Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#241
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#287
Pace74.0#57
Improvement+2.0#90

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#307
First Shot-4.0#291
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#247
Layup/Dunks+4.6#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#357
Freethrows+0.1#169
Improvement+2.6#53

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#152
First Shot+1.1#142
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#236
Layups/Dunks-1.7#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#61
Freethrows-1.6#286
Improvement-0.6#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.3% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.3% 4.1% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 74.8% 59.6% 79.6%
First Four0.5% 0.9% 0.4%
First Round0.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Home) - 23.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 33 - 133 - 17
Quad 45 - 49 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 192   @ Rice L 70-77 29%     0 - 1 -5.6 -7.4 +2.3
  Nov 09, 2024 240   @ Southern Utah L 75-80 39%     0 - 2 -6.6 -8.3 +2.4
  Nov 18, 2024 281   Howard L 70-75 70%     0 - 3 -14.7 -13.6 -1.0
  Nov 22, 2024 200   Northeastern L 58-60 40%     0 - 4 -3.8 -10.5 +6.5
  Nov 23, 2024 234   Cal St. Bakersfield W 76-73 OT 49%     1 - 4 -1.1 -1.9 +0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 168   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 59-60 26%     1 - 5 +1.4 -7.1 +8.4
  Dec 04, 2024 108   Florida Atlantic L 77-88 31%     1 - 6 -10.3 -0.4 -9.5
  Dec 14, 2024 348   @ Stetson W 81-72 69%     2 - 6 -0.4 +0.5 -1.0
  Dec 17, 2024 164   @ East Carolina L 64-75 24%     2 - 7 -8.1 -7.2 -0.9
  Dec 21, 2024 326   IU Indianapolis W 75-69 79%     3 - 7 -7.0 -4.6 -2.2
  Dec 30, 2024 284   Utah Tech W 80-66 70%     4 - 7 +4.1 -4.0 +7.1
  Jan 02, 2025 111   Middle Tennessee L 69-73 32%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -3.6 -5.5 +2.0
  Jan 04, 2025 135   Western Kentucky W 85-66 37%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +18.0 +3.2 +12.2
  Jan 09, 2025 120   @ Louisiana Tech L 64-81 18%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -11.6 -1.0 -12.2
  Jan 11, 2025 170   @ Sam Houston St. L 74-81 26%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -4.6 -1.9 -2.5
  Jan 16, 2025 128   New Mexico St. L 52-59 35%     5 - 11 1 - 4 -7.5 -13.6 +5.2
  Jan 18, 2025 131   UTEP L 73-81 37%     5 - 12 1 - 5 -8.9 +3.0 -12.1
  Jan 25, 2025 92   Liberty L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 30, 2025 162   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-74 24%    
  Feb 01, 2025 183   @ Kennesaw St. L 74-80 27%    
  Feb 06, 2025 170   Sam Houston St. L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 120   Louisiana Tech L 68-72 35%    
  Feb 13, 2025 131   @ UTEP L 68-77 20%    
  Feb 15, 2025 128   @ New Mexico St. L 65-74 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 92   @ Liberty L 61-74 10%    
  Feb 27, 2025 183   Kennesaw St. L 77-78 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 162   Jacksonville St. L 70-72 45%    
  Mar 06, 2025 135   @ Western Kentucky L 71-80 20%    
  Mar 08, 2025 111   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-77 17%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.2 6th
7th 0.9 2.1 0.9 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.8 3.1 0.3 10.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 4.6 9.3 6.0 0.8 0.0 22.4 9th
10th 3.2 10.7 18.0 17.3 9.1 1.5 0.1 59.9 10th
Total 3.2 10.9 19.4 22.1 20.1 13.2 6.9 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 25.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.1% 0.0 0.1
10-8 0.3% 6.5% 6.5% 15.0 0.0 0.3
9-9 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.0 0.9
8-10 2.9% 6.2% 6.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.7
7-11 6.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 6.8
6-12 13.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 13.0
5-13 20.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 20.0
4-14 22.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.0
3-15 19.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.4
2-16 10.9% 10.9
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.2%