5 92.0 0.0%