UTEP
Conference USA
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#194
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#292
Pace73.0#85
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#273
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#126
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 6.0% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.1 13.9
.500 or above 31.3% 51.3% 25.6%
.500 or above in Conference 34.7% 47.2% 31.1%
Conference Champion 3.6% 6.1% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 19.0% 11.6% 21.2%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round3.7% 5.9% 3.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UC Santa Barbara (Away) - 22.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 34 - 75 - 13
Quad 47 - 312 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 124   @ Utah Valley L 60-89 23%     0 - 1 -23.2 -13.1 -7.4
  Nov 20, 2024 117   @ UC Santa Barbara L 71-79 22%    
  Nov 25, 2024 251   San Jose St. W 71-69 59%    
  Nov 26, 2024 250   Long Beach St. W 77-75 59%    
  Nov 27, 2024 174   UNC Greensboro L 68-69 46%    
  Dec 07, 2024 152   Seattle W 70-69 51%    
  Dec 11, 2024 49   @ Louisville L 67-82 10%    
  Dec 16, 2024 299   Tarleton St. W 74-66 76%    
  Dec 20, 2024 324   Jackson St. W 77-67 82%    
  Jan 02, 2025 92   Louisiana Tech L 67-72 35%    
  Jan 04, 2025 123   Sam Houston St. L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 147   New Mexico St. W 70-69 51%    
  Jan 16, 2025 104   @ Liberty L 63-73 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 267   @ Florida International W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 23, 2025 210   Jacksonville St. W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 176   Kennesaw St. W 82-80 57%    
  Jan 30, 2025 118   @ Western Kentucky L 75-83 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 129   @ Middle Tennessee L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 147   @ New Mexico St. L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 13, 2025 267   Florida International W 80-73 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 104   Liberty L 66-70 38%    
  Feb 20, 2025 176   @ Kennesaw St. L 79-83 37%    
  Feb 22, 2025 210   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 27, 2025 118   Western Kentucky L 78-80 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 129   Middle Tennessee L 68-69 47%    
  Mar 06, 2025 123   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-79 26%    
  Mar 08, 2025 92   @ Louisiana Tech L 64-75 19%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.5 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.5 3.3 0.4 13.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.1 5.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 14.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 2.2 4.7 4.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 14.4 9th
10th 0.4 1.6 3.1 3.7 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.7 10th
Total 0.4 1.7 3.7 6.1 8.6 10.3 11.6 11.4 11.5 9.9 8.5 6.2 4.4 2.9 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 99.1% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 88.2% 0.7    0.5 0.2
14-4 65.4% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.1
13-5 32.0% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 9.1% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 31.4% 31.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 41.5% 38.7% 2.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 4.6%
15-3 0.8% 26.9% 26.5% 0.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.6%
14-4 1.6% 21.9% 21.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2
13-5 2.9% 16.5% 16.5% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4
12-6 4.4% 12.3% 12.3% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.9
11-7 6.2% 8.6% 8.6% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.6
10-8 8.5% 6.0% 6.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 8.0
9-9 9.9% 4.0% 4.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.5
8-10 11.5% 2.7% 2.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 11.1
7-11 11.4% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.3
6-12 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.5
5-13 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-14 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-15 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.1
2-16 3.7% 3.7
1-17 1.7% 1.7
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 96.3 0.0%