Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#283
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#211
Pace62.4#338
Improvement-1.0#253

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#304
First Shot-4.7#310
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#171
Layup/Dunks-7.8#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#117
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#139
Freethrows+0.9#119
Improvement-0.8#254

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#234
First Shot-1.7#228
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#204
Layups/Dunks-4.6#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#56
Freethrows-2.4#321
Improvement-0.2#212
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 7.5% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 44.3% 64.1% 39.9%
.500 or above in Conference 54.6% 63.7% 52.6%
Conference Champion 5.1% 7.1% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 2.7% 4.9%
First Four2.3% 2.3% 2.3%
First Round4.2% 6.4% 3.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Home) - 18.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 7
Quad 413 - 1016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 159   Brown W 72-71 OT 37%     1 - 0 -2.1 -4.2 +2.1
  Nov 08, 2024 176   @ Bryant W 90-88 OT 20%     2 - 0 +4.2 +3.5 +0.4
  Nov 12, 2024 237   American W 74-66 52%     3 - 0 +1.0 +10.6 -8.1
  Nov 16, 2024 248   @ Albany L 60-70 32%     3 - 1 -11.8 -12.0 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2024 53   @ Xavier L 55-80 5%     3 - 2 -12.0 -8.3 -5.0
  Nov 25, 2024 195   Miami (OH) L 58-70 32%     3 - 3 -13.6 -11.5 -2.7
  Nov 26, 2024 204   Jacksonville L 64-75 33%     3 - 4 -13.1 -6.0 -7.2
  Nov 30, 2024 260   Bucknell W 71-58 46%     4 - 4 +7.5 +7.7 +1.5
  Dec 06, 2024 314   @ Niagara L 68-69 46%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -6.7 +2.9 -9.7
  Dec 08, 2024 352   @ Canisius W 66-53 62%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +3.3 -1.0 +6.8
  Dec 17, 2024 89   St. Bonaventure L 59-69 18%    
  Dec 20, 2024 330   Holy Cross W 70-64 73%    
  Dec 30, 2024 121   @ Cornell L 68-80 12%    
  Jan 03, 2025 316   Manhattan W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 05, 2025 257   Iona W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 10, 2025 238   @ Quinnipiac L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 16, 2025 277   Sacred Heart W 71-69 59%    
  Jan 18, 2025 217   @ Merrimack L 59-66 27%    
  Jan 23, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 25, 2025 257   @ Iona L 64-68 35%    
  Jan 31, 2025 236   @ Marist L 60-66 30%    
  Feb 02, 2025 238   Quinnipiac W 70-69 52%    
  Feb 06, 2025 221   St. Peter's L 61-62 48%    
  Feb 08, 2025 288   @ Rider L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 14, 2025 236   Marist W 64-63 51%    
  Feb 16, 2025 277   @ Sacred Heart L 68-72 38%    
  Feb 21, 2025 314   Niagara W 68-63 68%    
  Feb 23, 2025 352   Canisius W 73-64 80%    
  Mar 02, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-70 36%    
  Mar 06, 2025 292   Fairfield W 70-67 61%    
  Mar 08, 2025 316   @ Manhattan L 70-71 47%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.3 3.2 1.0 0.1 8.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.9 4.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.0 2.0 0.1 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.9 3.4 0.4 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.8 0.8 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.2 2.3 5.2 1.9 0.1 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6 3.0 0.2 9.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.5 0.6 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 2.9 0.8 0.0 7.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 2.0 0.8 0.1 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 3.3 6.1 8.7 11.7 13.4 13.8 12.9 10.7 7.7 4.9 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 94.6% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-4 83.2% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-5 59.2% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1
14-6 27.4% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.4% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 21.7% 21.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 22.4% 22.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.2% 23.3% 23.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.9
15-5 2.8% 19.3% 19.3% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 2.2
14-6 4.9% 15.3% 15.3% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.4 4.1
13-7 7.7% 12.6% 12.6% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 6.7
12-8 10.7% 9.3% 9.3% 15.9 0.1 0.8 9.7
11-9 12.9% 5.5% 5.5% 15.9 0.0 0.7 12.2
10-10 13.8% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.5 13.4
9-11 13.4% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 13.1
8-12 11.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 11.5
7-13 8.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.6
6-14 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.0
5-15 3.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 94.6 0.0%