UTEP
Conference USA
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#132
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#117
Pace71.9#98
Improvement+4.4#11

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#199
First Shot+0.0#170
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#240
Layup/Dunks-1.9#253
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#165
Freethrows+2.2#65
Improvement+3.3#11

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#111
First Shot+1.7#121
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#122
Layups/Dunks+3.3#72
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#96
Freethrows-4.0#355
Improvement+1.1#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 7.7% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 13.2
.500 or above 69.6% 72.6% 46.4%
.500 or above in Conference 56.6% 58.1% 44.4%
Conference Champion 7.8% 8.2% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 6.7% 12.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round7.3% 7.6% 5.0%
Second Round0.9% 0.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 88.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 37 - 69 - 11
Quad 47 - 216 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 165   @ Utah Valley L 60-89 46%     0 - 1 -26.5 -15.3 -8.5
  Nov 20, 2024 136   @ UC Santa Barbara W 79-76 39%     1 - 1 +7.4 +9.8 -2.3
  Nov 25, 2024 185   San Jose St. L 65-71 61%     1 - 2 -7.2 -8.9 +1.6
  Nov 26, 2024 272   Long Beach St. W 70-44 76%     2 - 2 +20.1 -3.6 +24.7
  Nov 27, 2024 157   UNC Greensboro W 64-58 56%     3 - 2 +6.1 +2.2 +4.8
  Dec 07, 2024 140   Seattle W 88-72 63%     4 - 2 +14.1 +15.4 -1.0
  Dec 11, 2024 50   @ Louisville L 74-77 14%     4 - 3 +10.2 +7.6 +2.6
  Dec 16, 2024 303   Tarleton St. W 67-62 87%     5 - 3 -5.6 -2.5 -2.7
  Dec 20, 2024 311   Jackson St. W 78-65 89%    
  Jan 02, 2025 101   Louisiana Tech L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 04, 2025 128   Sam Houston St. W 76-74 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 199   New Mexico St. W 73-67 72%    
  Jan 16, 2025 77   @ Liberty L 63-72 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 242   @ Florida International W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 23, 2025 173   Jacksonville St. W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 154   Kennesaw St. W 80-76 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 106   @ Western Kentucky L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 130   @ Middle Tennessee L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   @ New Mexico St. W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 242   Florida International W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 77   Liberty L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 20, 2025 154   @ Kennesaw St. L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 173   @ Jacksonville St. L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 27, 2025 106   Western Kentucky W 76-75 51%    
  Mar 01, 2025 130   Middle Tennessee W 74-71 59%    
  Mar 06, 2025 128   @ Sam Houston St. L 73-77 38%    
  Mar 08, 2025 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-72 28%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.1 2.3 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.9 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.0 3.0 0.5 0.0 11.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.0 3.1 0.5 0.0 12.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.0 3.5 0.5 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.5 8.4 11.0 13.1 13.5 12.9 10.8 8.5 5.3 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 99.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
15-3 90.1% 1.4    1.1 0.3 0.0
14-4 69.8% 2.3    1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 39.2% 2.1    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
12-6 12.4% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 4.3 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 50.6% 48.1% 2.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.8%
16-2 0.6% 28.8% 28.8% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.6% 28.0% 27.9% 0.1% 11.8 0.1 0.3 0.0 1.1 0.2%
14-4 3.2% 21.5% 21.5% 12.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.5
13-5 5.3% 19.1% 19.1% 12.4 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.0 4.3
12-6 8.5% 13.8% 13.8% 12.6 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.3
11-7 10.8% 10.8% 10.8% 12.8 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 9.6
10-8 12.9% 7.7% 7.7% 13.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 11.9
9-9 13.5% 5.5% 5.5% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 12.8
8-10 13.1% 4.0% 4.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 12.6
7-11 11.0% 2.1% 2.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.8
6-12 8.4% 1.0% 1.0% 15.3 0.1 0.0 8.4
5-13 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 5.5
4-14 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.8 2.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 92.6 0.0%