Wofford
Southern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#208
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#140
Pace70.8#153
Improvement+0.4#158

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#188
First Shot+0.5#165
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#256
Layup/Dunks-2.9#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#117
Freethrows+2.5#62
Improvement+1.2#80

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#240
First Shot-1.7#224
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#226
Layups/Dunks-5.5#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#129
Freethrows+1.7#89
Improvement-0.8#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 10.1% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 79.2% 85.9% 67.3%
.500 or above in Conference 73.0% 76.2% 67.3%
Conference Champion 9.2% 10.4% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.1% 1.7%
First Four0.6% 0.6% 0.7%
First Round8.7% 9.9% 6.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Home) - 63.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 53 - 9
Quad 415 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 66 @George Mason L 46-70 9%     0 - 1 -12.4 -18.3 +4.0
  Sat, Nov 8 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86-76 64%     1 - 1 +3.4 +2.9 -0.2
  Tue, Nov 11 20 @Auburn L 62-93 3%     1 - 2 -12.6 -5.2 -6.9
  Sat, Nov 15 292 @Bellarmine W 94-86 55%     2 - 2 +3.7 +14.7 -11.0
  Wed, Nov 19 343 North Florida W 86-78 85%     3 - 2 -6.3 +0.5 -7.1
  Wed, Nov 26 181 @Northern Kentucky L 83-93 33%     3 - 3 -8.5 +5.8 -13.7
  Sat, Nov 29 258 @Eastern Kentucky W 83-77 48%     4 - 3 +3.6 +4.6 -1.1
  Wed, Dec 3 257 Presbyterian W 63-56 70%     5 - 3 -1.4 -4.8 +4.2
  Sat, Dec 6 223 Elon W 83-79 64%    
  Mon, Dec 15 360 @Gardner-Webb W 82-74 78%    
  Wed, Dec 17 97 @Wichita St. L 68-79 15%    
  Wed, Dec 31 281 @Western Carolina W 77-76 52%    
  Sat, Jan 3 363 @The Citadel W 78-69 79%    
  Wed, Jan 7 293 UNC Greensboro W 78-71 76%    
  Sat, Jan 10 191 @Mercer L 78-82 36%    
  Wed, Jan 14 209 Chattanooga W 76-73 62%    
  Sat, Jan 17 153 @Furman L 71-77 30%    
  Wed, Jan 21 228 Samford W 78-74 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 191 Mercer W 81-79 57%    
  Thu, Jan 29 209 @Chattanooga L 73-76 39%    
  Sat, Jan 31 115 East Tennessee St. L 73-76 38%    
  Wed, Feb 4 337 @VMI W 78-73 68%    
  Sat, Feb 7 281 Western Carolina W 80-73 72%    
  Wed, Feb 11 228 @Samford L 75-77 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 293 @UNC Greensboro W 75-74 55%    
  Wed, Feb 18 337 VMI W 81-70 83%    
  Sat, Feb 21 153 Furman L 73-74 50%    
  Wed, Feb 25 115 @East Tennessee St. L 70-79 21%    
  Sat, Feb 28 363 The Citadel W 81-66 90%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.0 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 9.2 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.3 4.9 2.6 0.7 0.1 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 5.6 6.0 2.2 0.3 16.1 3rd
4th 0.1 2.2 6.7 5.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 16.2 4th
5th 0.2 2.1 5.8 5.0 1.0 0.0 14.2 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 5.0 4.4 0.9 0.0 12.4 6th
7th 0.3 1.8 3.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.2 1.5 0.4 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.8 7.4 10.8 13.1 14.5 13.4 12.4 9.0 5.9 3.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.4    0.3 0.0
16-2 95.3% 1.2    1.1 0.2
15-3 76.2% 2.3    1.5 0.7 0.1
14-4 51.0% 3.0    1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 20.0% 1.8    0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1
12-6 3.7% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.2% 9.2 4.8 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 40.6% 40.6% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.3% 31.7% 31.7% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.1% 26.4% 26.4% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 2.2
14-4 5.9% 20.8% 20.8% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.7
13-5 9.0% 15.4% 15.4% 14.5 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 7.6
12-6 12.4% 12.7% 12.7% 14.7 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.2 10.8
11-7 13.4% 8.9% 8.9% 15.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 12.2
10-8 14.5% 6.4% 6.4% 15.3 0.1 0.5 0.4 13.6
9-9 13.1% 5.1% 5.1% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 12.4
8-10 10.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 10.5
7-11 7.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.2
6-12 4.8% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 4.7
5-13 2.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 3.6 1.8 91.1 0.0%