IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.4	#232
Expected Predictive Rating	-5.8	#276

Pace	65.0	#310
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#270

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.4	#181

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.1%	8.9%	5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.8	14.7	15.2

.500 or above	40.3%	46.1%	22.3%
.500 or above in Conference	69.4%	72.7%	59.3%
Conference Champion	9.5%	10.7%	5.6%
Last Place in Conference	2.3%	1.8%	3.9%

First Four	1.5%	1.4%	2.0%
First Round	7.5%	8.4%	4.7%
Second Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina St. (Home) - 75.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 10
Quad 4	11 - 5	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2024	21	@ Florida	L	60-81	5%	0 - 1			-4.9	-4.8	-1.0
Nov 11, 2024	148	@ Furman	L	69-78	24%	0 - 2			-5.0	-5.7	+1.1
Nov 14, 2024	310	South Carolina St.	W	73-66	76%
Nov 20, 2024	82	@ Virginia Tech	L	61-75	10%
Nov 25, 2024	249	Mercer	W	69-68	54%
Nov 30, 2024	68	@ Georgia	L	64-78	9%
Dec 10, 2024	74	@ Florida Atlantic	L	69-83	10%
Dec 14, 2024	190	East Tennessee St.	W	69-68	54%
Dec 21, 2024	66	@ Central Florida	L	61-76	9%
Jan 02, 2025	143	Lipscomb	L	71-73	45%
Jan 04, 2025	215	Austin Peay	W	67-64	59%
Jan 09, 2025	328	@ Bellarmine	W	68-65	61%
Jan 11, 2025	225	@ Eastern Kentucky	L	70-73	40%
Jan 16, 2025	177	North Alabama	W	70-69	52%
Jan 18, 2025	346	Central Arkansas	W	76-64	85%
Jan 23, 2025	349	@ West Georgia	W	72-66	70%
Jan 25, 2025	297	@ Queens	W	73-72	52%
Jan 29, 2025	239	Florida Gulf Coast	W	66-63	61%
Feb 01, 2025	140	North Florida	L	72-74	44%
Feb 06, 2025	322	@ Stetson	W	69-66	59%
Feb 08, 2025	328	Bellarmine	W	71-62	78%
Feb 13, 2025	346	@ Central Arkansas	W	73-67	69%
Feb 15, 2025	177	@ North Alabama	L	67-73	32%
Feb 18, 2025	239	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	63-66	41%
Feb 20, 2025	140	@ North Florida	L	69-77	26%
Feb 24, 2025	225	Eastern Kentucky	W	73-70	60%
Feb 26, 2025	322	Stetson	W	72-63	77%
Projected Record						12 - 15	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.0	2.4	3.0	2.0	0.8	0.1		9.5	1st
2nd												0.3	1.9	4.1	3.2	1.3	0.2				10.9	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.5	4.8	3.5	0.8	0.1					12.0	3rd
4th										0.3	2.5	5.4	3.3	0.6	0.0						12.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.4	5.2	3.4	0.6	0.0							11.7	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.1	5.2	3.4	0.6									11.4	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.8	4.3	3.3	0.6	0.0									10.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.3	3.6	2.8	0.6	0.0										8.4	8th
9th					0.1	1.0	2.5	2.1	0.4	0.0											6.2	9th
10th				0.1	0.7	1.7	1.4	0.3	0.0												4.2	10th
11th			0.1	0.5	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0													2.5	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0														1.1	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.9	3.6	5.6	8.1	9.9	11.7	12.0	12.1	10.7	9.2	6.4	4.3	2.2	0.8	0.1			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.8		0.8	0.0
16-2	92.6%	2.0		1.6	0.4	0.0
15-3	69.1%	3.0		1.8	1.0	0.1
14-4	36.6%	2.4		0.8	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0
13-5	10.8%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.5%	9.5		5.4	2.9	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		40.9%	40.9%		12.1								0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
17-1	0.8%		42.9%	42.9%		13.0												0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5
16-2	2.2%		32.7%	32.7%		13.7													0.0	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	1.5
15-3	4.3%		26.8%	26.8%		14.0													0.0	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.0	3.1
14-4	6.4%		19.7%	19.7%		14.4													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	5.2
13-5	9.2%		14.8%	14.8%		14.9													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.3	7.8
12-6	10.7%		10.4%	10.4%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	9.6
11-7	12.1%		8.0%	8.0%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	11.1
10-8	12.0%		5.3%	5.3%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	11.3
9-9	11.7%		2.3%	2.3%		15.9																0.0	0.3	11.4
8-10	9.9%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	9.7
7-11	8.1%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	8.0
6-12	5.6%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
5-13	3.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.6
4-14	1.9%																							1.9
3-15	1.0%																							1.0
2-16	0.4%																							0.4
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		8.1%	8.1%	0.0%	14.8								0.0				0.0	0.2	1.0	1.8	2.3	2.7	91.9		0.0%