IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.1	#322
Expected Predictive Rating	-19.7	#358

Pace	65.8	#286
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.6	#285

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.2%	3.0%	1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.6	15.7

.500 or above	6.7%	25.6%	6.3%
.500 or above in Conference	27.2%	48.0%	26.7%
Conference Champion	1.0%	3.3%	1.0%
Last Place in Conference	15.0%	4.1%	15.2%

First Four	0.7%	1.6%	0.7%
First Round	0.9%	2.5%	0.9%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 4	7 - 9	8 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2024	266	Nebraska Omaha	L	76-79	47%	0 - 1			-11.3	-2.4	-8.9
Nov 11, 2024	292	@ The Citadel	L	52-74	31%	0 - 2			-25.9	-18.8	-7.9
Nov 16, 2024	52	@ Oklahoma	L	59-81	2%
Nov 21, 2024	149	Toledo	L	71-81	17%
Dec 03, 2024	120	@ South Florida	L	63-78	8%
Dec 08, 2024	249	Mercer	L	70-72	43%
Dec 14, 2024	267	Florida International	L	75-76	48%
Dec 17, 2024	48	@ LSU	L	62-84	3%
Dec 29, 2024	21	@ Florida	L	65-90	1%
Jan 02, 2025	297	@ Queens	L	73-78	33%
Jan 04, 2025	349	@ West Georgia	W	72-71	51%
Jan 09, 2025	346	Central Arkansas	W	75-69	70%
Jan 11, 2025	177	North Alabama	L	70-75	33%
Jan 16, 2025	297	Queens	W	76-75	54%
Jan 18, 2025	349	West Georgia	W	75-69	71%
Jan 23, 2025	225	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	70-79	22%
Jan 25, 2025	328	@ Bellarmine	L	68-71	41%
Jan 29, 2025	140	@ North Florida	L	69-82	12%
Feb 01, 2025	239	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	62-71	23%
Feb 06, 2025	232	Jacksonville	L	66-69	41%
Feb 08, 2025	225	Eastern Kentucky	L	73-76	40%
Feb 13, 2025	143	@ Lipscomb	L	68-81	13%
Feb 15, 2025	215	@ Austin Peay	L	63-72	22%
Feb 18, 2025	140	North Florida	L	72-79	27%
Feb 20, 2025	239	Florida Gulf Coast	L	65-68	41%
Feb 24, 2025	328	Bellarmine	W	71-68	61%
Feb 26, 2025	232	@ Jacksonville	L	63-72	23%
Projected Record						8 - 19	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0			1.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.6	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0				2.0	2nd
3rd											0.2	1.0	1.4	0.6	0.1	0.0					3.3	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.4	2.1	0.9	0.1	0.0						4.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.8	3.1	1.3	0.1	0.0							6.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.2	3.8	2.1	0.3	0.0								8.7	6th
7th							0.3	2.5	5.0	2.7	0.4	0.0									11.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	2.7	5.9	3.5	0.5	0.0										13.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	3.3	5.9	3.7	0.7	0.0											14.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.7	3.4	5.6	3.2	0.6	0.0												13.6	10th
11th		0.1	1.1	3.8	4.6	2.6	0.5	0.0													12.8	11th
12th	0.4	1.6	3.0	2.6	1.1	0.2	0.0														9.0	12th

Total	0.4	1.7	4.2	7.2	9.8	12.1	12.8	13.1	11.6	9.1	7.2	4.9	3.0	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	93.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	83.2%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	37.7%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	11.7%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.0%	1.0		0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																				0.0	0.0		0.0
16-2	0.1%		27.9%	27.9%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.3%		19.8%	19.8%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
14-4	0.8%		14.3%	14.3%		15.1															0.0	0.1	0.0	0.7
13-5	1.7%		7.5%	7.5%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	1.6
12-6	3.0%		6.5%	6.5%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.1	2.8
11-7	4.9%		4.2%	4.2%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	4.7
10-8	7.2%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																0.0	0.2	7.0
9-9	9.1%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	8.9
8-10	11.6%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	11.5
7-11	13.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	13.1
6-12	12.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.7
5-13	12.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
4-14	9.8%																							9.8
3-15	7.2%																							7.2
2-16	4.2%																							4.2
1-17	1.7%																							1.7
0-18	0.4%																							0.4

Total	100%		1.2%	1.2%	0.0%	15.7														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	98.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%