IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

East Carolina
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.8	#154
Expected Predictive Rating	+4.4	#109

Pace	63.3	#333
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.4	#163

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.4	#158

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.5%	3.7%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.7%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.5	11.1	12.2

.500 or above	50.3%	65.2%	38.7%
.500 or above in Conference	38.5%	47.4%	31.7%
Conference Champion	2.3%	3.5%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	12.9%	8.6%	16.2%

First Four	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
First Round	2.4%	3.5%	1.5%
Second Round	0.6%	1.0%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: George Mason (Home) - 43.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 3	5 - 6	7 - 13
Quad 4	7 - 2	14 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2024	268	Coastal Carolina	W	63-59	81%	1 - 0			-4.6	-1.4	-2.4
Nov 16, 2024	95	George Mason	L	67-69	44%
Nov 21, 2024	210	Jacksonville St.	W	68-65	63%
Nov 29, 2024	300	N.C. A&T	W	77-66	84%
Dec 03, 2024	156	UNC Wilmington	W	71-68	61%
Dec 07, 2024	64	@ South Carolina	L	61-72	16%
Dec 11, 2024	177	North Alabama	W	73-68	66%
Dec 17, 2024	267	Florida International	W	77-68	79%
Dec 21, 2024	217	Gardner-Webb	W	74-67	73%
Dec 31, 2024	120	@ South Florida	L	66-71	32%
Jan 05, 2025	74	Florida Atlantic	L	74-78	36%
Jan 08, 2025	112	Temple	L	68-69	50%
Jan 11, 2025	34	@ Memphis	L	66-80	12%
Jan 14, 2025	73	North Texas	L	59-63	36%
Jan 18, 2025	86	@ Wichita St.	L	65-74	22%
Jan 21, 2025	142	@ Tulsa	L	71-74	38%
Jan 25, 2025	120	South Florida	W	69-68	53%
Feb 01, 2025	112	@ Temple	L	65-71	31%
Feb 05, 2025	191	Rice	W	69-63	68%
Feb 08, 2025	238	@ Texas San Antonio	W	74-73	54%
Feb 11, 2025	101	UAB	L	72-73	46%
Feb 15, 2025	133	@ Charlotte	L	63-67	37%
Feb 19, 2025	145	@ Tulane	L	73-76	39%
Feb 23, 2025	238	Texas San Antonio	W	77-70	73%
Mar 02, 2025	133	Charlotte	W	66-64	57%
Mar 06, 2025	145	Tulane	W	76-73	59%
Mar 09, 2025	74	@ Florida Atlantic	L	71-81	21%
Projected Record						13 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.1	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0			4.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.5	2.4	1.1	0.2	0.0					5.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.6	3.1	1.4	0.2	0.0						6.5	4th
5th									0.1	1.6	3.8	1.9	0.2	0.0							7.6	5th
6th								0.0	1.2	4.0	2.5	0.3	0.0								8.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.8	3.8	3.7	0.6	0.0									8.9	7th
8th							0.3	3.3	4.4	1.1	0.0										9.2	8th
9th						0.3	2.5	5.1	1.9	0.1											9.9	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	2.2	4.8	2.7	0.2	0.0											10.2	10th
11th			0.0	0.3	2.1	4.3	3.0	0.5	0.0												10.1	11th
12th		0.1	0.6	2.2	3.7	2.5	0.5	0.0													9.5	12th
13th	0.4	1.1	2.3	2.4	1.5	0.3	0.0														7.9	13th

Total	0.4	1.1	2.9	4.9	7.5	9.5	11.2	12.4	11.7	10.8	8.8	7.0	5.2	3.4	1.9	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	97.7%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	88.9%	0.3		0.2	0.0
15-3	67.5%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	35.7%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	14.3%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.3%	2.3		1.1	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%									0.0		0.0				0.0
17-1	0.1%		59.1%	27.3%	31.8%	7.5					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		43.8%
16-2	0.3%		47.5%	26.3%	21.2%	9.1					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.2		28.8%
15-3	0.9%		27.0%	18.2%	8.8%	10.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1					0.7		10.7%
14-4	1.9%		18.3%	13.6%	4.7%	11.2							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0				1.6		5.4%
13-5	3.4%		11.8%	10.4%	1.5%	11.7									0.0		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			3.0		1.6%
12-6	5.2%		7.7%	7.5%	0.2%	11.9											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1				4.8		0.2%
11-7	7.0%		5.0%	4.9%	0.0%	12.2												0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			6.7		0.0%
10-8	8.8%		2.4%	2.4%		12.6												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			8.6
9-9	10.8%		1.0%	1.0%		12.8													0.0	0.1	0.0			10.7
8-10	11.7%		0.9%	0.9%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		11.5
7-11	12.4%		0.3%	0.3%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		12.3
6-12	11.2%		0.1%	0.1%		13.5														0.0	0.0			11.2
5-13	9.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
4-14	7.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.5
3-15	4.9%																							4.9
2-16	2.9%																							2.9
1-17	1.1%																							1.1
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		2.5%	2.1%	0.4%	11.5				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	97.5		0.4%