Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#270
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Pace65.6#251
Improvement+0.4#163

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#299
First Shot-4.6#305
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#179
Layup/Dunks-5.3#342
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#193
Freethrows+1.0#116
Improvement-0.5#213

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#229
First Shot-1.2#217
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#219
Layups/Dunks-4.2#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#59
Freethrows-1.4#279
Improvement+0.9#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 5.4% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 37.8% 47.9% 22.4%
.500 or above in Conference 51.9% 63.1% 34.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 1.8% 6.4%
First Four2.0% 2.2% 1.7%
First Round3.6% 4.3% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Home) - 60.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 01 - 1
Quad 31 - 62 - 7
Quad 413 - 1015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 212   Brown W 72-71 OT 47%     1 - 0 -4.5 -5.1 +0.6
  Nov 08, 2024 157   @ Bryant W 90-88 OT 19%     2 - 0 +5.2 +4.8 +0.0
  Nov 12, 2024 236   American W 74-66 53%     3 - 0 +1.0 +10.9 -8.4
  Nov 16, 2024 260   @ Albany L 60-70 37%     3 - 1 -12.9 -12.1 -1.3
  Nov 20, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 55-80 4%     3 - 2 -10.6 -6.9 -4.9
  Nov 25, 2024 153   Miami (OH) L 58-70 25%     3 - 3 -11.2 -11.9 +0.1
  Nov 26, 2024 185   Jacksonville L 64-75 31%     3 - 4 -12.0 -5.4 -6.8
  Nov 30, 2024 265   Bucknell W 71-58 49%     4 - 4 +7.1 +8.2 +0.6
  Dec 06, 2024 310   @ Niagara L 68-69 48%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -6.8 +3.7 -10.7
  Dec 08, 2024 346   @ Canisius W 66-53 62%     5 - 5 1 - 1 +3.8 -1.6 +7.8
  Dec 17, 2024 96   St. Bonaventure L 48-65 20%     5 - 6 -14.3 -21.0 +5.9
  Dec 20, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 70-78 71%     5 - 7 -19.8 -3.4 -17.3
  Dec 30, 2024 134   @ Cornell W 83-77 16%     6 - 7 +10.5 +4.4 +5.8
  Jan 03, 2025 297   Manhattan W 103-95 2OT 66%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -2.4 +0.4 -4.5
  Jan 05, 2025 253   Iona L 73-74 57%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -9.0 -7.9 -0.9
  Jan 10, 2025 184   @ Quinnipiac L 53-72 23%     7 - 9 2 - 3 -17.3 -17.7 +0.7
  Jan 16, 2025 295   Sacred Heart W 93-75 66%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +7.6 +14.5 -6.8
  Jan 18, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 58-64 26%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -5.4 -4.8 -1.3
  Jan 23, 2025 266   Mount St. Mary's W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 25, 2025 253   @ Iona L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 31, 2025 218   @ Marist L 60-66 28%    
  Feb 02, 2025 184   Quinnipiac L 69-71 41%    
  Feb 06, 2025 232   St. Peter's W 61-60 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 294   @ Rider L 66-67 44%    
  Feb 14, 2025 218   Marist L 63-64 49%    
  Feb 16, 2025 295   @ Sacred Heart L 72-73 45%    
  Feb 21, 2025 310   Niagara W 69-64 69%    
  Feb 23, 2025 346   Canisius W 74-65 79%    
  Mar 02, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 66-69 39%    
  Mar 06, 2025 318   Fairfield W 72-66 71%    
  Mar 08, 2025 297   @ Manhattan L 73-74 45%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.6 2.6 0.8 0.1 6.7 3rd
4th 1.1 6.3 5.5 1.7 0.1 14.6 4th
5th 0.7 5.6 6.7 1.5 0.1 14.5 5th
6th 0.2 3.5 7.7 2.3 0.1 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.6 7.6 3.2 0.2 12.5 7th
8th 0.4 4.3 5.0 0.5 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 5.3 1.3 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 4.0 2.7 0.1 7.3 10th
11th 0.3 1.8 2.7 0.3 5.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.4 9.4 14.4 18.0 18.2 16.1 9.9 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 32.6% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
13-7 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.4% 11.6% 11.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-6 1.8% 17.9% 17.9% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.5
13-7 5.4% 12.5% 12.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.7
12-8 9.9% 9.3% 9.3% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 9.0
11-9 16.1% 7.1% 7.1% 15.9 0.1 1.0 15.0
10-10 18.2% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.1 0.7 17.5
9-11 18.0% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.4 17.5
8-12 14.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 14.1
7-13 9.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.2
6-14 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 4.7% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.9 3.7 95.4 0.0%