IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Central Arkansas
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.2	#346
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.5	#187

Pace	71.8	#108
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.3	#338

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.9	#349

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.6	15.8

.500 or above	2.5%	6.1%	1.3%
.500 or above in Conference	8.8%	14.4%	7.0%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	36.4%	26.9%	39.5%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 25.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 12
Quad 4	6 - 10	7 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2024	32	@ BYU	L	50-88	1%	0 - 1			-22.9	-15.9	-7.7
Nov 07, 2024	51	@ Utah	L	63-98	2%	0 - 2			-22.5	-9.8	-9.4
Nov 16, 2024	312	@ Western Illinois	L	65-72	25%
Nov 21, 2024	321	Southeast Missouri St.	L	74-75	49%
Nov 24, 2024	211	UNC Asheville	L	71-77	27%
Nov 30, 2024	96	@ Georgia Tech	L	69-90	3%
Dec 04, 2024	279	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	70-79	21%
Dec 07, 2024	361	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	L	79-80	49%
Dec 14, 2024	19	@ Arkansas	L	60-89	1%
Dec 16, 2024	292	The Citadel	L	68-70	42%
Dec 22, 2024	52	@ Oklahoma	L	59-84	1%
Jan 02, 2025	225	Eastern Kentucky	L	73-79	30%
Jan 04, 2025	328	Bellarmine	W	71-70	51%
Jan 09, 2025	322	@ Stetson	L	69-75	30%
Jan 11, 2025	239	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	62-74	16%
Jan 16, 2025	140	@ North Florida	L	70-86	8%
Jan 18, 2025	232	@ Jacksonville	L	64-76	15%
Jan 23, 2025	215	Austin Peay	L	67-73	30%
Jan 25, 2025	143	Lipscomb	L	72-82	19%
Jan 29, 2025	349	West Georgia	W	75-72	62%
Feb 01, 2025	177	@ North Alabama	L	68-82	11%
Feb 05, 2025	297	Queens	L	77-79	43%
Feb 08, 2025	215	@ Austin Peay	L	64-76	15%
Feb 13, 2025	232	Jacksonville	L	67-73	31%
Feb 15, 2025	140	North Florida	L	73-83	18%
Feb 18, 2025	297	@ Queens	L	74-82	24%
Feb 20, 2025	349	@ West Georgia	L	72-75	41%
Feb 24, 2025	177	North Alabama	L	71-79	24%
Feb 26, 2025	143	@ Lipscomb	L	69-85	8%
Projected Record						7 - 22	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0		0.2	1st
2nd												0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1							0.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	0.0							1.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	0.9	1.0	0.3	0.0								2.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.2	1.7	0.7	0.0									3.8	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.8	2.7	1.1	0.1										5.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.3	4.0	1.8	0.2	0.0										8.6	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	3.3	5.3	2.7	0.4	0.0											12.4	9th
10th			0.1	1.4	5.2	6.5	3.3	0.5	0.0												17.1	10th
11th		0.4	3.0	7.5	7.2	3.3	0.5	0.0													22.0	11th
12th	2.3	6.4	8.3	5.8	2.0	0.3	0.0														25.0	12th

Total	2.3	6.7	11.4	14.7	15.1	13.9	11.7	9.2	6.2	4.1	2.4	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.0			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	75.0%	0.0		0.0
14-4	53.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	20.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.0				0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.0%																							0.0
14-4	0.1%		18.8%	18.8%		14.5															0.0	0.0		0.1
13-5	0.3%		10.6%	10.6%		15.5																0.0	0.0	0.3
12-6	0.7%		4.6%	4.6%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
11-7	1.3%		2.9%	2.9%		15.7																0.0	0.0	1.2
10-8	2.4%		2.0%	2.0%		15.9																0.0	0.0	2.3
9-9	4.1%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.1	4.0
8-10	6.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
7-11	9.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	9.1
6-12	11.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
5-13	13.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
4-14	15.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	15.1
3-15	14.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	14.7
2-16	11.4%																							11.4
1-17	6.7%																							6.7
0-18	2.3%																							2.3

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	15.7															0.0	0.1	0.3	99.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%