IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.4	#267
Expected Predictive Rating	-12.5	#330

Pace	80.8	#9
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#288

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.6	#227

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.0%	1.3%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.4	15.1

.500 or above	10.5%	14.9%	4.6%
.500 or above in Conference	12.5%	15.7%	8.3%
Conference Champion	0.6%	0.8%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	42.3%	36.4%	49.9%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	0.9%	1.2%	0.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 56.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 6
Quad 3	3 - 10	4 - 15
Quad 4	6 - 5	10 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	191	@ Rice	L	70-77	26%	0 - 1			-5.7	-6.6	+1.4
Nov 09, 2024	214	@ Southern Utah	L	75-80	30%	0 - 2			-4.9	-8.3	+4.0
Nov 18, 2024	246	Howard	W	79-77	57%
Nov 22, 2024	170	Northeastern	L	72-77	33%
Nov 23, 2024	261	Cal St. Bakersfield	L	73-74	49%
Nov 24, 2024	239	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	68-73	33%
Dec 04, 2024	74	Florida Atlantic	L	81-91	18%
Dec 14, 2024	322	@ Stetson	W	76-75	52%
Dec 17, 2024	154	@ East Carolina	L	68-77	21%
Dec 21, 2024	362	IU Indianapolis	W	82-69	87%
Dec 30, 2024	301	Utah Tech	W	81-76	66%
Jan 02, 2025	129	Middle Tennessee	L	70-75	35%
Jan 04, 2025	118	Western Kentucky	L	81-87	32%
Jan 09, 2025	92	@ Louisiana Tech	L	67-81	11%
Jan 11, 2025	123	@ Sam Houston St.	L	74-85	17%
Jan 16, 2025	147	New Mexico St.	L	72-75	39%
Jan 18, 2025	194	UTEP	L	76-77	48%
Jan 25, 2025	104	Liberty	L	69-76	27%
Jan 30, 2025	210	@ Jacksonville St.	L	70-76	31%
Feb 01, 2025	176	@ Kennesaw St.	L	83-91	26%
Feb 06, 2025	123	Sam Houston St.	L	77-82	32%
Feb 08, 2025	92	Louisiana Tech	L	70-78	25%
Feb 13, 2025	194	@ UTEP	L	73-80	30%
Feb 15, 2025	147	@ New Mexico St.	L	69-78	21%
Feb 22, 2025	104	@ Liberty	L	66-79	13%
Feb 27, 2025	176	Kennesaw St.	L	86-88	45%
Mar 01, 2025	210	Jacksonville St.	W	74-73	51%
Mar 06, 2025	118	@ Western Kentucky	L	78-90	17%
Mar 08, 2025	129	@ Middle Tennessee	L	67-78	19%
Projected Record						9 - 20	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd											0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.1							2.3	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	1.0	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0							3.5	4th
5th								0.2	1.7	2.3	0.9	0.1									5.2	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.2	3.5	1.3	0.1	0.0									7.6	6th
7th					0.0	0.7	3.2	4.6	2.0	0.2	0.0										10.7	7th
8th			0.0	0.2	1.5	4.8	5.9	2.6	0.3	0.0											15.3	8th
9th		0.1	1.1	4.2	7.1	6.7	2.5	0.2	0.0												21.9	9th
10th	2.0	5.9	8.6	8.3	5.0	1.6	0.2	0.0													31.5	10th

Total	2.0	6.0	9.7	12.6	13.7	13.9	12.1	10.0	7.6	5.0	3.5	2.0	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	86.5%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-4	73.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1
13-5	34.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	8.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	1.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0					0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%																	0.0
16-2	0.0%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
15-3	0.1%		29.7%	29.7%		12.4													0.0	0.0				0.1
14-4	0.2%		16.9%	16.9%		12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2
13-5	0.5%		10.1%	10.1%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.5
12-6	1.1%		9.9%	9.9%		13.5													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.0
11-7	2.0%		5.7%	5.7%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.9
10-8	3.5%		3.5%	3.5%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.4
9-9	5.0%		3.2%	3.2%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	4.8
8-10	7.6%		1.9%	1.9%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.1	7.4
7-11	10.0%		0.9%	0.9%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.9
6-12	12.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	12.1
5-13	13.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
4-14	13.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.7
3-15	12.6%																							12.6
2-16	9.7%																							9.7
1-17	6.0%																							6.0
0-18	2.0%																							2.0

Total	100%		1.0%	1.0%	0.0%	14.6												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	99.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%