UTEP
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#202
Expected Predictive Rating-9.6#313
Pace64.7#308
Improvement+2.5#51

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#262
First Shot-3.2#259
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#190
Layup/Dunks-2.5#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
Freethrows-3.3#334
Improvement+1.7#72

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#143
First Shot+1.5#119
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#259
Layups/Dunks+2.9#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#229
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#123
Freethrows-2.5#330
Improvement+0.8#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.5% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 10.4% 18.2% 6.0%
.500 or above in Conference 41.0% 58.0% 31.4%
Conference Champion 2.9% 5.4% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 11.1% 4.7% 14.8%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.7%
First Round2.7% 4.1% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Away) - 35.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 34 - 94 - 15
Quad 46 - 411 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 11 123 Loyola Marymount L 58-71 42%     0 - 1 -13.6 -5.1 -10.0
  Sat, Nov 15 33 @Utah St. L 51-75 5%     0 - 2 -7.5 -13.1 +4.9
  Mon, Nov 24 118 William & Mary L 63-74 29%     0 - 3 -7.9 -11.3 +4.0
  Tue, Nov 25 107 UAB L 59-75 25%     0 - 4 -11.8 -5.9 -7.6
  Sun, Dec 7 112 @Seattle L 68-75 19%     0 - 5 -0.5 +4.8 -5.7
  Sat, Dec 13 109 @Hawaii L 61-66 18%     0 - 6 +1.8 +1.8 -0.5
  Sun, Dec 21 243 Norfolk St. L 71-72 69%     0 - 7 -8.8 -3.0 -5.8
  Mon, Dec 22 155 North Dakota St. W 76-66 50%     1 - 7 +7.4 +4.0 +3.6
  Mon, Dec 29 187 @Louisiana Tech L 60-64 36%    
  Fri, Jan 2 254 @Missouri St. L 63-64 48%    
  Sun, Jan 4 182 @Florida International L 71-75 35%    
  Thu, Jan 8 158 Middle Tennessee W 69-68 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 145 Western Kentucky L 73-74 46%    
  Thu, Jan 15 284 @Delaware W 67-66 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 102 @Liberty L 62-73 16%    
  Thu, Jan 22 182 Florida International W 74-72 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 254 Missouri St. W 67-61 68%    
  Wed, Jan 28 187 Louisiana Tech W 63-61 57%    
  Sat, Jan 31 284 Delaware W 70-63 73%    
  Wed, Feb 4 122 @Sam Houston St. L 70-78 23%    
  Sat, Feb 7 127 New Mexico St. L 66-68 43%    
  Wed, Feb 11 236 @Jacksonville St. L 64-65 46%    
  Sat, Feb 14 102 Liberty L 65-70 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 127 @New Mexico St. L 63-71 24%    
  Thu, Feb 26 158 @Middle Tennessee L 65-71 30%    
  Sat, Feb 28 145 @Western Kentucky L 70-77 27%    
  Thu, Mar 5 152 Kennesaw St. L 74-75 49%    
  Sat, Mar 7 236 Jacksonville St. W 67-62 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.2 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.0 1.1 0.1 7.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.3 2.5 4.8 2.2 0.2 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 4.6 3.7 0.6 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.2 1.7 4.8 4.1 0.9 0.0 11.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.0 3.8 1.0 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.8 3.1 2.7 0.9 0.1 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 6.7 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.2 6.2 8.9 11.6 12.0 12.8 11.8 10.2 7.4 5.2 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 87.1% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-4 78.0% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
15-5 52.0% 0.9    0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 22.5% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 28.0% 28.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.7% 20.6% 20.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
15-5 1.7% 17.8% 17.8% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4
14-6 3.5% 12.3% 12.3% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.0
13-7 5.2% 8.1% 8.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 4.8
12-8 7.4% 6.6% 6.6% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 6.9
11-9 10.2% 4.0% 4.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 9.8
10-10 11.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.6
9-11 12.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.7
8-12 12.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.9
7-13 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-14 8.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-15 6.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.2
4-16 4.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-17 2.2% 2.2
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.1 97.0 0.0%