UNC Greensboro
Southern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.5#281
Expected Predictive Rating-8.6#294
Pace68.3#217
Improvement+0.5#154

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#228
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#247
Layup/Dunks-5.0#333
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#225
Freethrows+3.6#24
Improvement+2.2#36

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#324
First Shot-3.4#290
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#260
Layups/Dunks+0.4#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#314
Freethrows+1.2#115
Improvement-1.7#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.4% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 10.2% 13.3% 4.3%
.500 or above in Conference 42.9% 46.4% 36.4%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.2% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 4.6% 7.1%
First Four1.8% 1.9% 1.6%
First Round2.2% 2.5% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 65.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 82 @Kansas St. L 64-93 7%     0 - 1 -19.3 -13.0 -2.7
  Sat, Nov 8 184 Elon L 90-92 OT 43%     0 - 2 -6.7 +5.6 -12.2
  Wed, Nov 12 36 @North Carolina St. L 64-110 3%     0 - 3 -30.2 -7.5 -20.0
  Sat, Nov 15 180 Austin Peay L 63-69 42%     0 - 4 -10.5 -12.6 +2.3
  Thu, Nov 20 196 @Queens L 94-101 24%     0 - 5 -6.3 +20.2 -26.7
  Sun, Nov 23 162 Youngstown St. W 68-62 28%     1 - 5 +5.4 -5.6 +10.8
  Tue, Nov 25 296 Delaware L 60-73 54%     1 - 6 -20.5 -10.9 -10.7
  Wed, Nov 26 112 Miami (OH) L 71-82 17%     1 - 7 -7.3 -2.9 -4.1
  Tue, Dec 2 203 UNC Asheville L 77-82 35%     1 - 8 -7.6 +8.1 -16.0
  Sat, Dec 6 266 @East Carolina W 82-78 35%     2 - 8 +1.4 +9.6 -8.2
  Tue, Dec 16 299 N.C. A&T W 76-72 65%    
  Thu, Jan 1 222 Chattanooga W 73-72 51%    
  Sat, Jan 3 231 Samford W 75-74 52%    
  Wed, Jan 7 247 @Wofford L 71-76 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 117 @East Tennessee St. L 67-80 12%    
  Thu, Jan 15 363 The Citadel W 79-67 86%    
  Sat, Jan 17 194 Mercer L 78-79 45%    
  Wed, Jan 21 341 @VMI W 75-73 56%    
  Sat, Jan 24 148 Furman L 72-76 36%    
  Thu, Jan 29 194 @Mercer L 75-82 25%    
  Sat, Jan 31 363 @The Citadel W 76-70 69%    
  Wed, Feb 4 289 Western Carolina W 77-73 63%    
  Sun, Feb 8 148 @Furman L 69-79 18%    
  Wed, Feb 11 341 VMI W 78-70 76%    
  Sat, Feb 14 247 Wofford W 74-73 54%    
  Wed, Feb 18 289 @Western Carolina L 74-76 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 117 East Tennessee St. L 70-77 27%    
  Thu, Feb 26 222 @Chattanooga L 70-76 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 231 @Samford L 72-77 31%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 3.3 0.5 0.0 11.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.2 4.0 0.6 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.1 4.6 0.7 0.0 16.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.7 7.2 4.5 0.7 0.0 16.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.2 6.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 15.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 3.0 1.2 0.2 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.8 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 5.0 8.3 11.4 14.2 14.9 13.7 11.2 8.3 5.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 78.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1
14-4 49.5% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
13-5 20.4% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 23.5% 23.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 16.9% 16.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.3% 13.0% 13.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
13-5 2.8% 11.0% 11.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.5
12-6 5.2% 9.2% 9.2% 15.6 0.2 0.3 4.7
11-7 8.3% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.1 0.4 7.8
10-8 11.2% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.7
9-9 13.7% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.3
8-10 14.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 14.6
7-11 14.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 14.1
6-12 11.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.4
5-13 8.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.2
4-14 5.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.9
3-15 2.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-16 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 97.0 0.0%