Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#284
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#272
Pace64.5#311
Improvement-0.2#194

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#278
First Shot+1.0#148
After Offensive Rebound-5.0#364
Layup/Dunks-4.0#314
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#21
Freethrows-3.5#343
Improvement-1.6#296

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#258
First Shot-2.6#262
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#188
Layups/Dunks+3.5#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#286
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#345
Freethrows+0.6#141
Improvement+1.4#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 4.5% 6.9% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 10.3% 15.1% 4.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 39.3% 27.4% 54.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri St. (Home) - 56.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 32 - 104 - 14
Quad 47 - 710 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 308 @Bucknell L 70-78 45%     0 - 1 -13.4 -4.8 -8.5
  Tue, Nov 11 11 @BYU L 68-85 1%     0 - 2 +5.6 +15.3 -12.3
  Tue, Nov 18 297 St. Peter's W 81-70 64%     1 - 2 +0.7 +8.4 -7.2
  Sun, Nov 23 130 Southern Illinois L 59-79 21%     1 - 3 -18.0 -10.2 -8.4
  Tue, Nov 25 294 UNC Greensboro W 73-60 52%     2 - 3 +5.9 +2.4 +4.7
  Mon, Dec 1 165 Iona L 66-89 38%     2 - 4 -26.4 -8.8 -17.6
  Sat, Dec 6 346 @Delaware St. L 72-75 OT 60%     2 - 5 -12.1 -8.2 -3.7
  Wed, Dec 10 77 @George Washington W 70-58 7%     3 - 5 +22.2 +1.2 +21.4
  Sat, Dec 13 212 Cal St. Northridge L 66-88 49%     3 - 6 -28.3 -8.6 -20.5
  Tue, Dec 16 344 Rider W 65-57 78%     4 - 6 -6.8 -3.7 -2.2
  Mon, Dec 29 254 Missouri St. W 66-64 56%    
  Fri, Jan 2 236 Jacksonville St. W 66-65 54%    
  Sun, Jan 4 152 Kennesaw St. L 74-78 35%    
  Thu, Jan 8 122 @Sam Houston St. L 69-81 13%    
  Sat, Jan 10 187 @Louisiana Tech L 59-67 24%    
  Thu, Jan 15 202 UTEP L 66-67 47%    
  Sat, Jan 17 127 New Mexico St. L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Jan 24 102 @Liberty L 61-76 9%    
  Wed, Jan 28 127 @New Mexico St. L 62-74 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 202 @UTEP L 63-70 27%    
  Wed, Feb 4 102 Liberty L 64-73 22%    
  Sat, Feb 7 158 Middle Tennessee L 67-71 36%    
  Thu, Feb 12 182 @Florida International L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Feb 14 254 @Missouri St. L 63-67 35%    
  Wed, Feb 18 145 Western Kentucky L 72-77 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 158 @Middle Tennessee L 64-74 19%    
  Thu, Feb 26 236 @Jacksonville St. L 63-68 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 152 @Kennesaw St. L 71-81 18%    
  Thu, Mar 5 122 Sam Houston St. L 72-78 29%    
  Sat, Mar 7 187 Louisiana Tech L 62-64 44%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.9 1.2 0.1 5.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.8 3.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.0 3.3 0.5 11.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.1 6.2 4.6 0.9 0.0 15.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.9 7.2 4.9 1.4 0.1 20.3 11th
12th 0.6 2.5 5.3 7.6 7.3 4.0 1.0 0.1 28.3 12th
Total 0.6 2.5 5.5 9.3 12.9 14.6 14.3 13.0 9.9 7.1 4.9 2.8 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3
16-4 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 48.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 16.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 8.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 14.3% 14.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.3% 10.8% 10.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 0.8% 7.0% 7.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-8 1.4% 4.2% 4.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
11-9 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.7
10-10 4.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 4.8
9-11 7.1% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.0
8-12 9.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.8
7-13 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.0
6-14 14.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-15 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
4-16 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.9
3-17 9.3% 9.3
2-18 5.5% 5.5
1-19 2.5% 2.5
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%